Quality + beat (ROE filter)

Run 5f75c7f0 · view hypothesis

completed

Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.

Trades
136
Win rate
47.79%
Avg return
0.99%
Median return
-0.55%
Avg abnormal
-0.41%
Median abnormal
-2.58%
Best trade
66.97%
Worst trade
-31.49%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.06
Daily portfolio drawdown
—
Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
202320-0.83%-3.21%45.00%
2024481.51%-0.31%54.17%
2025453.74%2.77%53.33%
202623-3.92%-4.41%26.09%
Trades (136)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceEPS surp.ROEReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
CAPL2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—18.9018.900.00%market140.00%—2.97%-0.42%3.39%
MED2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—100.00100.000.00%market92.36%—-19.71%-0.42%-19.29%
DNLI2023-08-082023-08-092023-09-07—28.3128.310.00%market291.18%—-14.77%-0.93%-13.84%
HALO2023-08-082023-08-092023-09-07—42.4242.420.00%market17.46%—-7.93%-0.93%-7.00%
LLY2023-08-082023-08-092023-09-07—520.37520.370.00%market6.57%—9.96%-0.93%10.89%
LUCK2023-09-112023-09-122023-10-10—10.4210.420.00%market5464.08%—10.07%-2.78%12.85%
CCL2023-09-292023-10-022023-10-30—13.5013.500.00%market14.67%—-15.76%-2.59%-13.17%
JBTM2023-09-302023-10-022023-10-30—104.66104.660.00%market1291.88%—-2.88%-2.59%-0.30%
LW2023-10-052023-10-062023-11-03—97.3997.390.00%market49.54%—-3.59%3.01%-6.60%
JNJ2023-10-172023-10-182023-11-15—155.41155.410.00%market5.56%—-4.45%3.57%-8.02%
KMB2023-10-242023-10-252023-11-22—120.94120.940.00%market9.43%—0.94%7.85%-6.91%
OMAB2023-10-272023-10-302023-11-28—58.0858.080.00%market7.55%—22.10%10.00%12.09%
SPG2023-10-302023-10-312023-11-29—106.41106.410.00%market7.38%—15.17%9.23%5.93%
AAMI2023-11-022023-11-032023-12-04—15.8815.880.00%market52.54%—12.58%5.44%7.15%
ATAI2023-11-142023-11-152023-12-14—1.281.280.00%market30.00%—-0.20%4.87%-5.07%
NVDA2023-11-212023-11-222023-12-21—49.8549.850.00%market17.65%—-1.93%3.89%-5.82%
NTAP2023-11-282023-11-292023-12-28—86.8986.890.00%market12.86%—1.32%4.27%-2.96%
VSTS2023-11-292023-11-302023-12-29—18.2918.290.00%market281.25%—15.38%4.35%11.03%
JILL2023-12-052023-12-062024-01-05—26.1326.130.00%market27.87%—-7.05%1.99%-9.04%
LZM2023-12-142023-12-152024-01-17—8.738.730.00%market24.97%—-28.84%0.60%-29.43%
DAL2024-01-122024-01-162024-02-13—38.1438.140.00%market9.40%—4.70%3.96%0.74%
KSPI2023-09-302024-01-192024-02-16—92.5092.500.00%market30.93%—3.10%4.58%-1.48%
AGYS2024-01-222024-01-232024-02-21—88.4088.400.00%market34.62%—-10.18%2.73%-12.90%
LMT2024-01-232024-01-242024-02-22—439.52439.520.00%market8.54%—-2.62%4.04%-6.65%
ASML2024-01-242024-01-252024-02-23—869.00869.000.00%market8.88%—7.19%4.16%3.04%
ROIV2024-02-132024-02-142024-03-14—10.8010.800.00%market32.04%—-5.48%3.66%-9.13%
ALNY2024-02-152024-02-162024-03-18—148.00148.000.00%market8.33%—-0.60%2.22%-2.82%
CHH2024-02-202024-02-212024-03-20—113.72113.720.00%market6.67%—14.13%5.06%9.08%
MATV2024-02-212024-02-222024-03-21—12.0212.020.00%market43.75%—48.80%3.61%45.19%
BWMX2024-02-222024-02-232024-03-22—15.2615.260.00%market121.43%—29.03%2.34%26.68%
WSM2024-03-132024-03-142024-04-12—144.00144.000.00%market7.51%—0.10%-1.18%1.28%
BKE2024-03-152024-03-182024-04-16—38.6238.620.00%market10.42%—-6.70%-2.04%-4.66%
TSHA2024-03-192024-03-202024-04-18—2.952.950.00%market488.89%—-18.51%-3.15%-15.35%
SIG2024-03-202024-03-212024-04-19—89.1089.100.00%market5.65%—6.95%-5.39%12.34%
LULU2024-03-212024-03-222024-04-22—416.25416.250.00%market5.80%—-13.28%-4.29%-9.00%
MEDP2024-04-222024-04-232024-05-21—378.00378.000.00%market29.55%—4.73%5.90%-1.16%
PAC2024-04-222024-04-232024-05-21—162.28162.280.00%market7.98%—19.79%5.90%13.90%
KMB2024-04-232024-04-242024-05-22—135.66135.660.00%market23.31%—-1.52%4.59%-6.11%
LMT2024-04-232024-04-242024-05-22—462.70462.700.00%market9.79%—1.32%4.59%-3.28%
MANH2024-04-232024-04-242024-05-22—208.49208.490.00%market18.39%—7.23%4.59%2.64%
NVDA2024-05-222024-05-232024-06-24—102.03102.030.00%market8.93%—15.56%1.84%13.73%
CLBT2024-05-232024-05-242024-06-25—12.0012.000.00%market45.45%—-1.95%3.22%-5.17%
PAGS2024-05-232024-05-242024-06-25—13.6513.650.00%market11.52%—-18.37%3.22%-21.59%
IBTA2024-05-302024-05-312024-07-01—104.33104.330.00%market80.00%—-31.49%4.15%-35.64%
JILL2024-06-072024-06-102024-07-10—37.9937.990.00%market11.93%—-9.02%5.28%-14.30%
PEP2024-07-112024-07-122024-08-09—164.96164.960.00%market5.56%—4.30%-4.42%8.72%
AEHR2024-07-162024-07-172024-08-14—19.2619.260.00%market663.64%—-29.80%-2.69%-27.10%
PAC2024-07-222024-07-232024-08-20—163.30163.300.00%market24.51%—0.58%0.75%-0.17%
KMB2024-07-232024-07-242024-08-21—134.77134.770.00%market14.62%—7.08%2.14%4.94%
LMT2024-07-232024-07-242024-08-21—505.00505.000.00%market6.04%—9.46%2.14%7.31%
ADMA2024-08-082024-08-092024-09-09—15.1015.100.00%market62.50%—21.52%3.13%18.39%
TLN2024-08-132024-08-142024-09-12—128.00128.000.00%market116.81%—21.67%2.99%18.68%
BOX2024-08-272024-08-282024-09-26—30.0030.000.00%market10.00%—7.80%1.98%5.82%
SMTC2024-08-272024-08-282024-09-26—40.5040.500.00%market10.00%—16.84%1.98%14.86%
CHWY2024-08-282024-08-292024-09-27—28.7228.720.00%market257.14%—4.12%1.99%2.13%
RBRK2024-09-092024-09-102024-10-08—29.8529.850.00%market17.70%—15.81%4.52%11.29%
CCL2024-09-302024-10-012024-10-29—18.7018.700.00%market9.48%—17.98%1.46%16.52%
KMB2024-10-222024-10-232024-11-20—136.94136.940.00%market7.65%—-0.62%1.59%-2.21%
MANH2024-10-222024-10-232024-11-20—280.00280.000.00%market27.36%—-3.21%1.59%-4.80%
LII2024-10-232024-10-242024-11-21—613.97613.970.00%market11.33%—5.77%2.36%3.41%
MAT2024-10-232024-10-242024-11-21—18.4418.440.00%market20.00%—-0.53%2.36%-2.89%
FER2024-10-292024-10-302024-11-27—40.3440.340.00%market751.91%—1.73%3.02%-1.28%
VVV2024-11-192024-11-202024-12-19—38.1238.120.00%market9.52%—-5.05%-0.72%-4.33%
NVDA2024-11-202024-11-212024-12-20—149.35149.350.00%market8.00%—-10.01%-0.38%-9.63%
ZIM2024-11-202024-11-212024-12-20—26.0026.000.00%market32.48%—-29.85%-0.38%-29.47%
NTAP2024-11-212024-11-222024-12-23—135.10135.100.00%market5.06%—-12.80%0.17%-12.97%
BOX2024-12-032024-12-042025-01-03—33.7533.750.00%market7.14%—-6.90%-2.26%-4.64%
PRSU2024-11-072024-12-272025-01-29—43.4443.440.00%market7.49%—-6.21%0.71%-6.92%
MANH2025-01-282025-01-292025-02-27—222.80222.800.00%market10.38%—-21.56%-3.09%-18.47%
EAT2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-28—183.00183.000.00%market104.38%—-10.13%-1.62%-8.51%
LII2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-28—599.84599.840.00%market35.92%—0.00%-1.62%1.62%
DECK2025-01-302025-01-312025-03-03—196.10196.100.00%market20.97%—-30.22%-3.91%-26.31%
BEPC2025-01-312025-02-032025-03-04—25.9425.940.00%market81.82%—2.69%-2.67%5.36%
ACAD2025-02-262025-02-272025-03-27—19.4419.440.00%market30.77%—-11.77%-4.99%-6.79%
BE2025-02-272025-02-282025-03-28—23.3623.360.00%market34.37%—-13.17%-5.11%-8.06%
BWMX2025-02-272025-02-282025-03-28—11.6411.640.00%market7.01%—-0.54%-5.11%4.56%
AES2025-02-282025-03-032025-03-31—11.1511.150.00%market54.29%—11.19%-6.17%17.36%
HUT2025-03-032025-03-042025-04-01—13.4213.420.00%market905.56%—-0.95%-3.23%2.29%
ADCT2025-03-272025-03-282025-04-28—1.481.480.00%market23.68%—-1.55%-2.60%1.04%
TMC2025-03-272025-03-282025-04-28—1.981.980.00%market16.67%—66.97%-2.60%69.57%
MEDP2025-04-212025-04-222025-05-20—259.13259.130.00%market19.93%—18.13%13.98%4.15%
LMT2025-04-222025-04-232025-05-21—467.00467.000.00%market14.83%—0.50%7.85%-7.35%
MANH2025-04-222025-04-232025-05-21—178.47178.470.00%market15.53%—5.12%7.85%-2.73%
CL2025-04-252025-04-282025-05-27—93.6493.640.00%market6.31%—-1.49%7.21%-8.70%
EAF2025-04-252025-04-282025-05-27—7.057.050.00%market13.33%—60.08%7.21%52.87%
VIK2025-05-202025-05-212025-06-20—44.5744.570.00%market18.36%—10.82%0.99%9.82%
HNGE2025-05-052025-05-222025-06-23—39.2539.250.00%market147.03%—11.11%3.00%8.11%
JOYY2025-05-262025-05-272025-06-25—42.0042.000.00%market29.10%—20.09%3.59%16.49%
NVDA2025-05-282025-05-292025-06-27—142.25142.250.00%market9.91%—10.70%3.68%7.01%
CHA2025-05-302025-06-022025-07-01—28.8628.860.00%market504.64%—-9.42%5.09%-14.50%
HCM2025-07-022025-07-032025-08-01—15.5715.570.00%market525.93%—10.72%-0.12%10.84%
MMM2025-07-182025-07-212025-08-18—152.25152.250.00%market7.46%—0.20%2.31%-2.11%
MANH2025-07-222025-07-232025-08-20—245.00245.000.00%market15.93%—-13.66%1.04%-14.70%
LII2025-07-232025-07-242025-08-21—662.50662.500.00%market13.99%—-14.07%0.15%-14.22%
LVS2025-07-232025-07-242025-08-21—51.2751.270.00%market48.78%—4.17%0.15%4.02%
AAMI2025-07-312025-08-012025-08-29—40.6840.680.00%market23.08%—25.09%2.99%22.10%
UI2025-08-222025-08-252025-09-23—513.01513.010.00%market58.74%—27.61%2.98%24.64%
NIO2025-09-022025-09-032025-10-01—6.386.380.00%market16.57%—19.71%4.01%15.69%
RBRK2025-09-092025-09-102025-10-08—94.5694.560.00%market91.15%—-11.10%2.98%-14.08%
CHWY2025-09-102025-09-112025-10-09—35.9135.910.00%market131.25%—8.74%2.60%6.14%
LUXE2025-09-112025-09-122025-10-10—9.099.090.00%market3261.11%—-14.94%-0.70%-14.25%
CCL2025-09-292025-09-302025-10-28—29.7829.780.00%market8.33%—-6.65%3.64%-10.29%
FRMI2025-09-032025-10-012025-10-29—25.0025.000.00%market68.02%—14.64%3.65%10.99%
LMT2025-10-212025-10-222025-11-19—491.47491.470.00%market8.93%—-4.59%-1.39%-3.19%
MANH2025-10-212025-10-222025-11-19—198.79198.790.00%market14.29%—-13.93%-1.39%-12.53%
MMM2025-10-212025-10-222025-11-19—167.16167.160.00%market5.80%—-0.55%-1.39%0.85%
AMT2025-10-282025-10-292025-11-26—182.67182.670.00%market6.11%—-0.98%-1.31%0.33%
APAM2025-10-282025-10-292025-11-26—44.9444.940.00%market5.15%—-7.14%-1.31%-5.83%
NTAP2025-11-252025-11-262025-12-26—116.52116.520.00%market9.04%—-5.36%1.87%-7.23%
PD2025-11-252025-11-262025-12-26—12.9612.960.00%market32.53%—1.34%1.87%-0.53%
DOO2025-05-292025-12-022025-12-31—69.3669.360.00%market37.67%—1.82%0.00%1.82%
ORCL2025-12-102025-12-112026-01-12—190.62190.620.00%market37.80%—7.18%1.46%5.71%
XZO2025-12-102025-12-112026-01-12—18.2818.280.00%market19.05%—23.32%1.46%21.86%
HDB2026-01-172026-01-202026-02-18—32.1832.180.00%market10.26%—3.44%0.70%2.73%
BAH2026-01-232026-01-262026-02-24—103.00103.000.00%market34.09%—-26.70%-0.45%-26.25%
BA2026-01-272026-01-282026-02-26—244.09244.090.00%market2362.05%—-6.21%-1.11%-5.10%
MANH2026-01-272026-01-282026-02-26—179.27179.270.00%market9.01%—-22.32%-1.11%-21.21%
STX2026-01-272026-01-282026-02-26—395.19395.190.00%market11.87%—3.46%-1.11%4.58%
CVNA2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-19—68.3868.380.00%market265.22%—-14.15%-3.52%-10.64%
ADEA2026-02-232026-02-242026-03-24—20.0620.060.00%market32.10%—25.62%-4.21%29.83%
ACAD2026-02-252026-02-262026-03-26—23.6423.640.00%market1067.88%—-9.38%-6.95%-2.43%
IONQ2026-02-252026-02-262026-03-26—39.0539.050.00%market502.08%—-23.79%-6.95%-16.83%
MANE2026-02-252026-02-262026-03-26—42.1742.170.00%market10.31%—59.98%-6.95%66.94%
JBL2026-03-182026-03-192026-04-17—253.21253.210.00%market7.17%—26.84%8.09%18.75%
BAK2026-03-272026-03-302026-04-28—3.593.590.00%market51.02%—-4.38%11.18%-15.56%
NFLX2026-04-162026-04-172026-05-15—96.3796.370.00%market61.21%—-9.90%4.68%-14.58%
MANH2026-04-212026-04-222026-05-20—149.00149.000.00%market12.73%—-8.20%4.53%-12.73%
MMM2026-04-212026-04-222026-05-20—150.62150.620.00%market8.08%—-0.76%4.53%-5.28%
GEV2026-04-222026-04-232026-05-21—1,147.891,147.890.00%market794.36%—-9.27%4.68%-13.95%
AMT2026-04-282026-04-292026-05-28—177.54177.540.00%market15.00%—4.95%6.13%-1.18%
AVAH2026-05-142026-05-152026-06-15—7.787.780.00%market38.46%—-7.27%1.76%-9.03%
HAS2026-05-202026-05-212026-06-22—88.4388.430.00%market22.50%—-4.77%0.78%-5.55%
NVDA2026-05-202026-05-212026-06-22—222.29222.290.00%market6.25%—-6.34%0.78%-7.11%
BAH2026-05-222026-05-262026-06-24—80.0380.030.00%market34.85%—-21.88%-2.24%-19.64%
ADSK2026-05-282026-05-292026-06-29—225.56225.560.00%market5.28%—-13.64%-1.97%-11.67%
MU2026-06-242026-06-252026-07-24—1,233.001,233.000.00%market19.69%—-25.51%0.00%-25.51%