Quality overlays 2 (lookback 30y)

Run 5f7610e9 · view hypothesis

completed

Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.

Trades
198
Win rate
54.55%
Avg return
1.75%
Median return
1.33%
Avg abnormal
1.08%
Median abnormal
-1.00%
Best trade
88.40%
Worst trade
-45.99%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.10
Daily portfolio drawdown
—
Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
202123-2.70%-3.17%52.17%
2022392.69%3.39%51.28%
2023422.35%1.17%52.38%
2024370.99%-1.68%56.76%
2025363.78%3.65%66.67%
2026211.50%1.71%42.86%
Trades (198)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceEPS surp.ROEReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
ORCL2021-06-152021-06-162021-07-15—77.9977.990.00%market17.56%—10.38%2.38%8.00%
KOF2021-07-262021-07-272021-08-24—54.7354.730.00%market16.18%—5.03%1.83%3.19%
QURE2021-07-262021-07-272021-08-24—27.3027.300.00%market187.50%—2.91%1.83%1.08%
TFII2021-07-262021-07-272021-08-24—111.15111.150.00%market45.45%—1.01%1.83%-0.82%
AAPL2021-07-272021-07-282021-08-25—144.81144.810.00%market30.00%—2.25%2.10%0.15%
CHDN2021-07-282021-07-292021-08-26—94.7894.780.00%market20.31%—6.63%1.46%5.16%
NTAP2021-08-252021-08-262021-09-24—87.5087.500.00%market21.05%—6.82%-1.05%7.86%
SBSW2021-08-262021-08-272021-09-27—15.7215.720.00%market859.86%—-19.16%-1.00%-18.15%
NTNX2021-09-012021-09-022021-10-01—39.5339.530.00%market39.53%—-1.44%-4.21%2.77%
INTA2021-09-082021-09-092021-10-07—39.0739.070.00%market51.28%—-33.37%-2.67%-30.70%
RH2021-09-082021-09-092021-10-07—706.28706.280.00%market30.86%—-7.82%-2.67%-5.15%
DAL2021-10-132021-10-142021-11-11—41.1841.180.00%market100.00%—5.31%5.62%-0.31%
THC2021-10-202021-10-212021-11-18—71.3771.370.00%market82.57%—10.01%3.98%6.04%
CROX2021-10-212021-10-222021-11-19—147.80147.800.00%market31.38%—18.54%3.48%15.06%
MAT2021-10-212021-10-222021-11-19—21.7021.700.00%market16.67%—4.18%3.48%0.70%
ASR2021-10-252021-10-262021-11-23—198.13198.130.00%market35.98%—-2.02%2.40%-4.42%
ADNT2021-11-102021-11-112021-12-10—44.1344.130.00%market63.08%—7.12%1.19%5.93%
VSCO2021-11-172021-11-182021-12-17—55.1455.140.00%market14.08%—-10.37%-2.00%-8.38%
ATKR2021-11-182021-11-192021-12-20—111.50111.500.00%market14.32%—-10.38%-3.12%-7.26%
BJ2021-11-182021-11-192021-12-20—72.1872.180.00%market13.75%—-10.41%-3.12%-7.30%
NTNX2021-11-232021-11-242021-12-23—33.5333.530.00%market35.29%—-3.38%0.97%-4.36%
FLNC2021-12-092021-12-102022-01-10—31.3231.320.00%market43.48%—-17.03%-0.79%-16.23%
RIVN2021-12-162021-12-172022-01-18—99.9299.920.00%market35.57%—-26.98%-1.10%-25.89%
FER2021-12-312022-01-032022-02-01—27.5027.500.00%market1139.21%—-0.75%-4.90%4.16%
CNS2022-01-262022-01-272022-02-25—82.4982.490.00%market20.39%—-2.29%-0.12%-2.17%
ATKR2022-01-312022-02-012022-03-02—109.26109.260.00%market28.65%—-4.06%-2.84%-1.22%
HRB2022-02-012022-02-022022-03-03—23.2023.200.00%market20.31%—11.83%-4.34%16.17%
UPS2022-02-012022-02-022022-03-03—230.65230.650.00%market15.81%—-8.10%-4.34%-3.75%
EVR2022-02-022022-02-032022-03-04—127.69127.690.00%market56.80%—-7.21%-4.16%-3.04%
ASR2022-02-242022-02-252022-03-25—211.78211.780.00%market29.13%—2.33%5.37%-3.05%
SNDX2022-03-012022-03-022022-03-30—16.9516.950.00%market546.43%—1.57%6.09%-4.52%
SBSW2022-03-032022-03-042022-04-01—18.7318.730.00%market1224.37%—-11.57%4.90%-16.48%
AMR2022-03-072022-03-082022-04-05—117.81117.810.00%market17.57%—1.25%7.49%-6.23%
BW2022-03-082022-03-092022-04-06—7.237.230.00%market200.00%—11.83%5.03%6.80%
TPG2022-03-282022-03-292022-04-27—29.9629.960.00%market33.33%—-14.39%-9.29%-5.09%
BNTX2022-03-302022-03-312022-04-29—173.00173.000.00%market64.66%—-19.98%-10.02%-9.96%
LW2022-04-072022-04-082022-05-09—65.6465.640.00%market65.91%—-4.65%-11.12%6.47%
SNDA2022-04-152022-04-182022-05-16—31.0631.060.00%market23.87%—-11.95%-8.41%-3.55%
ASR2022-04-252022-04-262022-05-24—203.79203.790.00%market21.52%—3.89%-7.50%11.39%
GSHD2022-04-262022-04-272022-05-25—52.5052.500.00%market128.57%—-7.06%-4.76%-2.29%
BVN2022-04-282022-04-292022-05-27—9.239.230.00%market45.24%—-2.26%-1.97%-0.29%
NRG2022-05-062022-05-092022-06-07—41.0341.030.00%market1203.64%—12.25%2.63%9.63%
APLD2022-05-132022-05-162022-06-14—1.901.900.00%market42.86%—-45.99%-6.53%-39.46%
SNDA2022-05-232022-05-242022-06-23—25.0025.000.00%market41.94%—-14.56%-3.69%-10.87%
VSCO2022-05-312022-06-012022-06-30—45.2345.230.00%market32.14%—-38.36%-9.13%-29.23%
CHWY2022-06-012022-06-022022-07-01—27.0927.090.00%market128.57%—37.08%-6.88%43.97%
ASR2022-07-252022-07-262022-08-23—186.48186.480.00%market26.44%—16.54%4.70%11.84%
KOF2022-07-252022-07-262022-08-23—56.5956.590.00%market32.53%—10.97%4.70%6.27%
MUSA2022-07-272022-07-282022-08-25—279.00279.000.00%market70.36%—6.39%4.38%2.01%
PI2022-07-272022-07-282022-08-25—80.2580.250.00%market787.81%—19.99%4.38%15.60%
AMBP2022-07-282022-07-292022-08-26—6.566.560.00%market22.22%—-3.86%-0.56%-3.30%
VSCO2022-08-242022-08-252022-09-23—36.8136.810.00%market14.74%—-18.67%-11.39%-7.28%
SEZL2022-09-302022-10-032022-10-31—0.030.030.00%market131.87%—88.40%6.96%81.44%
TKO2022-09-302022-10-032022-10-31—70.9470.940.00%market208.15%—11.01%6.96%4.05%
LW2022-10-052022-10-062022-11-03—82.3582.350.00%market44.23%—2.85%-1.23%4.08%
RLI2022-10-192022-10-202022-11-17—54.7654.760.00%market47.06%—18.68%7.12%11.56%
KOF2022-10-242022-10-252022-11-22—60.8160.810.00%market24.10%—11.67%5.57%6.10%
EQNR2022-10-282022-10-312022-11-29—36.0836.080.00%market19.66%—4.12%2.27%1.85%
NSP2022-10-312022-11-012022-11-30—119.99119.990.00%market26.80%—-1.40%4.50%-5.90%
ETSY2022-11-022022-11-032022-12-02—91.3391.330.00%market56.76%—53.63%9.54%44.09%
SQM2022-11-162022-11-172022-12-16—100.26100.260.00%market13.91%—-15.17%-1.84%-13.33%
WMG2022-11-222022-11-232022-12-22—31.8531.850.00%market115.38%—10.91%-4.71%15.63%
ACI2023-01-102023-01-112023-02-09—21.2521.250.00%market29.85%—-0.72%3.79%-4.51%
EXTR2023-01-252023-01-262023-02-24—17.0417.040.00%market12.50%—10.36%-1.67%12.04%
RDY2023-01-252023-01-262023-02-24—10.5410.540.00%market32.35%—2.55%-1.67%4.23%
CNX2023-01-262023-01-272023-02-27—16.2216.220.00%market187.72%—-5.19%-1.47%-3.72%
CLX2023-02-022023-02-032023-03-06—153.00153.000.00%market50.77%—-0.83%-1.73%0.90%
MSGE2023-02-092023-02-102023-03-13—59.8359.830.00%market71.05%—-7.44%-5.05%-2.39%
ALNY2023-02-232023-02-242023-03-24—191.77191.770.00%market21.13%—-1.13%0.08%-1.22%
BKNG2023-02-232023-02-242023-03-24—97.2097.200.00%market17.86%—2.65%0.08%2.57%
CAPL2023-02-272023-02-282023-03-28—21.8221.820.00%market152.94%—-5.65%-0.41%-5.24%
WTI2023-03-072023-03-082023-04-05—5.755.750.00%market400.00%—-7.68%2.31%-9.99%
BKE2023-03-102023-03-132023-04-11—36.9336.930.00%market12.82%—-7.08%7.31%-14.39%
CALM2023-03-282023-03-292023-04-27—56.8956.890.00%market21.02%—-15.62%3.12%-18.74%
LW2023-04-062023-04-102023-05-08—107.69107.690.00%market45.92%—3.95%1.51%2.44%
ASML2023-04-192023-04-202023-05-18—625.36625.360.00%market19.33%—11.08%1.95%9.13%
MEDP2023-04-242023-04-252023-05-23—225.00225.000.00%market26.11%—-8.78%0.85%-9.64%
GE2023-04-252023-04-262023-05-24—78.3478.340.00%market107.69%—2.60%1.07%1.52%
CHDN2023-04-262023-04-272023-05-25—131.85131.850.00%market12.64%—5.86%1.88%3.98%
TAC2023-05-052023-05-082023-06-06—9.589.580.00%market179.31%—2.31%3.65%-1.34%
MSGE2023-05-182023-05-192023-06-20—36.1036.100.00%market132.31%—9.61%4.05%5.56%
NTAP2023-05-312023-06-012023-06-30—70.3070.300.00%market14.07%—8.48%6.03%2.45%
JILL2023-06-072023-06-082023-07-10—22.7122.710.00%market23.08%—-14.91%3.06%-17.96%
LW2023-07-252023-07-262023-08-23—105.55105.550.00%market16.19%—-8.63%-2.52%-6.11%
MANH2023-07-252023-07-262023-08-23—195.00195.000.00%market22.22%—-0.54%-2.52%1.98%
SHW2023-07-252023-07-262023-08-23—279.46279.460.00%market22.30%—-2.85%-2.52%-0.33%
FTAI2023-07-262023-07-272023-08-24—33.1633.160.00%market53.33%—6.22%-4.82%11.04%
WU2023-07-262023-07-272023-08-24—12.9012.900.00%market30.77%—-7.80%-4.82%-2.98%
SPHR2023-08-222023-08-232023-09-21—39.7039.700.00%market2652.50%—-8.71%-1.79%-6.92%
NVDA2023-08-232023-08-242023-09-22—50.2250.220.00%market28.57%—-17.34%-3.21%-14.14%
VEON2023-08-292023-08-302023-09-28—16.4516.450.00%market635.29%—17.37%-4.67%22.04%
JILL2023-08-312023-09-012023-10-02—25.2825.280.00%market37.50%—16.22%-5.71%21.92%
LUCK2023-09-112023-09-122023-10-10—10.4210.420.00%market5464.08%—10.07%-2.78%12.85%
JBTM2023-09-302023-10-022023-10-30—104.66104.660.00%market1291.88%—-2.88%-2.59%-0.30%
KOF2023-10-242023-10-252023-11-22—72.4072.400.00%market19.05%—17.76%7.85%9.90%
MANH2023-10-242023-10-252023-11-22—183.13183.130.00%market36.36%—21.03%7.85%13.17%
SHW2023-10-242023-10-252023-11-22—235.20235.200.00%market15.52%—16.57%7.85%8.72%
TNET2023-10-252023-10-262023-11-24—110.65110.650.00%market37.41%—1.80%9.33%-7.53%
NSP2023-10-312023-11-012023-11-30—105.53105.530.00%market69.77%—7.59%8.87%-1.28%
NVDA2023-11-212023-11-222023-12-21—49.8549.850.00%market17.65%—-1.93%3.89%-5.82%
NTAP2023-11-282023-11-292023-12-28—86.8986.890.00%market12.86%—1.32%4.27%-2.96%
JILL2023-12-052023-12-062024-01-05—26.1326.130.00%market27.87%—-7.05%1.99%-9.04%
BNED2023-12-062023-12-072024-01-08—130.50130.500.00%market12400.00%—53.06%3.87%49.19%
BLBD2023-12-112023-12-122024-01-11—24.0024.000.00%market37.50%—3.13%3.19%-0.06%
KSPI2022-09-302024-01-192024-02-16—92.5092.500.00%market13.38%—3.10%4.58%-1.48%
KSPI2023-09-302024-01-192024-02-16—92.5092.500.00%market30.93%—3.10%4.58%-1.48%
AGYS2024-01-222024-01-232024-02-21—88.4088.400.00%market34.62%—-10.18%2.73%-12.90%
COR2024-01-312024-02-012024-03-01—232.65232.650.00%market13.49%—1.68%5.82%-4.14%
RDY2024-01-312024-02-012024-03-01—14.3214.320.00%market13.25%—4.27%5.82%-1.55%
TNET2024-02-152024-02-162024-03-18—118.11118.110.00%market34.45%—7.42%2.22%5.20%
MAX2024-02-202024-02-212024-03-20—17.1017.100.00%market76.19%—17.40%5.06%12.34%
VC2024-02-202024-02-212024-03-20—116.44116.440.00%market544.06%—-1.57%5.06%-6.62%
ESTC2024-02-292024-03-012024-04-01—115.96115.960.00%market16.13%—-13.48%2.59%-16.07%
MUX2024-02-292024-03-012024-04-01—6.356.350.00%market1006.25%—66.73%2.59%64.14%
BLND2024-03-152024-03-182024-04-16—2.882.880.00%market12.50%—-17.56%-2.04%-15.52%
TSHA2024-03-192024-03-202024-04-18—2.952.950.00%market488.89%—-18.51%-3.15%-15.35%
KMB2024-04-232024-04-242024-05-22—135.66135.660.00%market23.31%—-1.52%4.59%-6.11%
MANH2024-04-232024-04-242024-05-22—208.49208.490.00%market18.39%—7.23%4.59%2.64%
KOF2024-04-242024-04-252024-05-23—96.1896.180.00%market16.67%—-0.21%5.36%-5.58%
NBTX2024-04-242024-04-252024-05-23—5.915.910.00%market60.40%—11.64%5.36%6.28%
PI2024-04-242024-04-252024-05-23—130.28130.280.00%market110.00%—29.13%5.36%23.76%
CLBT2024-05-232024-05-242024-06-25—12.0012.000.00%market45.45%—-1.95%3.22%-5.17%
IBTA2024-05-302024-05-312024-07-01—104.33104.330.00%market80.00%—-31.49%4.15%-35.64%
RBRK2024-06-112024-06-122024-07-12—36.5736.570.00%market13.66%—-7.64%3.39%-11.03%
AEHR2024-07-162024-07-172024-08-14—19.2619.260.00%market663.64%—-29.80%-2.69%-27.10%
PAC2024-07-222024-07-232024-08-20—163.30163.300.00%market24.51%—0.58%0.75%-0.17%
KMB2024-07-232024-07-242024-08-21—134.77134.770.00%market14.62%—7.08%2.14%4.94%
MANH2024-07-232024-07-242024-08-21—247.39247.390.00%market23.30%—5.48%2.14%3.34%
LTM2022-12-312024-07-252024-08-22—24.8524.850.00%market116.62%—0.12%2.75%-2.62%
CLBT2024-08-152024-08-162024-09-16—14.8814.880.00%market25.00%—17.54%2.07%15.47%
CHWY2024-08-282024-08-292024-09-27—28.7228.720.00%market257.14%—4.12%1.99%2.13%
DOCU2024-09-052024-09-062024-10-04—60.2460.240.00%market20.20%—5.78%4.19%1.59%
RBRK2024-09-092024-09-102024-10-08—29.8529.850.00%market17.70%—15.81%4.52%11.29%
MANH2024-10-222024-10-232024-11-20—280.00280.000.00%market27.36%—-3.21%1.59%-4.80%
BAH2024-10-252024-10-282024-11-25—184.08184.080.00%market23.13%—-20.09%2.57%-22.66%
FER2024-10-292024-10-302024-11-27—40.3440.340.00%market751.91%—1.73%3.02%-1.28%
CLX2024-10-302024-10-312024-11-29—161.83161.830.00%market31.91%—3.10%4.69%-1.59%
EAT2024-10-302024-10-312024-11-29—103.21103.210.00%market37.68%—27.96%4.69%23.27%
ZIM2024-11-202024-11-212024-12-20—26.0026.000.00%market32.48%—-29.85%-0.38%-29.47%
RBRK2024-12-052024-12-062025-01-07—65.6865.680.00%market47.50%—-2.24%-3.10%0.86%
PVLA2024-05-162024-12-102025-01-10—16.4116.410.00%market58.33%—-15.07%-4.11%-10.96%
EAT2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-28—183.00183.000.00%market104.38%—-10.13%-1.62%-8.51%
LII2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-28—599.84599.840.00%market35.92%—0.00%-1.62%1.62%
BEPC2025-01-312025-02-032025-03-04—25.9425.940.00%market81.82%—2.69%-2.67%5.36%
IT2025-02-042025-02-052025-03-06—541.76541.760.00%market67.18%—-11.03%-4.65%-6.38%
PJT2025-02-042025-02-052025-03-06—174.42174.420.00%market59.66%—-15.24%-4.65%-10.59%
FER2025-02-282025-03-032025-03-31—44.4444.440.00%market1325.55%—0.88%-6.17%7.05%
VSCO2025-03-052025-03-062025-04-03—20.8620.860.00%market13.04%—-28.92%-6.74%-22.18%
VSXY2025-03-052025-03-062025-04-03—20.8620.860.00%market13.04%—-28.92%-6.74%-22.18%
BBAI2025-03-062025-03-072025-04-04—3.533.530.00%market20.00%—-19.46%-11.49%-7.97%
GRND2025-03-072025-03-102025-04-07—14.7814.780.00%market28.57%—15.29%-11.14%26.43%
LMT2025-04-222025-04-232025-05-21—467.00467.000.00%market14.83%—0.50%7.85%-7.35%
MANH2025-04-222025-04-232025-05-21—178.47178.470.00%market15.53%—5.12%7.85%-2.73%
EAF2025-04-252025-04-282025-05-27—7.057.050.00%market13.33%—60.08%7.21%52.87%
TNET2025-04-252025-04-282025-05-27—77.6377.630.00%market19.16%—6.00%7.21%-1.21%
LTM2025-04-292025-04-302025-05-29—31.7531.750.00%market93.44%—18.35%7.76%10.59%
VIK2025-05-202025-05-212025-06-20—44.5744.570.00%market18.36%—10.82%0.99%9.82%
HNGE2025-05-052025-05-222025-06-23—39.2539.250.00%market147.03%—11.11%3.00%8.11%
JOYY2025-05-262025-05-272025-06-25—42.0042.000.00%market29.10%—20.09%3.59%16.49%
MANH2025-07-222025-07-232025-08-20—245.00245.000.00%market15.93%—-13.66%1.04%-14.70%
LII2025-07-232025-07-242025-08-21—662.50662.500.00%market13.99%—-14.07%0.15%-14.22%
LVS2025-07-232025-07-242025-08-21—51.2751.270.00%market48.78%—4.17%0.15%4.02%
BWMX2025-07-242025-07-252025-08-22—10.1510.150.00%market50.00%—31.72%1.61%30.11%
RELX2025-07-242025-07-252025-08-22—53.1553.150.00%market28.06%—-9.06%1.61%-10.67%
UI2025-08-222025-08-252025-09-23—513.01513.010.00%market58.74%—27.61%2.98%24.64%
NIO2025-09-022025-09-032025-10-01—6.386.380.00%market16.57%—19.71%4.01%15.69%
LUXE2025-09-112025-09-122025-10-10—9.099.090.00%market3261.11%—-14.94%-0.70%-14.25%
FRMI2025-09-032025-10-012025-10-29—25.0025.000.00%market68.02%—14.64%3.65%10.99%
LVS2025-10-222025-10-232025-11-20—54.5654.560.00%market26.42%—16.15%-2.33%18.48%
CVI2025-10-292025-10-302025-11-28—40.1340.130.00%market100.00%—-14.15%-0.07%-14.08%
GH2025-10-292025-10-302025-11-28—89.9989.990.00%market18.75%—20.28%-0.07%20.35%
OPFI2025-10-292025-10-302025-11-28—10.2110.210.00%market48.39%—-3.24%-0.07%-3.16%
TNET2025-10-292025-10-302025-11-28—58.4858.480.00%market54.17%—0.01%-0.07%0.08%
PD2025-11-252025-11-262025-12-26—12.9612.960.00%market32.53%—1.34%1.87%-0.53%
DOO2025-05-292025-12-022025-12-31—69.3669.360.00%market37.67%—1.82%0.00%1.82%
ORCL2025-12-102025-12-112026-01-12—190.62190.620.00%market37.80%—7.18%1.46%5.71%
XZO2025-12-102025-12-112026-01-12—18.2818.280.00%market19.05%—23.32%1.46%21.86%
BA2026-01-272026-01-282026-02-26—244.09244.090.00%market2362.05%—-6.21%-1.11%-5.10%
EAT2026-01-282026-01-292026-02-27—158.25158.250.00%market13.44%—-6.55%-1.49%-5.06%
GEV2026-01-282026-01-292026-02-27—717.00717.000.00%market357.00%—21.64%-1.49%23.13%
SMG2026-01-282026-01-292026-02-27—62.6362.630.00%market25.96%—11.76%-1.49%13.25%
MA2026-01-292026-01-302026-03-02—541.01541.010.00%market12.26%—-3.90%-0.78%-3.12%
ACAD2026-02-252026-02-262026-03-26—23.6423.640.00%market1067.88%—-9.38%-6.95%-2.43%
AUPH2026-02-262026-02-272026-03-27—13.9813.980.00%market23.81%—1.87%-7.17%9.05%
CQP2026-02-262026-02-272026-03-27—60.7660.760.00%market114.41%—6.65%-7.17%13.82%
LNG2026-02-262026-02-272026-03-27—231.10231.100.00%market181.84%—28.28%-7.17%35.45%
DK2026-02-272026-03-022026-03-30—38.7738.770.00%market327.14%—17.75%-6.89%24.64%
BAK2026-03-272026-03-302026-04-28—3.593.590.00%market51.02%—-4.38%11.18%-15.56%
MANH2026-04-212026-04-222026-05-20—149.00149.000.00%market12.73%—-8.20%4.53%-12.73%
GEV2026-04-222026-04-232026-05-21—1,147.891,147.890.00%market794.36%—-9.27%4.68%-13.95%
LVS2026-04-222026-04-232026-05-21—51.3251.320.00%market20.37%—-3.84%4.68%-8.53%
AMT2026-04-282026-04-292026-05-28—177.54177.540.00%market15.00%—4.95%6.13%-1.18%
CVLT2026-04-282026-04-292026-05-28—98.4798.470.00%market17.43%—12.25%6.13%6.12%
HAS2026-05-202026-05-212026-06-22—88.4388.430.00%market22.50%—-4.77%0.78%-5.55%
EMAT2026-05-222026-05-262026-06-24—8.208.200.00%market33.33%—-16.18%-2.24%-13.94%
CHPT2026-06-032026-06-042026-07-06—7.477.470.00%market33.33%—-16.40%-0.11%-16.29%
ANGX2026-06-112026-06-122026-07-14—2.902.900.00%market41.43%—40.83%1.50%39.33%
MU2026-06-242026-06-252026-07-24—1,233.001,233.000.00%market19.69%—-25.51%0.00%-25.51%