Defensive / balance sheet 3

Run 5f75d7b0 · view hypothesis

completed

Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.

Trades
167
Win rate
56.29%
Avg return
1.01%
Median return
1.39%
Avg abnormal
-0.48%
Median abnormal
-0.71%
Best trade
49.72%
Worst trade
-27.30%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.08
Daily portfolio drawdown
—
Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
2023243.06%1.64%58.33%
2024581.52%-0.35%55.17%
2025570.55%-0.63%54.39%
202628-0.86%-2.27%60.71%
Trades (167)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceEPS surp.Debt / equityOp. marginReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
CXT2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—58.0058.000.00%market21.74%——-0.39%-0.42%0.03%
KNTK2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—34.5934.590.00%market28.12%——-3.73%-0.42%-3.31%
MED2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—100.00100.000.00%market92.36%——-19.71%-0.42%-19.29%
TGS2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—11.6011.600.00%market3400.00%——0.40%-0.42%0.82%
WHD2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—51.9951.990.00%market21.74%——8.76%-0.42%9.18%
AVAV2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—113.16113.160.00%market284.62%——-5.48%-5.29%-0.18%
RH2023-09-072023-09-082023-10-06—336.00336.000.00%market53.52%——-26.31%-3.45%-22.85%
DAVA2023-09-192023-09-202023-10-18—55.6955.690.00%market26.79%——4.31%-3.11%7.42%
KBH2023-09-202023-09-212023-10-19—46.1646.160.00%market25.87%——-8.06%-2.13%-5.94%
NKE2023-09-282023-09-292023-10-27—99.3799.370.00%market25.33%——-1.60%-4.86%3.26%
DPZ2023-10-122023-10-132023-11-10—345.35345.350.00%market26.67%——9.40%1.24%8.16%
BLK2023-10-132023-10-162023-11-13—630.51630.510.00%market32.08%——4.71%1.47%3.24%
FR2023-10-182023-10-192023-11-16—42.8142.810.00%market90.00%——3.75%4.47%-0.73%
HTH2023-10-192023-10-202023-11-17—29.2429.240.00%market18.75%——4.90%5.82%-0.93%
COF2023-10-262023-10-272023-11-27—96.4996.490.00%market36.92%——9.84%9.73%0.12%
AZN2023-11-092023-11-102023-12-11—127.00127.000.00%market106.41%——-1.62%5.97%-7.58%
CEPU2023-11-122023-11-132023-12-12—6.176.170.00%market244.23%——49.72%5.66%44.06%
CPA2023-11-152023-11-162023-12-15—95.8095.800.00%market15.53%——5.65%4.48%1.17%
BBWI2023-11-162023-11-172023-12-18—30.4830.480.00%market37.14%——35.79%4.83%30.96%
SDRL2023-11-272023-11-282023-12-27—44.7744.770.00%market64.18%——5.52%4.94%0.58%
FGN2023-09-292023-12-122024-01-11—25.3725.370.00%market140.20%——2.56%3.19%-0.63%
PLAB2023-12-132023-12-142024-01-16—26.8426.840.00%market35.85%——10.05%0.51%9.53%
NX2023-12-142023-12-152024-01-17—33.6533.650.00%market35.71%——-9.06%0.60%-9.65%
EPAC2023-12-192023-12-202024-01-22—32.1632.160.00%market21.88%——-6.05%2.00%-8.05%
JBTM2023-12-312024-01-022024-01-31—98.7598.750.00%market33.82%——-0.19%2.27%-2.46%
KSPI2023-09-302024-01-192024-02-16—92.5092.500.00%market30.93%——3.10%4.58%-1.48%
TRV2024-01-192024-01-222024-02-20—212.74212.740.00%market37.72%——3.26%2.63%0.63%
AGYS2024-01-222024-01-232024-02-21—88.4088.400.00%market34.62%——-10.18%2.73%-12.90%
KARO2024-01-222024-01-232024-02-21—25.0325.030.00%market17.24%——-1.44%2.73%-4.17%
AX2024-01-302024-01-312024-02-29—60.0060.000.00%market15.11%——-13.33%3.98%-17.32%
AEM2024-02-152024-02-162024-03-18—47.3147.310.00%market18.75%——16.69%2.22%14.46%
BSM2024-02-192024-02-202024-03-19—15.2015.200.00%market32.65%——3.55%3.61%-0.06%
EXE2024-02-202024-02-212024-03-20—79.5079.500.00%market83.99%——8.22%5.06%3.16%
OPLN2024-02-202024-02-212024-03-20—13.7313.730.00%market23.08%——21.07%5.06%16.01%
ACMR2024-02-282024-02-292024-03-28—31.7131.710.00%market330.00%——-8.30%2.95%-11.26%
PDD2024-03-202024-03-212024-04-19—129.90129.900.00%market50.94%——-12.83%-5.39%-7.44%
NKE2024-03-212024-03-222024-04-22—93.8593.850.00%market32.43%——0.16%-4.29%4.45%
CIG2024-03-222024-03-252024-04-23—1.881.880.00%market77.88%——0.86%-2.72%3.59%
HTB2024-03-312024-04-012024-04-29—27.2027.200.00%market22.33%——-5.46%-2.63%-2.83%
NGS2024-03-292024-04-012024-04-29—19.6219.620.00%market133.33%——20.34%-2.63%22.97%
BMI2024-04-182024-04-192024-05-17—177.36177.360.00%market20.73%——10.99%6.01%4.98%
WDS2024-04-192024-04-222024-05-20—18.4818.480.00%market28.16%——1.26%6.47%-5.21%
MEDP2024-04-222024-04-232024-05-21—378.00378.000.00%market29.55%——4.73%5.90%-1.16%
EGO2024-04-262024-04-292024-05-28—15.2015.200.00%market80.00%——4.27%3.87%0.41%
HCA2024-04-262024-04-292024-05-28—308.85308.850.00%market18.36%——2.98%3.87%-0.89%
BIDU2024-05-162024-05-172024-06-17—111.06111.060.00%market20.00%——-17.89%3.46%-21.35%
TCOM2024-05-202024-05-212024-06-20—56.4556.450.00%market33.87%——-11.66%3.35%-15.01%
PDD2024-05-222024-05-232024-06-24—150.00150.000.00%market76.88%——-5.85%1.84%-7.68%
TKC2024-05-272024-05-282024-06-26—6.886.880.00%market131.27%——5.47%2.87%2.59%
GLNG2024-05-282024-05-292024-06-27—25.9525.950.00%market15.38%——19.18%3.94%15.25%
KBH2024-06-182024-06-202024-07-19—70.3070.300.00%market19.44%——13.60%-0.08%13.68%
MU2024-06-262024-06-272024-07-26—135.79135.790.00%market29.14%——-19.63%-0.17%-19.46%
MKC2024-06-272024-06-282024-07-29—70.8070.800.00%market16.95%——7.31%-0.44%7.75%
MKC-V2024-06-272024-06-282024-07-29—70.2570.250.00%market17.15%——7.37%-0.44%7.81%
NKE2024-06-272024-06-282024-07-29—77.1377.130.00%market21.69%——-4.84%-0.44%-4.40%
CBSH2024-07-182024-07-192024-08-16—57.8957.890.00%market18.89%——-3.12%0.34%-3.46%
APPF2024-07-252024-07-262024-08-23—269.94269.940.00%market21.74%——-15.20%3.66%-18.86%
CORT2024-07-292024-07-302024-08-27—38.3938.390.00%market39.13%——-9.92%2.80%-12.72%
FLS2024-07-292024-07-302024-08-27—51.7551.750.00%market15.87%——-5.28%2.80%-8.08%
PHG2024-07-292024-07-302024-08-27—28.5928.590.00%market28.00%——5.68%2.80%2.88%
CLBT2024-08-152024-08-162024-09-16—14.8814.880.00%market25.00%——17.54%2.07%15.47%
OPRA2024-08-222024-08-232024-09-23—14.9814.980.00%market29.41%——0.73%1.81%-1.08%
TCOM2024-08-262024-08-272024-09-25—46.4546.450.00%market35.14%——9.77%1.89%7.88%
WDS2024-08-272024-08-282024-09-26—18.1118.110.00%market33.07%——-7.65%1.98%-9.63%
NESR2024-08-292024-08-302024-09-30—9.609.600.00%market26.09%——-1.76%2.32%-4.08%
LEN2024-09-192024-09-202024-10-18—185.49185.490.00%market17.36%——1.65%2.95%-1.30%
CTAS2024-09-252024-09-262024-10-24—208.82208.820.00%market15.79%——-0.05%0.85%-0.90%
TRAK2024-09-302024-10-012024-10-29—19.0019.000.00%market33.33%——0.75%1.46%-0.71%
CALM2024-10-012024-10-022024-10-30—76.2076.200.00%market31.33%——16.60%2.17%14.43%
MKC2024-10-012024-10-022024-10-30—83.0283.020.00%market22.06%——-6.32%2.17%-8.49%
MCB2024-10-172024-10-182024-11-15—63.0063.000.00%market20.00%——2.20%0.29%1.91%
MMYT2024-10-232024-10-242024-11-21—100.13100.130.00%market116.61%——9.35%2.36%6.99%
LTC2024-10-282024-10-292024-11-26—35.9135.910.00%market26.92%——8.15%3.59%4.57%
BMRN2024-10-292024-10-302024-11-27—69.6769.670.00%market16.67%——-6.30%3.02%-9.32%
FMC2024-10-292024-10-302024-11-27—63.5063.500.00%market40.82%——-6.50%3.02%-9.52%
DDS2024-11-142024-11-152024-12-16—434.20434.200.00%market18.92%——-2.01%2.89%-4.90%
BBAR2024-11-202024-11-212024-12-20—17.6817.680.00%market15.56%——3.31%-0.38%3.69%
HAFN2024-11-272024-11-292024-12-30—5.725.720.00%market27.27%——-5.10%-1.91%-3.19%
MNSO2024-11-292024-12-022024-12-31—23.0123.010.00%market603.23%——3.62%-2.80%6.43%
BWLP2024-12-022024-12-032025-01-02—12.0012.000.00%market71.29%——-0.95%-3.11%2.16%
BB2024-12-192024-12-202025-01-23—3.003.000.00%market300.00%——38.80%4.81%33.99%
NKE2024-12-192024-12-202025-01-23—75.9675.960.00%market20.00%——-2.40%4.81%-7.21%
AAUC2024-12-312025-01-022025-02-03—7.357.350.00%market85.62%——30.41%1.42%28.99%
CVSA2024-12-312025-01-022025-02-03—91.1191.110.00%market44.53%——14.77%1.42%13.35%
CALM2025-01-072025-01-082025-02-07—109.78109.780.00%market21.47%——-1.55%2.05%-3.60%
CBAN2025-01-222025-01-232025-02-21—16.0516.050.00%market37.50%——5.10%-0.97%6.06%
EQBK2025-01-222025-01-232025-02-21—43.1243.120.00%market17.02%——-0.66%-0.97%0.30%
PIPR2025-01-312025-02-032025-03-04—78.0978.090.00%market20.30%——-16.30%-2.67%-13.63%
BRBR2025-02-032025-02-042025-03-05—77.5077.500.00%market23.40%——-6.55%-2.47%-4.08%
AB2025-02-062025-02-072025-03-10—36.8036.800.00%market22.38%——-0.25%-7.63%7.38%
AMH2025-02-202025-02-212025-03-21—35.5035.500.00%market200.00%——2.28%-7.57%9.85%
BIRK2025-02-202025-02-212025-03-21—53.2153.210.00%market18.75%——-15.12%-7.57%-7.55%
DAVE2025-03-032025-03-042025-04-01—93.0093.000.00%market87.16%——-9.31%-3.23%-6.07%
AOMN2025-03-042025-03-052025-04-02—25.3825.380.00%market56.89%——0.19%-2.11%2.30%
GRND2025-03-072025-03-102025-04-07—14.7814.780.00%market28.57%——15.29%-11.14%26.43%
CIG2025-03-202025-03-212025-04-21—1.931.930.00%market34.55%——-10.56%-8.12%-2.45%
SBS2025-03-242025-03-252025-04-23—3.543.540.00%market731.46%——11.38%-6.93%18.31%
LNN2025-04-032025-04-042025-05-05—127.00127.000.00%market29.10%——3.84%7.61%-3.77%
ERIC2025-04-152025-04-162025-05-15—7.987.980.00%market33.33%——5.82%11.06%-5.24%
FULT2025-04-152025-04-162025-05-15—16.0216.020.00%market25.94%——14.03%11.06%2.98%
BMI2025-04-172025-04-212025-05-19—199.35199.350.00%market21.50%——21.87%14.14%7.73%
ADC2025-04-222025-04-232025-05-21—79.0079.000.00%market149.35%——-5.35%7.85%-13.20%
AMRX2025-05-022025-05-052025-06-03—7.907.900.00%market40.00%——-5.90%5.96%-11.85%
CLBT2025-05-142025-05-152025-06-13—17.6617.660.00%market90.33%——-10.85%1.95%-12.80%
DLO2025-05-142025-05-152025-06-13—12.4312.430.00%market25.00%——-21.28%1.95%-23.23%
GSL2025-05-192025-05-202025-06-18—26.3526.350.00%market16.74%——1.39%0.73%0.66%
AS2025-05-202025-05-212025-06-20—38.3938.390.00%market74.98%——-5.33%0.99%-6.32%
CRDO2025-06-022025-06-032025-07-02—74.9574.950.00%market27.83%——19.04%4.75%14.29%
SLDE2025-05-232025-06-182025-07-18—21.0021.000.00%market71.23%——-12.58%4.87%-17.45%
TEN2025-06-172025-06-182025-07-18—20.6320.630.00%market217.24%——-7.86%4.87%-12.73%
ATEX2025-06-242025-06-252025-07-24—29.4529.450.00%market16.28%——-27.30%4.36%-31.66%
MU2025-06-252025-06-262025-07-25—129.53129.530.00%market19.37%——-14.30%4.62%-18.92%
ERIC2025-07-152025-07-162025-08-13—7.417.410.00%market16.67%——2.90%3.39%-0.49%
TCBI2025-07-172025-07-182025-08-15—91.2491.240.00%market27.34%——-8.20%2.25%-10.45%
TRV2025-07-172025-07-182025-08-15—263.73263.730.00%market78.36%——0.51%2.25%-1.74%
APH2025-07-232025-07-242025-08-21—102.79102.790.00%market21.44%——5.66%0.15%5.51%
BBT2025-07-242025-07-252025-08-22—25.8225.820.00%market16.55%——2.94%1.61%1.33%
BKV2025-08-122025-08-132025-09-11—21.6921.690.00%market160.00%——2.24%1.97%0.27%
CIG2025-08-142025-08-152025-09-15—1.931.930.00%market54.08%——7.57%2.31%5.26%
CLBT2025-08-142025-08-152025-09-15—15.3115.310.00%market20.00%——13.65%2.31%11.34%
NMM2025-08-212025-08-222025-09-22—46.5046.500.00%market23.56%——1.58%4.56%-2.97%
UI2025-08-222025-08-252025-09-23—513.01513.010.00%market58.74%——27.61%2.98%24.64%
FIZZ2025-09-112025-09-122025-10-10—40.4540.450.00%market18.11%——-8.41%-0.70%-7.71%
EBF2025-09-222025-09-232025-10-21—18.5918.590.00%market24.39%——-9.45%0.69%-10.14%
CAG2025-10-012025-10-022025-10-30—19.0919.090.00%market16.77%——-8.95%1.40%-10.35%
ERIC2025-10-142025-10-152025-11-12—9.759.750.00%market23.08%——2.26%2.48%-0.22%
SYF2025-10-152025-10-162025-11-13—72.2372.230.00%market26.55%——1.96%0.78%1.18%
TRV2025-10-162025-10-172025-11-14—262.67262.670.00%market27.39%——9.17%1.88%7.29%
RLI2025-10-202025-10-212025-11-18—62.0862.080.00%market16.57%——2.70%-1.69%4.39%
AEM2025-10-292025-10-302025-11-28—157.35157.350.00%market22.73%——10.65%-0.07%10.73%
AII2025-11-112025-11-122025-12-11—25.0025.000.00%market16.39%——-19.12%0.64%-19.76%
ATEX2025-11-122025-11-132025-12-12—19.9419.940.00%market78.46%——15.15%0.19%14.96%
AEG2025-11-132025-11-142025-12-15—7.757.750.00%market45.66%——-1.62%2.31%-3.93%
TCOM2025-11-172025-11-182025-12-17—70.9670.960.00%market236.52%——1.05%1.40%-0.35%
CRDO2025-12-012025-12-022025-12-31—195.64195.640.00%market36.23%——-26.65%0.00%-26.65%
PLAB2025-12-102025-12-112026-01-12—37.4537.450.00%market32.36%——-10.21%1.46%-11.68%
LULU2025-12-112025-12-122026-01-13—204.58204.580.00%market16.67%——3.38%0.81%2.56%
MU2025-12-172025-12-182026-01-20—256.53256.530.00%market20.71%——42.08%-0.00%42.09%
BIRK2025-12-182025-12-192026-01-21—40.8340.830.00%market41.71%——-3.75%1.30%-5.05%
RPC2024-08-082026-01-142026-02-12—10.0910.090.00%market23.01%——-15.96%-1.41%-14.55%
RPC2024-11-072026-01-142026-02-12—10.0910.090.00%market27.48%——-15.96%-1.41%-14.55%
PNC2026-01-162026-01-202026-02-18—219.79219.790.00%market15.37%——5.69%0.70%4.99%
BOKF2026-01-202026-01-212026-02-19—131.63131.630.00%market33.80%——1.23%0.71%0.52%
FNB2026-01-202026-01-212026-02-19—17.3517.350.00%market21.95%——4.35%0.71%3.64%
BWA2026-02-112026-02-122026-03-13—67.4667.460.00%market16.38%——-25.25%-4.60%-20.65%
CGNX2026-02-112026-02-122026-03-13—56.5056.500.00%market22.73%——-15.28%-4.60%-10.68%
ACLS2026-02-172026-02-182026-03-18—79.2879.280.00%market33.04%——7.95%-3.30%11.25%
CF2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-19—97.0097.000.00%market23.05%——29.24%-3.52%32.76%
FPI2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-19—12.1212.120.00%market19.05%——-7.21%-3.52%-3.70%
CIA2026-03-122026-03-132026-04-13—5.255.250.00%market37.50%——6.28%2.51%3.76%
MNR2026-03-122026-03-132026-04-13—13.5513.550.00%market65.38%——-5.96%2.51%-8.47%
ANDG2026-03-172026-03-182026-04-16—26.2226.220.00%market53.57%——26.57%4.98%21.59%
DLO2026-03-182026-03-192026-04-17—12.4412.440.00%market22.22%——9.77%8.09%1.67%
MU2026-03-182026-03-192026-04-17—424.97424.970.00%market32.75%——6.88%8.09%-1.21%
PLGO2024-05-092026-04-142026-05-12—19.9319.930.00%market18.78%——1.91%7.34%-5.43%
PLGO2024-11-122026-04-142026-05-12—19.9319.930.00%market26.90%——1.91%7.34%-5.43%
NFLX2026-04-162026-04-172026-05-15—96.3796.370.00%market61.21%——-9.90%4.68%-14.58%
PLD2026-04-162026-04-172026-05-15—142.52142.520.00%market30.27%——-1.60%4.68%-6.27%
CBSH2026-04-212026-04-222026-05-20—50.8350.830.00%market16.50%——2.63%4.53%-1.89%
B2026-05-112026-05-122026-06-10—46.3546.350.00%market32.43%——-19.96%-1.56%-18.41%
CEPU2026-05-112026-05-122026-06-10—14.4314.430.00%market243.48%——4.44%-1.56%6.00%
AAUC2026-05-142026-05-152026-06-15—28.9028.900.00%market21.88%——-8.92%1.76%-10.68%
DDS2026-05-142026-05-152026-06-15—537.60537.600.00%market54.68%——5.04%1.76%3.28%
AS2026-05-192026-05-202026-06-18—34.4134.410.00%market24.10%——6.83%1.50%5.33%
SB2026-06-172026-06-182026-07-20—6.906.900.00%market71.43%——3.57%-0.76%4.33%
MU2026-06-242026-06-252026-07-24—1,233.001,233.000.00%market19.69%——-25.51%0.00%-25.51%
EPAC2026-07-072026-07-082026-08-05—35.8235.820.00%market19.28%——3.01%3.58%-0.57%