guidance test 1

Run 0d99b649 · view hypothesis

completed

Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.

Trades
6163
Win rate
50.71%
Avg return
0.33%
Median return
0.06%
Avg abnormal
0.17%
Median abnormal
-0.05%
Best trade
156.50%
Worst trade
-46.34%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.05
Daily portfolio drawdown
—
Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
2021400-0.45%-0.65%41.25%
202212470.41%0.32%50.60%
202312640.15%0.03%47.86%
202412460.28%0.12%51.44%
202512660.85%0.66%56.95%
20267400.12%-0.12%48.92%
Trades (page 13: 163 of 6,163)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceCurr. earn. vs next-Q est.ReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
CQP2026-05-072026-05-082026-05-11—62.2662.260.00%market166.02%-0.87%0.59%-1.47%
CHT2026-05-072026-05-082026-05-11—43.5043.500.00%market3193.63%-1.12%0.59%-1.71%
LNG2026-05-072026-05-082026-05-11—244.01244.010.00%market118.51%-1.56%0.59%-2.15%
ABNB2026-05-072026-05-082026-05-11—138.13138.130.00%market384.93%-0.98%0.59%-1.58%
CNQ2026-05-072026-05-082026-05-11—44.7144.710.00%market67.78%0.87%0.59%0.28%
CLMT2026-05-082026-05-112026-05-12—32.5632.560.00%market101.85%-1.55%0.23%-1.79%
PAGP2026-05-082026-05-112026-05-12—23.9523.950.00%market356.46%-2.25%0.23%-2.48%
ROAD2026-05-082026-05-112026-05-12—141.49141.490.00%market462.04%-10.53%0.23%-10.77%
FLR2026-05-082026-05-112026-05-12—43.0643.060.00%market400.34%3.68%0.23%3.44%
CIG-C2026-05-082026-05-112026-05-12—3.383.380.00%market264.80%0.39%0.23%0.16%
WULF2026-05-082026-05-112026-05-12—23.0823.080.00%market75.88%-1.41%0.23%-1.65%
MSGS2026-05-082026-05-112026-05-12—331.73331.730.00%market181.43%1.12%0.23%0.89%
OSK2026-05-082026-05-112026-05-12—136.49136.490.00%market208.90%-3.99%0.23%-4.22%
EMBJ2026-05-082026-05-112026-05-12—61.1361.130.00%market288.29%-2.11%0.23%-2.35%
SONY2026-05-082026-05-112026-05-12—21.5121.510.00%market50180.26%2.82%0.23%2.59%
TM2026-05-082026-05-112026-05-12—184.00184.000.00%market18778.78%-1.47%0.23%-1.70%
PPTA2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—31.0031.000.00%market51.28%2.28%0.74%1.55%
KEEL2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—4.154.150.00%market67.72%-0.20%0.74%-0.94%
BATRK2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—50.2250.220.00%market150.40%0.92%0.74%0.18%
BATRA2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—54.1454.140.00%market145.72%0.28%0.74%-0.46%
CLSK2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—13.1613.160.00%market68.71%0.86%0.74%0.13%
ALM2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—20.6120.610.00%market597.36%-5.44%0.74%-6.18%
MARA2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—12.9112.910.00%market127.31%-1.44%0.74%-2.17%
RDNT2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—54.5054.500.00%market167.35%-2.99%0.74%-3.72%
KGS2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—75.8975.890.00%market236.98%-0.40%0.74%-1.13%
AGRO2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—12.4612.460.00%market326.85%9.35%0.74%8.62%
HIMS2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—25.2125.210.00%market87.76%-4.44%0.74%-5.18%
ERAS2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—10.2210.220.00%market81.44%2.15%0.74%1.41%
IFS2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—44.3544.350.00%market211.07%1.06%0.74%0.33%
MOS2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—21.8521.850.00%market141.40%4.06%0.74%3.32%
RDY2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—12.7412.740.00%market14477.28%1.76%0.74%1.03%
GTLS2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—207.41207.410.00%market377.68%-0.42%0.74%-1.15%
APC2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—20.0120.010.00%market64.42%4.55%0.74%3.81%
SKM2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—38.7138.710.00%market161538.09%2.18%0.74%1.44%
TLK2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—16.9016.900.00%market4172983.79%0.10%0.74%-0.64%
KSPI2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—85.6685.660.00%market51445.18%2.53%0.74%1.80%
VIV2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—14.8114.810.00%market637.88%-4.05%0.74%-4.78%
ASTS2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—73.4373.430.00%market52.27%1.68%0.74%0.94%
SATS2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—127.00127.000.00%market81.34%4.71%0.74%3.97%
IX2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-13—37.5237.520.00%market55017.15%0.97%0.74%0.24%
ANAB2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-14—65.1065.100.00%market93.20%-4.67%1.31%-5.98%
NYAX2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-14—67.5767.570.00%market297.83%-3.38%1.31%-4.70%
UA2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-14—4.814.810.00%market156.69%2.92%1.31%1.60%
UAA2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-14—4.944.940.00%market157.08%3.04%1.31%1.73%
LEGN2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-14—28.3428.340.00%market137.51%0.72%1.31%-0.60%
MANE2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-14—104.00104.000.00%market50.94%1.79%1.31%0.48%
AVAL2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-14—4.374.370.00%market491611.69%-3.40%1.31%-4.72%
TEO2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-14—11.6911.690.00%market35402.52%5.96%1.31%4.65%
KT2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-14—20.5920.590.00%market164159.02%-4.47%1.31%-5.79%
QXO2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-14—17.6517.650.00%market165.53%-1.45%1.31%-2.76%
TME2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-14—8.978.970.00%market637.32%-4.32%1.31%-5.64%
TIGO2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-14—80.0080.000.00%market58.64%1.87%1.31%0.56%
JBS2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-14—14.0914.090.00%market709.78%-0.98%1.31%-2.29%
EC2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-14—13.0813.080.00%market683707.37%0.87%1.31%-0.44%
VOD2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-14—15.2115.210.00%market100.00%1.58%1.31%0.26%
VG2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-14—13.4513.450.00%market155.61%-3.47%1.31%-4.78%
JD2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-14—32.4132.410.00%market660.70%1.19%1.31%-0.13%
WIX2026-05-132026-05-142026-05-15—55.2555.250.00%market65.74%-1.25%-0.60%-0.65%
STUB2026-05-132026-05-142026-05-15—8.908.900.00%market51.99%-1.10%-0.60%-0.50%
HWKN2026-05-132026-05-142026-05-15—161.31161.310.00%market88.41%-1.64%-0.60%-1.04%
TRMD2026-05-132026-05-142026-05-15—32.8232.820.00%market189.19%-2.61%-0.60%-2.00%
ATAT2026-05-132026-05-142026-05-15—37.2437.240.00%market702.40%2.51%-0.60%3.11%
VSH2026-05-132026-05-142026-05-15—38.4838.480.00%market190.46%-3.45%-0.60%-2.85%
GGAL2026-05-132026-05-142026-05-15—42.1142.110.00%market492994.53%-3.33%-0.60%-2.73%
KEP2026-05-132026-05-142026-05-15—13.4013.400.00%market61311.15%-3.19%-0.60%-2.58%
TAK2026-05-132026-05-142026-05-15—16.7216.720.00%market55524.42%-0.86%-0.60%-0.26%
SMFG2026-05-132026-05-142026-05-15—21.7821.780.00%market36169.09%0.08%-0.60%0.68%
BABA2026-05-132026-05-142026-05-15—140.98140.980.00%market11077.30%-6.15%-0.60%-5.55%
STNE2026-05-142026-05-152026-05-18—9.989.980.00%market469.22%2.10%-0.42%2.53%
BTDR2026-05-142026-05-152026-05-18—14.3314.330.00%market51.47%-8.43%-0.42%-8.01%
CSAN2026-05-142026-05-152026-05-18—3.493.490.00%market179.09%0.95%-0.42%1.37%
CLBT2026-05-142026-05-152026-05-18—12.9012.900.00%market53.94%5.46%-0.42%5.88%
YETI2026-05-142026-05-152026-05-18—40.9640.960.00%market109.23%3.46%-0.42%3.89%
PHI2026-05-142026-05-152026-05-18—19.2619.260.00%market5967.63%1.72%-0.42%2.14%
FRMI2026-05-142026-05-152026-05-18—6.666.660.00%market84.84%-1.85%-0.42%-1.43%
LGN2026-05-142026-05-152026-05-18—85.8685.860.00%market54.65%-3.17%-0.42%-2.75%
BAP2026-05-142026-05-152026-05-18—321.90321.900.00%market225.03%-5.80%-0.42%-5.38%
HMC2026-05-142026-05-152026-05-18—26.4526.450.00%market4792.21%-4.89%-0.42%-4.46%
VIK2026-05-142026-05-152026-05-18—84.1084.100.00%market1241.75%2.13%-0.42%2.55%
SATA2026-05-142026-05-152026-05-18—99.9899.980.00%market79.03%-0.22%-0.42%0.20%
BPYPO2026-05-152026-05-182026-05-19—15.3715.370.00%market100.00%-0.59%-0.82%0.23%
HTHT2026-05-152026-05-182026-05-19—46.5746.570.00%market910.04%-1.49%-0.82%-0.66%
MFG2026-05-152026-05-182026-05-19—8.408.400.00%market19552.47%3.25%-0.82%4.08%
RNW2026-05-182026-05-192026-05-20—5.455.450.00%market56411.89%1.63%0.88%0.75%
XP2026-05-182026-05-192026-05-20—16.4416.440.00%market449.98%7.40%0.88%6.52%
RYAAY2026-05-182026-05-192026-05-20—54.3454.340.00%market238.86%4.49%0.88%3.61%
BIDU2026-05-182026-05-192026-05-20—138.75138.750.00%market502.96%-2.74%0.88%-3.62%
HSAI2026-05-192026-05-202026-05-21—20.2520.250.00%market3396.36%3.01%0.95%2.06%
EXP2026-05-192026-05-202026-05-21—200.59200.590.00%market76.41%-0.93%0.95%-1.88%
BILI2026-05-192026-05-202026-05-21—19.1019.100.00%market694.26%-8.16%0.95%-9.11%
BEKE2026-05-192026-05-202026-05-21—18.1118.110.00%market988.04%-6.94%0.95%-7.89%
ZTO2026-05-192026-05-202026-05-21—22.6722.670.00%market691.45%0.51%0.95%-0.45%
AMRZ2026-05-192026-05-202026-05-21—48.3648.360.00%market554.26%4.20%0.95%3.25%
ZIM2026-05-202026-05-212026-05-22—25.1025.100.00%market152.78%0.36%0.95%-0.59%
SBLK2026-05-202026-05-212026-05-22—27.9827.980.00%market70.25%-5.85%0.95%-6.79%
ELF2026-05-202026-05-212026-05-22—54.0654.060.00%market123.19%-2.35%0.95%-3.29%
BZ2026-05-202026-05-212026-05-22—13.6513.650.00%market702.80%0.53%0.95%-0.42%
SKE2026-05-212026-05-222026-05-26—28.7828.780.00%market69.78%3.59%0.58%3.00%
BULL2026-05-212026-05-222026-05-26—6.506.500.00%market150.00%-3.89%0.58%-4.48%
VIPS2026-05-212026-05-222026-05-26—13.6413.640.00%market487.40%7.79%0.58%7.21%
YMM2026-05-212026-05-222026-05-26—8.348.340.00%market628.76%3.16%0.58%2.57%
WMS2026-05-212026-05-222026-05-26—133.80133.800.00%market96.58%3.01%0.58%2.42%
RL2026-05-212026-05-222026-05-26—377.18377.180.00%market54.37%1.02%0.58%0.44%
NTES2026-05-212026-05-222026-05-26—114.28114.280.00%market515.09%7.73%0.58%7.14%
MUFG2026-05-212026-05-222026-05-26—19.4519.450.00%market15944.04%-0.82%0.58%-1.40%
KLRA2026-05-262026-05-272026-05-28—21.9521.950.00%market99.98%4.31%0.50%3.81%
MNSO2026-05-262026-05-272026-05-28—12.4612.460.00%market216.33%0.68%0.50%0.19%
BBAR2026-05-262026-05-272026-05-28—16.8216.820.00%market257555.45%4.56%0.50%4.06%
SQM2026-05-262026-05-272026-05-28—78.0378.030.00%market57.39%7.51%0.50%7.02%
FDXF2026-04-292026-05-272026-05-28—135.00135.000.00%market305.06%36.84%0.50%36.34%
BRZE2026-05-272026-05-282026-05-29—22.6322.630.00%market54.34%13.06%0.83%12.23%
HAFN2026-05-272026-05-282026-05-29—7.807.800.00%market54.63%-2.12%0.83%-2.95%
BMA2026-05-272026-05-282026-05-29—86.8186.810.00%market163959.38%4.37%0.83%3.54%
UHAL2026-05-272026-05-282026-05-29—52.7752.770.00%market194.76%9.50%0.83%8.67%
PDD2026-05-272026-05-282026-05-29—84.3084.300.00%market1243.27%-0.03%0.83%-0.86%
AEO2026-05-282026-05-292026-06-01—14.6514.650.00%market52.83%9.97%0.35%9.62%
AMBA2026-05-282026-05-292026-06-01—82.5282.520.00%market55.46%-8.50%0.35%-8.85%
S2026-05-282026-05-292026-06-01—15.4415.440.00%market78.38%15.15%0.35%14.80%
FUTU2026-05-282026-05-292026-06-01—103.90103.900.00%market2920.19%-1.21%0.35%-1.56%
CHA2026-05-292026-06-012026-06-02—12.7012.700.00%market526.32%0.19%0.56%-0.36%
TLK2026-05-292026-06-012026-06-02—16.4916.490.00%market2165355.44%-1.29%0.56%-1.85%
FRHC2026-06-012026-06-022026-06-03—155.00155.000.00%market569.23%2.10%-0.37%2.47%
AADX2026-05-082026-06-032026-06-04—20.7520.750.00%market107.02%-10.56%-0.14%-10.42%
PVH2026-06-032026-06-042026-06-05—72.0072.000.00%market53.19%7.86%-1.93%9.79%
MMED2026-06-032026-06-042026-06-05—14.2614.260.00%market117.07%-0.41%-1.93%1.52%
M2026-06-032026-06-042026-06-05—21.9321.930.00%market167.42%0.85%-1.93%2.78%
INIO2026-05-112026-06-042026-06-05—31.0031.000.00%market667.53%3.74%-1.93%5.67%
BF-B2026-06-042026-06-052026-06-08—25.3225.320.00%market207.98%4.22%-1.74%5.96%
ASO2026-06-092026-06-102026-06-11—49.6249.620.00%market125.49%5.26%0.60%4.67%
BMNP2025-07-022026-06-102026-06-11—88.5088.500.00%market66.67%-1.61%0.60%-2.21%
BMNP2026-04-142026-06-102026-06-11—88.5088.500.00%market99.52%-1.61%0.60%-2.21%
CASY2026-06-092026-06-102026-06-11—800.65800.650.00%market52.77%14.24%0.60%13.65%
CNM2026-06-102026-06-112026-06-12—50.5650.560.00%market61.43%-4.61%1.78%-6.39%
RH2026-06-112026-06-122026-06-15—159.32159.320.00%market118.79%-7.23%1.91%-9.14%
FRVO2026-06-222026-06-232026-06-24—34.6034.600.00%market98.02%-6.30%-0.08%-6.22%
KBH2026-06-232026-06-242026-06-25—56.7056.700.00%market107.59%6.89%-0.12%7.01%
CCL2026-06-232026-06-242026-06-25—29.3129.310.00%market230.26%-3.10%-0.12%-2.98%
TCOM2026-06-242026-06-252026-06-26—40.1640.160.00%market615.24%1.62%-1.34%2.96%
SKHY2024-07-252026-07-102026-07-13—170.00170.000.00%market170854.25%-10.58%-0.38%-10.20%
SKHY2025-01-232026-07-102026-07-13—170.00170.000.00%market81088.18%-10.58%-0.38%-10.20%
SKHY2025-04-242026-07-102026-07-13—170.00170.000.00%market111937.76%-10.58%-0.38%-10.20%
SKHY2025-07-232026-07-102026-07-13—170.00170.000.00%market186844.38%-10.58%-0.38%-10.20%
SKHY2025-10-282026-07-102026-07-13—170.00170.000.00%market141024.11%-10.58%-0.38%-10.20%
SKHY2026-01-282026-07-102026-07-13—170.00170.000.00%market264580.84%-10.58%-0.38%-10.20%
SKHY2026-04-222026-07-102026-07-13—170.00170.000.00%market191822.00%-10.58%-0.38%-10.20%
BMNR2026-07-132026-07-142026-07-15—15.4215.420.00%market140.00%2.20%0.52%1.68%
BMNP2026-07-142026-07-152026-07-16—86.8986.890.00%market140.00%-0.87%-0.47%-0.40%
PAC2026-07-142026-07-152026-07-16—223.78223.780.00%market1825.20%0.47%-0.47%0.93%
ERIC2026-07-142026-07-152026-07-16—10.3310.330.00%market991.24%-4.46%-0.47%-3.99%
UAL2026-07-152026-07-162026-07-17—116.64116.640.00%market59.74%-1.25%-1.26%0.00%
WIT2026-07-162026-07-172026-07-20—1.841.840.00%market10603.20%0.34%0.00%0.34%
TSM2026-07-162026-07-172026-07-20—392.12392.120.00%market3146.65%2.40%0.00%2.39%
IBN2026-07-182026-07-202026-07-21—29.8129.810.00%market8407.89%0.61%0.16%0.44%
HDB2026-07-182026-07-202026-07-21—24.7624.760.00%market9144.99%-4.36%0.16%-4.52%
RYAAY2026-07-202026-07-212026-07-22—59.1959.190.00%market152.43%-1.52%0.15%-1.67%
ALK2026-07-212026-07-222026-07-23—43.5043.500.00%market188.71%2.67%-1.13%3.80%
WFRD2026-07-212026-07-222026-07-23—87.6987.690.00%market140.08%-2.58%-1.13%-1.45%
RDY2026-07-212026-07-222026-07-23—12.0012.000.00%market15455.37%-1.87%-1.13%-0.74%
AMX2026-07-212026-07-222026-07-23—26.2826.280.00%market1451.18%-1.46%-1.13%-0.33%
LPL2026-07-222026-07-232026-07-24—3.463.460.00%market92218.83%-8.58%-0.06%-8.52%
CALM2026-07-222026-07-232026-07-24—87.8787.870.00%market66.05%2.59%-0.06%2.65%
IRDM2026-07-222026-07-232026-07-24—46.7446.740.00%market270.70%-2.25%-0.06%-2.19%
GEV2026-07-222026-07-232026-07-24—981.31981.310.00%market67.63%3.21%-0.06%3.27%