Cheap + beat (Copy)

Run 5f75bed5 · view hypothesis

completed

Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.

Trades
633
Win rate
49.29%
Avg return
0.21%
Median return
-0.25%
Avg abnormal
-0.20%
Median abnormal
-0.35%
Best trade
42.28%
Worst trade
-33.16%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.03
Daily portfolio drawdown
—
Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
2023841.97%1.52%57.14%
2024205-0.26%-0.61%44.88%
2025215-0.17%-0.58%49.30%
20261290.46%-0.02%51.16%
Trades (page 2: 133 of 633)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceEPS surp.P/EP/E after earn.ReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
BIRK2025-12-182025-12-192025-12-29—40.8340.830.00%market41.71%—68.050.71%1.66%-0.96%
FDX2025-12-182025-12-192025-12-29—219.08219.080.00%market18.43%—45.457.45%1.66%5.79%
MFG2025-12-292025-12-302026-01-07—7.377.370.00%market44.72%—34.465.36%0.31%5.05%
MUFG2025-12-292025-12-302026-01-07—15.9515.950.00%market41.58%—36.483.12%0.31%2.81%
FC2026-01-072026-01-082026-01-15—16.1516.150.00%market133.33%—230.7130.20%0.50%29.71%
STZ2026-01-072026-01-082026-01-15—143.86143.860.00%market16.35%—47.0110.15%0.50%9.65%
CMC2026-01-082026-01-092026-01-16—70.6370.630.00%market18.71%—38.395.17%0.15%5.02%
GBX2026-01-082026-01-092026-01-16—52.9052.900.00%market35.71%—46.40-6.12%0.15%-6.27%
NEOG2026-01-082026-01-092026-01-16—9.989.980.00%market42.86%—99.80-7.51%0.15%-7.66%
FHN2026-01-152026-01-162026-01-26—24.6724.670.00%market13.04%—47.44-1.98%-0.13%-1.85%
GS2026-01-152026-01-162026-01-26—973.00973.000.00%market19.74%—69.45-4.43%-0.13%-4.29%
MS2026-01-152026-01-162026-01-26—190.56190.560.00%market10.29%—71.10-4.75%-0.13%-4.62%
PNC2026-01-162026-01-202026-01-27—219.79219.790.00%market15.37%—45.041.58%2.05%-0.48%
BOKF2026-01-202026-01-212026-01-28—131.63131.630.00%market33.80%—45.55-2.37%2.32%-4.69%
BAH2026-01-232026-01-262026-02-02—103.00103.000.00%market34.09%—58.19-15.25%0.71%-15.96%
BKR2026-01-252026-01-262026-02-02—55.6555.650.00%market16.77%—71.351.24%0.71%0.53%
ERIC2026-01-232026-01-262026-02-02—10.5610.560.00%market17.39%—39.113.40%0.71%2.69%
BOH2026-01-262026-01-272026-02-03—77.7577.750.00%market11.20%—55.94-3.52%-0.67%-2.85%
BPOP2026-01-272026-01-282026-02-04—132.03132.030.00%market11.92%—39.066.91%-1.56%8.47%
ALV2026-01-302026-02-022026-02-09—119.17119.170.00%market11.93%—37.363.50%0.63%2.87%
BEN2026-01-302026-02-022026-02-09—26.5226.520.00%market27.27%—37.894.17%0.63%3.54%
BEP2026-01-302026-02-022026-02-09—29.8229.820.00%market258.82%—55.223.49%0.63%2.86%
ARLP2026-02-022026-02-032026-02-10—24.9324.930.00%market22.95%—33.24-1.68%-0.59%-1.10%
ACT2026-02-032026-02-042026-02-11—42.2242.220.00%market12.84%—34.332.93%0.23%2.69%
AER2026-02-062026-02-092026-02-17—140.35140.350.00%market16.18%—35.538.50%-0.95%9.45%
BIIB2026-02-062026-02-092026-02-17—199.83199.830.00%market22.09%—100.42-2.31%-0.95%-1.35%
PIPR2026-02-062026-02-092026-02-17—90.8190.810.00%market45.76%—52.80-12.10%-0.95%-11.15%
ACGL2026-02-092026-02-102026-02-18—95.8495.840.00%market15.06%—32.162.12%-1.25%3.36%
ACRE2026-02-102026-02-112026-02-19—5.725.720.00%market1400.00%—38.13-10.69%-1.71%-8.98%
DCH2026-02-132026-02-172026-02-24—7.207.200.00%market200.00%—102.86-3.26%1.06%-4.32%
MGA2026-02-132026-02-172026-02-24—66.6566.650.00%market20.44%—30.57-2.71%1.06%-3.77%
NWG2026-02-132026-02-172026-02-24—16.3516.350.00%market21.05%—35.541.21%1.06%0.15%
ACLS2026-02-172026-02-182026-02-25—79.2879.280.00%market33.04%—53.210.73%1.33%-0.60%
AGI2026-02-182026-02-192026-02-26—43.6543.650.00%market10.20%—80.8319.96%0.80%19.16%
BSM2026-02-232026-02-242026-03-03—14.9814.980.00%market14.81%—48.32-0.40%-0.23%-0.17%
IIPR2026-02-232026-02-242026-03-03—47.6047.600.00%market79.05%—25.3212.43%-0.23%12.66%
OVV2026-02-232026-02-242026-03-03—51.3551.350.00%market37.62%—36.940.66%-0.23%0.89%
AROC2026-02-242026-02-252026-03-04—34.9934.990.00%market72.50%—50.715.66%-0.73%6.39%
ACHC2026-02-252026-02-262026-03-05—21.2221.220.00%market133.33%—303.1416.01%-1.73%17.74%
ADT2026-03-022026-03-032026-03-10—7.027.020.00%market15.00%—30.52-5.47%0.31%-5.78%
ASAN2026-03-022026-03-032026-03-10—7.207.200.00%market14.29%—90.001.88%0.31%1.57%
DAVE2026-03-022026-03-032026-03-10—208.89208.890.00%market11.48%—56.617.67%0.31%7.36%
BOX2026-03-032026-03-042026-03-11—25.8825.880.00%market48.48%—52.82-4.91%-0.78%-4.14%
BF-B2026-03-042026-03-052026-03-12—26.0526.050.00%market24.49%—44.91-11.64%-2.35%-9.29%
EDN2026-03-092026-03-102026-03-17—25.3325.330.00%market101.13%—26.664.89%-1.02%5.92%
GBTG2026-03-092026-03-102026-03-17—5.575.570.00%market200.00%—92.833.03%-1.02%4.05%
HPE2026-03-092026-03-102026-03-17—22.0222.020.00%market10.73%—33.88-1.79%-1.02%-0.77%
CTOS2026-03-102026-03-112026-03-18—5.515.510.00%market32.94%—61.2214.14%-2.38%16.52%
PATH2026-03-112026-03-122026-03-19—10.9510.950.00%market20.00%—36.5011.58%-1.69%13.27%
SAIC2026-03-162026-03-172026-03-24—93.7193.710.00%market13.42%—35.771.55%-2.86%4.41%
BOBS2026-03-172026-03-182026-03-25—13.6413.640.00%market16.67%—38.97-16.04%-1.73%-14.31%
CAAP2026-03-172026-03-182026-03-25—25.1325.130.00%market75.68%—38.663.14%-1.73%4.87%
GDS2026-03-172026-03-182026-03-25—46.5146.510.00%market1500.00%—83.05-3.45%-1.73%-1.72%
ARX2026-03-182026-03-192026-03-26—11.7011.700.00%market43.75%—50.8712.88%-1.81%14.69%
CDLR2026-03-242026-03-252026-04-01—24.3424.340.00%market25.00%—37.45-0.94%-0.52%-0.42%
SFD2026-03-242026-03-252026-04-01—24.9624.960.00%market22.78%—30.0714.38%-0.52%14.90%
NAVN2026-03-252026-03-262026-04-02—11.2611.260.00%market133.33%—563.007.08%0.58%6.50%
WDH2026-03-252026-03-262026-04-02—1.631.630.00%market55.44%—27.17-1.43%0.58%-2.01%
REX2026-03-262026-03-272026-04-06—44.4444.440.00%market810.34%—33.671.08%2.56%-1.47%
LCII2026-03-312026-04-012026-04-09—123.89123.890.00%market19.82%—47.652.12%3.98%-1.85%
MKC2026-03-312026-04-012026-04-09—50.2550.250.00%market11.11%—76.142.17%3.98%-1.81%
PENG2026-04-012026-04-022026-04-10—19.6919.690.00%market20.93%—37.8716.71%5.11%11.60%
LEVI2026-04-072026-04-082026-04-15—22.6522.650.00%market14.32%—53.93-1.88%3.48%-5.36%
DAL2026-04-082026-04-092026-04-16—67.6467.640.00%market10.34%—105.693.13%3.97%-0.85%
NEOG2026-04-092026-04-102026-04-17—9.969.960.00%market125.00%—110.67-4.72%4.23%-8.95%
PLGO2024-05-092026-04-142026-04-21—19.9319.930.00%market18.78%—26.933.41%2.38%1.03%
ACI2026-04-142026-04-152026-04-22—16.2216.220.00%market11.63%—33.794.18%2.29%1.88%
C2026-04-142026-04-152026-04-22—131.25131.250.00%market15.47%—42.89-1.36%2.29%-3.65%
MS2026-04-152026-04-162026-04-23—190.93190.930.00%market13.58%—55.66-1.39%1.05%-2.45%
BNY2026-04-162026-04-172026-04-24—135.96135.960.00%market14.80%—60.43-1.60%1.10%-2.71%
AGNC2026-04-202026-04-212026-04-28—10.8310.830.00%market16.57%—25.792.11%0.20%1.91%
CBSH2026-04-212026-04-222026-04-29—50.8350.830.00%market16.50%—52.950.59%0.34%0.24%
EQT2026-04-212026-04-222026-04-29—58.3158.310.00%market12.02%—25.031.17%0.34%0.83%
BANR2026-04-222026-04-232026-04-30—64.9364.930.00%market15.22%—40.842.85%1.29%1.56%
AMBP2026-04-232026-04-242026-05-01—3.953.950.00%market25.00%—79.00-0.45%1.39%-1.85%
AVB2026-04-272026-04-282026-05-05—177.85177.850.00%market83.46%—76.333.96%1.68%2.28%
ARCB2026-04-282026-04-292026-05-06—129.20129.200.00%market18.52%—403.75-5.91%3.21%-9.12%
BEN2026-04-282026-04-292026-05-06—29.8629.860.00%market29.09%—42.064.15%3.21%0.94%
AER2026-04-292026-04-302026-05-07—139.11139.110.00%market44.89%—25.816.54%2.37%4.17%
ACCO2026-04-302026-05-012026-05-08—3.453.450.00%market140.00%—172.5016.90%2.27%14.63%
ALG2026-05-042026-05-052026-05-12—173.41173.410.00%market12.56%—71.66-12.76%2.27%-15.03%
AIZ2026-05-052026-05-062026-05-13—235.96235.960.00%market12.48%—39.662.62%1.94%0.68%
ANDE2026-05-052026-05-062026-05-13—75.2975.290.00%market40.00%—76.83-5.07%1.94%-7.02%
ACVA2026-05-062026-05-072026-05-14—6.176.170.00%market66.67%—123.40-7.49%1.78%-9.28%
AGO2026-05-072026-05-082026-05-15—79.0079.000.00%market66.67%—31.60-5.42%0.58%-5.99%
APC2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-19—20.0120.010.00%market42.86%—100.054.45%-0.43%4.88%
ALH2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-20—25.0925.090.00%market19.23%—80.94-4.15%0.38%-4.52%
DRVN2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-20—12.7312.730.00%market41.67%—37.441.84%0.38%1.47%
ATAT2026-05-132026-05-142026-05-21—37.2437.240.00%market29.73%—77.58-4.09%-0.13%-3.97%
AAUC2026-05-142026-05-152026-05-22—28.9028.900.00%market21.88%—74.10-5.67%0.52%-6.19%
BRC2026-05-182026-05-192026-05-27—85.5985.590.00%market11.11%—57.061.40%2.13%-0.73%
ARCO2026-05-202026-05-212026-05-29—9.029.020.00%market54.55%—53.06-3.75%2.42%-6.16%
AVEX2026-05-202026-05-212026-05-29—27.0027.000.00%market59.54%—108.0042.28%2.42%39.87%
GLNG2026-05-202026-05-212026-05-29—56.3656.360.00%market20.19%—115.02-11.93%2.42%-14.34%
LION2026-05-212026-05-222026-06-01—13.5613.560.00%market53.59%—36.652.01%1.65%0.36%
APPS2026-05-262026-05-272026-06-03—6.496.490.00%market77.78%—40.5633.39%0.45%32.94%
AMBA2026-05-282026-05-292026-06-05—82.5282.520.00%market10.85%—750.18-23.22%-2.43%-20.80%
ASAN2026-05-282026-05-292026-06-05—7.407.400.00%market25.00%—74.005.75%-2.43%8.17%
BBW2026-05-282026-05-292026-06-05—39.4839.480.00%market35.53%—38.33-14.16%-2.43%-11.73%
BKE2026-05-292026-06-012026-06-08—44.9144.910.00%market24.66%—48.82-0.89%-2.14%1.25%
GME2026-06-022026-06-032026-06-10—23.2823.280.00%market87.50%—77.60-3.89%-4.32%0.42%
RBRK2026-06-042026-06-052026-06-12—77.0077.000.00%market637.45%—481.25-11.64%-1.40%-10.24%
TTAN2026-06-042026-06-052026-06-12—83.0583.050.00%market34.06%—224.46-19.80%-1.40%-18.40%
SAIL2026-06-092026-06-102026-06-17—15.5615.560.00%market15.53%—311.20-15.30%1.03%-16.34%
NAVN2026-06-102026-06-112026-06-18—24.2524.250.00%market1441.43%—303.13-9.85%2.47%-12.32%
DRVN2026-06-112026-06-122026-06-22—13.5513.550.00%market25.00%—45.17-9.65%0.50%-10.14%
MH2026-06-112026-06-122026-06-22—12.3812.380.00%market92.89%—38.69-26.13%0.50%-26.63%
LZB2026-06-162026-06-172026-06-25—42.1842.180.00%market53.66%—33.48-3.47%-2.26%-1.21%
KMX2026-06-172026-06-182026-06-26—48.3048.300.00%market35.75%—36.879.03%-2.51%11.54%
SB2026-06-172026-06-182026-06-26—6.906.900.00%market71.43%—38.33-7.59%-2.51%-5.08%
CCL2026-06-232026-06-242026-07-01—29.3129.310.00%market19.12%—71.49-2.90%1.44%-4.34%
MU2026-06-242026-06-252026-07-02—1,233.001,233.000.00%market19.69%—49.10-21.08%0.79%-21.87%
SNX2026-06-252026-06-262026-07-06—280.33280.330.00%market17.15%—57.80-14.97%3.06%-18.04%
NKE2026-06-302026-07-012026-07-09—41.4041.400.00%market554.55%—57.503.13%0.90%2.23%
GIS2026-07-012026-07-022026-07-10—38.0038.000.00%market19.20%—40.00-4.88%1.01%-5.89%
MSM2026-07-012026-07-022026-07-10—125.35125.350.00%market11.72%—87.66-2.06%1.01%-3.07%
EPAC2026-07-072026-07-082026-07-15—35.8235.820.00%market19.28%—59.70-3.97%1.57%-5.54%
PENG2026-07-072026-07-082026-07-15—67.8567.850.00%market55.84%—80.777.17%1.57%5.60%
SKHY2026-04-222026-07-102026-07-17—170.00170.000.00%market50.20%—44.39-9.59%-1.16%-8.43%
C2026-07-142026-07-152026-07-22—134.08134.080.00%market15.81%—42.57-1.56%-0.91%-0.66%
EQBK2026-07-142026-07-152026-07-22—49.9949.990.00%market13.71%—35.45-0.26%-0.91%0.65%
GS2026-07-142026-07-152026-07-22—1,148.421,148.420.00%market44.99%—54.74-4.57%-0.91%-3.67%
JPM2026-07-142026-07-152026-07-22—345.85345.850.00%market35.78%—45.570.48%-0.91%1.39%
UNH2026-07-162026-07-172026-07-24—426.72426.720.00%market29.15%—66.88-1.60%-0.42%-1.18%
OFG2026-07-212026-07-222026-07-29—53.1653.160.00%market18.80%—38.24-1.74%-2.30%0.56%
CCS2026-07-222026-07-232026-07-30—66.3266.320.00%market103.13%—51.023.19%0.31%2.88%
QCRH2026-07-222026-07-232026-07-30—93.9493.940.00%market14.66%—42.899.55%0.31%9.24%
TCBX2026-07-222026-07-232026-07-30—43.0043.000.00%market19.60%—39.811.43%0.31%1.11%
AMTB2026-07-232026-07-242026-07-31—26.6026.600.00%market35.03%—50.1911.08%1.15%9.92%
CBNA2026-07-282026-07-292026-08-05—44.0144.010.00%market16.94%—30.357.96%4.03%3.93%
ARXS2026-07-292026-07-302026-08-06—44.7844.780.00%market64.71%—159.9328.41%4.42%23.99%
ASIC2026-07-292026-07-302026-08-06—24.5324.530.00%market27.13%—36.613.27%4.42%-1.15%
CNMD2026-07-292026-07-302026-08-06—47.4947.490.00%market24.32%—34.414.60%4.42%0.18%