Valuation overlays (different measures) 5

Run 5f75db56 · view hypothesis

completed

Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.

Trades
182
Win rate
46.15%
Avg return
1.37%
Median return
-1.27%
Avg abnormal
-0.13%
Median abnormal
-3.02%
Best trade
127.61%
Worst trade
-36.97%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.08
Daily portfolio drawdown
—
Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
202325-4.00%-5.10%32.00%
2024642.65%0.73%48.44%
2025613.92%2.73%54.10%
202632-1.86%-3.43%37.50%
Trades (182)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceEPS surp.PEGReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
ADEA2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—11.0611.060.00%market18.18%—-13.22%-0.42%-12.80%
AGM2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—166.85166.850.00%market19.50%—-1.03%-0.42%-0.62%
ASTH2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—37.6737.670.00%market12.40%—-17.61%-0.42%-17.20%
AXSM2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—72.6172.610.00%market19.35%—12.08%-0.42%12.50%
BKD2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—3.933.930.00%market25.00%—1.07%-0.42%1.49%
ASAN2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—19.6719.670.00%market63.64%—-13.57%-5.29%-8.28%
ASND2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—103.42103.420.00%market12.31%—-16.95%-5.29%-11.65%
AVAV2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—113.16113.160.00%market284.62%—-5.48%-5.29%-0.18%
HQY2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—67.9167.910.00%market12.77%—5.97%-5.29%11.26%
AEO2023-09-062023-09-072023-10-05—17.4317.430.00%market56.25%—-7.26%-4.20%-3.06%
PERF2023-10-032023-10-042023-11-01—3.003.000.00%market80.00%—-15.53%0.14%-15.67%
AEHR2023-10-052023-10-062023-11-03—38.7538.750.00%market12.50%—-36.97%3.01%-39.99%
LW2023-10-052023-10-062023-11-03—97.3997.390.00%market49.54%—-3.59%3.01%-6.60%
MANU2023-10-052023-10-062023-11-03—19.0119.010.00%market62.22%—-1.88%3.01%-4.90%
AZZ2023-10-102023-10-112023-11-08—49.5049.500.00%market17.59%—-6.56%0.37%-6.93%
ABEV2023-10-312023-11-012023-11-30—2.532.530.00%market25.00%—8.10%8.87%-0.77%
AAMI2023-11-022023-11-032023-12-04—15.8815.880.00%market52.54%—12.58%5.44%7.15%
ACIW2023-11-022023-11-032023-12-04—23.3523.350.00%market333.33%—18.00%5.44%12.56%
ADT2023-11-022023-11-032023-12-04—6.436.430.00%market321.05%—-3.47%5.44%-8.90%
ACEL2023-11-072023-11-082023-12-07—10.6910.690.00%market37.50%—-6.75%4.73%-11.47%
LZB2023-11-292023-11-302023-12-29—33.6033.600.00%market19.35%—9.68%4.35%5.33%
GTLB2023-12-042023-12-052024-01-04—59.6859.680.00%market1150.00%—-3.72%2.64%-6.36%
SAIC2023-12-042023-12-052024-01-04—134.90134.900.00%market34.32%—-8.84%2.64%-11.48%
ASAN2023-12-052023-12-062024-01-05—19.2519.250.00%market63.64%—-12.51%1.99%-14.50%
AI2023-12-062023-12-072024-01-08—26.5126.510.00%market31.58%—7.57%3.87%3.70%
EMA2023-12-312024-01-022024-01-31—36.2436.240.00%market107.94%—-2.63%2.27%-4.90%
FC2024-01-042024-01-052024-02-05—39.0039.000.00%market89.47%—0.18%5.36%-5.18%
GBX2024-01-052024-01-082024-02-06—47.2847.280.00%market31.51%—-1.49%5.45%-6.94%
CMC2024-01-082024-01-092024-02-07—51.2051.200.00%market12.41%—3.51%5.56%-2.05%
ACI2024-01-092024-01-102024-02-08—23.1523.150.00%market19.70%—-7.98%5.10%-13.07%
ASH2024-01-302024-01-312024-02-29—89.7489.740.00%market136.84%—4.15%3.98%0.16%
BEP2024-02-022024-02-052024-03-05—25.0725.070.00%market123.71%—-11.05%2.73%-13.78%
ACM2024-02-052024-02-062024-03-06—88.8788.870.00%market14.13%—0.44%3.29%-2.85%
AB2024-02-062024-02-072024-03-07—34.0934.090.00%market21.84%—-0.46%3.73%-4.20%
ALL2024-02-072024-02-082024-03-08—163.00163.000.00%market45.86%—-3.93%2.73%-6.66%
ACEL2024-02-282024-02-292024-03-28—10.9910.990.00%market52.94%—7.08%2.95%4.13%
AVAV2024-03-042024-03-052024-04-03—150.64150.640.00%market90.91%—-2.68%1.80%-4.48%
APGE2024-03-052024-03-062024-04-04—61.0861.080.00%market28.89%—-3.61%0.49%-4.10%
ALNT2024-03-062024-03-072024-04-05—35.6035.600.00%market71.88%—-8.09%1.03%-9.12%
ABM2024-03-072024-03-082024-04-08—43.4243.420.00%market21.13%—1.62%0.63%0.99%
CCL2024-03-272024-03-282024-04-26—17.0017.000.00%market20.73%—-11.49%-2.86%-8.64%
HAFN2023-08-252024-04-032024-05-01—7.157.150.00%market19.52%—6.79%-3.36%10.15%
BB2024-04-032024-04-042024-05-02—2.962.960.00%market193.83%—-1.55%-3.53%1.98%
RPM2024-04-042024-04-052024-05-03—112.06112.060.00%market13.04%—-2.73%-0.62%-2.12%
JD2024-04-082024-04-092024-05-07—26.1026.100.00%market23.44%—22.90%-0.65%23.55%
AEM2024-04-252024-04-262024-05-24—66.9566.950.00%market26.67%—0.94%4.56%-3.62%
ACIW2024-04-302024-05-012024-05-30—34.5634.560.00%market62.02%—0.78%4.23%-3.45%
ACLS2024-05-012024-05-022024-05-31—101.25101.250.00%market26.61%—10.90%4.61%6.30%
AAMI2024-05-022024-05-032024-06-03—22.9622.960.00%market20.55%—-1.42%3.26%-4.67%
ADEA2024-05-062024-05-072024-06-05—10.5010.500.00%market13.64%—13.04%3.31%9.73%
BEKE2024-05-232024-05-242024-06-25—16.7016.700.00%market33.33%—-8.76%3.22%-11.98%
AEO2024-05-292024-05-302024-06-28—21.5921.590.00%market21.43%—-7.75%3.76%-11.51%
AMBA2024-05-302024-05-312024-07-01—58.0058.000.00%market18.75%—-7.77%4.15%-11.92%
GCO2024-05-312024-06-032024-07-02—28.6528.650.00%market21.05%—-18.35%3.78%-22.13%
BBWI2024-06-042024-06-052024-07-05—45.3145.310.00%market15.15%—-18.56%4.50%-23.06%
CCL2024-06-252024-06-262024-07-25—17.9017.900.00%market765.46%—-4.67%-0.97%-3.70%
NKE2024-06-272024-06-282024-07-29—77.1377.130.00%market21.69%—-4.84%-0.44%-4.40%
EMA2024-06-302024-07-012024-07-30—33.4533.450.00%market20.55%—7.42%-0.67%8.09%
BNED2024-07-012024-07-022024-07-31—6.336.330.00%market81.29%—67.89%1.31%66.58%
ZGN2024-07-052024-07-082024-08-05—11.3911.390.00%market57.89%—-6.35%-6.85%0.51%
ARR2024-07-242024-07-252024-08-22—20.4220.420.00%market18.68%—-2.21%2.75%-4.95%
BMY2024-07-262024-07-292024-08-26—49.9249.920.00%market27.78%—-3.57%2.71%-6.27%
CORT2024-07-292024-07-302024-08-27—38.3938.390.00%market39.13%—-9.92%2.80%-12.72%
AAT2024-07-302024-07-312024-08-28—25.9825.980.00%market13.21%—3.57%1.70%1.87%
ASIX2024-08-022024-08-052024-09-03—25.8825.880.00%market29.17%—7.41%7.90%-0.49%
BBAR2024-08-212024-08-222024-09-20—10.0110.010.00%market134.62%—18.18%1.01%17.17%
GFI2024-08-232024-08-262024-09-24—14.5814.580.00%market27.76%—6.66%1.44%5.22%
TCOM2024-08-262024-08-272024-09-25—46.4546.450.00%market35.14%—9.77%1.89%7.88%
JOYY2024-08-272024-08-282024-09-26—34.0034.000.00%market28.57%—10.51%1.98%8.53%
JKS2024-08-302024-09-032024-10-01—18.9018.900.00%market1840.00%—34.88%1.45%33.43%
LEN2024-09-192024-09-202024-10-18—185.49185.490.00%market17.36%—1.65%2.95%-1.30%
THO2024-09-242024-09-252024-10-23—108.83108.830.00%market29.23%—-4.41%1.20%-5.61%
FGN2024-09-302024-10-012024-10-29—27.2127.210.00%market42.20%—-1.12%1.46%-2.58%
CALM2024-10-012024-10-022024-10-30—76.2076.200.00%market31.33%—16.60%2.17%14.43%
MKC2024-10-012024-10-022024-10-30—83.0283.020.00%market22.06%—-6.32%2.17%-8.49%
MCB2024-10-172024-10-182024-11-15—63.0063.000.00%market20.00%—2.20%0.29%1.91%
CSGP2024-10-222024-10-232024-11-20—72.4472.440.00%market35.30%—5.09%1.59%3.50%
AGYS2024-10-282024-10-292024-11-26—119.83119.830.00%market13.33%—14.73%3.59%11.14%
AAT2024-10-292024-10-302024-11-27—27.8727.870.00%market31.48%—2.46%3.02%-0.56%
ATRC2024-10-292024-10-302024-11-27—34.4034.400.00%market15.00%—4.95%3.02%1.93%
DAO2024-11-142024-11-152024-12-16—5.025.020.00%market94.00%—54.98%2.89%52.08%
AS2024-11-192024-11-202024-12-19—21.2821.280.00%market40.00%—29.03%-0.72%29.75%
FLNC2024-11-252024-11-262024-12-26—21.0021.000.00%market17.24%—-24.96%0.42%-25.39%
AMBA2024-11-262024-11-272024-12-27—79.7879.780.00%market266.67%—-8.06%-0.91%-7.15%
JOYY2024-11-262024-11-272024-12-27—35.8035.800.00%market15.80%—17.76%-0.91%18.67%
AMTM2024-12-162024-12-172025-01-17—24.2024.200.00%market88.00%—-6.03%-1.09%-4.93%
GIS2024-12-182024-12-192025-01-22—63.5063.500.00%market14.75%—-6.78%2.55%-9.33%
LAR2023-08-092024-12-302025-01-30—2.752.750.00%market391.24%—-4.56%2.92%-7.48%
LAR2023-11-072024-12-302025-01-30—2.752.750.00%market3100.00%—-4.56%2.92%-7.48%
AAUC2024-12-312025-01-022025-02-03—7.357.350.00%market85.62%—30.41%1.42%28.99%
FHN2025-01-162025-01-172025-02-18—21.2821.280.00%market13.16%—3.98%2.43%1.55%
KEY2025-01-212025-01-222025-02-20—17.5017.500.00%market18.75%—0.26%0.74%-0.48%
CALX2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-28—40.0040.000.00%market14.29%—-7.65%-1.62%-6.03%
CPF2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-28—28.3328.330.00%market14.75%—2.31%-1.62%3.93%
ARCB2025-01-312025-02-032025-03-04—90.2590.250.00%market26.67%—-18.02%-2.67%-15.35%
CBL2025-02-142025-02-182025-03-18—32.9832.980.00%market238.89%—-17.33%-8.16%-9.17%
ACVA2025-02-192025-02-202025-03-20—18.5018.500.00%market93.33%—-15.39%-7.53%-7.86%
ABCL2025-02-272025-02-282025-03-28—2.722.720.00%market26.67%—-15.27%-5.11%-10.17%
ACIW2025-02-272025-02-282025-03-28—54.5054.500.00%market47.95%—-0.60%-5.11%4.50%
ASTS2025-03-032025-03-042025-04-01—24.5224.520.00%market14.29%—-11.09%-3.23%-7.86%
BALY2025-03-172025-03-182025-04-15—17.5117.510.00%market176.32%—-12.71%-4.81%-7.89%
AEVA2025-03-192025-03-202025-04-17—3.203.200.00%market15.52%—127.61%-6.55%134.17%
ABX2025-03-272025-03-282025-04-28—7.737.730.00%market23.08%—6.40%-2.60%8.99%
ADCT2025-03-272025-03-282025-04-28—1.481.480.00%market23.68%—-1.55%-2.60%1.04%
PRGS2025-03-312025-04-012025-04-30—54.5054.500.00%market23.58%—9.82%-0.52%10.34%
GS2025-04-142025-04-152025-05-14—507.41507.410.00%market14.61%—20.33%8.88%11.45%
AA2025-04-162025-04-172025-05-16—23.8023.800.00%market27.98%—23.33%12.61%10.71%
CNC2025-04-252025-04-282025-05-27—57.9557.950.00%market15.08%—-0.72%7.21%-7.93%
CRI2025-04-252025-04-282025-05-27—33.1233.120.00%market24.53%—-2.25%7.21%-9.46%
AAT2025-04-292025-04-302025-05-29—18.6618.660.00%market15.56%—7.78%7.76%0.03%
EVTL2025-05-132025-05-142025-06-12—5.025.020.00%market1210.00%—17.93%2.71%15.22%
BABA2025-05-152025-05-162025-06-16—125.78125.780.00%market16.89%—-8.01%1.93%-9.94%
JOYY2025-05-262025-05-272025-06-25—42.0042.000.00%market29.10%—20.09%3.59%16.49%
BOX2025-05-272025-05-282025-06-26—34.8634.860.00%market15.96%—-2.27%3.43%-5.70%
ANF2025-05-282025-05-292025-06-27—88.4888.480.00%market16.91%—-6.71%3.68%-10.39%
CHWY2025-06-112025-06-122025-07-14—40.8040.800.00%market109.83%—-7.53%4.13%-11.66%
APPS2025-06-162025-06-172025-07-17—5.545.540.00%market100.00%—-6.34%4.64%-10.97%
ATEX2025-06-242025-06-252025-07-24—29.4529.450.00%market16.28%—-27.30%4.36%-31.66%
MU2025-06-252025-06-262025-07-25—129.53129.530.00%market19.37%—-14.30%4.62%-18.92%
AYI2025-06-262025-06-272025-07-28—303.33303.330.00%market15.32%—2.83%3.93%-1.10%
C2025-07-152025-07-162025-08-13—91.4891.480.00%market18.07%—3.27%3.39%-0.13%
AA2025-07-162025-07-172025-08-14—29.1229.120.00%market20.97%—7.39%3.29%4.10%
ALK2025-07-232025-07-242025-08-21—52.3652.360.00%market14.10%—4.69%0.15%4.54%
AAL2025-07-242025-07-252025-08-22—11.5511.550.00%market21.79%—17.12%1.61%15.51%
AN2025-07-252025-07-282025-08-25—203.41203.410.00%market16.17%—7.52%0.78%6.74%
BKV2025-08-122025-08-132025-09-11—21.6921.690.00%market160.00%—2.24%1.97%0.27%
ARCO2025-08-132025-08-142025-09-12—7.617.610.00%market120.00%—-10.98%2.27%-13.25%
DY2025-08-202025-08-212025-09-19—259.00259.000.00%market14.04%—3.88%4.31%-0.42%
NMM2025-08-212025-08-222025-09-22—46.5046.500.00%market23.56%—1.58%4.56%-2.97%
UI2025-08-222025-08-252025-09-23—513.01513.010.00%market58.74%—27.61%2.98%24.64%
CHWY2025-09-102025-09-112025-10-09—35.9135.910.00%market131.25%—8.74%2.60%6.14%
FIZZ2025-09-112025-09-122025-10-10—40.4540.450.00%market18.11%—-8.41%-0.70%-7.71%
HTFL2025-09-192025-09-222025-10-20—32.6232.620.00%market71.83%—7.25%1.37%5.88%
EBF2025-09-222025-09-232025-10-21—18.5918.590.00%market24.39%—-9.45%0.69%-10.14%
THO2025-09-242025-09-252025-10-23—106.57106.570.00%market99.14%—2.11%2.10%0.01%
APLD2025-10-092025-10-102025-11-07—37.0237.020.00%market14.66%—-16.52%-0.17%-16.34%
NEOG2025-10-092025-10-102025-11-07—6.886.880.00%market154.05%—-7.18%-0.17%-7.00%
ALLY2025-10-172025-10-202025-11-17—40.8240.820.00%market15.00%—-7.82%-0.25%-7.57%
CCK2025-10-202025-10-212025-11-18—101.31101.310.00%market13.13%—-6.23%-1.69%-4.54%
AA2025-10-222025-10-232025-11-20—37.6937.690.00%market85.83%—-5.13%-2.33%-2.80%
AAON2025-11-062025-11-072025-12-08—99.8399.830.00%market12.12%—-17.03%2.35%-19.38%
ACHR2025-11-062025-11-072025-12-08—7.837.830.00%market60.27%—9.76%2.35%7.41%
MFG2025-11-142025-11-172025-12-16—6.876.870.00%market17.65%—7.22%1.37%5.85%
JJSF2025-11-172025-11-182025-12-17—84.2284.220.00%market27.42%—12.14%1.40%10.73%
GDS2025-11-192025-11-202025-12-19—31.0731.070.00%market850.00%—15.44%1.14%14.30%
VSCO2025-12-052025-12-082026-01-07—49.5149.510.00%market53.92%—22.91%0.44%22.47%
VSXY2025-12-052025-12-082026-01-07—49.5149.510.00%market53.92%—22.91%0.44%22.47%
NAVN2025-12-152025-12-162026-01-15—13.6913.690.00%market281.77%—7.62%1.92%5.70%
MU2025-12-172025-12-182026-01-20—256.53256.530.00%market20.71%—42.08%-0.00%42.09%
BIRK2025-12-182025-12-192026-01-21—40.8340.830.00%market41.71%—-3.75%1.30%-5.05%
AIR2026-01-062026-01-072026-02-05—94.9194.910.00%market15.69%—12.40%-2.10%14.51%
PENG2026-01-062026-01-072026-02-05—23.6623.660.00%market19.51%—-26.49%-2.10%-24.38%
GS2026-01-152026-01-162026-02-17—973.00973.000.00%market19.74%—-6.05%-1.56%-4.50%
PNC2026-01-162026-01-202026-02-18—219.79219.790.00%market15.37%—5.69%0.70%4.99%
BNED2026-01-202026-01-212026-02-19—8.828.820.00%market41.98%—-6.32%0.71%-7.03%
ADNT2026-02-042026-02-052026-03-06—25.0025.000.00%market90.22%—-15.08%-1.26%-13.82%
ALGT2026-02-042026-02-052026-03-06—102.28102.280.00%market42.29%—-22.47%-1.26%-21.22%
AAP2026-02-132026-02-172026-03-17—58.3858.380.00%market109.76%—-11.27%-1.37%-9.89%
ACLS2026-02-172026-02-182026-03-18—79.2879.280.00%market33.04%—7.95%-3.30%11.25%
CF2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-19—97.0097.000.00%market23.05%—29.24%-3.52%32.76%
ALNT2026-03-052026-03-062026-04-06—61.6561.650.00%market19.57%—-2.50%-2.15%-0.35%
AMBQ2026-03-052026-03-062026-04-06—29.5029.500.00%market17.95%—-4.34%-2.15%-2.19%
BALY2026-03-162026-03-172026-04-15—12.8712.870.00%market22.34%—-9.83%4.10%-13.93%
ANDG2026-03-172026-03-182026-04-16—26.2226.220.00%market53.57%—26.57%4.98%21.59%
BGSI2026-03-182026-03-192026-04-17—138.51138.510.00%market42.86%—-11.58%8.09%-19.67%
LEVI2026-04-072026-04-082026-05-06—22.6522.650.00%market14.32%—1.48%8.49%-7.01%
PXED2026-04-072026-04-082026-05-06—33.4533.450.00%market70.59%—-10.63%8.49%-19.13%
C2026-04-142026-04-152026-05-13—131.25131.250.00%market15.47%—-5.65%6.77%-12.41%
MS2026-04-152026-04-162026-05-14—190.93190.930.00%market13.58%—1.69%6.72%-5.03%
BNY2026-04-162026-04-172026-05-15—135.96135.960.00%market14.80%—-0.89%4.68%-5.57%
ADPT2026-05-052026-05-062026-06-04—14.6414.640.00%market18.75%—23.30%3.97%19.32%
AES2026-05-052026-05-062026-06-04—14.4314.430.00%market34.00%—1.88%3.97%-2.09%
AKA2026-05-122026-05-132026-06-11—12.4012.400.00%market32.65%—-27.94%-0.10%-27.85%
ATAT2026-05-132026-05-142026-06-12—37.2437.240.00%market29.73%—-9.36%-0.26%-9.10%
AAUC2026-05-142026-05-152026-06-15—28.9028.900.00%market21.88%—-8.92%1.76%-10.68%
AI2026-06-032026-06-042026-07-06—11.2211.220.00%market13.16%—-17.49%-0.11%-17.38%
CHPT2026-06-032026-06-042026-07-06—7.477.470.00%market33.33%—-16.40%-0.11%-16.29%
CHWY2026-06-102026-06-112026-07-13—19.1119.110.00%market77.39%—6.13%2.80%3.33%
ANGX2026-06-112026-06-122026-07-14—2.902.900.00%market41.43%—40.83%1.50%39.33%
LZB2026-06-162026-06-172026-07-17—42.1842.180.00%market53.66%—-5.68%-1.06%-4.61%
HCM2026-07-022026-07-062026-08-03—11.6311.630.00%market112.85%—-0.89%1.19%-2.08%
EPAC2026-07-072026-07-082026-08-05—35.8235.820.00%market19.28%—3.01%3.58%-0.57%