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Run 1f565e75 · view hypothesis
completed
Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.
Trades
3086
Win rate
45.20%
Avg return
-0.31%
Median return
-0.42%
Avg abnormal
-0.45%
Median abnormal
-0.58%
Best trade
42.19%
Worst trade
-33.43%
Sharpe (per-trade)
-0.05
Daily portfolio drawdown
—
Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
| Bucket | Trades | Avg return | Avg abnormal | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1139 | -0.14% | -0.21% | 45.92% |
| 2026 | 1947 | -0.40% | -0.59% | 44.79% |
Trades (page 7: 86 of 3,086)
| Symbol | Event | Entry date | Exit date | Δ days | Market entry | Actual buy-in | Diff % | Fill source | P/E | Return | Benchmark | Abnormal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSCI | 2026-07-21 | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | — | 555.01 | 555.01 | 0.00% | market | — | -0.65% | -1.13% | 0.48% |
| NP | 2026-07-21 | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | — | 32.36 | 32.36 | 0.00% | market | — | -7.86% | -1.13% | -6.73% |
| NVS | 2026-07-21 | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | — | 156.07 | 156.07 | 0.00% | market | — | -0.16% | -1.13% | 0.98% |
| PEGA | 2026-07-21 | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | — | 25.32 | 25.32 | 0.00% | market | — | 2.53% | -1.13% | 3.66% |
| RDY | 2026-07-21 | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | — | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00% | market | — | -1.87% | -1.13% | -0.74% |
| TFIN | 2026-07-21 | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | — | 80.09 | 80.09 | 0.00% | market | — | -0.42% | -1.13% | 0.71% |
| VICR | 2026-07-21 | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | — | 206.00 | 206.00 | 0.00% | market | — | 12.12% | -1.13% | 13.25% |
| VMI | 2026-07-21 | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | — | 499.70 | 499.70 | 0.00% | market | — | -2.42% | -1.13% | -1.29% |
| WFRD | 2026-07-21 | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | — | 87.69 | 87.69 | 0.00% | market | — | -2.58% | -1.13% | -1.45% |
| AVB | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 189.68 | 189.68 | 0.00% | market | — | -0.24% | -0.06% | -0.18% |
| BMI | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 124.35 | 124.35 | 0.00% | market | — | 1.38% | -0.06% | 1.44% |
| CCI | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 77.78 | 77.78 | 0.00% | market | — | -3.90% | -0.06% | -3.84% |
| CSX | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 51.96 | 51.96 | 0.00% | market | — | 2.24% | -0.06% | 2.30% |
| EGP | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 215.08 | 215.08 | 0.00% | market | — | -1.12% | -0.06% | -1.06% |
| EPRT | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 32.74 | 32.74 | 0.00% | market | — | -1.42% | -0.06% | -1.36% |
| FCX | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 62.64 | 62.64 | 0.00% | market | — | -0.26% | -0.06% | -0.20% |
| FR | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 66.57 | 66.57 | 0.00% | market | — | 0.43% | -0.06% | 0.49% |
| GEV | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 981.31 | 981.31 | 0.00% | market | — | 3.21% | -0.06% | 3.27% |
| GGG | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 76.03 | 76.03 | 0.00% | market | — | 4.36% | -0.06% | 4.42% |
| GSHD | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 51.87 | 51.87 | 0.00% | market | — | 13.06% | -0.06% | 13.12% |
| GTY | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 35.29 | 35.29 | 0.00% | market | — | -1.59% | -0.06% | -1.53% |
| IBM | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 202.64 | 202.64 | 0.00% | market | — | 5.50% | -0.06% | 5.56% |
| IRDM | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 46.74 | 46.74 | 0.00% | market | — | -2.25% | -0.06% | -2.19% |
| KMI | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 33.00 | 33.00 | 0.00% | market | — | -0.62% | -0.06% | -0.56% |
| KNX | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 79.01 | 79.01 | 0.00% | market | — | -8.44% | -0.06% | -8.38% |
| LBRT | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 26.00 | 26.00 | 0.00% | market | — | -33.43% | -0.06% | -33.37% |
| LUV | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 45.50 | 45.50 | 0.00% | market | — | -1.12% | -0.06% | -1.06% |
| LVS | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 44.40 | 44.40 | 0.00% | market | — | 3.58% | -0.06% | 3.64% |
| MCO | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 480.00 | 480.00 | 0.00% | market | — | -1.97% | -0.06% | -1.91% |
| MEDP | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 647.00 | 647.00 | 0.00% | market | — | -7.25% | -0.06% | -7.19% |
| MOH | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 217.99 | 217.99 | 0.00% | market | — | -9.58% | -0.06% | -9.52% |
| NEE | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 88.81 | 88.81 | 0.00% | market | — | 0.89% | -0.06% | 0.95% |
| NOW | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 100.01 | 100.01 | 0.00% | market | — | -1.43% | -0.06% | -1.37% |
| NTST | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 21.62 | 21.62 | 0.00% | market | — | 2.48% | -0.06% | 2.54% |
| PKG | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 231.00 | 231.00 | 0.00% | market | — | 9.93% | -0.06% | 9.99% |
| PM | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 191.95 | 191.95 | 0.00% | market | — | 0.35% | -0.06% | 0.41% |
| ROL | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 37.33 | 37.33 | 0.00% | market | — | 3.09% | -0.06% | 3.15% |
| SCCO | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 189.29 | 189.29 | 0.00% | market | — | -5.48% | -0.06% | -5.42% |
| TDY | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 650.82 | 650.82 | 0.00% | market | — | 0.50% | -0.06% | 0.56% |
| TR | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 39.38 | 39.38 | 0.00% | market | — | -4.92% | -0.06% | -4.86% |
| TSLA | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 341.00 | 341.00 | 0.00% | market | — | -8.40% | -0.06% | -8.34% |
| TXN | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 277.30 | 277.30 | 0.00% | market | — | 0.62% | -0.06% | 0.68% |
| URI | 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | — | 1,096.00 | 1,096.00 | 0.00% | market | — | 3.96% | -0.06% | 4.02% |
| ATRC | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | 2026-07-27 | — | 33.69 | 33.69 | 0.00% | market | — | 10.72% | 0.08% | 10.64% |
| IMAX | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | 2026-07-27 | — | 44.23 | 44.23 | 0.00% | market | — | 1.79% | 0.08% | 1.71% |
| LADR | 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-24 | 2026-07-27 | — | 9.58 | 9.58 | 0.00% | market | — | 1.37% | 0.08% | 1.29% |
| GRC | 2026-07-24 | 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-28 | — | 82.14 | 82.14 | 0.00% | market | — | 0.15% | -0.54% | 0.70% |
| AAT | 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | — | 23.08 | 23.08 | 0.00% | market | — | 3.92% | 0.23% | 3.68% |
| CTS | 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | — | 65.04 | 65.04 | 0.00% | market | — | -3.80% | 0.23% | -4.03% |
| ROG | 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | — | 120.07 | 120.07 | 0.00% | market | — | 1.52% | 0.23% | 1.29% |
| XPRO | 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | — | 15.96 | 15.96 | 0.00% | market | — | -4.77% | 0.23% | -5.01% |
| CBZ | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 55.25 | 55.25 | 0.00% | market | — | -0.51% | 1.49% | -2.00% |
| NPKI | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 12.76 | 12.76 | 0.00% | market | — | -2.32% | 1.49% | -3.81% |
| NSP | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 55.57 | 55.57 | 0.00% | market | — | -9.13% | 1.49% | -10.62% |
| PLPC | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 347.08 | 347.08 | 0.00% | market | — | 2.65% | 1.49% | 1.16% |
| PRCH | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 15.30 | 15.30 | 0.00% | market | — | -5.76% | 1.49% | -7.25% |
| RYZ | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 28.42 | 28.42 | 0.00% | market | — | -2.42% | 1.49% | -3.91% |
| AAPL | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 304.81 | 304.81 | 0.00% | market | — | -0.66% | 1.74% | -2.40% |
| HCM | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00% | market | — | 4.80% | 1.74% | 3.06% |
| KWR | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 158.53 | 158.53 | 0.00% | market | — | 5.65% | 1.74% | 3.91% |
| RES | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 5.46 | 5.46 | 0.00% | market | — | 5.29% | 1.74% | 3.55% |
| BBUC | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | — | 30.43 | 30.43 | 0.00% | market | — | 1.84% | 2.92% | -1.08% |
| PAX | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | — | 10.85 | 10.85 | 0.00% | market | — | 5.15% | 2.92% | 2.22% |
| PRLB | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | — | 77.30 | 77.30 | 0.00% | market | — | 14.16% | 2.92% | 11.24% |
| PWP | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | — | 17.65 | 17.65 | 0.00% | market | — | -3.60% | 2.92% | -6.52% |
| AMRC | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 31.93 | 31.93 | 0.00% | market | — | -19.84% | 1.20% | -21.04% |
| ATKR | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 93.45 | 93.45 | 0.00% | market | — | 0.05% | 1.20% | -1.16% |
| CTOS | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 11.79 | 11.79 | 0.00% | market | — | -6.65% | 1.20% | -7.85% |
| DEA | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 25.25 | 25.25 | 0.00% | market | — | -1.03% | 1.20% | -2.24% |
| INSP | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 64.16 | 64.16 | 0.00% | market | — | -6.54% | 1.20% | -7.75% |
| TTI | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 8.00 | 8.00 | 0.00% | market | — | 5.42% | 1.20% | 4.22% |
| UFPT | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 305.00 | 305.00 | 0.00% | market | — | 5.39% | 1.20% | 4.19% |
| VERX | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 12.13 | 12.13 | 0.00% | market | — | -2.92% | 1.20% | -4.12% |
| VVX | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 81.87 | 81.87 | 0.00% | market | — | -5.00% | 1.20% | -6.20% |
| ACEL | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 12.44 | 12.44 | 0.00% | market | — | -1.41% | -0.94% | -0.47% |
| AIN | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 62.08 | 62.08 | 0.00% | market | — | -1.50% | -0.94% | -0.57% |
| ARDT | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 11.51 | 11.51 | 0.00% | market | — | 0.50% | -0.94% | 1.43% |
| BL | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 30.90 | 30.90 | 0.00% | market | — | -3.11% | -0.94% | -2.17% |
| CTRI | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 22.21 | 22.21 | 0.00% | market | — | 0.43% | -0.94% | 1.37% |
| EVTC | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 33.99 | 33.99 | 0.00% | market | — | -9.17% | -0.94% | -8.23% |
| FTK | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 33.47 | 33.47 | 0.00% | market | — | 8.64% | -0.94% | 9.58% |
| PGEN | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 7.02 | 7.02 | 0.00% | market | — | -1.77% | -0.94% | -0.83% |
| RVLV | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 25.92 | 25.92 | 0.00% | market | — | -5.18% | -0.94% | -4.24% |
| TPB | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 83.10 | 83.10 | 0.00% | market | — | 2.07% | -0.94% | 3.01% |
| WMK | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 77.26 | 77.26 | 0.00% | market | — | -1.52% | -0.94% | -0.58% |
| WTTR | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00% | market | — | 3.30% | -0.94% | 4.24% |