Valuation overlays (different measures) 1 (max 10 pos)

Run 5f75ec01 · view hypothesis

completed

Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.

Trades
177
Win rate
57.06%
Avg return
3.92%
Median return
1.58%
Avg abnormal
2.42%
Median abnormal
-0.48%
Best trade
127.61%
Worst trade
-32.55%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.21
Daily portfolio drawdown
—
Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
202325-0.55%-1.52%44.00%
2024614.67%2.68%59.02%
2025605.52%4.45%58.33%
2026312.96%1.19%61.29%
Trades (177)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceEPS surp.P/EReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
ACVA2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—17.2017.200.00%market85.71%—-3.63%-0.42%-3.22%
AGM2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—166.85166.850.00%market19.50%—-1.03%-0.42%-0.62%
AXGN2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—8.078.070.00%market80.00%—-23.99%-0.42%-23.58%
AXSM2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—72.6172.610.00%market19.35%—12.08%-0.42%12.50%
BKD2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—3.933.930.00%market25.00%—1.07%-0.42%1.49%
ASAN2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—19.6719.670.00%market63.64%—-13.57%-5.29%-8.28%
ASND2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—103.42103.420.00%market12.31%—-16.95%-5.29%-11.65%
GTLB2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—52.1452.140.00%market134.19%—-14.39%-5.29%-9.10%
ZS2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—159.16159.160.00%market30.61%—-2.74%-5.29%2.56%
AEO2023-09-062023-09-072023-10-05—17.4317.430.00%market56.25%—-7.26%-4.20%-3.06%
LW2023-10-052023-10-062023-11-03—97.3997.390.00%market49.54%—-3.59%3.01%-6.60%
MANU2023-10-052023-10-062023-11-03—19.0119.010.00%market62.22%—-1.88%3.01%-4.90%
AZZ2023-10-102023-10-112023-11-08—49.5049.500.00%market17.59%—-6.56%0.37%-6.93%
BLK2023-10-132023-10-162023-11-13—630.51630.510.00%market32.08%—4.71%1.47%3.24%
C2023-10-132023-10-162023-11-13—41.9541.950.00%market25.62%—1.59%1.47%0.12%
AAMI2023-11-022023-11-032023-12-04—15.8815.880.00%market52.54%—12.58%5.44%7.15%
ABCL2023-11-022023-11-032023-12-04—3.973.970.00%market28.57%—16.68%5.44%11.24%
ACMR2023-11-072023-11-082023-12-07—15.5915.590.00%market62.86%—3.20%4.73%-1.53%
CEPU2023-11-122023-11-132023-12-12—6.176.170.00%market244.23%—49.72%5.66%44.06%
LAC2023-11-102023-11-132023-12-12—7.317.310.00%market180.00%—-20.45%5.66%-26.11%
GTLB2023-12-042023-12-052024-01-04—59.6859.680.00%market1150.00%—-3.72%2.64%-6.36%
SAIC2023-12-042023-12-052024-01-04—134.90134.900.00%market34.32%—-8.84%2.64%-11.48%
AI2023-12-062023-12-072024-01-08—26.5126.510.00%market31.58%—7.57%3.87%3.70%
BLBD2023-12-112023-12-122024-01-11—24.0024.000.00%market37.50%—3.13%3.19%-0.06%
FGN2023-09-292023-12-122024-01-11—25.3725.370.00%market140.20%—2.56%3.19%-0.63%
GBX2024-01-052024-01-082024-02-06—47.2847.280.00%market31.51%—-1.49%5.45%-6.94%
CMC2024-01-082024-01-092024-02-07—51.2051.200.00%market12.41%—3.51%5.56%-2.05%
ACI2024-01-092024-01-102024-02-08—23.1523.150.00%market19.70%—-7.98%5.10%-13.07%
C2024-01-122024-01-162024-02-13—51.7851.780.00%market15.07%—1.69%3.96%-2.27%
GS2024-01-162024-01-172024-02-14—375.20375.200.00%market56.13%—0.56%5.67%-5.11%
ALGT2024-02-052024-02-062024-03-06—73.9973.990.00%market116.42%—0.81%3.29%-2.47%
AB2024-02-062024-02-072024-03-07—34.0934.090.00%market21.84%—-0.46%3.73%-4.20%
ALL2024-02-072024-02-082024-03-08—163.00163.000.00%market45.86%—-3.93%2.73%-6.66%
ASPN2024-02-122024-02-132024-03-13—13.2113.210.00%market91.67%—35.30%4.34%30.97%
ABNB2024-02-132024-02-142024-03-14—146.16146.160.00%market15.85%—13.68%3.66%10.02%
APGE2024-03-052024-03-062024-04-04—61.0861.080.00%market28.89%—-3.61%0.49%-4.10%
AMPY2024-03-062024-03-072024-04-05—6.336.330.00%market463.16%—8.17%1.03%7.14%
ABM2024-03-072024-03-082024-04-08—43.4243.420.00%market21.13%—1.62%0.63%0.99%
BRT2024-03-122024-03-132024-04-11—16.0616.060.00%market480.00%—7.40%0.17%7.22%
EGY2024-03-132024-03-142024-04-12—4.804.800.00%market208.33%—45.84%-1.18%47.03%
BB2024-04-032024-04-042024-05-02—2.962.960.00%market193.83%—-1.55%-3.53%1.98%
GBX2024-04-052024-04-082024-05-06—53.5853.580.00%market19.77%—-2.96%-0.50%-2.47%
JD2024-04-082024-04-092024-05-07—26.1026.100.00%market23.44%—22.90%-0.65%23.55%
AGX2024-04-112024-04-122024-05-10—55.2055.200.00%market18.67%—20.31%1.26%19.05%
C2024-04-122024-04-152024-05-13—60.1860.180.00%market51.22%—5.15%1.12%4.03%
ACLS2024-05-012024-05-022024-05-31—101.25101.250.00%market26.61%—10.90%4.61%6.30%
ADNT2024-05-032024-05-062024-06-04—27.7027.700.00%market38.46%—1.35%2.85%-1.50%
BCC2024-05-062024-05-072024-06-05—137.71137.710.00%market13.48%—-3.18%3.31%-6.48%
ACHR2024-05-092024-05-102024-06-10—3.883.880.00%market20.69%—-15.15%2.65%-17.80%
BAP2024-05-102024-05-132024-06-11—174.60174.600.00%market14.22%—-9.93%2.75%-12.68%
AMBA2024-05-302024-05-312024-07-01—58.0058.000.00%market18.75%—-7.77%4.15%-11.92%
GTLB2024-06-032024-06-042024-07-03—46.9046.900.00%market179.07%—13.17%4.75%8.42%
GWRE2024-06-042024-06-052024-07-05—123.59123.590.00%market95.64%—12.55%4.50%8.05%
RBRK2024-06-112024-06-122024-07-12—36.5736.570.00%market13.66%—-7.64%3.39%-11.03%
CURV2024-06-122024-06-132024-07-15—7.007.000.00%market71.43%—25.94%3.38%22.56%
SMFG2024-06-282024-07-012024-07-30—13.4313.430.00%market116.31%—1.51%-0.67%2.18%
AEHR2024-07-162024-07-172024-08-14—19.2619.260.00%market663.64%—-29.80%-2.69%-27.10%
FULT2024-07-162024-07-172024-08-14—18.7618.760.00%market56.67%—-7.72%-2.69%-5.02%
NIC2024-07-162024-07-172024-08-14—95.0095.000.00%market15.66%—-8.29%-2.69%-5.60%
WAFD2024-07-162024-07-172024-08-14—33.0033.000.00%market31.58%—0.56%-2.69%3.25%
CNO2024-07-292024-07-302024-08-27—32.0032.000.00%market47.89%—5.58%2.80%2.78%
ANRO2024-08-132024-08-142024-09-12—9.009.000.00%market15.49%—44.24%2.99%41.25%
ELVN2024-08-132024-08-142024-09-12—22.4422.440.00%market29.31%—-0.69%2.99%-3.68%
HUT2024-08-132024-08-142024-09-12—11.2111.210.00%market122.22%—-3.05%2.99%-6.05%
INTA2024-08-132024-08-142024-09-12—38.0038.000.00%market25.00%—15.72%2.99%12.73%
TCOM2024-08-262024-08-272024-09-25—46.4546.450.00%market35.14%—9.77%1.89%7.88%
MANU2024-09-112024-09-122024-10-10—15.7015.700.00%market25.93%—2.35%3.81%-1.46%
LEN2024-09-192024-09-202024-10-18—185.49185.490.00%market17.36%—1.65%2.95%-1.30%
THO2024-09-242024-09-252024-10-23—108.83108.830.00%market29.23%—-4.41%1.20%-5.61%
FGN2024-09-302024-10-012024-10-29—27.2127.210.00%market42.20%—-1.12%1.46%-2.58%
CALM2024-10-012024-10-022024-10-30—76.2076.200.00%market31.33%—16.60%2.17%14.43%
APLD2024-10-092024-10-102024-11-07—7.497.490.00%market89.01%—3.81%3.45%0.36%
MCB2024-10-172024-10-182024-11-15—63.0063.000.00%market20.00%—2.20%0.29%1.91%
BANC2024-10-222024-10-232024-11-20—15.6915.690.00%market76.68%—2.22%1.59%0.63%
BOH2024-10-282024-10-292024-11-26—72.6372.630.00%market13.41%—9.69%3.59%6.10%
ALSN2024-10-292024-10-302024-11-27—105.65105.650.00%market12.38%—12.04%3.02%9.02%
ACT2024-11-062024-11-072024-12-06—34.2034.200.00%market15.00%—2.37%2.48%-0.11%
DAO2024-11-142024-11-152024-12-16—5.025.020.00%market94.00%—54.98%2.89%52.08%
ATAT2024-11-192024-11-202024-12-19—26.2726.270.00%market18.18%—3.80%-0.72%4.52%
FLNC2024-11-252024-11-262024-12-26—21.0021.000.00%market17.24%—-24.96%0.42%-25.39%
AMBA2024-11-262024-11-272024-12-27—79.7879.780.00%market266.67%—-8.06%-0.91%-7.15%
AGX2024-12-052024-12-062025-01-07—156.25156.250.00%market58.73%—-4.12%-3.10%-1.02%
GIS2024-12-182024-12-192025-01-22—63.5063.500.00%market14.75%—-6.78%2.55%-9.33%
BB2024-12-192024-12-202025-01-23—3.003.000.00%market300.00%—38.80%4.81%33.99%
LAR2023-08-092024-12-302025-01-30—2.752.750.00%market391.24%—-4.56%2.92%-7.48%
LAR2023-11-072024-12-302025-01-30—2.752.750.00%market3100.00%—-4.56%2.92%-7.48%
CALM2025-01-072025-01-082025-02-07—109.78109.780.00%market21.47%—-1.55%2.05%-3.60%
KEY2025-01-212025-01-222025-02-20—17.5017.500.00%market18.75%—0.26%0.74%-0.48%
AMTB2025-01-222025-01-232025-02-21—24.2024.200.00%market85.19%—-6.44%-0.97%-5.47%
CALX2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-28—40.0040.000.00%market14.29%—-7.65%-1.62%-6.03%
CPF2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-28—28.3328.330.00%market14.75%—2.31%-1.62%3.93%
AAMI2025-02-062025-02-072025-03-10—24.8624.860.00%market26.21%—-5.11%-7.63%2.52%
ACVA2025-02-192025-02-202025-03-20—18.5018.500.00%market93.33%—-15.39%-7.53%-7.86%
AEG2025-02-202025-02-212025-03-21—6.106.100.00%market124.68%—7.67%-7.57%15.24%
ABCL2025-02-272025-02-282025-03-28—2.722.720.00%market26.67%—-15.27%-5.11%-10.17%
ACIW2025-02-272025-02-282025-03-28—54.5054.500.00%market47.95%—-0.60%-5.11%4.50%
GRND2025-03-072025-03-102025-04-07—14.7814.780.00%market28.57%—15.29%-11.14%26.43%
AEVA2025-03-192025-03-202025-04-17—3.203.200.00%market15.52%—127.61%-6.55%134.17%
ANRO2025-03-202025-03-212025-04-21—2.632.630.00%market13.85%—-11.99%-8.12%-3.87%
ABX2025-03-272025-03-282025-04-28—7.737.730.00%market23.08%—6.40%-2.60%8.99%
ADCT2025-03-272025-03-282025-04-28—1.481.480.00%market23.68%—-1.55%-2.60%1.04%
LEVI2025-04-072025-04-082025-05-07—15.7115.710.00%market36.64%—5.15%7.53%-2.38%
AA2025-04-162025-04-172025-05-16—23.8023.800.00%market27.98%—23.33%12.61%10.71%
ALLY2025-04-172025-04-212025-05-19—31.2031.200.00%market36.76%—15.47%14.14%1.33%
CNC2025-04-252025-04-282025-05-27—57.9557.950.00%market15.08%—-0.72%7.21%-7.93%
EAF2025-04-252025-04-282025-05-27—7.057.050.00%market13.33%—60.08%7.21%52.87%
ACLS2025-05-062025-05-072025-06-05—55.9355.930.00%market166.67%—7.70%5.87%1.83%
DDS2025-05-152025-05-162025-06-16—412.18412.180.00%market13.68%—0.28%1.93%-1.65%
GSL2025-05-192025-05-202025-06-18—26.3526.350.00%market16.74%—1.39%0.73%0.66%
JOYY2025-05-262025-05-272025-06-25—42.0042.000.00%market29.10%—20.09%3.59%16.49%
ZH2025-05-272025-05-282025-06-26—3.973.970.00%market131.57%—-3.73%3.43%-7.16%
CXM2025-06-042025-06-052025-07-07—9.109.100.00%market21.85%—-1.41%3.86%-5.27%
APPS2025-06-162025-06-172025-07-17—5.545.540.00%market100.00%—-6.34%4.64%-10.97%
SLDE2025-05-232025-06-182025-07-18—21.0021.000.00%market71.23%—-12.58%4.87%-17.45%
CCL2025-06-242025-06-252025-07-24—25.7825.780.00%market41.93%—15.32%4.36%10.96%
MU2025-06-252025-06-262025-07-25—129.53129.530.00%market19.37%—-14.30%4.62%-18.92%
AEHR2025-07-082025-07-092025-08-06—12.4412.440.00%market33.33%—45.94%1.61%44.33%
AA2025-07-162025-07-172025-08-14—29.1229.120.00%market20.97%—7.39%3.29%4.10%
IIIN2025-07-172025-07-182025-08-15—36.2436.240.00%market14.71%—2.39%2.25%0.15%
ALK2025-07-232025-07-242025-08-21—52.3652.360.00%market14.10%—4.69%0.15%4.54%
AAL2025-07-242025-07-252025-08-22—11.5511.550.00%market21.79%—17.12%1.61%15.51%
ACHC2025-08-052025-08-062025-09-04—20.7820.780.00%market16.90%—13.61%3.19%10.42%
ARCO2025-08-132025-08-142025-09-12—7.617.610.00%market120.00%—-10.98%2.27%-13.25%
AMCR2025-08-142025-08-152025-09-15—43.8043.800.00%market368.82%—-5.68%2.31%-7.99%
GDS2025-08-202025-08-212025-09-19—32.4032.400.00%market45.45%—20.05%4.31%15.74%
NMM2025-08-212025-08-222025-09-22—46.5046.500.00%market23.56%—1.58%4.56%-2.97%
AEO2025-09-032025-09-042025-10-02—17.7517.750.00%market125.00%—-4.71%3.85%-8.56%
LUXE2025-09-112025-09-122025-10-10—9.099.090.00%market3261.11%—-14.94%-0.70%-14.25%
FERG2025-09-162025-09-172025-10-15—232.39232.390.00%market15.61%—3.65%0.78%2.87%
HTFL2025-09-192025-09-222025-10-20—32.6232.620.00%market71.83%—7.25%1.37%5.88%
EBF2025-09-222025-09-232025-10-21—18.5918.590.00%market24.39%—-9.45%0.69%-10.14%
CAG2025-10-012025-10-022025-10-30—19.0919.090.00%market16.77%—-8.95%1.40%-10.35%
APLD2025-10-092025-10-102025-11-07—37.0237.020.00%market14.66%—-16.52%-0.17%-16.34%
EQBK2025-10-142025-10-152025-11-12—40.9740.970.00%market22.22%—1.73%2.48%-0.76%
ALLY2025-10-172025-10-202025-11-17—40.8240.820.00%market15.00%—-7.82%-0.25%-7.57%
CCK2025-10-202025-10-212025-11-18—101.31101.310.00%market13.13%—-6.23%-1.69%-4.54%
ACR2025-10-292025-10-302025-11-28—20.5020.500.00%market638.84%—3.26%-0.07%3.34%
ACHR2025-11-062025-11-072025-12-08—7.837.830.00%market60.27%—9.76%2.35%7.41%
AII2025-11-112025-11-122025-12-11—25.0025.000.00%market16.39%—-19.12%0.64%-19.76%
MFG2025-11-142025-11-172025-12-16—6.876.870.00%market17.65%—7.22%1.37%5.85%
TCOM2025-11-172025-11-182025-12-17—70.9670.960.00%market236.52%—1.05%1.40%-0.35%
DOO2025-03-262025-12-022025-12-31—69.3669.360.00%market20.14%—1.82%0.00%1.82%
VSCO2025-12-052025-12-082026-01-07—49.5149.510.00%market53.92%—22.91%0.44%22.47%
JILL2025-12-102025-12-112026-01-12—14.2614.260.00%market31.03%—10.53%1.46%9.07%
NAVN2025-12-152025-12-162026-01-15—13.6913.690.00%market281.77%—7.62%1.92%5.70%
MU2025-12-172025-12-182026-01-20—256.53256.530.00%market20.71%—42.08%-0.00%42.09%
FC2026-01-072026-01-082026-02-06—16.1516.150.00%market133.33%—20.48%0.26%20.22%
STZ2026-01-072026-01-082026-02-06—143.86143.860.00%market16.35%—14.03%0.26%13.77%
KBH2026-01-122026-01-132026-02-11—61.7361.730.00%market40.78%—3.35%-0.51%3.86%
FHN2026-01-152026-01-162026-02-17—24.6724.670.00%market13.04%—0.25%-1.56%1.80%
PNC2026-01-162026-01-202026-02-18—219.79219.790.00%market15.37%—5.69%0.70%4.99%
ADPT2026-02-052026-02-062026-03-09—17.8217.820.00%market52.63%—-16.31%-0.47%-15.84%
ARW2026-02-052026-02-062026-03-09—145.13145.130.00%market23.66%—-3.85%-0.47%-3.38%
ACRE2026-02-102026-02-112026-03-12—5.725.720.00%market1400.00%—-13.49%-4.36%-9.13%
CBL2026-02-132026-02-172026-03-17—35.3135.310.00%market358.82%—6.37%-1.37%7.75%
AERO2026-02-172026-02-182026-03-18—19.6919.690.00%market63.04%—-32.55%-3.30%-29.25%
ATAI2026-03-062026-03-092026-04-07—3.403.400.00%market58.33%—11.27%-1.08%12.35%
KB2026-03-062026-03-092026-04-07—97.9497.940.00%market17.43%—1.70%-1.08%2.78%
NTSK2026-03-112026-03-122026-04-10—9.729.720.00%market33.33%—-11.00%1.24%-12.24%
ANRO2026-03-162026-03-172026-04-15—24.3224.320.00%market19.64%—4.53%4.10%0.43%
ANDG2026-03-172026-03-182026-04-16—26.2226.220.00%market53.57%—26.57%4.98%21.59%
AEHR2026-04-072026-04-082026-05-06—57.3557.350.00%market28.57%—68.47%8.49%59.97%
LEVI2026-04-072026-04-082026-05-06—22.6522.650.00%market14.32%—1.48%8.49%-7.01%
NEOG2026-04-092026-04-102026-05-08—9.969.960.00%market125.00%—-9.34%8.26%-17.60%
C2026-04-142026-04-152026-05-13—131.25131.250.00%market15.47%—-5.65%6.77%-12.41%
MS2026-04-152026-04-162026-05-14—190.93190.930.00%market13.58%—1.69%6.72%-5.03%
ADPT2026-05-052026-05-062026-06-04—14.6414.640.00%market18.75%—23.30%3.97%19.32%
AES2026-05-052026-05-062026-06-04—14.4314.430.00%market34.00%—1.88%3.97%-2.09%
AGO2026-05-072026-05-082026-06-08—79.0079.000.00%market66.67%—-5.49%0.58%-6.07%
AKA2026-05-122026-05-132026-06-11—12.4012.400.00%market32.65%—-27.94%-0.10%-27.85%
CMPS2026-05-132026-05-142026-06-12—10.7410.740.00%market33.33%—12.28%-0.26%12.53%
AI2026-06-032026-06-042026-07-06—11.2211.220.00%market13.16%—-17.49%-0.11%-17.38%
CHPT2026-06-032026-06-042026-07-06—7.477.470.00%market33.33%—-16.40%-0.11%-16.29%
BMNP2026-01-132026-06-102026-07-10—88.5088.500.00%market10553.33%—-3.34%2.94%-6.28%
NAVN2026-06-102026-06-112026-07-13—24.2524.250.00%market1441.43%—7.55%2.80%4.75%
ANGX2026-06-112026-06-122026-07-14—2.902.900.00%market41.43%—40.83%1.50%39.33%
EPAC2026-07-072026-07-082026-08-05—35.8235.820.00%market19.28%—3.01%3.58%-0.57%