Valuation overlays (different measures) 3 (max 10 pos)

Run 5f75ecb3 · view hypothesis

completed

Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.

Trades
155
Win rate
52.90%
Avg return
4.84%
Median return
1.17%
Avg abnormal
3.29%
Median abnormal
-0.54%
Best trade
127.61%
Worst trade
-32.64%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.21
Daily portfolio drawdown
—
Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
2023200.79%-0.96%60.00%
2024523.41%1.49%46.15%
2025565.88%4.72%55.36%
2026278.43%6.94%55.56%
Trades (155)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceEPS surp.EV/EBITDAReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
ACVA2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—17.2017.200.00%market85.71%—-3.63%-0.42%-3.22%
AXGN2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—8.078.070.00%market80.00%—-23.99%-0.42%-23.58%
AXSM2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—72.6172.610.00%market19.35%—12.08%-0.42%12.50%
CRSP2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—49.2749.270.00%market55.05%—3.49%-0.42%3.91%
HIMS2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—9.269.260.00%market40.00%—-25.58%-0.42%-25.16%
ASAN2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—19.6719.670.00%market63.64%—-13.57%-5.29%-8.28%
ASND2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—103.42103.420.00%market12.31%—-16.95%-5.29%-11.65%
GTLB2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—52.1452.140.00%market134.19%—-14.39%-5.29%-9.10%
AI2023-09-062023-09-072023-10-05—27.9427.940.00%market47.06%—-13.48%-4.20%-9.28%
INTA2023-09-062023-09-072023-10-05—35.0035.000.00%market300.00%—0.06%-4.20%4.26%
TCBI2023-10-192023-10-202023-11-17—55.9855.980.00%market14.56%—-2.02%5.82%-7.85%
BCS2023-10-242023-10-252023-11-22—6.466.460.00%market13.51%—9.24%7.85%1.39%
MMM2023-10-242023-10-252023-11-22—74.7574.750.00%market14.53%—6.48%7.85%-1.38%
SNAP2023-10-242023-10-252023-11-22—10.3710.370.00%market147.22%—18.51%7.85%10.66%
HAPN2023-10-252023-10-262023-11-24—5.025.020.00%market35.54%—11.55%9.33%2.22%
DAO2023-11-162023-11-172023-12-18—3.953.950.00%market33.53%—1.32%4.83%-3.51%
SUPV2023-11-272023-11-282023-12-27—3.353.350.00%market33.18%—26.67%4.94%21.73%
LUXE2023-11-282023-11-292023-12-28—2.702.700.00%market43.49%—21.65%4.27%17.38%
TUYA2023-11-282023-11-292023-12-28—2.032.030.00%market100.00%—13.10%4.27%8.83%
CRDO2023-11-292023-11-302023-12-29—18.4618.460.00%market509.76%—5.27%4.35%0.92%
BNY2024-01-122024-01-162024-02-13—55.0055.000.00%market14.29%—-2.22%3.96%-6.18%
C2024-01-122024-01-162024-02-13—51.7851.780.00%market15.07%—1.69%3.96%-2.27%
STT2024-01-192024-01-222024-02-20—76.0076.000.00%market12.71%—-6.06%2.63%-8.69%
EQBK2024-01-242024-01-252024-02-23—34.8034.800.00%market18.46%—-8.56%4.16%-12.72%
SFB2024-01-242024-01-252024-02-23—20.5020.500.00%market14.50%—6.09%4.16%1.94%
IMVT2024-02-122024-02-132024-03-13—35.8435.840.00%market16.28%—-11.42%4.34%-15.75%
ABNB2024-02-132024-02-142024-03-14—146.16146.160.00%market15.85%—13.68%3.66%10.02%
NWG2024-02-162024-02-202024-03-19—5.835.830.00%market70.00%—5.97%3.61%2.36%
AAOI2024-02-222024-02-232024-03-22—13.7413.740.00%market166.67%—6.64%2.34%4.30%
AXTI2024-02-222024-02-232024-03-22—3.163.160.00%market46.15%—56.45%2.34%54.10%
CLOV2024-03-122024-03-132024-04-11—0.850.850.00%market33.33%—-16.44%0.17%-16.61%
EGY2024-03-132024-03-142024-04-12—4.804.800.00%market208.33%—45.84%-1.18%47.03%
TSHA2024-03-192024-03-202024-04-18—2.952.950.00%market488.89%—-18.51%-3.15%-15.35%
DNTH2024-03-212024-03-222024-04-22—29.6329.630.00%market36.04%—-21.77%-4.29%-17.48%
MLYS2024-03-212024-03-222024-04-22—13.0813.080.00%market28.24%—-15.03%-4.29%-10.74%
STT2024-04-122024-04-152024-05-13—76.4776.470.00%market12.67%—-0.61%1.12%-1.73%
MTB2024-04-152024-04-162024-05-14—140.17140.170.00%market25.32%—10.42%3.64%6.79%
ALK2024-04-182024-04-192024-05-17—44.7744.770.00%market12.38%—-3.51%6.01%-9.51%
WDS2024-04-192024-04-222024-05-20—18.4818.480.00%market28.16%—1.26%6.47%-5.21%
SMBK2024-04-222024-04-232024-05-21—20.5720.570.00%market19.51%—12.59%5.90%6.69%
EDN2024-05-102024-05-132024-06-11—20.1020.100.00%market1644.44%—-17.81%2.75%-20.57%
BLTE2024-05-132024-05-142024-06-12—41.3741.370.00%market20.59%—20.61%3.89%16.73%
LSPD2024-05-162024-05-172024-06-17—15.2215.220.00%market20.00%—-5.65%3.46%-9.11%
TUYA2024-05-202024-05-212024-06-20—2.162.160.00%market100.00%—-21.50%3.35%-24.84%
XPEV2024-05-212024-05-222024-06-21—8.908.900.00%market39.91%—-13.35%2.61%-15.96%
HCM2024-06-102024-06-112024-07-11—17.9217.920.00%market157.69%—-0.98%4.20%-5.18%
RBRK2024-06-112024-06-122024-07-12—36.5736.570.00%market13.66%—-7.64%3.39%-11.03%
SMFG2024-06-282024-07-012024-07-30—13.4313.430.00%market116.31%—1.51%-0.67%2.18%
BNED2024-07-012024-07-022024-07-31—6.336.330.00%market81.29%—67.89%1.31%66.58%
CALX2024-07-222024-07-232024-08-20—37.1637.160.00%market28.57%—1.17%0.75%0.42%
DX2024-07-222024-07-232024-08-20—12.2912.290.00%market36.84%—0.21%0.75%-0.54%
TFC2024-07-222024-07-232024-08-20—43.7543.750.00%market41.97%—-3.61%0.75%-4.36%
VRNS2024-07-292024-07-302024-08-27—54.9054.900.00%market344.84%—4.46%2.80%1.66%
FRSH2024-07-302024-07-312024-08-28—13.5013.500.00%market33.33%—-14.05%1.70%-15.75%
ZIM2024-08-192024-08-202024-09-18—22.0222.020.00%market72.07%—-13.37%0.40%-13.77%
XPEV2024-08-202024-08-212024-09-19—6.856.850.00%market18.75%—36.88%2.00%34.88%
BBAR2024-08-212024-08-222024-09-20—10.0110.010.00%market134.62%—18.18%1.01%17.17%
TUYA2024-08-262024-08-272024-09-25—1.931.930.00%market100.00%—-18.85%1.89%-20.74%
AMBA2024-08-272024-08-282024-09-26—63.5063.500.00%market31.58%—-10.31%1.98%-12.29%
FGN2024-09-302024-10-012024-10-29—27.2127.210.00%market42.20%—-1.12%1.46%-2.58%
QUBT2024-10-022024-10-032024-10-31—0.650.650.00%market25.00%—72.11%0.23%71.88%
TCBI2024-10-172024-10-182024-11-15—80.5480.540.00%market181.82%—7.87%0.29%7.58%
AMTB2024-10-232024-10-242024-11-21—21.2621.260.00%market17.39%—17.02%2.36%14.66%
DB2024-10-232024-10-242024-11-21—17.0917.090.00%market73.21%—-1.90%2.36%-4.26%
CALX2024-10-282024-10-292024-11-26—39.1039.100.00%market44.44%—-17.64%3.59%-21.23%
ALKT2024-10-302024-10-312024-11-29—40.0040.000.00%market50.00%—-1.53%4.69%-6.21%
EFXT2024-11-142024-11-152024-12-16—8.118.110.00%market388.67%—19.53%2.89%16.63%
BBAR2024-11-202024-11-212024-12-20—17.6817.680.00%market15.56%—3.31%-0.38%3.69%
GLBE2024-11-202024-11-212024-12-20—48.5048.500.00%market13.33%—12.75%-0.38%13.13%
AMBA2024-11-262024-11-272024-12-27—79.7879.780.00%market266.67%—-8.06%-0.91%-7.15%
BWLP2024-12-022024-12-032025-01-02—12.0012.000.00%market71.29%—-0.95%-3.11%2.16%
LAR2023-08-092024-12-302025-01-30—2.752.750.00%market391.24%—-4.56%2.92%-7.48%
NEOG2025-01-102025-01-132025-02-11—12.2912.290.00%market22.22%—-17.53%5.13%-22.66%
STT2025-01-172025-01-212025-02-19—97.6597.650.00%market13.54%—2.01%2.04%-0.03%
KEY2025-01-212025-01-222025-02-20—17.5017.500.00%market18.75%—0.26%0.74%-0.48%
SLG2025-01-222025-01-232025-02-21—66.1766.170.00%market422.22%—-5.40%-0.97%-4.43%
CALX2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-28—40.0040.000.00%market14.29%—-7.65%-1.62%-6.03%
NTB2025-02-102025-02-112025-03-12—39.7539.750.00%market14.53%—-5.96%-7.25%1.29%
BXC2025-02-182025-02-192025-03-19—95.9595.950.00%market17.31%—-15.12%-7.04%-8.08%
ACVA2025-02-192025-02-202025-03-20—18.5018.500.00%market93.33%—-15.39%-7.53%-7.86%
AEG2025-02-202025-02-212025-03-21—6.106.100.00%market124.68%—7.67%-7.57%15.24%
ABCL2025-02-272025-02-282025-03-28—2.722.720.00%market26.67%—-15.27%-5.11%-10.17%
DOUG2025-03-112025-03-122025-04-09—1.771.770.00%market137.50%—-3.59%-2.41%-1.18%
IHS2025-03-182025-03-192025-04-16—4.414.410.00%market812.50%—15.22%-6.60%21.82%
AEVA2025-03-192025-03-202025-04-17—3.203.200.00%market15.52%—127.61%-6.55%134.17%
ANRO2025-03-202025-03-212025-04-21—2.632.630.00%market13.85%—-11.99%-8.12%-3.87%
ABX2025-03-272025-03-282025-04-28—7.737.730.00%market23.08%—6.40%-2.60%8.99%
STZ2025-04-092025-04-102025-05-09—175.93175.930.00%market15.86%—7.84%6.05%1.79%
AA2025-04-162025-04-172025-05-16—23.8023.800.00%market27.98%—23.33%12.61%10.71%
DX2025-04-212025-04-222025-05-20—11.5611.560.00%market42.86%—7.93%13.98%-6.05%
SMBK2025-04-212025-04-222025-05-20—28.6328.630.00%market21.82%—12.27%13.98%-1.71%
EAF2025-04-252025-04-282025-05-27—7.057.050.00%market13.33%—60.08%7.21%52.87%
AAOI2025-05-082025-05-092025-06-09—13.6713.670.00%market50.00%—23.21%5.86%17.35%
MUFG2025-05-152025-05-162025-06-16—13.4713.470.00%market149.60%—1.06%1.93%-0.87%
GSL2025-05-192025-05-202025-06-18—26.3526.350.00%market16.74%—1.39%0.73%0.66%
ZIM2025-05-192025-05-202025-06-18—19.1019.100.00%market31.02%—-7.43%0.73%-8.16%
AI2025-05-282025-05-292025-06-27—26.5926.590.00%market20.39%—-9.04%3.68%-12.72%
EVTL2025-06-102025-06-112025-07-11—5.825.820.00%market2165.00%—-15.84%3.22%-19.05%
ATEX2025-06-242025-06-252025-07-24—29.4529.450.00%market16.28%—-27.30%4.36%-31.66%
AEHR2025-07-082025-07-092025-08-06—12.4412.440.00%market33.33%—45.94%1.61%44.33%
NRIX2025-07-092025-07-102025-08-07—14.4814.480.00%market26.76%—-30.66%1.29%-31.95%
CLF2025-07-212025-07-222025-08-19—11.2111.210.00%market26.47%—-7.16%1.70%-8.86%
VLRS2025-07-212025-07-222025-08-19—4.474.470.00%market28.00%—35.82%1.70%34.12%
BPOP2025-07-232025-07-242025-08-21—115.49115.490.00%market21.65%—2.84%0.15%2.69%
ADPT2025-08-052025-08-062025-09-04—12.3512.350.00%market29.17%—5.23%3.19%2.03%
APA2025-08-062025-08-072025-09-05—19.3219.320.00%market93.33%—17.55%1.73%15.82%
XPEV2025-08-192025-08-202025-09-18—20.4920.490.00%market33.61%—3.70%3.58%0.13%
UFI2025-08-202025-08-212025-09-19—4.354.350.00%market30.00%—6.70%4.31%2.39%
MDB2025-08-262025-08-272025-09-25—282.05282.050.00%market49.25%—11.60%2.09%9.50%
ASAN2025-09-032025-09-042025-10-02—15.2015.200.00%market20.00%—-11.58%3.85%-15.43%
BRZE2025-09-042025-09-052025-10-03—32.6732.670.00%market400.00%—-13.21%2.72%-15.93%
HTFL2025-09-192025-09-222025-10-20—32.6232.620.00%market71.83%—7.25%1.37%5.88%
WOLF2023-10-302025-09-292025-10-27—18.0018.000.00%market22.06%—71.41%3.14%68.27%
WOLF2024-01-312025-09-292025-10-27—18.0018.000.00%market12.70%—71.41%3.14%68.27%
APLD2025-10-092025-10-102025-11-07—37.0237.020.00%market14.66%—-16.52%-0.17%-16.34%
SMBK2025-10-212025-10-222025-11-19—35.8835.880.00%market17.81%—-3.60%-1.39%-2.21%
PRG2025-10-222025-10-232025-11-20—32.1532.150.00%market23.29%—-17.68%-2.33%-15.35%
FHB2025-10-242025-10-272025-11-24—25.0125.010.00%market13.03%—-1.60%-2.05%0.45%
NWG2025-10-242025-10-272025-11-24—15.6215.620.00%market26.92%—-2.06%-2.05%-0.01%
ACHR2025-11-062025-11-072025-12-08—7.837.830.00%market60.27%—9.76%2.35%7.41%
BIDU2025-11-182025-11-192025-12-18—115.07115.070.00%market30.00%—4.51%2.37%2.14%
DLNG2025-11-202025-11-212025-12-22—3.733.730.00%market16.13%—3.29%4.55%-1.26%
SYM2025-11-242025-11-252025-12-24—73.4773.470.00%market732.55%—-20.85%3.25%-24.10%
AMBA2025-11-252025-11-262025-12-26—79.9779.970.00%market32.81%—-10.92%1.87%-12.79%
PLAB2025-12-102025-12-112026-01-12—37.4537.450.00%market32.36%—-10.21%1.46%-11.68%
MFG2025-12-292025-12-302026-01-29—7.377.370.00%market44.72%—17.03%0.96%16.07%
MUFG2025-12-292025-12-302026-01-29—15.9515.950.00%market41.58%—13.91%0.96%12.95%
SMFG2025-12-292025-12-302026-01-29—19.5219.520.00%market134.26%—8.87%0.96%7.91%
FC2026-01-072026-01-082026-02-06—16.1516.150.00%market133.33%—20.48%0.26%20.22%
MCB2026-01-202026-01-212026-02-19—80.5780.570.00%market25.91%—16.27%0.71%15.56%
HAPN2026-01-282026-01-292026-02-27—18.2218.220.00%market12.90%—-18.37%-1.49%-16.87%
SMG2026-01-282026-01-292026-02-27—62.6362.630.00%market25.96%—11.76%-1.49%13.25%
DOW2026-01-292026-01-302026-03-02—27.2927.290.00%market26.66%—11.93%-0.78%12.71%
ADPT2026-02-052026-02-062026-03-09—17.8217.820.00%market52.63%—-16.31%-0.47%-15.84%
CVNA2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-19—68.3868.380.00%market265.22%—-14.15%-3.52%-10.64%
AAOI2026-02-262026-02-272026-03-27—65.9365.930.00%market91.67%—48.76%-7.17%55.93%
ALHC2026-02-262026-02-272026-03-27—18.8418.840.00%market66.67%—-11.98%-7.17%-4.81%
CGON2026-02-272026-03-022026-03-30—57.1157.110.00%market16.39%—11.79%-6.89%18.68%
ATAI2026-03-062026-03-092026-04-07—3.403.400.00%market58.33%—11.27%-1.08%12.35%
HTFL2026-03-182026-03-192026-04-17—25.0025.000.00%market36.04%—25.16%8.09%17.07%
NMAX2026-03-262026-03-272026-04-27—6.906.900.00%market64.29%—-13.68%11.31%-24.99%
VGNT2026-03-062026-03-272026-04-27—30.0030.000.00%market218.80%—16.27%11.31%4.96%
LGN2026-03-272026-03-302026-04-28—55.8155.810.00%market66.67%—44.18%11.18%33.00%
AEHR2026-04-072026-04-082026-05-06—57.3557.350.00%market28.57%—68.47%8.49%59.97%
BNY2026-04-162026-04-172026-05-15—135.96135.960.00%market14.80%—-0.89%4.68%-5.57%
BBBY2026-04-272026-04-282026-05-27—7.127.120.00%market19.35%—-10.31%5.43%-15.74%
CBNA2026-04-282026-04-292026-05-28—36.7036.700.00%market13.68%—-0.77%6.13%-6.90%
CNC2026-04-282026-04-292026-05-28—50.5850.580.00%market51.12%—16.27%6.13%10.14%
ADPT2026-05-052026-05-062026-06-04—14.6414.640.00%market18.75%—23.30%3.97%19.32%
FIG2026-05-142026-05-152026-06-15—22.2822.280.00%market57.90%—-17.12%1.76%-18.88%
APPS2026-05-262026-05-272026-06-25—6.496.490.00%market77.78%—56.35%-2.21%58.56%
KC2026-05-272026-05-282026-06-26—12.7012.700.00%market12.60%—-32.64%-2.83%-29.81%
SNOW2026-05-272026-05-282026-06-26—237.00237.000.00%market22.14%—4.85%-2.83%7.68%
AI2026-06-032026-06-042026-07-06—11.2211.220.00%market13.16%—-17.49%-0.11%-17.38%
LZB2026-06-162026-06-172026-07-17—42.1842.180.00%market53.66%—-5.68%-1.06%-4.61%