Quality compounder beat (lookback 30y) (2)

Run 5f760619 · view hypothesis

completed

Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.

Trades
170
Win rate
53.53%
Avg return
0.82%
Median return
0.98%
Avg abnormal
-0.01%
Median abnormal
-1.15%
Best trade
88.40%
Worst trade
-42.57%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.06
Daily portfolio drawdown
—
Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
2021191.08%0.22%57.89%
2022381.19%2.07%47.37%
2023382.48%1.02%52.63%
202431-1.12%-4.25%58.06%
202527-0.26%-0.49%55.56%
2026171.24%1.25%52.94%
Trades (170)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceEPS surp.ROEDebt / equityReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
ORCL2021-06-152021-06-162021-07-15—77.9977.990.00%market17.56%——10.38%2.38%8.00%
KOF2021-07-262021-07-272021-08-24—54.7354.730.00%market16.18%——5.03%1.83%3.19%
LMT2021-07-262021-07-272021-08-24—368.25368.250.00%market9.19%——-2.71%1.83%-4.54%
TFII2021-07-262021-07-272021-08-24—111.15111.150.00%market45.45%——1.01%1.83%-0.82%
AAPL2021-07-272021-07-282021-08-25—144.81144.810.00%market30.00%——2.25%2.10%0.15%
UPS2021-07-272021-07-282021-08-25—195.09195.090.00%market8.51%——-1.34%2.10%-3.44%
NTAP2021-08-252021-08-262021-09-24—87.5087.500.00%market21.05%——6.82%-1.05%7.86%
RYAN2021-09-012021-09-022021-10-01—32.9032.900.00%market9.37%——1.65%-4.21%5.86%
RH2021-09-082021-09-092021-10-07—706.28706.280.00%market30.86%——-7.82%-2.67%-5.15%
DAL2021-10-132021-10-142021-11-11—41.1841.180.00%market100.00%——5.31%5.62%-0.31%
THC2021-10-202021-10-212021-11-18—71.3771.370.00%market82.57%——10.01%3.98%6.04%
CROX2021-10-212021-10-222021-11-19—147.80147.800.00%market31.38%——18.54%3.48%15.06%
MAT2021-10-212021-10-222021-11-19—21.7021.700.00%market16.67%——4.18%3.48%0.70%
SPGI2021-10-262021-10-272021-11-24—465.28465.280.00%market12.38%——-0.58%2.85%-3.42%
ADNT2021-11-102021-11-112021-12-10—44.1344.130.00%market63.08%——7.12%1.19%5.93%
VSCO2021-11-172021-11-182021-12-17—55.1455.140.00%market14.08%——-10.37%-2.00%-8.38%
ATKR2021-11-182021-11-192021-12-20—111.50111.500.00%market14.32%——-10.38%-3.12%-7.26%
BJ2021-11-182021-11-192021-12-20—72.1872.180.00%market13.75%——-10.41%-3.12%-7.30%
DBI2021-12-072021-12-082022-01-06—15.8015.800.00%market53.57%——-8.24%-0.16%-8.08%
FER2021-12-312022-01-032022-02-01—27.5027.500.00%market1139.21%——-0.75%-4.90%4.16%
AAPL2022-01-272022-01-282022-02-28—165.71165.710.00%market11.11%——-0.56%0.91%-1.47%
ATKR2022-01-312022-02-012022-03-02—109.26109.260.00%market28.65%——-4.06%-2.84%-1.22%
UPS2022-02-012022-02-022022-03-03—230.65230.650.00%market15.81%——-8.10%-4.34%-3.75%
EVR2022-02-022022-02-032022-03-04—127.69127.690.00%market56.80%——-7.21%-4.16%-3.04%
IDXX2022-02-022022-02-032022-03-04—525.17525.170.00%market10.53%——1.81%-4.16%5.97%
TV2022-02-252022-02-282022-03-28—10.3410.340.00%market116.67%——10.34%5.53%4.81%
KTB2022-03-012022-03-022022-03-30—45.2845.280.00%market11.39%——-5.54%6.09%-11.63%
AMR2022-03-072022-03-082022-04-05—117.81117.810.00%market17.57%——1.25%7.49%-6.23%
BW2022-03-082022-03-092022-04-06—7.237.230.00%market200.00%——11.83%5.03%6.80%
BKE2022-03-112022-03-142022-04-11—36.9736.970.00%market17.36%——-12.83%4.52%-17.35%
LW2022-04-072022-04-082022-05-09—65.6465.640.00%market65.91%——-4.65%-11.12%6.47%
HDB2022-04-182022-04-192022-05-17—26.5226.520.00%market11.76%——2.44%-6.75%9.19%
KMB2022-04-222022-04-252022-05-23—138.65138.650.00%market9.76%——-6.86%-6.31%-0.55%
NSP2022-04-262022-04-272022-05-25—108.71108.710.00%market10.56%——-13.75%-4.76%-8.99%
TNET2022-04-262022-04-272022-05-25—93.8493.840.00%market24.39%——-20.85%-4.76%-16.09%
EAF2022-05-062022-05-092022-06-07—82.5082.500.00%market9.09%——9.25%2.63%6.63%
ZIM2022-05-182022-05-192022-06-17—61.1461.140.00%market13.16%——-17.75%-5.86%-11.89%
VSCO2022-05-312022-06-012022-06-30—45.2345.230.00%market32.14%——-38.36%-9.13%-29.23%
CHWY2022-06-012022-06-022022-07-01—27.0927.090.00%market128.57%——37.08%-6.88%43.97%
NTAP2022-06-012022-06-022022-07-01—72.2072.200.00%market10.94%——-13.25%-6.88%-6.36%
KOF2022-07-252022-07-262022-08-23—56.5956.590.00%market32.53%——10.97%4.70%6.27%
MUSA2022-07-272022-07-282022-08-25—279.00279.000.00%market70.36%——6.39%4.38%2.01%
AMBP2022-07-282022-07-292022-08-26—6.566.560.00%market22.22%——-3.86%-0.56%-3.30%
MA2022-07-282022-07-292022-08-26—354.13354.130.00%market8.47%——-6.46%-0.56%-5.90%
PBF2022-07-282022-07-292022-08-26—32.2632.260.00%market46.94%——13.56%-0.56%14.12%
NTAP2022-08-242022-08-252022-09-23—79.0979.090.00%market9.09%——-19.95%-11.39%-8.56%
VSCO2022-08-242022-08-252022-09-23—36.8136.810.00%market14.74%——-18.67%-11.39%-7.28%
SEZL2022-09-302022-10-032022-10-31—0.030.030.00%market131.87%——88.40%6.96%81.44%
TKO2022-09-302022-10-032022-10-31—70.9470.940.00%market208.15%——11.01%6.96%4.05%
LW2022-10-052022-10-062022-11-03—82.3582.350.00%market44.23%——2.85%-1.23%4.08%
KOF2022-10-242022-10-252022-11-22—60.8160.810.00%market24.10%——11.67%5.57%6.10%
AMP2022-10-252022-10-262022-11-23—287.31287.310.00%market10.48%——15.56%5.45%10.11%
EQNR2022-10-282022-10-312022-11-29—36.0836.080.00%market19.66%——4.12%2.27%1.85%
NSP2022-10-312022-11-012022-11-30—119.99119.990.00%market26.80%——-1.40%4.50%-5.90%
GSK2022-11-022022-11-032022-12-02—32.6732.670.00%market21.11%——8.00%9.54%-1.54%
WMG2022-11-222022-11-232022-12-22—31.8531.850.00%market115.38%——10.91%-4.71%15.63%
NTAP2022-11-292022-11-302022-12-29—64.8664.860.00%market10.45%——-7.55%-3.05%-4.51%
ACI2023-01-102023-01-112023-02-09—21.2521.250.00%market29.85%——-0.72%3.79%-4.51%
EXTR2023-01-252023-01-262023-02-24—17.0417.040.00%market12.50%——10.36%-1.67%12.04%
CNX2023-01-262023-01-272023-02-27—16.2216.220.00%market187.72%——-5.19%-1.47%-3.72%
CLX2023-02-022023-02-032023-03-06—153.00153.000.00%market50.77%——-0.83%-1.73%0.90%
ITW2023-02-022023-02-032023-03-06—249.19249.190.00%market14.34%——-4.41%-1.73%-2.68%
MSGE2023-02-092023-02-102023-03-13—59.8359.830.00%market71.05%——-7.44%-5.05%-2.39%
BKNG2023-02-232023-02-242023-03-24—97.2097.200.00%market17.86%——2.65%0.08%2.57%
CAPL2023-02-272023-02-282023-03-28—21.8221.820.00%market152.94%——-5.65%-0.41%-5.24%
WTI2023-03-072023-03-082023-04-05—5.755.750.00%market400.00%——-7.68%2.31%-9.99%
BKE2023-03-102023-03-132023-04-11—36.9336.930.00%market12.82%——-7.08%7.31%-14.39%
VEON2023-03-162023-03-172023-04-17—15.5015.500.00%market23.91%——25.61%5.27%20.34%
LW2023-04-062023-04-102023-05-08—107.69107.690.00%market45.92%——3.95%1.51%2.44%
MEDP2023-04-242023-04-252023-05-23—225.00225.000.00%market26.11%——-8.78%0.85%-9.64%
GE2023-04-252023-04-262023-05-24—78.3478.340.00%market107.69%——2.60%1.07%1.52%
KMB2023-04-252023-04-262023-05-24—143.39143.390.00%market26.52%——-4.20%1.07%-5.28%
CHDN2023-04-262023-04-272023-05-25—131.85131.850.00%market12.64%——5.86%1.88%3.98%
TAC2023-05-052023-05-082023-06-06—9.589.580.00%market179.31%——2.31%3.65%-1.34%
NTAP2023-05-312023-06-012023-06-30—70.3070.300.00%market14.07%——8.48%6.03%2.45%
JILL2023-06-072023-06-082023-07-10—22.7122.710.00%market23.08%——-14.91%3.06%-17.96%
DAL2023-07-132023-07-142023-08-11—47.7847.780.00%market11.67%——-7.76%-1.07%-6.68%
ACI2023-07-252023-07-262023-08-23—21.6221.620.00%market9.41%——2.30%-2.52%4.81%
KMB2023-07-252023-07-262023-08-23—132.84132.840.00%market11.49%——-3.31%-2.52%-0.79%
LW2023-07-252023-07-262023-08-23—105.55105.550.00%market16.19%——-8.63%-2.52%-6.11%
SHW2023-07-252023-07-262023-08-23—279.46279.460.00%market22.30%——-2.85%-2.52%-0.33%
SPB2023-08-112023-08-142023-09-12—78.0378.030.00%market31.58%——2.71%0.29%2.42%
SPHR2023-08-222023-08-232023-09-21—39.7039.700.00%market2652.50%——-8.71%-1.79%-6.92%
VEON2023-08-292023-08-302023-09-28—16.4516.450.00%market635.29%——17.37%-4.67%22.04%
JILL2023-08-312023-09-012023-10-02—25.2825.280.00%market37.50%——16.22%-5.71%21.92%
LUCK2023-09-112023-09-122023-10-10—10.4210.420.00%market5464.08%——10.07%-2.78%12.85%
KMB2023-10-242023-10-252023-11-22—120.94120.940.00%market9.43%——0.94%7.85%-6.91%
KOF2023-10-242023-10-252023-11-22—72.4072.400.00%market19.05%——17.76%7.85%9.90%
SHW2023-10-242023-10-252023-11-22—235.20235.200.00%market15.52%——16.57%7.85%8.72%
TNET2023-10-252023-10-262023-11-24—110.65110.650.00%market37.41%——1.80%9.33%-7.53%
WU2023-10-252023-10-262023-11-24—12.7412.740.00%market10.26%——-5.54%9.33%-14.87%
NTAP2023-11-282023-11-292023-12-28—86.8986.890.00%market12.86%——1.32%4.27%-2.96%
JILL2023-12-052023-12-062024-01-05—26.1326.130.00%market27.87%——-7.05%1.99%-9.04%
BNED2023-12-062023-12-072024-01-08—130.50130.500.00%market12400.00%——53.06%3.87%49.19%
BLBD2023-12-112023-12-122024-01-11—24.0024.000.00%market37.50%——3.13%3.19%-0.06%
LMT2024-01-232024-01-242024-02-22—439.52439.520.00%market8.54%——-2.62%4.04%-6.65%
COR2024-01-312024-02-012024-03-01—232.65232.650.00%market13.49%——1.68%5.82%-4.14%
AAMI2024-02-012024-02-022024-03-04—21.8021.800.00%market30.51%——3.52%4.63%-1.11%
CLX2024-02-012024-02-022024-03-04—158.50158.500.00%market100.00%——-4.97%4.63%-9.60%
SPG2024-02-052024-02-062024-03-06—137.49137.490.00%market10.48%——10.59%3.29%7.30%
VAL2024-02-212024-02-222024-03-21—69.1669.160.00%market110.34%——7.28%3.61%3.67%
ESTC2024-02-292024-03-012024-04-01—115.96115.960.00%market16.13%——-13.48%2.59%-16.07%
BOX2024-03-052024-03-062024-04-04—28.9528.950.00%market10.53%——-4.79%0.49%-5.29%
BURL2024-03-072024-03-082024-04-08—223.60223.600.00%market10.91%——-11.07%0.63%-11.70%
MANU2024-03-122024-03-132024-04-11—14.2714.270.00%market184.22%——2.53%0.17%2.36%
KMB2024-04-232024-04-242024-05-22—135.66135.660.00%market23.31%——-1.52%4.59%-6.11%
LMT2024-04-232024-04-242024-05-22—462.70462.700.00%market9.79%——1.32%4.59%-3.28%
KOF2024-04-242024-04-252024-05-23—96.1896.180.00%market16.67%——-0.21%5.36%-5.58%
LII2024-04-242024-04-252024-05-23—463.56463.560.00%market9.81%——5.90%5.36%0.53%
PI2024-04-242024-04-252024-05-23—130.28130.280.00%market110.00%——29.13%5.36%23.76%
IBTA2024-05-302024-05-312024-07-01—104.33104.330.00%market80.00%——-31.49%4.15%-35.64%
JILL2024-06-072024-06-102024-07-10—37.9937.990.00%market11.93%——-9.02%5.28%-14.30%
PAC2024-07-222024-07-232024-08-20—163.30163.300.00%market24.51%——0.58%0.75%-0.17%
KMB2024-07-232024-07-242024-08-21—134.77134.770.00%market14.62%——7.08%2.14%4.94%
LTM2022-12-312024-07-252024-08-22—24.8524.850.00%market116.62%——0.12%2.75%-2.62%
KLAC2024-07-252024-07-262024-08-23—78.9478.940.00%market8.20%——3.40%3.66%-0.26%
MMM2024-07-262024-07-292024-08-26—128.00128.000.00%market14.88%——2.81%2.71%0.10%
BOX2024-08-272024-08-282024-09-26—30.0030.000.00%market10.00%——7.80%1.98%5.82%
CHWY2024-08-282024-08-292024-09-27—28.7228.720.00%market257.14%——4.12%1.99%2.13%
CCL2024-09-302024-10-012024-10-29—18.7018.700.00%market9.48%——17.98%1.46%16.52%
LII2024-10-232024-10-242024-11-21—613.97613.970.00%market11.33%——5.77%2.36%3.41%
BAH2024-10-252024-10-282024-11-25—184.08184.080.00%market23.13%——-20.09%2.57%-22.66%
KOF2024-10-252024-10-282024-11-25—86.6986.690.00%market10.53%——-7.85%2.57%-10.41%
FER2024-10-292024-10-302024-11-27—40.3440.340.00%market751.91%——1.73%3.02%-1.28%
AMGN2024-10-302024-10-312024-11-29—317.69317.690.00%market9.20%——-11.16%4.69%-15.85%
ZIM2024-11-202024-11-212024-12-20—26.0026.000.00%market32.48%——-29.85%-0.38%-29.47%
EAT2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-28—183.00183.000.00%market104.38%——-10.13%-1.62%-8.51%
LII2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-28—599.84599.840.00%market35.92%——0.00%-1.62%1.62%
BEPC2025-01-312025-02-032025-03-04—25.9425.940.00%market81.82%——2.69%-2.67%5.36%
IT2025-02-042025-02-052025-03-06—541.76541.760.00%market67.18%——-11.03%-4.65%-6.38%
PJT2025-02-042025-02-052025-03-06—174.42174.420.00%market59.66%——-15.24%-4.65%-10.59%
FER2025-02-282025-03-032025-03-31—44.4444.440.00%market1325.55%——0.88%-6.17%7.05%
VSCO2025-03-052025-03-062025-04-03—20.8620.860.00%market13.04%——-28.92%-6.74%-22.18%
VSXY2025-03-052025-03-062025-04-03—20.8620.860.00%market13.04%——-28.92%-6.74%-22.18%
LMT2025-04-222025-04-232025-05-21—467.00467.000.00%market14.83%——0.50%7.85%-7.35%
TNET2025-04-252025-04-282025-05-27—77.6377.630.00%market19.16%——6.00%7.21%-1.21%
LTM2025-04-292025-04-302025-05-29—31.7531.750.00%market93.44%——18.35%7.76%10.59%
PJT2025-04-292025-04-302025-05-29—139.37139.370.00%market11.70%——8.06%7.76%0.30%
AMGN2025-05-012025-05-022025-06-02—291.50291.500.00%market14.75%——-1.24%4.95%-6.19%
LII2025-07-232025-07-242025-08-21—662.50662.500.00%market13.99%——-14.07%0.15%-14.22%
LVS2025-07-232025-07-242025-08-21—51.2751.270.00%market48.78%——4.17%0.15%4.02%
BWMX2025-07-242025-07-252025-08-22—10.1510.150.00%market50.00%——31.72%1.61%30.11%
RELX2025-07-242025-07-252025-08-22—53.1553.150.00%market28.06%——-9.06%1.61%-10.67%
TNET2025-07-252025-07-282025-08-25—69.2869.280.00%market15.00%——-1.22%0.78%-2.01%
LMT2025-10-212025-10-222025-11-19—491.47491.470.00%market8.93%——-4.59%-1.39%-3.19%
LVS2025-10-222025-10-232025-11-20—54.5654.560.00%market26.42%——16.15%-2.33%18.48%
CVI2025-10-292025-10-302025-11-28—40.1340.130.00%market100.00%——-14.15%-0.07%-14.08%
EAT2025-10-292025-10-302025-11-28—112.60112.600.00%market9.66%——36.38%-0.07%36.46%
MUSA2025-10-292025-10-302025-11-28—378.24378.240.00%market9.85%——1.61%-0.07%1.68%
NTAP2025-11-252025-11-262025-12-26—116.52116.520.00%market9.04%——-5.36%1.87%-7.23%
PD2025-11-252025-11-262025-12-26—12.9612.960.00%market32.53%——1.34%1.87%-0.53%
DOO2025-05-292025-12-022025-12-31—69.3669.360.00%market37.67%——1.82%0.00%1.82%
ORCL2025-12-102025-12-112026-01-12—190.62190.620.00%market37.80%——7.18%1.46%5.71%
HDB2026-01-172026-01-202026-02-18—32.1832.180.00%market10.26%——3.44%0.70%2.73%
BA2026-01-272026-01-282026-02-26—244.09244.090.00%market2362.05%——-6.21%-1.11%-5.10%
STX2026-01-272026-01-282026-02-26—395.19395.190.00%market11.87%——3.46%-1.11%4.58%
EAT2026-01-282026-01-292026-02-27—158.25158.250.00%market13.44%——-6.55%-1.49%-5.06%
LVS2026-01-282026-01-292026-02-27—55.5055.500.00%market11.11%——2.00%-1.49%3.49%
MATV2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-19—14.4214.420.00%market66.67%——-42.57%-3.52%-39.06%
SEZL2026-02-252026-02-262026-03-26—78.3078.300.00%market26.04%——-14.59%-6.95%-7.64%
CQP2026-02-262026-02-272026-03-27—60.7660.760.00%market114.41%——6.65%-7.17%13.82%
LNG2026-02-262026-02-272026-03-27—231.10231.100.00%market181.84%——28.28%-7.17%35.45%
NATL2026-02-262026-02-272026-03-27—45.5745.570.00%market12.88%——-6.02%-7.17%1.16%
AVAH2026-03-192026-03-202026-04-20—6.036.030.00%market10.53%——13.73%7.95%5.78%
MMM2026-04-212026-04-222026-05-20—150.62150.620.00%market8.08%——-0.76%4.53%-5.28%
LVS2026-04-222026-04-232026-05-21—51.3251.320.00%market20.37%——-3.84%4.68%-8.53%
AMT2026-04-282026-04-292026-05-28—177.54177.540.00%market15.00%——4.95%6.13%-1.18%
CVLT2026-04-282026-04-292026-05-28—98.4798.470.00%market17.43%——12.25%6.13%6.12%
STX2026-04-282026-04-292026-05-28—667.98667.980.00%market16.81%——31.65%6.13%25.52%
HAS2026-05-202026-05-212026-06-22—88.4388.430.00%market22.50%——-4.77%0.78%-5.55%