Defensive / balance sheet 1 (Copy)

Run 5f75e6f7 · view hypothesis

completed

Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.

Trades
174
Win rate
52.30%
Avg return
3.49%
Median return
1.22%
Avg abnormal
1.92%
Median abnormal
-0.89%
Best trade
78.96%
Worst trade
-29.80%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.19
Daily portfolio drawdown
—
Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
2023250.64%-0.28%56.00%
2024595.62%3.67%54.24%
2025592.17%0.92%49.15%
2026314.22%2.29%51.61%
Trades (174)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceEPS surp.Debt / equityP/EReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
ACVA2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—17.2017.200.00%market85.71%——-3.63%-0.42%-3.22%
ASTH2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—37.6737.670.00%market12.40%——-17.61%-0.42%-17.20%
CRSP2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—49.2749.270.00%market55.05%——3.49%-0.42%3.91%
GHM2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—15.7015.700.00%market725.00%——4.07%-0.42%4.48%
HIMS2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—9.269.260.00%market40.00%——-25.58%-0.42%-25.16%
AVAV2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—113.16113.160.00%market284.62%——-5.48%-5.29%-0.18%
GTLB2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—52.1452.140.00%market134.19%——-14.39%-5.29%-9.10%
AGX2023-09-062023-09-072023-10-05—42.6442.640.00%market25.33%——8.59%-4.20%12.79%
AI2023-09-062023-09-072023-10-05—27.9427.940.00%market47.06%——-13.48%-4.20%-9.28%
INTA2023-09-062023-09-072023-10-05—35.0035.000.00%market300.00%——0.06%-4.20%4.26%
PERF2023-10-032023-10-042023-11-01—3.003.000.00%market80.00%——-15.53%0.14%-15.67%
DPZ2023-10-122023-10-132023-11-10—345.35345.350.00%market26.67%——9.40%1.24%8.16%
BLK2023-10-132023-10-162023-11-13—630.51630.510.00%market32.08%——4.71%1.47%3.24%
PGR2023-10-132023-10-162023-11-13—156.04156.040.00%market22.22%——3.57%1.47%2.10%
FHN2023-10-182023-10-192023-11-16—11.0811.080.00%market12.50%——9.55%4.47%5.07%
ABEV2023-10-312023-11-012023-11-30—2.532.530.00%market25.00%——8.10%8.87%-0.77%
AMPX2023-11-092023-11-102023-12-11—3.123.120.00%market16.67%——28.01%5.97%22.04%
CEPU2023-11-122023-11-132023-12-12—6.176.170.00%market244.23%——49.72%5.66%44.06%
LAC2023-11-102023-11-132023-12-12—7.317.310.00%market180.00%——-20.45%5.66%-26.11%
GLBE2023-11-152023-11-162023-12-15—29.2229.220.00%market16.67%——34.26%4.48%29.79%
CRDO2023-11-292023-11-302023-12-29—18.4618.460.00%market509.76%——5.27%4.35%0.92%
PLAB2023-12-132023-12-142024-01-16—26.8426.840.00%market35.85%——10.05%0.51%9.53%
LZM2023-12-142023-12-152024-01-17—8.738.730.00%market24.97%——-28.84%0.60%-29.43%
NX2023-12-142023-12-152024-01-17—33.6533.650.00%market35.71%——-9.06%0.60%-9.65%
BB2023-12-202023-12-212024-01-23—3.883.880.00%market136.97%——-8.71%2.87%-11.58%
JBTM2023-12-312024-01-022024-01-31—98.7598.750.00%market33.82%——-0.19%2.27%-2.46%
AA2024-01-172024-01-182024-02-15—27.6227.620.00%market43.43%——-1.03%5.91%-6.94%
KSPI2023-09-302024-01-192024-02-16—92.5092.500.00%market30.93%——3.10%4.58%-1.48%
TRV2024-01-192024-01-222024-02-20—212.74212.740.00%market37.72%——3.26%2.63%0.63%
AGYS2024-01-222024-01-232024-02-21—88.4088.400.00%market34.62%——-10.18%2.73%-12.90%
AX2024-01-302024-01-312024-02-29—60.0060.000.00%market15.11%——-13.33%3.98%-17.32%
ACGL2024-02-142024-02-152024-03-15—86.4386.430.00%market28.35%——6.11%2.11%3.99%
AEM2024-02-152024-02-162024-03-18—47.3147.310.00%market18.75%——16.69%2.22%14.46%
ASIX2024-02-162024-02-202024-03-19—28.4028.400.00%market16.67%——-9.81%3.61%-13.43%
EXE2024-02-202024-02-212024-03-20—79.5079.500.00%market83.99%——8.22%5.06%3.16%
ACMR2024-02-282024-02-292024-03-28—31.7131.710.00%market330.00%——-8.30%2.95%-11.26%
ELVN2024-03-142024-03-152024-04-15—11.1311.130.00%market16.07%——78.96%-1.13%80.08%
BLND2024-03-152024-03-182024-04-16—2.882.880.00%market12.50%——-17.56%-2.04%-15.52%
JOYY2024-03-182024-03-192024-04-17—30.2030.200.00%market32.89%——6.46%-2.26%8.72%
XPEV2024-03-192024-03-202024-04-18—9.519.510.00%market49.73%——-24.81%-3.15%-21.66%
BRZE2024-03-272024-03-282024-04-26—45.3145.310.00%market20.00%——-8.15%-2.86%-5.29%
FBK2024-04-152024-04-162024-05-14—34.0034.000.00%market21.43%——13.24%3.64%9.61%
ERIC2024-04-162024-04-172024-05-15—4.914.910.00%market100.00%——15.48%4.69%10.79%
DHI2024-04-182024-04-192024-05-17—146.12146.120.00%market15.03%——3.48%6.01%-2.53%
FOR2024-04-182024-04-192024-05-17—31.3631.360.00%market23.61%——11.31%6.01%5.30%
AEM2024-04-252024-04-262024-05-24—66.9566.950.00%market26.67%——0.94%4.56%-3.62%
BLTE2024-05-132024-05-142024-06-12—41.3741.370.00%market20.59%——20.61%3.89%16.73%
CIG2024-05-142024-05-152024-06-13—1.981.980.00%market21.34%——-6.77%3.16%-9.93%
BIDU2024-05-162024-05-172024-06-17—111.06111.060.00%market20.00%——-17.89%3.46%-21.35%
DDS2024-05-162024-05-172024-06-17—435.83435.830.00%market15.16%——-2.54%3.46%-6.00%
BILI2024-05-232024-05-242024-06-25—13.8113.810.00%market13.27%——24.78%3.22%21.57%
RBRK2024-06-112024-06-122024-07-12—36.5736.570.00%market13.66%——-7.64%3.39%-11.03%
CURV2024-06-122024-06-132024-07-15—7.007.000.00%market71.43%——25.94%3.38%22.56%
EBF2024-06-172024-06-182024-07-18—21.6721.670.00%market13.89%——7.05%1.01%6.04%
LZB2024-06-172024-06-182024-07-18—39.0939.090.00%market35.71%——7.63%1.01%6.62%
UNF2024-06-262024-06-272024-07-26—176.95176.950.00%market20.43%——7.88%-0.17%8.05%
AEHR2024-07-162024-07-172024-08-14—19.2619.260.00%market663.64%——-29.80%-2.69%-27.10%
NIC2024-07-162024-07-172024-08-14—95.0095.000.00%market15.66%——-8.29%-2.69%-5.60%
NOK2024-07-182024-07-192024-08-16—3.633.630.00%market20.00%——11.09%0.34%10.75%
OFG2024-07-182024-07-192024-08-16—43.2343.230.00%market12.50%——-0.18%0.34%-0.52%
BKR2024-07-252024-07-262024-08-23—36.3236.320.00%market16.33%——-3.23%3.66%-6.89%
ANRO2024-08-132024-08-142024-09-12—9.009.000.00%market15.49%——44.24%2.99%41.25%
ELVN2024-08-132024-08-142024-09-12—22.4422.440.00%market29.31%——-0.69%2.99%-3.68%
CLBT2024-08-152024-08-162024-09-16—14.8814.880.00%market25.00%——17.54%2.07%15.47%
JD2024-08-152024-08-162024-09-16—27.9427.940.00%market50.00%——-6.07%2.07%-8.14%
DAO2024-08-222024-08-232024-09-23—3.293.290.00%market57.87%——-5.06%1.81%-6.88%
LEN2024-09-192024-09-202024-10-18—185.49185.490.00%market17.36%——1.65%2.95%-1.30%
THO2024-09-242024-09-252024-10-23—108.83108.830.00%market29.23%——-4.41%1.20%-5.61%
CALM2024-10-012024-10-022024-10-30—76.2076.200.00%market31.33%——16.60%2.17%14.43%
QUBT2024-10-022024-10-032024-10-31—0.650.650.00%market25.00%——72.11%0.23%71.88%
DPZ2024-10-102024-10-112024-11-08—414.83414.830.00%market14.79%——10.62%3.84%6.78%
MCB2024-10-172024-10-182024-11-15—63.0063.000.00%market20.00%——2.20%0.29%1.91%
LRN2024-10-222024-10-232024-11-20—84.5384.530.00%market327.27%——21.41%1.59%19.82%
ATRC2024-10-292024-10-302024-11-27—34.4034.400.00%market15.00%——4.95%3.02%1.93%
AFL2024-10-302024-10-312024-11-29—107.19107.190.00%market27.81%——6.15%4.69%1.46%
ACMR2024-11-072024-11-082024-12-09—20.0020.000.00%market70.27%——-20.10%1.43%-21.53%
DAO2024-11-142024-11-152024-12-16—5.025.020.00%market94.00%——54.98%2.89%52.08%
LUXE2024-11-192024-11-202024-12-19—6.436.430.00%market211.68%——9.44%-0.72%10.17%
AMBA2024-11-262024-11-272024-12-27—79.7879.780.00%market266.67%——-8.06%-0.91%-7.15%
HAFN2024-11-272024-11-292024-12-30—5.725.720.00%market27.27%——-5.10%-1.91%-3.19%
AI2024-12-092024-12-102025-01-10—37.1137.110.00%market62.50%——-12.84%-4.11%-8.73%
BB2024-12-192024-12-202025-01-23—3.003.000.00%market300.00%——38.80%4.81%33.99%
LAR2023-08-092024-12-302025-01-30—2.752.750.00%market391.24%——-4.56%2.92%-7.48%
LAR2023-11-072024-12-302025-01-30—2.752.750.00%market3100.00%——-4.56%2.92%-7.48%
AAUC2024-12-312025-01-022025-02-03—7.357.350.00%market85.62%——30.41%1.42%28.99%
MSM2025-01-082025-01-102025-02-10—81.8481.840.00%market17.81%——-1.76%3.24%-5.00%
OFG2025-01-222025-01-232025-02-21—44.5044.500.00%market12.37%——-6.58%-0.97%-5.61%
CALX2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-28—40.0040.000.00%market14.29%——-7.65%-1.62%-6.03%
CPF2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-28—28.3328.330.00%market14.75%——2.31%-1.62%3.93%
ARCB2025-01-312025-02-032025-03-04—90.2590.250.00%market26.67%——-18.02%-2.67%-15.35%
PRLB2025-02-072025-02-102025-03-11—42.8542.850.00%market18.75%——-13.53%-7.96%-5.56%
CELH2025-02-202025-02-212025-03-21—34.1134.110.00%market27.27%——-3.66%-7.57%3.91%
ABCL2025-02-272025-02-282025-03-28—2.722.720.00%market26.67%——-15.27%-5.11%-10.17%
ALKT2025-02-272025-02-282025-03-28—28.0728.070.00%market25.00%——-6.11%-5.11%-1.01%
ASTS2025-03-032025-03-042025-04-01—24.5224.520.00%market14.29%——-11.09%-3.23%-7.86%
BNTX2025-03-102025-03-112025-04-08—103.53103.530.00%market148.70%——-16.50%-11.25%-5.26%
ANRO2025-03-202025-03-212025-04-21—2.632.630.00%market13.85%——-11.99%-8.12%-3.87%
ADCT2025-03-272025-03-282025-04-28—1.481.480.00%market23.68%——-1.55%-2.60%1.04%
AGX2025-03-272025-03-282025-04-28—138.10138.100.00%market93.04%——9.78%-2.60%12.37%
PVLA2025-03-312025-04-012025-04-30—28.3028.300.00%market1125.64%——-14.40%-0.52%-13.88%
AEHR2025-04-082025-04-092025-05-08—7.017.010.00%market600.00%——20.06%14.51%5.54%
IIIN2025-04-172025-04-212025-05-19—29.8829.880.00%market66.67%——24.26%14.14%10.12%
EAF2025-04-252025-04-282025-05-27—7.057.050.00%market13.33%——60.08%7.21%52.87%
HCA2025-04-252025-04-282025-05-27—327.05327.050.00%market12.17%——15.63%7.21%8.42%
ACGL2025-04-292025-04-302025-05-29—88.4188.410.00%market16.67%——6.35%7.76%-1.41%
ACVA2025-05-072025-05-082025-06-06—16.3616.360.00%market100.00%——0.90%6.00%-5.10%
GSL2025-05-192025-05-202025-06-18—26.3526.350.00%market16.74%——1.39%0.73%0.66%
JOYY2025-05-262025-05-272025-06-25—42.0042.000.00%market29.10%——20.09%3.59%16.49%
ZH2025-05-272025-05-282025-06-26—3.973.970.00%market131.57%——-3.73%3.43%-7.16%
AI2025-05-282025-05-292025-06-27—26.5926.590.00%market20.39%——-9.04%3.68%-12.72%
BRZE2025-06-052025-06-062025-07-08—31.4531.450.00%market52.64%——-8.53%3.62%-12.15%
SLDE2025-05-232025-06-182025-07-18—21.0021.000.00%market71.23%——-12.58%4.87%-17.45%
ATEX2025-06-242025-06-252025-07-24—29.4529.450.00%market16.28%——-27.30%4.36%-31.66%
MU2025-06-252025-06-262025-07-25—129.53129.530.00%market19.37%——-14.30%4.62%-18.92%
AYI2025-06-262025-06-272025-07-28—303.33303.330.00%market15.32%——2.83%3.93%-1.10%
AEHR2025-07-082025-07-092025-08-06—12.4412.440.00%market33.33%——45.94%1.61%44.33%
IIIN2025-07-172025-07-182025-08-15—36.2436.240.00%market14.71%——2.39%2.25%0.15%
BPOP2025-07-232025-07-242025-08-21—115.49115.490.00%market21.65%——2.84%0.15%2.69%
AAL2025-07-242025-07-252025-08-22—11.5511.550.00%market21.79%——17.12%1.61%15.51%
FHB2025-07-252025-07-282025-08-25—25.6025.600.00%market18.37%——-1.33%0.78%-2.12%
ACLS2025-08-052025-08-062025-09-04—77.1677.160.00%market54.79%——1.91%3.19%-1.28%
DAO2025-08-142025-08-152025-09-15—9.799.790.00%market674.71%——-9.39%2.31%-11.70%
RERE2025-08-202025-08-212025-09-19—4.554.550.00%market20.00%——-7.89%4.31%-12.20%
YMM2025-08-212025-08-222025-09-22—12.2612.260.00%market12.50%——9.83%4.56%5.27%
UI2025-08-222025-08-252025-09-23—513.01513.010.00%market58.74%——27.61%2.98%24.64%
GTLB2025-09-032025-09-042025-10-02—43.5543.550.00%market46.52%——6.55%3.85%2.70%
HTFL2025-09-192025-09-222025-10-20—32.6232.620.00%market71.83%——7.25%1.37%5.88%
EBF2025-09-222025-09-232025-10-21—18.5918.590.00%market24.39%——-9.45%0.69%-10.14%
THO2025-09-242025-09-252025-10-23—106.57106.570.00%market99.14%——2.11%2.10%0.01%
FRMI2025-09-032025-10-012025-10-29—25.0025.000.00%market68.02%——14.64%3.65%10.99%
NEOG2025-10-092025-10-102025-11-07—6.886.880.00%market154.05%——-7.18%-0.17%-7.00%
RLI2025-10-202025-10-212025-11-18—62.0862.080.00%market16.57%——2.70%-1.69%4.39%
CASH2025-10-212025-10-222025-11-19—72.3872.380.00%market22.46%——-7.01%-1.39%-5.62%
ASIC2025-10-222025-10-232025-11-20—18.9718.970.00%market39.39%——-6.16%-2.33%-3.82%
ALKS2025-10-282025-10-292025-11-26—31.0031.000.00%market16.67%——-4.33%-1.31%-3.02%
ACHR2025-11-062025-11-072025-12-08—7.837.830.00%market60.27%——9.76%2.35%7.41%
TCOM2025-11-172025-11-182025-12-17—70.9670.960.00%market236.52%——1.05%1.40%-0.35%
BIDU2025-11-182025-11-192025-12-18—115.07115.070.00%market30.00%——4.51%2.37%2.14%
ZTO2025-11-192025-11-202025-12-19—19.6719.670.00%market23.52%——7.93%1.14%6.79%
AMBA2025-11-252025-11-262025-12-26—79.9779.970.00%market32.81%——-10.92%1.87%-12.79%
SAIL2025-12-092025-12-102026-01-09—19.8719.870.00%market34.52%——-1.21%1.69%-2.89%
MU2025-12-172025-12-182026-01-20—256.53256.530.00%market20.71%——42.08%-0.00%42.09%
BIRK2025-12-182025-12-192026-01-21—40.8340.830.00%market41.71%——-3.75%1.30%-5.05%
FC2026-01-072026-01-082026-02-06—16.1516.150.00%market133.33%——20.48%0.26%20.22%
AEHR2026-01-082026-01-092026-02-09—23.9023.900.00%market50.00%——15.24%0.48%14.76%
NEOG2026-01-082026-01-092026-02-09—9.989.980.00%market42.86%——6.11%0.48%5.63%
FOR2026-01-202026-01-212026-02-19—26.1626.160.00%market42.86%——13.14%0.71%12.43%
MCB2026-01-202026-01-212026-02-19—80.5780.570.00%market25.91%——16.27%0.71%15.56%
ARW2026-02-052026-02-062026-03-09—145.13145.130.00%market23.66%——-3.85%-0.47%-3.38%
BIIB2026-02-062026-02-092026-03-10—199.83199.830.00%market22.09%——-5.91%-1.78%-4.14%
IMVT2026-02-062026-02-092026-03-10—27.6927.690.00%market15.28%——-7.31%-1.78%-5.54%
CVNA2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-19—68.3868.380.00%market265.22%——-14.15%-3.52%-10.64%
CYH2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-19—3.113.110.00%market95.11%——-3.74%-3.52%-0.22%
ATAI2026-03-062026-03-092026-04-07—3.403.400.00%market58.33%——11.27%-1.08%12.35%
HRTG2026-03-092026-03-102026-04-08—27.7327.730.00%market33.54%——-4.20%-0.25%-3.95%
ADCT2026-03-102026-03-112026-04-09—4.744.740.00%market87.50%——-20.88%0.34%-21.22%
ARX2026-03-182026-03-192026-04-17—11.7011.700.00%market43.75%——20.23%8.09%12.13%
DLO2026-03-182026-03-192026-04-17—12.4412.440.00%market22.22%——9.77%8.09%1.67%
AEHR2026-04-072026-04-082026-05-06—57.3557.350.00%market28.57%——68.47%8.49%59.97%
LEVI2026-04-072026-04-082026-05-06—22.6522.650.00%market14.32%——1.48%8.49%-7.01%
BB2026-04-092026-04-102026-05-08—3.903.900.00%market20.00%——63.13%8.26%54.87%
NFLX2026-04-162026-04-172026-05-15—96.3796.370.00%market61.21%——-9.90%4.68%-14.58%
EQT2026-04-212026-04-222026-05-20—58.3158.310.00%market12.02%——-1.02%4.53%-5.55%
AIZ2026-05-052026-05-062026-06-04—235.96235.960.00%market12.48%——6.45%3.97%2.48%
AIZN2026-05-052026-05-062026-06-04—19.6619.660.00%market12.48%——-2.44%3.97%-6.41%
AGO2026-05-072026-05-082026-06-08—79.0079.000.00%market66.67%——-5.49%0.58%-6.07%
DDS2026-05-142026-05-152026-06-15—537.60537.600.00%market54.68%——5.04%1.76%3.28%
AS2026-05-192026-05-202026-06-18—34.4134.410.00%market24.10%——6.83%1.50%5.33%
AI2026-06-032026-06-042026-07-06—11.2211.220.00%market13.16%——-17.49%-0.11%-17.38%
CHPT2026-06-032026-06-042026-07-06—7.477.470.00%market33.33%——-16.40%-0.11%-16.29%
BMNP2026-01-132026-06-102026-07-10—88.5088.500.00%market10553.33%——-3.34%2.94%-6.28%
CBRS2026-06-232026-06-242026-07-23—208.00208.000.00%market75.55%——5.57%0.41%5.16%
MU2026-06-242026-06-252026-07-24—1,233.001,233.000.00%market19.69%——-25.51%0.00%-25.51%
EPAC2026-07-072026-07-082026-08-05—35.8235.820.00%market19.28%——3.01%3.58%-0.57%