Growth confirmation 2

Run 5f75da0d · view hypothesis

completed

Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.

Trades
153
Win rate
50.33%
Avg return
2.49%
Median return
0.24%
Avg abnormal
1.01%
Median abnormal
-0.96%
Best trade
110.23%
Worst trade
-35.46%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.14
Daily portfolio drawdown
—
Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
2023182.59%0.02%33.33%
2024503.75%2.12%50.00%
2025572.76%1.67%57.89%
202628-0.38%-1.66%46.43%
Trades (153)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceEPS surp.Rev. surp.Rev. growthReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
MTW2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—19.2019.200.00%market141.94%15.01%—-15.72%-0.42%-15.31%
PLUS2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—75.9075.900.00%market42.42%15.82%—-13.47%-0.42%-13.05%
TNGX2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—3.453.450.00%market34.29%92.59%—110.23%-0.42%110.65%
ACCO2023-08-082023-08-092023-09-07—6.076.070.00%market31.03%11.12%—-13.71%-0.93%-12.78%
CELH2023-08-082023-08-092023-09-07—57.1757.170.00%market88.89%18.21%—19.48%-0.93%20.41%
ASND2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—103.42103.420.00%market12.31%27.29%—-16.95%-5.29%-11.65%
GTLB2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—52.1452.140.00%market134.19%7.54%—-14.39%-5.29%-9.10%
ELS2023-10-162023-10-172023-11-14—64.0764.070.00%market73.38%5.25%—7.49%3.68%3.82%
KNX2023-10-192023-10-202023-11-17—52.0052.000.00%market13.89%6.96%—-1.20%5.82%-7.02%
MTDR2023-10-242023-10-252023-11-22—64.4664.460.00%market12.73%11.73%—-9.71%7.85%-17.56%
SNAP2023-10-242023-10-252023-11-22—10.3710.370.00%market147.22%7.22%—18.51%7.85%10.66%
CLBK2023-10-252023-10-262023-11-24—7.207.200.00%market28.57%19.76%—7.44%9.33%-1.89%
NGS2023-11-142023-11-152023-12-14—14.2114.210.00%market125.00%8.17%—-8.86%4.87%-13.72%
ATAT2023-11-162023-11-172023-12-18—19.3519.350.00%market17.39%17.14%—-11.78%4.83%-16.60%
NVDA2023-11-212023-11-222023-12-21—49.8549.850.00%market17.65%11.21%—-1.93%3.89%-5.82%
HTHT2023-11-242023-11-272023-12-26—37.2837.280.00%market14.29%5.07%—-11.41%4.62%-16.03%
FLNC2023-11-282023-11-292023-12-28—23.3623.360.00%market133.33%90.91%—5.07%4.27%0.79%
CDLR2023-08-292023-12-262024-01-25—18.1018.100.00%market25.24%7.65%—-2.47%2.94%-5.41%
EMA2023-12-312024-01-022024-01-31—36.2436.240.00%market107.94%29.61%—-2.63%2.27%-4.90%
KSPI2023-09-302024-01-192024-02-16—92.5092.500.00%market30.93%48.24%—3.10%4.58%-1.48%
STT2024-01-192024-01-222024-02-20—76.0076.000.00%market12.71%68.08%—-6.06%2.63%-8.69%
GE2024-01-232024-01-242024-02-22—103.89103.890.00%market13.19%11.68%—16.23%4.04%12.19%
BCH2024-01-292024-01-302024-02-28—22.1422.140.00%market20.83%5.57%—2.24%3.20%-0.96%
RNR2024-01-302024-01-312024-02-29—226.01226.010.00%market44.77%62.98%—-0.73%3.98%-4.71%
CBRE2024-02-152024-02-162024-03-18—93.6693.660.00%market16.95%5.98%—-0.85%2.22%-3.08%
ASIX2024-02-162024-02-202024-03-19—28.4028.400.00%market16.67%13.80%—-9.81%3.61%-13.43%
GNK2024-02-212024-02-222024-03-21—18.5018.500.00%market16.22%60.48%—9.64%3.61%6.03%
AGO2024-02-272024-02-282024-03-27—87.5087.500.00%market387.29%169.64%—-0.37%3.53%-3.90%
AMRC2024-02-282024-02-292024-03-28—22.9022.900.00%market21.05%10.35%—5.17%2.95%2.22%
ARR2024-03-152024-03-182024-04-16—18.8318.830.00%market18.89%659.44%—-8.01%-2.04%-5.97%
MU2024-03-202024-03-212024-04-19—113.37113.370.00%market266.22%8.92%—-6.02%-5.39%-0.63%
PDD2024-03-202024-03-212024-04-19—129.90129.900.00%market50.94%21.55%—-12.83%-5.39%-7.44%
NGS2024-03-292024-04-012024-04-29—19.6219.620.00%market133.33%19.54%—20.34%-2.63%22.97%
BB2024-04-032024-04-042024-05-02—2.962.960.00%market193.83%10.80%—-1.55%-3.53%1.98%
GS2024-04-152024-04-162024-05-14—404.45404.450.00%market35.28%9.84%—13.16%3.64%9.52%
DHI2024-04-182024-04-192024-05-17—146.12146.120.00%market15.03%11.79%—3.48%6.01%-2.53%
HTH2024-04-182024-04-192024-05-17—29.2929.290.00%market68.00%160.64%—9.39%6.01%3.38%
IBN2024-04-302024-05-012024-05-30—27.5927.590.00%market21.88%171.94%—-3.64%4.23%-7.88%
ASPN2024-05-012024-05-022024-05-31—19.7919.790.00%market107.69%12.58%—50.99%4.61%46.38%
ARQT2024-05-142024-05-152024-06-13—9.429.420.00%market46.67%236.29%—-1.05%3.16%-4.21%
MITP2024-05-032024-05-202024-06-18—24.9524.950.00%market55.90%11.21%—0.24%3.57%-3.33%
ELF2024-05-222024-05-232024-06-24—172.79172.790.00%market59.64%9.77%—17.97%1.84%16.14%
RNW2024-06-052024-06-062024-07-08—6.116.110.00%market133.33%22.89%—-1.84%3.79%-5.63%
GHM2024-06-072024-06-102024-07-10—27.8227.820.00%market275.00%6.61%—-2.07%5.28%-7.35%
LZB2024-06-172024-06-182024-07-18—39.0939.090.00%market35.71%16.37%—7.63%1.01%6.62%
WS2024-06-262024-06-272024-07-26—33.1933.190.00%market26.19%20.33%—19.26%-0.17%19.43%
PRMB2024-06-292024-07-012024-07-30—21.8821.880.00%market40.83%175.32%—-0.38%-0.67%0.28%
AEHR2024-07-162024-07-172024-08-14—19.2619.260.00%market663.64%7.51%—-29.80%-2.69%-27.10%
WAFD2024-07-162024-07-172024-08-14—33.0033.000.00%market31.58%12.98%—0.56%-2.69%3.25%
SCCO2024-07-192024-07-222024-08-19—101.14101.140.00%market15.24%9.57%—0.49%1.20%-0.70%
ENIC2024-07-252024-07-262024-08-23—2.842.840.00%market28.74%15.81%—-0.20%3.66%-3.86%
PLOW2024-07-292024-07-302024-08-27—29.0329.030.00%market68.18%41.57%—-3.95%2.80%-6.76%
MRCY2024-08-132024-08-142024-09-12—40.4840.480.00%market428.57%7.75%—-9.22%2.99%-12.21%
ZIM2024-08-192024-08-202024-09-18—22.0222.020.00%market72.07%7.40%—-13.37%0.40%-13.77%
AFRM2024-08-282024-08-292024-09-27—39.1139.110.00%market70.87%9.20%—5.04%1.99%3.05%
AGX2024-09-052024-09-062024-10-04—89.0989.090.00%market35.05%23.68%—21.35%4.19%17.16%
CALM2024-10-012024-10-022024-10-30—76.2076.200.00%market31.33%11.53%—16.60%2.17%14.43%
APLD2024-10-092024-10-102024-11-07—7.497.490.00%market89.01%10.68%—3.81%3.45%0.36%
MAT2024-10-232024-10-242024-11-21—18.4418.440.00%market20.00%12.24%—-0.53%2.36%-2.89%
DECK2024-10-242024-10-252024-11-22—169.95169.950.00%market28.23%8.91%—12.86%2.41%10.46%
HAS2024-10-242024-10-252024-11-22—66.7766.770.00%market35.16%25.59%—-6.57%2.41%-8.97%
AAT2024-10-292024-10-302024-11-27—27.8727.870.00%market31.48%10.35%—2.46%3.02%-0.56%
APP2024-11-062024-11-072024-12-06—230.00230.000.00%market35.87%5.90%—74.37%2.48%71.88%
SNEX2024-11-202024-11-212024-12-20—30.4730.470.00%market13.87%5.19%—-7.75%-0.38%-7.37%
NPKI2024-08-052024-11-252024-12-24—7.967.960.00%market50.00%5.71%—-8.37%0.30%-8.66%
CRDO2024-12-022024-12-032025-01-02—64.4464.440.00%market40.00%7.82%—9.87%-3.11%12.98%
REX2024-12-032024-12-042025-01-03—20.9420.940.00%market91.67%9.99%—3.05%-2.26%5.31%
AGX2024-12-052024-12-062025-01-07—156.25156.250.00%market58.73%13.92%—-4.12%-3.10%-1.02%
CALM2025-01-072025-01-082025-02-07—109.78109.780.00%market21.47%38.51%—-1.55%2.05%-3.60%
ALK2025-01-222025-01-232025-02-21—69.7669.760.00%market115.56%11.79%—0.40%-0.97%1.37%
AMTB2025-01-222025-01-232025-02-21—24.2024.200.00%market85.19%10.61%—-6.44%-0.97%-5.47%
ISRG2025-01-232025-01-242025-02-24—581.90581.900.00%market25.57%7.32%—1.37%-2.07%3.43%
LOGI2025-01-282025-01-292025-02-27—97.0097.000.00%market15.22%30.72%—4.14%-3.09%7.23%
AAMI2025-02-062025-02-072025-03-10—24.8624.860.00%market26.21%14.77%—-5.11%-7.63%2.52%
CCJ2025-02-202025-02-212025-03-21—46.4246.420.00%market59.71%54.22%—-4.27%-7.57%3.30%
GHI2025-02-202025-02-212025-03-21—12.1412.140.00%market21.43%6.97%—6.47%-7.57%14.04%
PTGX2025-02-212025-02-242025-03-24—38.7538.750.00%market3200.00%110.63%—35.36%-4.64%40.00%
ARDT2025-02-262025-02-272025-03-27—15.5915.590.00%market62.00%7.26%—-15.79%-4.99%-10.80%
CEPU2025-03-112025-03-122025-04-09—11.5911.590.00%market966566.67%18.73%—-12.62%-2.41%-10.21%
CIG2025-03-202025-03-212025-04-21—1.931.930.00%market34.55%23.17%—-10.56%-8.12%-2.45%
CIG-C2025-03-202025-03-212025-04-21—2.592.590.00%market34.55%23.17%—-7.54%-8.12%0.58%
WOR2025-03-252025-03-262025-04-24—43.5243.520.00%market29.63%5.34%—13.47%-4.95%18.43%
ABX2025-03-272025-03-282025-04-28—7.737.730.00%market23.08%15.67%—6.40%-2.60%8.99%
AEHR2025-04-082025-04-092025-05-08—7.017.010.00%market600.00%23.47%—20.06%14.51%5.54%
EQT2025-04-222025-04-232025-05-21—50.0350.030.00%market14.56%11.86%—11.15%7.85%3.30%
APH2025-04-232025-04-242025-05-22—72.4872.480.00%market20.46%11.99%—17.43%8.64%8.79%
PTEN2025-04-232025-04-242025-05-22—6.216.210.00%market106.50%8.60%—-8.57%8.64%-17.21%
CNC2025-04-252025-04-282025-05-27—57.9557.950.00%market15.08%9.03%—-0.72%7.21%-7.93%
BHR2025-05-072025-05-082025-06-06—2.082.080.00%market17.65%27.32%—15.67%6.00%9.67%
BWLP2025-05-202025-05-212025-06-20—11.2811.280.00%market44.93%5.82%—7.07%0.99%6.08%
DY2025-05-212025-05-222025-06-23—226.08226.080.00%market21.51%5.36%—4.02%3.00%1.02%
AAP2025-05-222025-05-232025-06-24—49.4949.490.00%market72.84%30.82%—-2.69%5.35%-8.03%
CRDO2025-06-022025-06-032025-07-02—74.9574.950.00%market27.83%6.54%—19.04%4.75%14.29%
GHM2025-06-092025-06-102025-07-10—44.8344.830.00%market65.38%11.89%—14.54%4.27%10.28%
AVAV2025-06-242025-06-252025-07-24—223.84223.840.00%market16.67%13.89%—20.96%4.36%16.60%
WS2025-06-252025-06-262025-07-25—31.6631.660.00%market26.51%14.88%—0.34%4.62%-4.28%
GBX2025-07-012025-07-022025-07-31—53.7553.750.00%market116.28%7.25%—-15.55%2.40%-17.95%
SAZ2025-07-082025-07-092025-08-06—25.4225.420.00%market26.82%8.76%—0.35%1.61%-1.26%
NRIX2025-07-092025-07-102025-08-07—14.4814.480.00%market26.76%151.56%—-30.66%1.29%-31.95%
APH2025-07-232025-07-242025-08-21—102.79102.790.00%market21.44%12.12%—5.66%0.15%5.51%
AUB2025-07-242025-07-252025-08-22—33.0433.040.00%market18.75%7.30%—6.49%1.61%4.88%
ETR2025-07-302025-07-312025-08-28—89.6989.690.00%market15.38%7.24%—-1.94%1.48%-3.42%
ADPT2025-08-052025-08-062025-09-04—12.3512.350.00%market29.17%19.20%—5.23%3.19%2.03%
CENT2025-08-062025-08-072025-09-05—40.0140.010.00%market16.42%46.07%—-6.15%1.73%-7.88%
UI2025-08-222025-08-252025-09-23—513.01513.010.00%market58.74%19.51%—27.61%2.98%24.64%
CDLR2025-08-262025-08-272025-09-25—21.5521.550.00%market247.54%47.61%—-4.19%2.09%-6.28%
LI2025-08-282025-08-292025-09-29—23.1123.110.00%market36.72%14.50%—8.97%2.50%6.47%
CRDO2025-09-032025-09-042025-10-02—138.00138.000.00%market43.92%17.02%—8.23%3.85%4.38%
GWRE2025-09-042025-09-052025-10-03—263.99263.990.00%market32.28%5.55%—-13.08%2.72%-15.80%
JEF2025-09-292025-09-302025-10-28—68.2668.260.00%market31.25%51.23%—-18.89%3.64%-22.53%
NBTX2025-09-302025-10-012025-10-29—18.8618.860.00%market45.89%31.22%—-4.81%3.65%-8.47%
APLD2025-10-092025-10-102025-11-07—37.0237.020.00%market14.66%28.51%—-16.52%-0.17%-16.34%
SLG2025-10-152025-10-162025-11-13—57.5457.540.00%market17.91%51.15%—-16.12%0.78%-16.90%
GE2025-10-212025-10-222025-11-19—307.60307.600.00%market13.70%17.68%—-2.40%-1.39%-1.01%
AMKR2025-10-272025-10-282025-11-25—30.6130.610.00%market21.43%7.97%—10.22%-1.75%11.97%
BE2025-10-282025-10-292025-11-26—129.30129.300.00%market48.96%21.52%—-21.98%-1.31%-20.67%
ADPT2025-11-062025-11-072025-12-08—15.3115.310.00%market133.33%45.40%—-2.55%2.35%-4.91%
ARX2025-11-122025-11-132025-12-12—12.8612.860.00%market75.93%5.48%—21.65%0.19%21.47%
BULL2025-11-202025-11-212025-12-22—8.268.260.00%market319.92%18.73%—5.61%4.55%1.06%
BNED2025-11-252025-11-262025-12-26—9.309.300.00%market16.05%13.77%—3.56%1.87%1.69%
PONY2025-11-252025-11-262025-12-26—13.0913.090.00%market28.87%7.40%—14.09%1.87%12.21%
NAVN2025-12-152025-12-162026-01-15—13.6913.690.00%market281.77%7.08%—7.62%1.92%5.70%
MU2025-12-172025-12-182026-01-20—256.53256.530.00%market20.71%5.70%—42.08%-0.00%42.09%
MUFG2025-12-292025-12-302026-01-29—15.9515.950.00%market41.58%131.92%—13.91%0.96%12.95%
SMFG2025-12-292025-12-302026-01-29—19.5219.520.00%market134.26%143.55%—8.87%0.96%7.91%
RPC2025-02-122026-01-142026-02-12—10.0910.090.00%market14.59%9.15%—-15.96%-1.41%-14.55%
BNED2026-01-202026-01-212026-02-19—8.828.820.00%market41.98%163.45%—-6.32%0.71%-7.03%
LOB2026-01-212026-01-222026-02-20—40.0040.000.00%market69.64%14.95%—2.00%-0.06%2.06%
CCS2026-01-282026-01-292026-02-27—65.9265.920.00%market14.39%16.89%—1.79%-1.49%3.28%
BX2026-01-292026-01-302026-03-02—141.45141.450.00%market13.64%7.07%—-18.67%-0.78%-17.88%
CRK2026-02-112026-02-122026-03-13—19.6519.650.00%market45.45%56.12%—5.70%-4.60%10.31%
FPI2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-19—12.1212.120.00%market19.05%16.96%—-7.21%-3.52%-3.70%
AG2026-02-192026-02-202026-03-20—25.0225.020.00%market34.71%14.92%—-27.18%-4.95%-22.23%
BCRX2026-02-262026-02-272026-03-27—7.957.950.00%market1500.00%168.66%—17.16%-7.17%24.33%
CGON2026-02-272026-03-022026-03-30—57.1157.110.00%market16.39%412.94%—11.79%-6.89%18.68%
ABX2026-03-122026-03-132026-04-13—9.539.530.00%market15.00%29.82%—-10.38%2.51%-12.89%
DLO2026-03-182026-03-192026-04-17—12.4412.440.00%market22.22%14.03%—9.77%8.09%1.67%
FLY2026-03-192026-03-202026-04-20—25.5525.550.00%market20.83%10.04%—67.28%7.95%59.32%
NMAX2026-03-262026-03-272026-04-27—6.906.900.00%market64.29%18.64%—-13.68%11.31%-24.99%
GNE2026-03-312026-04-012026-04-30—14.0814.080.00%market128.57%6.45%—-0.98%9.90%-10.88%
PLGO2024-11-122026-04-142026-05-12—19.9319.930.00%market26.90%12.92%—1.91%7.34%-5.43%
EQT2026-04-212026-04-222026-05-20—58.3158.310.00%market12.02%5.08%—-1.02%4.53%-5.55%
MLI2026-04-212026-04-222026-05-20—68.1568.150.00%market44.39%8.26%—-1.83%4.53%-6.36%
SXT2026-04-242026-04-272026-05-26—123.61123.610.00%market30.00%5.99%—-5.66%5.25%-10.91%
APH2026-04-292026-04-302026-05-29—151.94151.940.00%market12.65%7.63%—-2.29%5.86%-8.15%
BATRK2026-05-112026-05-122026-06-10—50.2250.220.00%market24.10%11.47%—0.70%-1.56%2.25%
CAVA2026-05-192026-05-202026-06-18—86.8886.880.00%market17.65%21.56%—2.45%1.50%0.95%
AVEX2026-05-202026-05-212026-06-22—27.0027.000.00%market59.54%7.84%—-35.46%0.78%-36.24%
DY2026-05-272026-05-282026-06-26—523.77523.770.00%market62.50%17.46%—-6.98%-2.83%-4.15%
DELL2026-05-282026-05-292026-06-29—418.00418.000.00%market64.19%22.66%—-1.01%-1.97%0.96%
CASY2026-06-092026-06-102026-07-10—800.65800.650.00%market32.02%5.67%—2.20%2.94%-0.74%
KMX2026-06-172026-06-182026-07-20—48.3048.300.00%market35.75%7.94%—15.56%-0.76%16.31%
CBRS2026-06-232026-06-242026-07-23—208.00208.000.00%market75.55%5.60%—5.57%0.41%5.16%