Quality compounder beat (Copy)
Run 5f75ce08 · view hypothesis
completed
Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.
Trades
93
Win rate
53.76%
Avg return
3.44%
Median return
1.40%
Avg abnormal
1.84%
Median abnormal
-0.97%
Best trade
66.97%
Worst trade
-46.59%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.16
Daily portfolio drawdown
—
Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
| Bucket | Trades | Avg return | Avg abnormal | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11 | -0.66% | -3.67% | 54.55% |
| 2024 | 34 | 4.48% | 1.97% | 55.88% |
| 2025 | 29 | 3.92% | 3.45% | 51.72% |
| 2026 | 19 | 3.21% | 2.34% | 52.63% |
Trades (93)
| Symbol | Event | Entry date | Exit date | Δ days | Market entry | Actual buy-in | Diff % | Fill source | EPS surp. | ROE | Debt / equity | Return | Benchmark | Abnormal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CEPU | 2023-08-11 | 2023-08-14 | 2023-09-12 | — | 6.83 | 6.83 | 0.00% | market | 366.67% | — | — | -10.30% | 0.29% | -10.59% |
| MSGE | 2023-08-18 | 2023-08-21 | 2023-09-19 | — | 32.56 | 32.56 | 0.00% | market | 25.40% | — | — | 1.40% | 1.18% | 0.22% |
| NVDA | 2023-08-23 | 2023-08-24 | 2023-09-22 | — | 50.22 | 50.22 | 0.00% | market | 28.57% | — | — | -17.34% | -3.21% | -14.14% |
| JBTM | 2023-09-30 | 2023-10-02 | 2023-10-30 | — | 104.66 | 104.66 | 0.00% | market | 1291.88% | — | — | -2.88% | -2.59% | -0.30% |
| MANH | 2023-10-24 | 2023-10-25 | 2023-11-22 | — | 183.13 | 183.13 | 0.00% | market | 36.36% | — | — | 21.03% | 7.85% | 13.17% |
| ABNB | 2023-11-01 | 2023-11-02 | 2023-12-01 | — | 122.51 | 122.51 | 0.00% | market | 14.90% | — | — | 10.01% | 7.62% | 2.39% |
| MAX | 2023-11-01 | 2023-11-02 | 2023-12-01 | — | 9.63 | 9.63 | 0.00% | market | 14.71% | — | — | 6.65% | 7.62% | -0.97% |
| BHC | 2023-11-02 | 2023-11-03 | 2023-12-04 | — | 7.42 | 7.42 | 0.00% | market | 11.96% | — | — | 0.61% | 5.44% | -4.83% |
| BAM | 2023-11-06 | 2023-11-07 | 2023-12-06 | — | 31.07 | 31.07 | 0.00% | market | 12.90% | — | — | 14.28% | 4.38% | 9.91% |
| NVDA | 2023-11-21 | 2023-11-22 | 2023-12-21 | — | 49.85 | 49.85 | 0.00% | market | 17.65% | — | — | -1.93% | 3.89% | -5.82% |
| LZM | 2023-12-14 | 2023-12-15 | 2024-01-17 | — | 8.73 | 8.73 | 0.00% | market | 24.97% | — | — | -28.84% | 0.60% | -29.43% |
| KSPI | 2023-09-30 | 2024-01-19 | 2024-02-16 | — | 92.50 | 92.50 | 0.00% | market | 30.93% | — | — | 3.10% | 4.58% | -1.48% |
| AGYS | 2024-01-22 | 2024-01-23 | 2024-02-21 | — | 88.40 | 88.40 | 0.00% | market | 34.62% | — | — | -10.18% | 2.73% | -12.90% |
| RDY | 2024-01-31 | 2024-02-01 | 2024-03-01 | — | 14.32 | 14.32 | 0.00% | market | 13.25% | — | — | 4.27% | 5.82% | -1.55% |
| PBI | 2024-02-01 | 2024-02-02 | 2024-03-04 | — | 4.12 | 4.12 | 0.00% | market | 250.00% | — | — | -0.20% | 4.63% | -4.83% |
| HRB | 2024-02-06 | 2024-02-07 | 2024-03-07 | — | 45.42 | 45.42 | 0.00% | market | 19.62% | — | — | 6.25% | 3.73% | 2.52% |
| ALNY | 2024-02-15 | 2024-02-16 | 2024-03-18 | — | 148.00 | 148.00 | 0.00% | market | 8.33% | — | — | -0.60% | 2.22% | -2.82% |
| MAX | 2024-02-20 | 2024-02-21 | 2024-03-20 | — | 17.10 | 17.10 | 0.00% | market | 76.19% | — | — | 17.40% | 5.06% | 12.34% |
| MUX | 2024-02-29 | 2024-03-01 | 2024-04-01 | — | 6.35 | 6.35 | 0.00% | market | 1006.25% | — | — | 66.73% | 2.59% | 64.14% |
| BLND | 2024-03-15 | 2024-03-18 | 2024-04-16 | — | 2.88 | 2.88 | 0.00% | market | 12.50% | — | — | -17.56% | -2.04% | -15.52% |
| MANH | 2024-04-23 | 2024-04-24 | 2024-05-22 | — | 208.49 | 208.49 | 0.00% | market | 18.39% | — | — | 7.23% | 4.59% | 2.64% |
| NBTX | 2024-04-24 | 2024-04-25 | 2024-05-23 | — | 5.91 | 5.91 | 0.00% | market | 60.40% | — | — | 11.64% | 5.36% | 6.28% |
| CVLT | 2024-04-30 | 2024-05-01 | 2024-05-30 | — | 103.13 | 103.13 | 0.00% | market | 8.22% | — | — | 5.29% | 4.23% | 1.05% |
| ALNY | 2024-05-02 | 2024-05-03 | 2024-06-03 | — | 154.41 | 154.41 | 0.00% | market | 85.71% | — | — | -2.76% | 3.26% | -6.02% |
| NVO | 2024-05-02 | 2024-05-03 | 2024-06-03 | — | 122.92 | 122.92 | 0.00% | market | 10.53% | — | — | 10.13% | 3.26% | 6.88% |
| NVDA | 2024-05-22 | 2024-05-23 | 2024-06-24 | — | 102.03 | 102.03 | 0.00% | market | 8.93% | — | — | 15.56% | 1.84% | 13.73% |
| CLBT | 2024-05-23 | 2024-05-24 | 2024-06-25 | — | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00% | market | 45.45% | — | — | -1.95% | 3.22% | -5.17% |
| RBRK | 2024-06-11 | 2024-06-12 | 2024-07-12 | — | 36.57 | 36.57 | 0.00% | market | 13.66% | — | — | -7.64% | 3.39% | -11.03% |
| AEHR | 2024-07-16 | 2024-07-17 | 2024-08-14 | — | 19.26 | 19.26 | 0.00% | market | 663.64% | — | — | -29.80% | -2.69% | -27.10% |
| MANH | 2024-07-23 | 2024-07-24 | 2024-08-21 | — | 247.39 | 247.39 | 0.00% | market | 23.30% | — | — | 5.48% | 2.14% | 3.34% |
| INDV | 2024-07-25 | 2024-07-26 | 2024-08-23 | — | 12.75 | 12.75 | 0.00% | market | 10.00% | — | — | -3.73% | 3.66% | -7.39% |
| ALNY | 2024-08-01 | 2024-08-02 | 2024-08-30 | — | 260.18 | 260.18 | 0.00% | market | 152.34% | — | — | 0.76% | 5.21% | -4.45% |
| APPN | 2024-08-01 | 2024-08-02 | 2024-08-30 | — | 28.23 | 28.23 | 0.00% | market | 16.13% | — | — | 14.71% | 5.21% | 9.50% |
| CLBT | 2024-08-15 | 2024-08-16 | 2024-09-16 | — | 14.88 | 14.88 | 0.00% | market | 25.00% | — | — | 17.54% | 2.07% | 15.47% |
| SMTC | 2024-08-27 | 2024-08-28 | 2024-09-26 | — | 40.50 | 40.50 | 0.00% | market | 10.00% | — | — | 16.84% | 1.98% | 14.86% |
| DOCU | 2024-09-05 | 2024-09-06 | 2024-10-04 | — | 60.24 | 60.24 | 0.00% | market | 20.20% | — | — | 5.78% | 4.19% | 1.59% |
| RBRK | 2024-09-09 | 2024-09-10 | 2024-10-08 | — | 29.85 | 29.85 | 0.00% | market | 17.70% | — | — | 15.81% | 4.52% | 11.29% |
| MANH | 2024-10-22 | 2024-10-23 | 2024-11-20 | — | 280.00 | 280.00 | 0.00% | market | 27.36% | — | — | -3.21% | 1.59% | -4.80% |
| GH | 2024-11-06 | 2024-11-07 | 2024-12-06 | — | 32.39 | 32.39 | 0.00% | market | 18.18% | — | — | 13.63% | 2.48% | 11.15% |
| AVAH | 2024-11-07 | 2024-11-08 | 2024-12-09 | — | 5.77 | 5.77 | 0.00% | market | 253.98% | — | — | -9.39% | 1.43% | -10.81% |
| BAK | 2024-11-07 | 2024-11-08 | 2024-12-09 | — | 5.67 | 5.67 | 0.00% | market | 300.00% | — | — | -15.01% | 1.43% | -16.44% |
| INOD | 2024-11-07 | 2024-11-08 | 2024-12-09 | — | 30.34 | 30.34 | 0.00% | market | 400.00% | — | — | 43.60% | 1.43% | 42.18% |
| NVDA | 2024-11-20 | 2024-11-21 | 2024-12-20 | — | 149.35 | 149.35 | 0.00% | market | 8.00% | — | — | -10.01% | -0.38% | -9.63% |
| RBRK | 2024-12-05 | 2024-12-06 | 2025-01-07 | — | 65.68 | 65.68 | 0.00% | market | 47.50% | — | — | -2.24% | -3.10% | 0.86% |
| PVLA | 2024-05-16 | 2024-12-10 | 2025-01-10 | — | 16.41 | 16.41 | 0.00% | market | 58.33% | — | — | -15.07% | -4.11% | -10.96% |
| CAR | 2025-02-11 | 2025-02-12 | 2025-03-13 | — | 88.60 | 88.60 | 0.00% | market | 54.00% | — | — | -37.57% | -7.97% | -29.60% |
| ASND | 2025-02-12 | 2025-02-13 | 2025-03-14 | — | 138.75 | 138.75 | 0.00% | market | 43.33% | — | — | 10.06% | -6.89% | 16.95% |
| GH | 2025-02-20 | 2025-02-21 | 2025-03-21 | — | 48.50 | 48.50 | 0.00% | market | 17.33% | — | — | -5.15% | -7.57% | 2.42% |
| CDNA | 2025-02-26 | 2025-02-27 | 2025-03-27 | — | 22.38 | 22.38 | 0.00% | market | 260.00% | — | — | -18.21% | -4.99% | -13.22% |
| CORZ | 2025-02-26 | 2025-02-27 | 2025-03-27 | — | 11.87 | 11.87 | 0.00% | market | 90.00% | — | — | -33.81% | -4.99% | -28.83% |
| RBRK | 2025-03-13 | 2025-03-14 | 2025-04-11 | — | 67.80 | 67.80 | 0.00% | market | 53.70% | — | — | -13.16% | -3.99% | -9.18% |
| TMC | 2025-03-27 | 2025-03-28 | 2025-04-28 | — | 1.98 | 1.98 | 0.00% | market | 16.67% | — | — | 66.97% | -2.60% | 69.57% |
| MANH | 2025-04-22 | 2025-04-23 | 2025-05-21 | — | 178.47 | 178.47 | 0.00% | market | 15.53% | — | — | 5.12% | 7.85% | -2.73% |
| EAF | 2025-04-25 | 2025-04-28 | 2025-05-27 | — | 7.05 | 7.05 | 0.00% | market | 13.33% | — | — | 60.08% | 7.21% | 52.87% |
| CCI | 2025-04-30 | 2025-05-01 | 2025-05-30 | — | 105.99 | 105.99 | 0.00% | market | 456.40% | — | — | -5.52% | 5.18% | -10.70% |
| GH | 2025-04-30 | 2025-05-01 | 2025-05-30 | — | 52.65 | 52.65 | 0.00% | market | 19.67% | — | — | -23.05% | 5.18% | -28.23% |
| WK | 2025-05-01 | 2025-05-02 | 2025-06-02 | — | 71.00 | 71.00 | 0.00% | market | 100.00% | — | — | -3.89% | 4.95% | -8.84% |
| VIK | 2025-05-20 | 2025-05-21 | 2025-06-20 | — | 44.57 | 44.57 | 0.00% | market | 18.36% | — | — | 10.82% | 0.99% | 9.82% |
| JOYY | 2025-05-26 | 2025-05-27 | 2025-06-25 | — | 42.00 | 42.00 | 0.00% | market | 29.10% | — | — | 20.09% | 3.59% | 16.49% |
| MANH | 2025-07-22 | 2025-07-23 | 2025-08-20 | — | 245.00 | 245.00 | 0.00% | market | 15.93% | — | — | -13.66% | 1.04% | -14.70% |
| QURE | 2025-07-29 | 2025-07-30 | 2025-08-27 | — | 14.86 | 14.86 | 0.00% | market | 22.47% | — | — | 5.79% | 1.68% | 4.11% |
| GH | 2025-07-30 | 2025-07-31 | 2025-08-28 | — | 44.86 | 44.86 | 0.00% | market | 15.38% | — | — | 43.51% | 1.48% | 42.03% |
| LUMN | 2025-07-31 | 2025-08-01 | 2025-08-29 | — | 4.02 | 4.02 | 0.00% | market | 87.50% | — | — | 23.43% | 2.99% | 20.44% |
| WK | 2025-07-31 | 2025-08-01 | 2025-08-29 | — | 74.40 | 74.40 | 0.00% | market | 280.00% | — | — | 10.34% | 2.99% | 7.34% |
| UI | 2025-08-22 | 2025-08-25 | 2025-09-23 | — | 513.01 | 513.01 | 0.00% | market | 58.74% | — | — | 27.61% | 2.98% | 24.64% |
| NIO | 2025-09-02 | 2025-09-03 | 2025-10-01 | — | 6.38 | 6.38 | 0.00% | market | 16.57% | — | — | 19.71% | 4.01% | 15.69% |
| LUXE | 2025-09-11 | 2025-09-12 | 2025-10-10 | — | 9.09 | 9.09 | 0.00% | market | 3261.11% | — | — | -14.94% | -0.70% | -14.25% |
| FRMI | 2025-09-03 | 2025-10-01 | 2025-10-29 | — | 25.00 | 25.00 | 0.00% | market | 68.02% | — | — | 14.64% | 3.65% | 10.99% |
| MEDP | 2025-10-22 | 2025-10-23 | 2025-11-20 | — | 619.55 | 619.55 | 0.00% | market | 9.35% | — | — | -5.59% | -2.33% | -3.26% |
| GH | 2025-10-29 | 2025-10-30 | 2025-11-28 | — | 89.99 | 89.99 | 0.00% | market | 18.75% | — | — | 20.28% | -0.07% | 20.35% |
| WOLF | 2025-10-29 | 2025-10-30 | 2025-11-28 | — | 25.94 | 25.94 | 0.00% | market | 22.90% | — | — | -22.02% | -0.07% | -21.95% |
| ACH | 2025-10-30 | 2025-10-31 | 2025-12-01 | — | 4.98 | 4.98 | 0.00% | market | 8.70% | — | — | -46.59% | -0.70% | -45.89% |
| LUMN | 2025-10-30 | 2025-10-31 | 2025-12-01 | — | 8.70 | 8.70 | 0.00% | market | 35.48% | — | — | -4.91% | -0.70% | -4.22% |
| XZO | 2025-12-10 | 2025-12-11 | 2026-01-12 | — | 18.28 | 18.28 | 0.00% | market | 19.05% | — | — | 23.32% | 1.46% | 21.86% |
| GEV | 2026-01-28 | 2026-01-29 | 2026-02-27 | — | 717.00 | 717.00 | 0.00% | market | 357.00% | — | — | 21.64% | -1.49% | 23.13% |
| SMG | 2026-01-28 | 2026-01-29 | 2026-02-27 | — | 62.63 | 62.63 | 0.00% | market | 25.96% | — | — | 11.76% | -1.49% | 13.25% |
| SONO | 2026-02-03 | 2026-02-04 | 2026-03-05 | — | 16.10 | 16.10 | 0.00% | market | 26.56% | — | — | -5.79% | -1.31% | -4.48% |
| STEP | 2026-02-05 | 2026-02-06 | 2026-03-09 | — | 61.50 | 61.50 | 0.00% | market | 8.33% | — | — | -26.62% | -0.47% | -26.15% |
| UI | 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-09 | 2026-03-10 | — | 617.57 | 617.57 | 0.00% | market | 25.97% | — | — | 24.41% | -1.78% | 26.19% |
| AUPH | 2026-02-26 | 2026-02-27 | 2026-03-27 | — | 13.98 | 13.98 | 0.00% | market | 23.81% | — | — | 1.87% | -7.17% | 9.05% |
| SITC | 2026-02-26 | 2026-02-27 | 2026-03-27 | — | 6.72 | 6.72 | 0.00% | market | 120.83% | — | — | -21.93% | -7.17% | -14.75% |
| IHS | 2026-03-16 | 2026-03-17 | 2026-04-15 | — | 8.17 | 8.17 | 0.00% | market | 476.47% | — | — | 0.90% | 4.10% | -3.20% |
| BAK | 2026-03-27 | 2026-03-30 | 2026-04-28 | — | 3.59 | 3.59 | 0.00% | market | 51.02% | — | — | -4.38% | 11.18% | -15.56% |
| MANH | 2026-04-21 | 2026-04-22 | 2026-05-20 | — | 149.00 | 149.00 | 0.00% | market | 12.73% | — | — | -8.20% | 4.53% | -12.73% |
| GEV | 2026-04-22 | 2026-04-23 | 2026-05-21 | — | 1,147.89 | 1,147.89 | 0.00% | market | 794.36% | — | — | -9.27% | 4.68% | -13.95% |
| MEDP | 2026-04-22 | 2026-04-23 | 2026-05-21 | — | 375.15 | 375.15 | 0.00% | market | 9.18% | — | — | 14.45% | 4.68% | 9.77% |
| RRR | 2026-04-29 | 2026-04-30 | 2026-05-29 | — | 54.08 | 54.08 | 0.00% | market | 35.19% | — | — | 7.75% | 5.86% | 1.90% |
| SNDK | 2026-04-30 | 2026-05-01 | 2026-06-01 | — | 1,059.02 | 1,059.02 | 0.00% | market | 60.12% | — | — | 66.13% | 5.17% | 60.96% |
| EMAT | 2026-05-22 | 2026-05-26 | 2026-06-24 | — | 8.20 | 8.20 | 0.00% | market | 33.33% | — | — | -16.18% | -2.24% | -13.94% |
| ESTC | 2026-05-28 | 2026-05-29 | 2026-06-29 | — | 53.91 | 53.91 | 0.00% | market | 8.73% | — | — | 5.44% | -1.97% | 7.41% |
| CHPT | 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-04 | 2026-07-06 | — | 7.47 | 7.47 | 0.00% | market | 33.33% | — | — | -16.40% | -0.11% | -16.29% |
| ANGX | 2026-06-11 | 2026-06-12 | 2026-07-14 | — | 2.90 | 2.90 | 0.00% | market | 41.43% | — | — | 40.83% | 1.50% | 39.33% |
| MU | 2026-06-24 | 2026-06-25 | 2026-07-24 | — | 1,233.00 | 1,233.00 | 0.00% | market | 19.69% | — | — | -25.51% | 0.00% | -25.51% |