Defensive / balance sheet 5

Run 5f75e7a7 · view hypothesis

completed

Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.

Trades
168
Win rate
57.14%
Avg return
2.65%
Median return
2.15%
Avg abnormal
1.18%
Median abnormal
-0.22%
Best trade
63.13%
Worst trade
-29.80%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.18
Daily portfolio drawdown
—
Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
2023243.24%2.02%58.33%
2024583.14%1.41%56.90%
2025581.76%0.61%56.90%
2026282.97%1.15%57.14%
Trades (168)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceEPS surp.Debt / equityP/EReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
ASTH2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—37.6737.670.00%market12.40%——-17.61%-0.42%-17.20%
GHM2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—15.7015.700.00%market725.00%——4.07%-0.42%4.48%
KNTK2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—34.5934.590.00%market28.12%——-3.73%-0.42%-3.31%
MED2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—100.00100.000.00%market92.36%——-19.71%-0.42%-19.29%
PLUS2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—75.9075.900.00%market42.42%——-13.47%-0.42%-13.05%
AVAV2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—113.16113.160.00%market284.62%——-5.48%-5.29%-0.18%
AGX2023-09-062023-09-072023-10-05—42.6442.640.00%market25.33%——8.59%-4.20%12.79%
RH2023-09-072023-09-082023-10-06—336.00336.000.00%market53.52%——-26.31%-3.45%-22.85%
DAVA2023-09-192023-09-202023-10-18—55.6955.690.00%market26.79%——4.31%-3.11%7.42%
KBH2023-09-202023-09-212023-10-19—46.1646.160.00%market25.87%——-8.06%-2.13%-5.94%
PERF2023-10-032023-10-042023-11-01—3.003.000.00%market80.00%——-15.53%0.14%-15.67%
DPZ2023-10-122023-10-132023-11-10—345.35345.350.00%market26.67%——9.40%1.24%8.16%
BLK2023-10-132023-10-162023-11-13—630.51630.510.00%market32.08%——4.71%1.47%3.24%
FHN2023-10-182023-10-192023-11-16—11.0811.080.00%market12.50%——9.55%4.47%5.07%
WGO2023-10-182023-10-192023-11-16—56.5356.530.00%market17.78%——14.94%4.47%10.47%
ABEV2023-10-312023-11-012023-11-30—2.532.530.00%market25.00%——8.10%8.87%-0.77%
CLMT2023-11-092023-11-102023-12-11—14.5614.560.00%market123.08%——18.62%5.97%12.65%
CEPU2023-11-122023-11-132023-12-12—6.176.170.00%market244.23%——49.72%5.66%44.06%
KLIC2023-11-152023-11-162023-12-15—46.6046.600.00%market18.60%——17.40%4.48%12.92%
BBWI2023-11-162023-11-172023-12-18—30.4830.480.00%market37.14%——35.79%4.83%30.96%
DELL2023-11-302023-12-012024-01-02—71.8671.860.00%market27.89%——3.88%3.70%0.17%
PLAB2023-12-132023-12-142024-01-16—26.8426.840.00%market35.85%——10.05%0.51%9.53%
NX2023-12-142023-12-152024-01-17—33.6533.650.00%market35.71%——-9.06%0.60%-9.65%
CDLR2023-08-292023-12-262024-01-25—18.1018.100.00%market25.24%——-2.47%2.94%-5.41%
JBTM2023-12-312024-01-022024-01-31—98.7598.750.00%market33.82%——-0.19%2.27%-2.46%
FC2024-01-042024-01-052024-02-05—39.0039.000.00%market89.47%——0.18%5.36%-5.18%
KSPI2023-09-302024-01-192024-02-16—92.5092.500.00%market30.93%——3.10%4.58%-1.48%
TRV2024-01-192024-01-222024-02-20—212.74212.740.00%market37.72%——3.26%2.63%0.63%
FBP2024-01-242024-01-252024-02-23—16.6716.670.00%market36.11%——-0.92%4.16%-5.08%
AX2024-01-302024-01-312024-02-29—60.0060.000.00%market15.11%——-13.33%3.98%-17.32%
PIPR2024-02-022024-02-052024-03-05—46.9546.950.00%market54.41%——0.89%2.73%-1.84%
CVE2024-02-152024-02-162024-03-18—17.4517.450.00%market16.00%——8.45%2.22%6.23%
BSM2024-02-192024-02-202024-03-19—15.2015.200.00%market32.65%——3.55%3.61%-0.06%
FCN2024-02-222024-02-232024-03-22—222.67222.670.00%market36.53%——-7.57%2.34%-9.92%
ACMR2024-02-282024-02-292024-03-28—31.7131.710.00%market330.00%——-8.30%2.95%-11.26%
BBAR2024-03-052024-03-062024-04-04—6.676.670.00%market555.56%——29.19%0.49%28.69%
JOYY2024-03-182024-03-192024-04-17—30.2030.200.00%market32.89%——6.46%-2.26%8.72%
STNE2024-03-182024-03-192024-04-17—15.4315.430.00%market12.50%——-1.37%-2.26%0.90%
CMC2024-03-212024-03-222024-04-22—58.8658.860.00%market17.33%——-6.59%-4.29%-2.30%
HTB2024-03-312024-04-012024-04-29—27.2027.200.00%market22.33%——-5.46%-2.63%-2.83%
JD2024-04-082024-04-092024-05-07—26.1026.100.00%market23.44%——22.90%-0.65%23.55%
ERIC2024-04-162024-04-172024-05-15—4.914.910.00%market100.00%——15.48%4.69%10.79%
DHI2024-04-182024-04-192024-05-17—146.12146.120.00%market15.03%——3.48%6.01%-2.53%
MEDP2024-04-222024-04-232024-05-21—378.00378.000.00%market29.55%——4.73%5.90%-1.16%
EGO2024-04-262024-04-292024-05-28—15.2015.200.00%market80.00%——4.27%3.87%0.41%
BCC2024-05-062024-05-072024-06-05—137.71137.710.00%market13.48%——-3.18%3.31%-6.48%
CIG2024-05-142024-05-152024-06-13—1.981.980.00%market21.34%——-6.77%3.16%-9.93%
BIDU2024-05-162024-05-172024-06-17—111.06111.060.00%market20.00%——-17.89%3.46%-21.35%
TCOM2024-05-202024-05-212024-06-20—56.4556.450.00%market33.87%——-11.66%3.35%-15.01%
BOW2024-05-242024-05-282024-06-26—25.8525.850.00%market33.81%——-6.93%2.87%-9.81%
BBWI2024-06-042024-06-052024-07-05—45.3145.310.00%market15.15%——-18.56%4.50%-23.06%
CURV2024-06-122024-06-132024-07-15—7.007.000.00%market71.43%——25.94%3.38%22.56%
EBF2024-06-172024-06-182024-07-18—21.6721.670.00%market13.89%——7.05%1.01%6.04%
KBH2024-06-182024-06-202024-07-19—70.3070.300.00%market19.44%——13.60%-0.08%13.68%
UNF2024-06-262024-06-272024-07-26—176.95176.950.00%market20.43%——7.88%-0.17%8.05%
AEHR2024-07-162024-07-172024-08-14—19.2619.260.00%market663.64%——-29.80%-2.69%-27.10%
NIC2024-07-162024-07-172024-08-14—95.0095.000.00%market15.66%——-8.29%-2.69%-5.60%
NOK2024-07-182024-07-192024-08-16—3.633.630.00%market20.00%——11.09%0.34%10.75%
OFG2024-07-182024-07-192024-08-16—43.2343.230.00%market12.50%——-0.18%0.34%-0.52%
BKR2024-07-252024-07-262024-08-23—36.3236.320.00%market16.33%——-3.23%3.66%-6.89%
LUNR2024-08-132024-08-142024-09-12—3.613.610.00%market64.29%——57.69%2.99%54.70%
QFIN2024-08-132024-08-142024-09-12—22.3422.340.00%market23.23%——11.30%2.99%8.31%
JD2024-08-152024-08-162024-09-16—27.9427.940.00%market50.00%——-6.07%2.07%-8.14%
MSGE2024-08-162024-08-192024-09-17—40.4840.480.00%market371.15%——2.39%1.50%0.89%
OPRA2024-08-222024-08-232024-09-23—14.9814.980.00%market29.41%——0.73%1.81%-1.08%
LEN2024-09-192024-09-202024-10-18—185.49185.490.00%market17.36%——1.65%2.95%-1.30%
THO2024-09-242024-09-252024-10-23—108.83108.830.00%market29.23%——-4.41%1.20%-5.61%
CALM2024-10-012024-10-022024-10-30—76.2076.200.00%market31.33%——16.60%2.17%14.43%
DPZ2024-10-102024-10-112024-11-08—414.83414.830.00%market14.79%——10.62%3.84%6.78%
NIC2024-10-152024-10-162024-11-13—101.03101.030.00%market12.90%——10.64%3.00%7.64%
MCB2024-10-172024-10-182024-11-15—63.0063.000.00%market20.00%——2.20%0.29%1.91%
LRN2024-10-222024-10-232024-11-20—84.5384.530.00%market327.27%——21.41%1.59%19.82%
CB2024-10-292024-10-302024-11-27—289.67289.670.00%market14.86%——0.03%3.02%-2.99%
ACMR2024-11-072024-11-082024-12-09—20.0020.000.00%market70.27%——-20.10%1.43%-21.53%
BKV2024-11-122024-11-132024-12-12—20.8120.810.00%market15.62%——12.29%1.17%11.13%
DAO2024-11-142024-11-152024-12-16—5.025.020.00%market94.00%——54.98%2.89%52.08%
QFIN2024-11-192024-11-202024-12-19—34.1934.190.00%market25.18%——10.68%-0.72%11.41%
JOYY2024-11-262024-11-272024-12-27—35.8035.800.00%market15.80%——17.76%-0.91%18.67%
PVLA2023-08-112024-12-102025-01-10—16.4116.410.00%market128.88%——-15.07%-4.11%-10.96%
PLAB2024-12-112024-12-122025-01-14—27.7627.760.00%market13.46%——-15.40%-4.02%-11.38%
LAR2023-08-092024-12-302025-01-30—2.752.750.00%market391.24%——-4.56%2.92%-7.48%
LAR2023-11-072024-12-302025-01-30—2.752.750.00%market3100.00%——-4.56%2.92%-7.48%
CALM2025-01-072025-01-082025-02-07—109.78109.780.00%market21.47%——-1.55%2.05%-3.60%
MSM2025-01-082025-01-102025-02-10—81.8481.840.00%market17.81%——-1.76%3.24%-5.00%
KARO2025-01-142025-01-152025-02-13—47.4047.400.00%market13.16%——1.64%3.29%-1.65%
CPF2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-28—28.3328.330.00%market14.75%——2.31%-1.62%3.93%
META2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-28—696.82696.820.00%market18.81%——-4.31%-1.62%-2.69%
AB2025-02-062025-02-072025-03-10—36.8036.800.00%market22.38%——-0.25%-7.63%7.38%
ACGL2025-02-102025-02-112025-03-12—89.5089.500.00%market18.95%——-0.58%-7.25%6.67%
ALKS2025-02-122025-02-132025-03-14—33.6233.620.00%market28.40%——1.02%-6.89%7.91%
HAFN2025-02-272025-02-282025-03-28—4.234.230.00%market15.38%——-0.20%-5.11%4.91%
OPRA2025-02-272025-02-282025-03-28—18.4118.410.00%market39.13%——-12.31%-5.11%-7.21%
BNTX2025-03-102025-03-112025-04-08—103.53103.530.00%market148.70%——-16.50%-11.25%-5.26%
EDN2025-03-112025-03-122025-04-09—32.4532.450.00%market1062600.00%——-16.29%-2.41%-13.88%
AVAH2025-03-132025-03-142025-04-11—5.245.240.00%market1178.77%——-14.51%-3.99%-10.53%
AGX2025-03-272025-03-282025-04-28—138.10138.100.00%market93.04%——9.78%-2.60%12.37%
KEEL2025-03-272025-03-282025-04-28—0.910.910.00%market175.00%——11.36%-2.60%13.96%
BLK2025-04-112025-04-142025-05-13—897.27897.270.00%market12.10%——6.70%7.87%-1.17%
BFC2025-04-152025-04-162025-05-15—103.30103.300.00%market12.35%——12.09%11.06%1.04%
ERIC2025-04-152025-04-162025-05-15—7.987.980.00%market33.33%——5.82%11.06%-5.24%
HCA2025-04-252025-04-282025-05-27—327.05327.050.00%market12.17%——15.63%7.21%8.42%
CBNA2025-04-282025-04-292025-05-28—24.9524.950.00%market57.41%——7.86%7.07%0.78%
AUPH2025-05-122025-05-132025-06-11—8.188.180.00%market100.00%——-1.30%3.08%-4.38%
DLO2025-05-142025-05-152025-06-13—12.4312.430.00%market25.00%——-21.28%1.95%-23.23%
KARO2025-05-142025-05-152025-06-13—47.9947.990.00%market18.92%——0.32%1.95%-1.63%
JOYY2025-05-262025-05-272025-06-25—42.0042.000.00%market29.10%——20.09%3.59%16.49%
REX2025-05-282025-05-292025-06-27—20.0320.030.00%market47.06%——22.92%3.68%19.23%
ETOR2025-06-102025-06-112025-07-11—66.4866.480.00%market26.14%——-13.51%3.22%-16.73%
SLDE2025-05-232025-06-182025-07-18—21.0021.000.00%market71.23%——-12.58%4.87%-17.45%
ATEX2025-06-242025-06-252025-07-24—29.4529.450.00%market16.28%——-27.30%4.36%-31.66%
MU2025-06-252025-06-262025-07-25—129.53129.530.00%market19.37%——-14.30%4.62%-18.92%
AYI2025-06-262025-06-272025-07-28—303.33303.330.00%market15.32%——2.83%3.93%-1.10%
AA2025-07-162025-07-172025-08-14—29.1229.120.00%market20.97%——7.39%3.29%4.10%
IIIN2025-07-172025-07-182025-08-15—36.2436.240.00%market14.71%——2.39%2.25%0.15%
BPOP2025-07-232025-07-242025-08-21—115.49115.490.00%market21.65%——2.84%0.15%2.69%
AAL2025-07-242025-07-252025-08-22—11.5511.550.00%market21.79%——17.12%1.61%15.51%
FHB2025-07-252025-07-282025-08-25—25.6025.600.00%market18.37%——-1.33%0.78%-2.12%
HBM2025-08-132025-08-142025-09-12—11.1311.130.00%market72.73%——21.36%2.27%19.09%
DDS2025-08-142025-08-152025-09-15—492.28492.280.00%market22.96%——19.02%2.31%16.71%
RERE2025-08-202025-08-212025-09-19—4.554.550.00%market20.00%——-7.89%4.31%-12.20%
YMM2025-08-212025-08-222025-09-22—12.2612.260.00%market12.50%——9.83%4.56%5.27%
UI2025-08-222025-08-252025-09-23—513.01513.010.00%market58.74%——27.61%2.98%24.64%
FIZZ2025-09-112025-09-122025-10-10—40.4540.450.00%market18.11%——-8.41%-0.70%-7.71%
EBF2025-09-222025-09-232025-10-21—18.5918.590.00%market24.39%——-9.45%0.69%-10.14%
THO2025-09-242025-09-252025-10-23—106.57106.570.00%market99.14%——2.11%2.10%0.01%
NEOG2025-10-092025-10-102025-11-07—6.886.880.00%market154.05%——-7.18%-0.17%-7.00%
ERIC2025-10-142025-10-152025-11-12—9.759.750.00%market23.08%——2.26%2.48%-0.22%
JBHT2025-10-152025-10-162025-11-13—162.99162.990.00%market20.55%——1.84%0.78%1.05%
RLI2025-10-202025-10-212025-11-18—62.0862.080.00%market16.57%——2.70%-1.69%4.39%
ASIC2025-10-222025-10-232025-11-20—18.9718.970.00%market39.39%——-6.16%-2.33%-3.82%
AGO2025-11-062025-11-072025-12-08—83.9083.900.00%market57.14%——4.21%2.35%1.86%
AII2025-11-112025-11-122025-12-11—25.0025.000.00%market16.39%——-19.12%0.64%-19.76%
ATEX2025-11-122025-11-132025-12-12—19.9419.940.00%market78.46%——15.15%0.19%14.96%
TCOM2025-11-172025-11-182025-12-17—70.9670.960.00%market236.52%——1.05%1.40%-0.35%
ZTO2025-11-192025-11-202025-12-19—19.6719.670.00%market23.52%——7.93%1.14%6.79%
PLAB2025-12-102025-12-112026-01-12—37.4537.450.00%market32.36%——-10.21%1.46%-11.68%
XZO2025-12-102025-12-112026-01-12—18.2818.280.00%market19.05%——23.32%1.46%21.86%
LULU2025-12-112025-12-122026-01-13—204.58204.580.00%market16.67%——3.38%0.81%2.56%
MU2025-12-172025-12-182026-01-20—256.53256.530.00%market20.71%——42.08%-0.00%42.09%
BIRK2025-12-182025-12-192026-01-21—40.8340.830.00%market41.71%——-3.75%1.30%-5.05%
KBH2026-01-122026-01-132026-02-11—61.7361.730.00%market40.78%——3.35%-0.51%3.86%
IIIN2026-01-152026-01-162026-02-17—32.3532.350.00%market18.18%——15.13%-1.56%16.69%
FOR2026-01-202026-01-212026-02-19—26.1626.160.00%market42.86%——13.14%0.71%12.43%
MCB2026-01-202026-01-212026-02-19—80.5780.570.00%market25.91%——16.27%0.71%15.56%
DCOM2026-01-212026-01-222026-02-20—31.7531.750.00%market12.86%——7.74%-0.06%7.80%
EXEL2026-02-102026-02-112026-03-12—43.4643.460.00%market22.08%——-5.47%-4.36%-1.11%
MMI2026-02-132026-02-172026-03-17—25.9225.920.00%market58.14%——-1.40%-1.37%-0.02%
CVNA2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-19—68.3868.380.00%market265.22%——-14.15%-3.52%-10.64%
CYH2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-19—3.113.110.00%market95.11%——-3.74%-3.52%-0.22%
AG2026-02-192026-02-202026-03-20—25.0225.020.00%market34.71%——-27.18%-4.95%-22.23%
GRDN2026-03-112026-03-122026-04-10—34.5234.520.00%market37.04%——13.21%1.24%11.98%
DLO2026-03-182026-03-192026-04-17—12.4412.440.00%market22.22%——9.77%8.09%1.67%
MU2026-03-182026-03-192026-04-17—424.97424.970.00%market32.75%——6.88%8.09%-1.21%
PUK2026-03-182026-03-192026-04-17—28.3828.380.00%market46.48%——8.68%8.09%0.59%
SFD2026-03-242026-03-252026-04-23—24.9624.960.00%market22.78%——17.11%7.56%9.55%
BB2026-04-092026-04-102026-05-08—3.903.900.00%market20.00%——63.13%8.26%54.87%
NFLX2026-04-162026-04-172026-05-15—96.3796.370.00%market61.21%——-9.90%4.68%-14.58%
EQT2026-04-212026-04-222026-05-20—58.3158.310.00%market12.02%——-1.02%4.53%-5.55%
MCB2026-04-212026-04-222026-05-20—90.0990.090.00%market26.41%——0.65%4.53%-3.87%
BANR2026-04-222026-04-232026-05-21—64.9364.930.00%market15.22%——-0.71%4.68%-5.39%
AGO2026-05-072026-05-082026-06-08—79.0079.000.00%market66.67%——-5.49%0.58%-6.07%
DDS2026-05-142026-05-152026-06-15—537.60537.600.00%market54.68%——5.04%1.76%3.28%
AS2026-05-192026-05-202026-06-18—34.4134.410.00%market24.10%——6.83%1.50%5.33%
BEKE2026-05-192026-05-202026-06-18—18.1118.110.00%market42.86%——-17.87%1.50%-19.37%
SBLK2026-05-202026-05-212026-06-22—27.9827.980.00%market17.89%——-5.42%0.78%-6.20%
MU2026-06-242026-06-252026-07-24—1,233.001,233.000.00%market19.69%——-25.51%0.00%-25.51%
FC2026-07-012026-07-022026-07-31—19.2919.290.00%market12.50%——11.00%-0.05%11.05%
EPAC2026-07-072026-07-082026-08-05—35.8235.820.00%market19.28%——3.01%3.58%-0.57%