Cheap + beat

Run 5f75c73d · view hypothesis

completed

Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.

Trades
178
Win rate
52.25%
Avg return
1.90%
Median return
0.70%
Avg abnormal
0.45%
Median abnormal
-0.96%
Best trade
54.98%
Worst trade
-23.98%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.15
Daily portfolio drawdown
—
Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
2023250.63%-0.49%44.00%
2024623.33%1.51%50.00%
2025601.04%-0.07%50.00%
2026311.72%0.12%67.74%
Trades (178)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceEPS surp.P/EP/E after earn.ReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
AGM2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—166.85166.850.00%market19.50%—43.23-1.03%-0.42%-0.62%
BRT2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—19.2119.210.00%market27.59%—51.92-5.51%-0.42%-5.09%
CAPL2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—18.9018.900.00%market140.00%—52.502.97%-0.42%3.39%
CXT2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—58.0058.000.00%market21.74%—51.79-0.39%-0.42%0.03%
DK2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—27.2727.270.00%market51.52%—27.271.23%-0.42%1.65%
BRC2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—56.5056.500.00%market11.83%—54.33-1.69%-5.29%3.61%
GTLB2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—52.1452.140.00%market134.19%—5,214.00-14.39%-5.29%-9.10%
ZS2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—159.16159.160.00%market30.61%—248.69-2.74%-5.29%2.56%
AEO2023-09-062023-09-072023-10-05—17.4317.430.00%market56.25%—69.72-7.26%-4.20%-3.06%
AGX2023-09-062023-09-072023-10-05—42.6442.640.00%market25.33%—45.368.59%-4.20%12.79%
AYI2023-10-042023-10-052023-11-02—179.27179.270.00%market11.20%—45.16-7.09%1.51%-8.60%
CAG2023-10-052023-10-062023-11-03—26.0126.010.00%market10.00%—39.416.72%3.01%3.71%
LW2023-10-052023-10-062023-11-03—97.3997.390.00%market49.54%—59.75-3.59%3.01%-6.60%
STZ2023-10-052023-10-062023-11-03—239.80239.800.00%market10.12%—64.810.58%3.01%-2.43%
AZZ2023-10-102023-10-112023-11-08—49.5049.500.00%market17.59%—38.98-6.56%0.37%-6.93%
ABNB2023-11-012023-11-022023-12-01—122.51122.510.00%market14.90%—51.2610.01%7.62%2.39%
AAMI2023-11-022023-11-032023-12-04—15.8815.880.00%market52.54%—35.2912.58%5.44%7.15%
ACIW2023-11-022023-11-032023-12-04—23.3523.350.00%market333.33%—44.9018.00%5.44%12.56%
ADT2023-11-022023-11-032023-12-04—6.436.430.00%market321.05%—80.38-3.47%5.44%-8.90%
ACMR2023-11-072023-11-082023-12-07—15.5915.590.00%market62.86%—27.353.20%4.73%-1.53%
DELL2023-11-302023-12-012024-01-02—71.8671.860.00%market27.89%—38.223.88%3.70%0.17%
GTLB2023-12-042023-12-052024-01-04—59.6859.680.00%market1150.00%—663.11-3.72%2.64%-6.36%
SAIC2023-12-042023-12-052024-01-04—134.90134.900.00%market34.32%—59.43-8.84%2.64%-11.48%
JILL2023-12-052023-12-062024-01-05—26.1326.130.00%market27.87%—33.50-7.05%1.99%-9.04%
CHWY2023-12-062023-12-072024-01-08—17.0217.020.00%market66.67%—113.4721.36%3.87%17.49%
EMA2023-12-312024-01-022024-01-31—36.2436.240.00%market107.94%—32.95-2.63%2.27%-4.90%
GBX2024-01-052024-01-082024-02-06—47.2847.280.00%market31.51%—49.25-1.49%5.45%-6.94%
CMC2024-01-082024-01-092024-02-07—51.2051.200.00%market12.41%—31.413.51%5.56%-2.05%
ACI2024-01-092024-01-102024-02-08—23.1523.150.00%market19.70%—29.30-7.98%5.10%-13.07%
AYI2024-01-092024-01-102024-02-08—228.97228.970.00%market15.17%—61.555.39%5.10%0.30%
AX2024-01-302024-01-312024-02-29—60.0060.000.00%market15.11%—37.50-13.33%3.98%-17.32%
ALGT2024-02-052024-02-062024-03-06—73.9973.990.00%market116.42%—672.640.81%3.29%-2.47%
AB2024-02-062024-02-072024-03-07—34.0934.090.00%market21.84%—44.27-0.46%3.73%-4.20%
ALL2024-02-072024-02-082024-03-08—163.00163.000.00%market45.86%—28.01-3.93%2.73%-6.66%
BLBD2024-02-072024-02-082024-03-08—33.0033.000.00%market145.95%—36.26-2.02%2.73%-4.75%
ACEL2024-02-282024-02-292024-03-28—10.9910.990.00%market52.94%—42.277.08%2.95%4.13%
BOX2024-03-052024-03-062024-04-04—28.9528.950.00%market10.53%—68.93-4.79%0.49%-5.29%
NL2024-03-062024-03-072024-04-05—5.315.310.00%market166.67%—33.1953.85%1.03%52.82%
ABM2024-03-072024-03-082024-04-08—43.4243.420.00%market21.13%—50.491.62%0.63%0.99%
BURL2024-03-072024-03-082024-04-08—223.60223.600.00%market10.91%—61.09-11.07%0.63%-11.70%
ATAT2024-03-282024-04-012024-04-29—18.0918.090.00%market10.53%—86.14-0.70%-2.63%1.93%
BB2024-04-032024-04-042024-05-02—2.962.960.00%market193.83%—98.67-1.55%-3.53%1.98%
GBX2024-04-052024-04-082024-05-06—53.5853.580.00%market19.77%—52.02-2.96%-0.50%-2.47%
JD2024-04-082024-04-092024-05-07—26.1026.100.00%market23.44%—33.0422.90%-0.65%23.55%
AGX2024-04-112024-04-122024-05-10—55.2055.200.00%market18.67%—62.0220.31%1.26%19.05%
ALV2024-04-262024-04-292024-05-28—122.04122.040.00%market11.27%—77.245.59%3.87%1.73%
ACLS2024-05-012024-05-022024-05-31—101.25101.250.00%market26.61%—64.4910.90%4.61%6.30%
ACH2024-05-032024-05-062024-06-04—18.2518.250.00%market11.76%—96.05-5.62%2.85%-8.47%
BCC2024-05-062024-05-072024-06-05—137.71137.710.00%market13.48%—52.76-3.18%3.31%-6.48%
ALGM2024-05-092024-05-102024-06-10—27.5527.550.00%market19.05%—110.208.84%2.65%6.18%
TKC2024-05-272024-05-282024-06-26—6.886.880.00%market131.27%—68.805.47%2.87%2.59%
BBY2024-05-302024-05-312024-07-01—81.2081.200.00%market11.11%—67.671.14%4.15%-3.01%
GTLB2024-06-032024-06-042024-07-03—46.9046.900.00%market179.07%—1,563.3313.17%4.75%8.42%
GWRE2024-06-042024-06-052024-07-05—123.59123.590.00%market95.64%—475.3512.55%4.50%8.05%
JILL2024-06-072024-06-102024-07-10—37.9937.990.00%market11.93%—31.14-9.02%5.28%-14.30%
GHG2024-06-252024-06-262024-07-25—2.562.560.00%market14.29%—32.00-2.54%-0.97%-1.57%
SMFG2024-06-282024-07-012024-07-30—13.4313.430.00%market116.31%—47.761.51%-0.67%2.18%
AZZ2024-07-102024-07-112024-08-08—72.7372.730.00%market11.45%—49.821.85%-5.48%7.33%
FBK2024-07-152024-07-162024-08-13—43.3943.390.00%market10.53%—51.65-1.21%-3.70%2.49%
FULT2024-07-162024-07-172024-08-14—18.7618.760.00%market56.67%—39.91-7.72%-2.69%-5.02%
BELFB2024-07-242024-07-252024-08-22—68.0068.000.00%market65.59%—44.16-5.41%2.75%-8.15%
CNO2024-07-292024-07-302024-08-27—32.0032.000.00%market47.89%—30.485.58%2.80%2.78%
ACMR2024-08-072024-08-082024-09-06—18.0518.050.00%market83.33%—32.82-13.50%3.14%-16.64%
B2024-08-122024-08-132024-09-11—18.9418.940.00%market23.08%—59.194.13%3.33%0.80%
HUT2024-08-132024-08-142024-09-12—11.2111.210.00%market122.22%—560.50-3.05%2.99%-6.05%
M2024-08-212024-08-222024-09-20—15.5115.510.00%market76.67%—29.26-1.55%1.01%-2.57%
PDD2024-08-262024-08-272024-09-25—99.9999.990.00%market10.73%—31.2513.75%1.89%11.87%
AGX2024-09-052024-09-062024-10-04—89.0989.090.00%market35.05%—68.0121.35%4.19%17.16%
SIG2024-09-122024-09-132024-10-11—87.8287.820.00%market10.62%—70.269.30%3.55%5.75%
LEN2024-09-192024-09-202024-10-18—185.49185.490.00%market17.36%—43.541.65%2.95%-1.30%
THO2024-09-242024-09-252024-10-23—108.83108.830.00%market29.23%—64.78-4.41%1.20%-5.61%
UNFI2024-10-012024-10-022024-10-30—22.4322.430.00%market112.50%—2,243.00-8.05%2.17%-10.21%
WFC2024-10-112024-10-142024-11-11—61.2761.270.00%market18.75%—40.3118.23%3.02%15.21%
C2024-10-152024-10-162024-11-13—63.4463.440.00%market15.27%—42.018.39%3.00%5.39%
BANF2024-10-172024-10-182024-11-15—114.35114.350.00%market10.76%—65.346.30%0.29%6.01%
ASR2024-10-222024-10-232024-11-20—276.87276.870.00%market10.19%—48.32-3.43%1.59%-5.02%
ALSN2024-10-292024-10-302024-11-27—105.65105.650.00%market12.38%—46.5412.04%3.02%9.02%
ADNT2024-11-082024-11-112024-12-10—20.6220.620.00%market30.77%—30.32-4.18%0.50%-4.68%
CALY2024-11-122024-11-132024-12-12—9.729.720.00%market111.64%—486.00-17.79%1.17%-18.96%
DAO2024-11-142024-11-152024-12-16—5.025.020.00%market94.00%—45.6454.98%2.89%52.08%
ATAT2024-11-192024-11-202024-12-19—26.2726.270.00%market18.18%—67.363.80%-0.72%4.52%
AMBA2024-11-262024-11-272024-12-27—79.7879.780.00%market266.67%—725.27-8.06%-0.91%-7.15%
BRZE2024-12-092024-12-102025-01-10—40.3140.310.00%market441.88%—2,015.505.56%-4.11%9.67%
JILL2024-12-112024-12-122025-01-14—29.0429.040.00%market11.25%—32.63-10.70%-4.02%-6.68%
GIS2024-12-182024-12-192025-01-22—63.5063.500.00%market14.75%—45.36-6.78%2.55%-9.33%
BB2024-12-192024-12-202025-01-23—3.003.000.00%market300.00%—150.0038.80%4.81%33.99%
LAR2023-08-092024-12-302025-01-30—2.752.750.00%market391.24%—47.26-4.56%2.92%-7.48%
GBX2025-01-082025-01-102025-02-10—61.8561.850.00%market48.28%—35.964.02%3.24%0.78%
C2025-01-152025-01-162025-02-14—77.8377.830.00%market10.74%—58.088.51%2.61%5.90%
COF2025-01-212025-01-222025-02-20—196.74196.740.00%market11.15%—63.674.19%0.74%3.45%
AA2025-01-222025-01-232025-02-21—37.6037.600.00%market11.83%—36.15-8.71%-0.97%-7.74%
AXS2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-28—89.5489.540.00%market10.82%—30.158.00%-1.62%9.62%
NWL2025-02-072025-02-102025-03-11—7.397.390.00%market14.29%—46.19-11.70%-7.96%-3.74%
ALNY2025-02-132025-02-142025-03-17—264.02264.020.00%market109.68%—4,400.33-4.33%-7.02%2.68%
CAKE2025-02-192025-02-202025-03-20—53.2553.250.00%market14.29%—51.20-9.06%-7.53%-1.53%
AMN2025-02-202025-02-212025-03-21—28.6328.630.00%market44.23%—38.17-16.09%-7.57%-8.52%
ACIW2025-02-272025-02-282025-03-28—54.5054.500.00%market47.95%—50.46-0.60%-5.11%4.50%
FTK2025-03-102025-03-112025-04-08—8.208.200.00%market55.56%—58.57-23.98%-11.25%-12.73%
LI2025-03-142025-03-172025-04-14—26.6626.660.00%market31.09%—51.37-10.74%-4.21%-6.53%
WSM2025-03-192025-03-202025-04-17—165.06165.060.00%market11.56%—50.32-15.86%-6.55%-9.31%
CIG-C2025-03-202025-03-212025-04-21—2.592.590.00%market34.55%—31.18-7.54%-8.12%0.58%
ABX2025-03-272025-03-282025-04-28—7.737.730.00%market23.08%—48.316.40%-2.60%8.99%
LEVI2025-04-072025-04-082025-05-07—15.7115.710.00%market36.64%—41.345.15%7.53%-2.38%
MS2025-04-112025-04-142025-05-13—110.48110.480.00%market17.65%—42.4916.88%7.87%9.01%
ALV2025-04-162025-04-172025-05-16—85.8585.850.00%market27.98%—39.9318.55%12.61%5.94%
ALLY2025-04-172025-04-212025-05-19—31.2031.200.00%market36.76%—53.7915.47%14.14%1.33%
HCA2025-04-252025-04-282025-05-27—327.05327.050.00%market12.17%—50.7115.63%7.21%8.42%
ACLS2025-05-062025-05-072025-06-05—55.9355.930.00%market166.67%—53.787.70%5.87%1.83%
AUPH2025-05-122025-05-132025-06-11—8.188.180.00%market100.00%—51.13-1.30%3.08%-4.38%
DDS2025-05-152025-05-162025-06-16—412.18412.180.00%market13.68%—39.670.28%1.93%-1.65%
BAP2025-05-192025-05-202025-06-18—195.14195.140.00%market10.87%—32.4211.40%0.73%10.66%
JOYY2025-05-262025-05-272025-06-25—42.0042.000.00%market29.10%—35.5920.09%3.59%16.49%
CXM2025-06-042025-06-052025-07-07—9.109.100.00%market21.85%—75.83-1.41%3.86%-5.27%
ETOR2025-06-102025-06-112025-07-11—66.4866.480.00%market26.14%—96.35-13.51%3.22%-16.73%
APPS2025-06-162025-06-172025-07-17—5.545.540.00%market100.00%—55.40-6.34%4.64%-10.97%
SLDE2025-05-232025-06-182025-07-18—21.0021.000.00%market71.23%—28.00-12.58%4.87%-17.45%
CCL2025-06-242025-06-252025-07-24—25.7825.780.00%market41.93%—73.6615.32%4.36%10.96%
PENG2025-07-082025-07-092025-08-06—20.9020.900.00%market12.93%—44.479.37%1.61%7.76%
BNY2025-07-152025-07-162025-08-13—96.0096.000.00%market10.86%—49.485.96%3.39%2.57%
AA2025-07-162025-07-172025-08-14—29.1229.120.00%market20.97%—74.677.39%3.29%4.10%
BANF2025-07-172025-07-182025-08-15—136.85136.850.00%market10.78%—73.97-10.25%2.25%-12.50%
ALK2025-07-232025-07-242025-08-21—52.3652.360.00%market14.10%—29.424.69%0.15%4.54%
ACHC2025-08-052025-08-062025-09-04—20.7820.780.00%market16.90%—25.0413.61%3.19%10.42%
BKV2025-08-122025-08-132025-09-11—21.6921.690.00%market160.00%—55.622.24%1.97%0.27%
ARCO2025-08-132025-08-142025-09-12—7.617.610.00%market120.00%—69.18-10.98%2.27%-13.25%
AMCR2025-08-142025-08-152025-09-15—43.8043.800.00%market368.82%—43.80-5.68%2.31%-7.99%
DY2025-08-202025-08-212025-09-19—259.00259.000.00%market14.04%—77.783.88%4.31%-0.42%
AEO2025-09-032025-09-042025-10-02—17.7517.750.00%market125.00%—39.44-4.71%3.85%-8.56%
TEN2025-09-102025-09-112025-10-09—21.2421.240.00%market13.56%—31.701.02%2.60%-1.57%
FIZZ2025-09-112025-09-122025-10-10—40.4540.450.00%market18.11%—67.42-8.41%-0.70%-7.71%
FERG2025-09-162025-09-172025-10-15—232.39232.390.00%market15.61%—66.783.65%0.78%2.87%
EBF2025-09-222025-09-232025-10-21—18.5918.590.00%market24.39%—36.45-9.45%0.69%-10.14%
CAG2025-10-012025-10-022025-10-30—19.0919.090.00%market16.77%—48.95-8.95%1.40%-10.35%
LEVI2025-10-092025-10-102025-11-07—22.2922.290.00%market11.11%—65.56-9.40%-0.17%-9.22%
NEOG2025-10-092025-10-102025-11-07—6.886.880.00%market154.05%—172.00-7.18%-0.17%-7.00%
ACI2025-10-142025-10-152025-11-12—19.2119.210.00%market10.52%—43.66-7.23%2.48%-9.71%
CCK2025-10-202025-10-212025-11-18—101.31101.310.00%market13.13%—45.23-6.23%-1.69%-4.54%
ARIS2025-10-292025-10-302025-11-28—9.639.630.00%market33.33%—26.7545.59%-0.07%45.67%
ABX2025-11-062025-11-072025-12-08—5.715.710.00%market11.11%—28.5529.22%2.35%26.87%
ACIW2025-11-062025-11-072025-12-08—50.5050.500.00%market10.10%—46.33-10.58%2.35%-12.93%
AII2025-11-112025-11-122025-12-11—25.0025.000.00%market16.39%—35.21-19.12%0.64%-19.76%
BIDU2025-11-182025-11-192025-12-18—115.07115.070.00%market30.00%—73.764.51%2.37%2.14%
DOO2025-03-262025-12-022025-12-31—69.3669.360.00%market20.14%—102.911.82%0.00%1.82%
SAIL2025-12-092025-12-102026-01-09—19.8719.870.00%market34.52%—248.38-1.21%1.69%-2.89%
PLAB2025-12-102025-12-112026-01-12—37.4537.450.00%market32.36%—62.42-10.21%1.46%-11.68%
LULU2025-12-112025-12-122026-01-13—204.58204.580.00%market16.67%—78.993.38%0.81%2.56%
MU2025-12-172025-12-182026-01-20—256.53256.530.00%market20.71%—53.6742.08%-0.00%42.09%
FC2026-01-072026-01-082026-02-06—16.1516.150.00%market133.33%—230.7120.48%0.26%20.22%
CMC2026-01-082026-01-092026-02-09—70.6370.630.00%market18.71%—38.3917.27%0.48%16.79%
FHN2026-01-152026-01-162026-02-17—24.6724.670.00%market13.04%—47.440.25%-1.56%1.80%
GS2026-01-152026-01-162026-02-17—973.00973.000.00%market19.74%—69.45-6.05%-1.56%-4.50%
PNC2026-01-162026-01-202026-02-18—219.79219.790.00%market15.37%—45.045.69%0.70%4.99%
ARW2026-02-052026-02-062026-03-09—145.13145.130.00%market23.66%—33.06-3.85%-0.47%-3.38%
AER2026-02-062026-02-092026-03-10—140.35140.350.00%market16.18%—35.530.01%-1.78%1.78%
DCH2026-02-132026-02-172026-03-17—7.207.200.00%market200.00%—102.86-23.12%-1.37%-21.74%
MGA2026-02-132026-02-172026-03-17—66.6566.650.00%market20.44%—30.57-16.24%-1.37%-14.86%
ACLS2026-02-172026-02-182026-03-18—79.2879.280.00%market33.04%—53.217.95%-3.30%11.25%
KB2026-03-062026-03-092026-04-07—97.9497.940.00%market17.43%—76.521.70%-1.08%2.78%
EDN2026-03-092026-03-102026-04-08—25.3325.330.00%market101.13%—26.6623.45%-0.25%23.70%
SAIC2026-03-162026-03-172026-04-15—93.7193.710.00%market13.42%—35.772.46%4.10%-1.64%
BOBS2026-03-172026-03-182026-04-16—13.6413.640.00%market16.67%—38.97-12.96%4.98%-17.94%
CAAP2026-03-172026-03-182026-04-16—25.1325.130.00%market75.68%—38.663.58%4.98%-1.40%
LEVI2026-04-072026-04-082026-05-06—22.6522.650.00%market14.32%—53.931.48%8.49%-7.01%
DAL2026-04-082026-04-092026-05-07—67.6467.640.00%market10.34%—105.697.89%8.41%-0.52%
ACI2026-04-142026-04-152026-05-13—16.2216.220.00%market11.63%—33.791.77%6.77%-4.99%
MS2026-04-152026-04-162026-05-14—190.93190.930.00%market13.58%—55.661.69%6.72%-5.03%
BNY2026-04-162026-04-172026-05-15—135.96135.960.00%market14.80%—60.43-0.89%4.68%-5.57%
AIZ2026-05-052026-05-062026-06-04—235.96235.960.00%market12.48%—39.666.45%3.97%2.48%
ACVA2026-05-062026-05-072026-06-05—6.176.170.00%market66.67%—123.40-8.47%0.34%-8.81%
ALH2026-05-122026-05-132026-06-11—25.0925.090.00%market19.23%—80.942.79%-0.10%2.89%
ATAT2026-05-132026-05-142026-06-12—37.2437.240.00%market29.73%—77.58-9.36%-0.26%-9.10%
AAUC2026-05-142026-05-152026-06-15—28.9028.900.00%market21.88%—74.10-8.92%1.76%-10.68%
PVH2026-06-032026-06-042026-07-06—72.0072.000.00%market10.44%—35.826.51%-0.11%6.62%
RBRK2026-06-042026-06-052026-07-07—77.0077.000.00%market637.45%—481.2512.84%-0.61%13.45%
NAVN2026-06-102026-06-112026-07-13—24.2524.250.00%market1441.43%—303.137.55%2.80%4.75%
DRVN2026-06-112026-06-122026-07-14—13.5513.550.00%market25.00%—45.1714.04%1.50%12.54%
LZB2026-06-162026-06-172026-07-17—42.1842.180.00%market53.66%—33.48-5.68%-1.06%-4.61%
EPAC2026-07-072026-07-082026-08-05—35.8235.820.00%market19.28%—59.703.01%3.58%-0.57%