Defensive / balance sheet 1 (max 10 pos)

Run 5f75eefc · view hypothesis

completed

Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.

Trades
176
Win rate
56.25%
Avg return
3.60%
Median return
2.11%
Avg abnormal
2.05%
Median abnormal
-0.20%
Best trade
72.11%
Worst trade
-36.97%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.20
Daily portfolio drawdown
—
Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
202325-1.48%-2.34%52.00%
2024594.09%2.08%57.63%
2025613.63%2.40%52.46%
2026316.69%4.85%64.52%
Trades (176)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceEPS surp.Debt / equityReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
ACVA2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—17.2017.200.00%market85.71%—-3.63%-0.42%-3.22%
ASTH2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—37.6737.670.00%market12.40%—-17.61%-0.42%-17.20%
CRSP2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—49.2749.270.00%market55.05%—3.49%-0.42%3.91%
GHM2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—15.7015.700.00%market725.00%—4.07%-0.42%4.48%
HIMS2023-08-072023-08-082023-09-06—9.269.260.00%market40.00%—-25.58%-0.42%-25.16%
AVAV2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—113.16113.160.00%market284.62%—-5.48%-5.29%-0.18%
GTLB2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—52.1452.140.00%market134.19%—-14.39%-5.29%-9.10%
HQY2023-09-052023-09-062023-10-04—67.9167.910.00%market12.77%—5.97%-5.29%11.26%
AGX2023-09-062023-09-072023-10-05—42.6442.640.00%market25.33%—8.59%-4.20%12.79%
AI2023-09-062023-09-072023-10-05—27.9427.940.00%market47.06%—-13.48%-4.20%-9.28%
PERF2023-10-032023-10-042023-11-01—3.003.000.00%market80.00%—-15.53%0.14%-15.67%
AEHR2023-10-052023-10-062023-11-03—38.7538.750.00%market12.50%—-36.97%3.01%-39.99%
DPZ2023-10-122023-10-132023-11-10—345.35345.350.00%market26.67%—9.40%1.24%8.16%
BLK2023-10-132023-10-162023-11-13—630.51630.510.00%market32.08%—4.71%1.47%3.24%
PGR2023-10-132023-10-162023-11-13—156.04156.040.00%market22.22%—3.57%1.47%2.10%
ABEV2023-10-312023-11-012023-11-30—2.532.530.00%market25.00%—8.10%8.87%-0.77%
ABCL2023-11-022023-11-032023-12-04—3.973.970.00%market28.57%—16.68%5.44%11.24%
AMPX2023-11-092023-11-102023-12-11—3.123.120.00%market16.67%—28.01%5.97%22.04%
CEPU2023-11-122023-11-132023-12-12—6.176.170.00%market244.23%—49.72%5.66%44.06%
LAC2023-11-102023-11-132023-12-12—7.317.310.00%market180.00%—-20.45%5.66%-26.11%
CRDO2023-11-292023-11-302023-12-29—18.4618.460.00%market509.76%—5.27%4.35%0.92%
GTLB2023-12-042023-12-052024-01-04—59.6859.680.00%market1150.00%—-3.72%2.64%-6.36%
PLAB2023-12-132023-12-142024-01-16—26.8426.840.00%market35.85%—10.05%0.51%9.53%
LZM2023-12-142023-12-152024-01-17—8.738.730.00%market24.97%—-28.84%0.60%-29.43%
NX2023-12-142023-12-152024-01-17—33.6533.650.00%market35.71%—-9.06%0.60%-9.65%
JBTM2023-12-312024-01-022024-01-31—98.7598.750.00%market33.82%—-0.19%2.27%-2.46%
FC2024-01-042024-01-052024-02-05—39.0039.000.00%market89.47%—0.18%5.36%-5.18%
AA2024-01-172024-01-182024-02-15—27.6227.620.00%market43.43%—-1.03%5.91%-6.94%
IIIN2024-01-182024-01-192024-02-16—35.0335.030.00%market20.00%—0.43%4.58%-4.15%
KSPI2023-09-302024-01-192024-02-16—92.5092.500.00%market30.93%—3.10%4.58%-1.48%
ASH2024-01-302024-01-312024-02-29—89.7489.740.00%market136.84%—4.15%3.98%0.16%
PIPR2024-02-022024-02-052024-03-05—46.9546.950.00%market54.41%—0.89%2.73%-1.84%
ACGL2024-02-142024-02-152024-03-15—86.4386.430.00%market28.35%—6.11%2.11%3.99%
AEM2024-02-152024-02-162024-03-18—47.3147.310.00%market18.75%—16.69%2.22%14.46%
CLBT2024-02-152024-02-162024-03-18—11.0111.010.00%market83.33%—4.98%2.22%2.75%
ACMR2024-02-282024-02-292024-03-28—31.7131.710.00%market330.00%—-8.30%2.95%-11.26%
AVAV2024-03-042024-03-052024-04-03—150.64150.640.00%market90.91%—-2.68%1.80%-4.48%
BEKE2024-03-142024-03-152024-04-15—14.1214.120.00%market17.65%—-8.49%-1.13%-7.36%
BLND2024-03-152024-03-182024-04-16—2.882.880.00%market12.50%—-17.56%-2.04%-15.52%
LAC2024-03-152024-03-182024-04-16—6.566.560.00%market22.22%—-1.27%-2.04%0.77%
BRZE2024-03-272024-03-282024-04-26—45.3145.310.00%market20.00%—-8.15%-2.86%-5.29%
BB2024-04-032024-04-042024-05-02—2.962.960.00%market193.83%—-1.55%-3.53%1.98%
FBK2024-04-152024-04-162024-05-14—34.0034.000.00%market21.43%—13.24%3.64%9.61%
ERIC2024-04-162024-04-172024-05-15—4.914.910.00%market100.00%—15.48%4.69%10.79%
BMI2024-04-182024-04-192024-05-17—177.36177.360.00%market20.73%—10.99%6.01%4.98%
AEM2024-04-252024-04-262024-05-24—66.9566.950.00%market26.67%—0.94%4.56%-3.62%
ACLS2024-05-012024-05-022024-05-31—101.25101.250.00%market26.61%—10.90%4.61%6.30%
AGYS2024-05-132024-05-142024-06-12—86.0586.050.00%market14.29%—6.53%3.89%2.64%
BABA2024-05-142024-05-152024-06-13—80.3980.390.00%market12.90%—-6.06%3.16%-9.22%
BIDU2024-05-162024-05-172024-06-17—111.06111.060.00%market20.00%—-17.89%3.46%-21.35%
BEKE2024-05-232024-05-242024-06-25—16.7016.700.00%market33.33%—-8.76%3.22%-11.98%
AMBA2024-05-302024-05-312024-07-01—58.0058.000.00%market18.75%—-7.77%4.15%-11.92%
RBRK2024-06-112024-06-122024-07-12—36.5736.570.00%market13.66%—-7.64%3.39%-11.03%
CURV2024-06-122024-06-132024-07-15—7.007.000.00%market71.43%—25.94%3.38%22.56%
EBF2024-06-172024-06-182024-07-18—21.6721.670.00%market13.89%—7.05%1.01%6.04%
AVAV2024-06-262024-06-272024-07-26—177.00177.000.00%market104.76%—-2.00%-0.17%-1.83%
AEHR2024-07-162024-07-172024-08-14—19.2619.260.00%market663.64%—-29.80%-2.69%-27.10%
NIC2024-07-162024-07-172024-08-14—95.0095.000.00%market15.66%—-8.29%-2.69%-5.60%
PGR2024-07-162024-07-172024-08-14—214.80214.800.00%market29.27%—8.90%-2.69%11.59%
ISRG2024-07-182024-07-192024-08-16—449.43449.430.00%market15.58%—6.37%0.34%6.03%
APPF2024-07-252024-07-262024-08-23—269.94269.940.00%market21.74%—-15.20%3.66%-18.86%
ANRO2024-08-132024-08-142024-09-12—9.009.000.00%market15.49%—44.24%2.99%41.25%
ELVN2024-08-132024-08-142024-09-12—22.4422.440.00%market29.31%—-0.69%2.99%-3.68%
INTA2024-08-132024-08-142024-09-12—38.0038.000.00%market25.00%—15.72%2.99%12.73%
CLBT2024-08-152024-08-162024-09-16—14.8814.880.00%market25.00%—17.54%2.07%15.47%
BILL2024-08-222024-08-232024-09-23—51.7851.780.00%market23.91%—1.48%1.81%-0.33%
LEN2024-09-192024-09-202024-10-18—185.49185.490.00%market17.36%—1.65%2.95%-1.30%
THO2024-09-242024-09-252024-10-23—108.83108.830.00%market29.23%—-4.41%1.20%-5.61%
TRAK2024-09-302024-10-012024-10-29—19.0019.000.00%market33.33%—0.75%1.46%-0.71%
CALM2024-10-012024-10-022024-10-30—76.2076.200.00%market31.33%—16.60%2.17%14.43%
QUBT2024-10-022024-10-032024-10-31—0.650.650.00%market25.00%—72.11%0.23%71.88%
ISRG2024-10-172024-10-182024-11-15—496.00496.000.00%market12.88%—6.17%0.29%5.89%
CSGP2024-10-222024-10-232024-11-20—72.4472.440.00%market35.30%—5.09%1.59%3.50%
AGYS2024-10-282024-10-292024-11-26—119.83119.830.00%market13.33%—14.73%3.59%11.14%
ATRC2024-10-292024-10-302024-11-27—34.4034.400.00%market15.00%—4.95%3.02%1.93%
AFL2024-10-302024-10-312024-11-29—107.19107.190.00%market27.81%—6.15%4.69%1.46%
DAO2024-11-142024-11-152024-12-16—5.025.020.00%market94.00%—54.98%2.89%52.08%
DLB2024-11-192024-11-202024-12-19—75.5075.500.00%market15.71%—2.41%-0.72%3.13%
FLNC2024-11-252024-11-262024-12-26—21.0021.000.00%market17.24%—-24.96%0.42%-25.39%
AMBA2024-11-262024-11-272024-12-27—79.7879.780.00%market266.67%—-8.06%-0.91%-7.15%
HAFN2024-11-272024-11-292024-12-30—5.725.720.00%market27.27%—-5.10%-1.91%-3.19%
BB2024-12-192024-12-202025-01-23—3.003.000.00%market300.00%—38.80%4.81%33.99%
LAR2023-08-092024-12-302025-01-30—2.752.750.00%market391.24%—-4.56%2.92%-7.48%
LAR2023-11-072024-12-302025-01-30—2.752.750.00%market3100.00%—-4.56%2.92%-7.48%
AAUC2024-12-312025-01-022025-02-03—7.357.350.00%market85.62%—30.41%1.42%28.99%
CALM2025-01-072025-01-082025-02-07—109.78109.780.00%market21.47%—-1.55%2.05%-3.60%
OFG2025-01-222025-01-232025-02-21—44.5044.500.00%market12.37%—-6.58%-0.97%-5.61%
CALX2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-28—40.0040.000.00%market14.29%—-7.65%-1.62%-6.03%
CPF2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-28—28.3328.330.00%market14.75%—2.31%-1.62%3.93%
ARCB2025-01-312025-02-032025-03-04—90.2590.250.00%market26.67%—-18.02%-2.67%-15.35%
AB2025-02-062025-02-072025-03-10—36.8036.800.00%market22.38%—-0.25%-7.63%7.38%
BIRK2025-02-202025-02-212025-03-21—53.2153.210.00%market18.75%—-15.12%-7.57%-7.55%
ABCL2025-02-272025-02-282025-03-28—2.722.720.00%market26.67%—-15.27%-5.11%-10.17%
ALKT2025-02-272025-02-282025-03-28—28.0728.070.00%market25.00%—-6.11%-5.11%-1.01%
ASTS2025-03-032025-03-042025-04-01—24.5224.520.00%market14.29%—-11.09%-3.23%-7.86%
GRND2025-03-072025-03-102025-04-07—14.7814.780.00%market28.57%—15.29%-11.14%26.43%
ANRO2025-03-202025-03-212025-04-21—2.632.630.00%market13.85%—-11.99%-8.12%-3.87%
ADCT2025-03-272025-03-282025-04-28—1.481.480.00%market23.68%—-1.55%-2.60%1.04%
AGX2025-03-272025-03-282025-04-28—138.10138.100.00%market93.04%—9.78%-2.60%12.37%
PVLA2025-03-312025-04-012025-04-30—28.3028.300.00%market1125.64%—-14.40%-0.52%-13.88%
AEHR2025-04-082025-04-092025-05-08—7.017.010.00%market600.00%—20.06%14.51%5.54%
BMI2025-04-172025-04-212025-05-19—199.35199.350.00%market21.50%—21.87%14.14%7.73%
EAF2025-04-252025-04-282025-05-27—7.057.050.00%market13.33%—60.08%7.21%52.87%
HCA2025-04-252025-04-282025-05-27—327.05327.050.00%market12.17%—15.63%7.21%8.42%
ACGL2025-04-292025-04-302025-05-29—88.4188.410.00%market16.67%—6.35%7.76%-1.41%
ACVA2025-05-072025-05-082025-06-06—16.3616.360.00%market100.00%—0.90%6.00%-5.10%
AGYS2025-05-192025-05-202025-06-18—86.1486.140.00%market88.81%—25.72%0.73%24.99%
JOYY2025-05-262025-05-272025-06-25—42.0042.000.00%market29.10%—20.09%3.59%16.49%
ZH2025-05-272025-05-282025-06-26—3.973.970.00%market131.57%—-3.73%3.43%-7.16%
AI2025-05-282025-05-292025-06-27—26.5926.590.00%market20.39%—-9.04%3.68%-12.72%
BRZE2025-06-052025-06-062025-07-08—31.4531.450.00%market52.64%—-8.53%3.62%-12.15%
SLDE2025-05-232025-06-182025-07-18—21.0021.000.00%market71.23%—-12.58%4.87%-17.45%
ATEX2025-06-242025-06-252025-07-24—29.4529.450.00%market16.28%—-27.30%4.36%-31.66%
MU2025-06-252025-06-262025-07-25—129.53129.530.00%market19.37%—-14.30%4.62%-18.92%
AYI2025-06-262025-06-272025-07-28—303.33303.330.00%market15.32%—2.83%3.93%-1.10%
AEHR2025-07-082025-07-092025-08-06—12.4412.440.00%market33.33%—45.94%1.61%44.33%
IIIN2025-07-172025-07-182025-08-15—36.2436.240.00%market14.71%—2.39%2.25%0.15%
BPOP2025-07-232025-07-242025-08-21—115.49115.490.00%market21.65%—2.84%0.15%2.69%
AAL2025-07-242025-07-252025-08-22—11.5511.550.00%market21.79%—17.12%1.61%15.51%
FHB2025-07-252025-07-282025-08-25—25.6025.600.00%market18.37%—-1.33%0.78%-2.12%
ACLS2025-08-052025-08-062025-09-04—77.1677.160.00%market54.79%—1.91%3.19%-1.28%
CLBT2025-08-142025-08-152025-09-15—15.3115.310.00%market20.00%—13.65%2.31%11.34%
RERE2025-08-202025-08-212025-09-19—4.554.550.00%market20.00%—-7.89%4.31%-12.20%
YMM2025-08-212025-08-222025-09-22—12.2612.260.00%market12.50%—9.83%4.56%5.27%
UI2025-08-222025-08-252025-09-23—513.01513.010.00%market58.74%—27.61%2.98%24.64%
CRDO2025-09-032025-09-042025-10-02—138.00138.000.00%market43.92%—8.23%3.85%4.38%
HTFL2025-09-192025-09-222025-10-20—32.6232.620.00%market71.83%—7.25%1.37%5.88%
EBF2025-09-222025-09-232025-10-21—18.5918.590.00%market24.39%—-9.45%0.69%-10.14%
THO2025-09-242025-09-252025-10-23—106.57106.570.00%market99.14%—2.11%2.10%0.01%
BB2025-09-252025-09-262025-10-24—4.674.670.00%market300.00%—2.16%2.69%-0.53%
NEOG2025-10-092025-10-102025-11-07—6.886.880.00%market154.05%—-7.18%-0.17%-7.00%
RLI2025-10-202025-10-212025-11-18—62.0862.080.00%market16.57%—2.70%-1.69%4.39%
CASH2025-10-212025-10-222025-11-19—72.3872.380.00%market22.46%—-7.01%-1.39%-5.62%
ASIC2025-10-222025-10-232025-11-20—18.9718.970.00%market39.39%—-6.16%-2.33%-3.82%
AAL2025-10-232025-10-242025-11-21—13.0013.000.00%market38.94%—-1.20%-2.58%1.38%
AAON2025-11-062025-11-072025-12-08—99.8399.830.00%market12.12%—-17.03%2.35%-19.38%
JJSF2025-11-172025-11-182025-12-17—84.2284.220.00%market27.42%—12.14%1.40%10.73%
AS2025-11-182025-11-192025-12-18—34.0734.070.00%market31.00%—11.86%2.37%9.49%
KLIC2025-11-192025-11-202025-12-19—40.0040.000.00%market26.13%—13.95%1.14%12.81%
BULL2025-11-202025-11-212025-12-22—8.268.260.00%market319.92%—5.61%4.55%1.06%
OOMA2025-12-082025-12-092026-01-08—11.5811.580.00%market22.73%—-0.72%0.93%-1.65%
MU2025-12-172025-12-182026-01-20—256.53256.530.00%market20.71%—42.08%-0.00%42.09%
BB2025-12-182025-12-192026-01-21—4.084.080.00%market25.88%—-7.06%1.30%-8.36%
BIRK2025-12-182025-12-192026-01-21—40.8340.830.00%market41.71%—-3.75%1.30%-5.05%
WGO2025-12-192025-12-222026-01-22—42.3542.350.00%market186.79%—14.30%0.74%13.56%
FC2026-01-072026-01-082026-02-06—16.1516.150.00%market133.33%—20.48%0.26%20.22%
FOR2026-01-202026-01-212026-02-19—26.1626.160.00%market42.86%—13.14%0.71%12.43%
MCB2026-01-202026-01-212026-02-19—80.5780.570.00%market25.91%—16.27%0.71%15.56%
DCOM2026-01-212026-01-222026-02-20—31.7531.750.00%market12.86%—7.74%-0.06%7.80%
FBNC2026-01-212026-01-222026-02-20—60.5060.500.00%market15.53%—2.66%-0.06%2.72%
ARW2026-02-052026-02-062026-03-09—145.13145.130.00%market23.66%—-3.85%-0.47%-3.38%
CVNA2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-19—68.3868.380.00%market265.22%—-14.15%-3.52%-10.64%
CYH2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-19—3.113.110.00%market95.11%—-3.74%-3.52%-0.22%
AG2026-02-192026-02-202026-03-20—25.0225.020.00%market34.71%—-27.18%-4.95%-22.23%
APPN2026-02-192026-02-202026-03-20—24.4124.410.00%market66.67%—3.53%-4.95%8.47%
ATAI2026-03-062026-03-092026-04-07—3.403.400.00%market58.33%—11.27%-1.08%12.35%
ARX2026-03-182026-03-192026-04-17—11.7011.700.00%market43.75%—20.23%8.09%12.13%
DLO2026-03-182026-03-192026-04-17—12.4412.440.00%market22.22%—9.77%8.09%1.67%
CURV2026-03-192026-03-202026-04-20—1.451.450.00%market33.33%—52.21%7.95%44.26%
FLY2026-03-192026-03-202026-04-20—25.5525.550.00%market20.83%—67.28%7.95%59.32%
AEHR2026-04-072026-04-082026-05-06—57.3557.350.00%market28.57%—68.47%8.49%59.97%
NFLX2026-04-162026-04-172026-05-15—96.3796.370.00%market61.21%—-9.90%4.68%-14.58%
EQT2026-04-212026-04-222026-05-20—58.3158.310.00%market12.02%—-1.02%4.53%-5.55%
MANH2026-04-212026-04-222026-05-20—149.00149.000.00%market12.73%—-8.20%4.53%-12.73%
MCB2026-04-212026-04-222026-05-20—90.0990.090.00%market26.41%—0.65%4.53%-3.87%
AGCO2026-05-052026-05-062026-06-04—117.17117.170.00%market113.98%—2.10%3.97%-1.87%
DDS2026-05-142026-05-152026-06-15—537.60537.600.00%market54.68%—5.04%1.76%3.28%
AS2026-05-192026-05-202026-06-18—34.4134.410.00%market24.10%—6.83%1.50%5.33%
BEKE2026-05-192026-05-202026-06-18—18.1118.110.00%market42.86%—-17.87%1.50%-19.37%
KEYS2026-05-192026-05-202026-06-18—330.00330.000.00%market23.71%—10.00%1.50%8.50%
AI2026-06-032026-06-042026-07-06—11.2211.220.00%market13.16%—-17.49%-0.11%-17.38%
CBRS2026-06-232026-06-242026-07-23—208.00208.000.00%market75.55%—5.57%0.41%5.16%
MU2026-06-242026-06-252026-07-24—1,233.001,233.000.00%market19.69%—-25.51%0.00%-25.51%
FC2026-07-012026-07-022026-07-31—19.2919.290.00%market12.50%—11.00%-0.05%11.05%
HCM2026-07-022026-07-062026-08-03—11.6311.630.00%market112.85%—-0.89%1.19%-2.08%
EPAC2026-07-072026-07-082026-08-05—35.8235.820.00%market19.28%—3.01%3.58%-0.57%