Quality overlays 4 (lookback 30y)

Run 5f7611b0 · view hypothesis

completed
Trades
131
Win rate
52.67%
Avg return
2.13%
Median return
0.48%
Avg abnormal
0.93%
Median abnormal
-1.29%
Best trade
91.74%
Worst trade
-29.26%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.13
Max drawdown
-70.74%
Equity curve
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
2021111.17%-0.44%63.64%
2022261.08%1.59%61.54%
202327-0.77%-1.49%33.33%
2024256.34%3.29%72.00%
2025261.32%0.54%38.46%
2026164.10%1.78%56.25%
Trades (131)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceEPS surp.ROICDebt / equityReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
QURE2021-07-262021-07-272021-08-2427.3027.300.00%market187.50%53.07%0.172.91%1.83%1.08%
PFG2021-07-272021-07-282021-08-2562.9662.960.00%market12.58%449.33%0.277.41%2.10%5.31%
CINF2021-07-282021-07-292021-08-26116.01116.010.00%market80.81%1191.53%0.085.46%1.46%4.00%
CRSP2021-07-292021-07-302021-08-27122.44122.440.00%market168.18%26.94%0.070.92%2.82%-1.90%
KNSL2021-07-292021-07-302021-08-27181.11181.110.00%market19.63%5.06%0.07-0.38%2.82%-3.19%
SBSW2021-08-262021-08-272021-09-2715.7215.720.00%market859.86%15.61%0.22-19.16%-1.00%-18.15%
FAF2021-10-212021-10-222021-11-1975.3575.350.00%market29.52%75.81%0.452.79%3.48%-0.69%
ASR2021-10-252021-10-262021-11-23198.13198.130.00%market35.98%66.92%0.40-2.02%2.40%-4.42%
MC2021-10-272021-10-282021-11-2674.3074.300.00%market31.11%16.79%0.37-15.23%0.77%-16.00%
KNSL2021-10-282021-10-292021-11-29171.09171.090.00%market60.61%2.41%0.0620.97%1.92%19.06%
LPX2021-11-022021-11-032021-12-0264.4364.430.00%market13.16%17.02%0.279.21%-0.85%10.05%
ORI2022-01-272022-01-282022-02-2825.2025.200.00%market23.94%39.47%0.464.36%0.91%3.45%
CB2022-02-012022-02-022022-03-03205.00205.000.00%market15.81%214.31%0.270.29%-4.34%4.63%
PFG2022-02-072022-02-082022-03-0976.5076.500.00%market12.12%633.08%0.27-13.70%-4.32%-9.38%
WTM2022-02-082022-02-092022-03-101,047.001,047.000.00%market1044.21%16.82%0.180.25%-6.53%6.78%
FAF2022-02-102022-02-112022-03-1471.0371.030.00%market28.09%48.45%0.43-6.56%-7.21%0.65%
EXE2022-02-252022-02-282022-03-2875.0575.050.00%market47.58%31.35%0.4116.99%5.53%11.46%
SBSW2022-03-032022-03-042022-04-0118.7318.730.00%market1224.37%15.27%0.25-11.57%4.90%-16.48%
TMC2022-03-242022-03-252022-04-251.961.960.00%market25.00%254.25%0.00-9.38%-5.02%-4.36%
BNTX2022-03-302022-03-312022-04-29173.00173.000.00%market64.66%25.30%0.03-19.98%-10.02%-9.96%
ASR2022-04-252022-04-262022-05-24203.79203.790.00%market21.52%77.68%0.343.89%-7.50%11.39%
NLY2022-04-272022-04-282022-05-2625.6425.640.00%market21.74%216.63%0.741.20%-4.02%5.22%
EGY2022-05-032022-05-042022-06-026.916.910.00%market16.67%20.23%0.0620.06%0.07%19.99%
CCU2022-05-042022-05-052022-06-0313.4813.480.00%market19.44%2297.48%0.835.66%-3.30%8.96%
HCI2022-05-042022-05-052022-06-0367.9867.980.00%market126.67%15.80%0.20-1.02%-3.30%2.28%
ASR2022-07-252022-07-262022-08-23186.48186.480.00%market26.44%89.68%0.3316.54%4.70%11.84%
CB2022-07-262022-07-272022-08-24190.16190.160.00%market16.99%80.73%0.313.09%4.90%-1.81%
NLY2022-07-272022-07-282022-08-2526.2826.280.00%market20.00%895.58%0.741.78%4.38%-2.61%
FAF2022-07-282022-07-292022-08-2658.0958.090.00%market21.60%25.69%0.48-2.46%-0.56%-1.90%
KNSL2022-07-282022-07-292022-08-26237.00237.000.00%market14.29%3.96%0.0710.38%-0.56%10.94%
PAGS2022-08-252022-08-262022-09-2616.4516.450.00%market113.64%23.36%0.96-23.54%-13.13%-10.41%
RLI2022-10-192022-10-202022-11-1754.7654.760.00%market47.06%293.62%0.1418.68%7.12%11.56%
PFG2022-10-272022-10-282022-11-2883.0083.000.00%market16.55%1972.33%0.437.68%4.22%3.46%
AMPY2022-11-012022-11-022022-12-019.829.820.00%market588.24%16.88%-6.01-17.51%6.12%-23.63%
TPL2022-11-022022-11-032022-12-02256.11256.110.00%market16.88%16.70%0.0012.63%9.54%3.09%
MED2022-11-032022-11-042022-12-0596.3796.370.00%market71.20%20.40%0.1825.63%5.99%19.64%
SQM2022-11-162022-11-172022-12-16100.26100.260.00%market13.91%15.08%0.56-15.17%-1.84%-13.33%
RDY2023-01-252023-01-262023-02-2410.5410.540.00%market32.35%429.95%0.082.55%-1.67%4.23%
RLI2023-01-252023-01-262023-02-2467.7267.720.00%market42.59%48.95%0.34-2.96%-1.67%-1.29%
ORI2023-01-262023-01-272023-02-2726.5026.500.00%market63.27%128.31%0.26-0.92%-1.47%0.55%
UI2023-02-032023-02-062023-03-07282.50282.500.00%market44.96%15.38%-3.86-5.13%-2.81%-2.32%
AIZ2023-02-072023-02-082023-03-09131.00131.000.00%market24.71%30.31%0.50-8.69%-5.22%-3.47%
CQP2023-02-232023-02-242023-03-2452.5552.550.00%market37.50%16.04%-14.58-16.68%0.08%-16.76%
DAO2023-02-232023-02-242023-03-248.268.260.00%market189.44%39.99%-0.963.80%0.08%3.71%
GPOR2023-02-282023-03-012023-03-2972.3872.380.00%market43.89%43.61%0.829.54%1.50%8.04%
CIG2023-03-242023-03-272023-04-251.551.550.00%market87.59%22.42%0.5021.09%2.00%19.09%
CALM2023-03-282023-03-292023-04-2756.8956.890.00%market21.02%18.45%0.00-15.62%3.12%-18.74%
RLI2023-04-192023-04-202023-05-1869.4469.440.00%market34.43%49.43%0.15-7.30%1.95%-9.25%
MANH2023-04-252023-04-262023-05-24166.00166.000.00%market25.00%18.59%0.075.05%1.07%3.98%
CINF2023-04-272023-04-282023-05-26106.78106.780.00%market30.88%450.00%0.08-8.12%2.07%-10.20%
MED2023-05-012023-05-022023-05-3184.7784.770.00%market52.92%20.54%0.14-7.36%0.74%-8.10%
AIZ2023-05-022023-05-032023-06-01126.24126.240.00%market18.53%227.20%0.48-4.43%2.54%-6.97%
PAGS2023-05-252023-05-262023-06-2711.3911.390.00%market15.00%21.60%0.90-17.14%5.02%-22.16%
MANH2023-07-252023-07-262023-08-23195.00195.000.00%market22.22%19.77%0.07-0.54%-2.52%1.98%
ALKS2023-07-262023-07-272023-08-2430.2230.220.00%market14.58%16.21%0.30-9.00%-4.82%-4.18%
CINF2023-07-272023-07-282023-08-25107.92107.920.00%market68.06%2136.00%0.08-3.63%-3.49%-0.14%
FAF2023-07-272023-07-282023-08-2563.1963.190.00%market33.66%23.29%0.47-5.49%-3.49%-2.00%
UVE2023-07-272023-07-282023-08-2516.5916.590.00%market12.99%53.06%0.47-22.74%-3.49%-19.25%
DAO2023-08-242023-08-252023-09-253.713.710.00%market12.68%55.46%-0.72-0.20%-1.47%1.27%
MANH2023-10-242023-10-252023-11-22183.13183.130.00%market36.36%19.93%0.0821.03%7.85%13.17%
PLMR2023-11-012023-11-022023-12-0156.8056.800.00%market24.32%35.04%0.123.39%7.62%-4.23%
TGTX2023-11-012023-11-022023-12-0110.1210.120.00%market508.33%41.76%0.6736.46%7.62%28.84%
BAM2023-11-062023-11-072023-12-0631.0731.070.00%market12.90%25.69%0.0914.28%4.38%9.91%
NVDA2023-11-212023-11-222023-12-2149.8549.850.00%market17.65%19.67%0.33-1.93%3.89%-5.82%
KSPI2023-09-302024-01-192024-02-1692.5092.500.00%market30.93%27.74%0.163.10%4.58%-1.48%
CB2024-01-302024-01-312024-02-29247.20247.200.00%market63.71%178.90%0.241.61%3.98%-2.37%
MANH2024-01-302024-01-312024-02-29255.65255.650.00%market28.75%15.62%0.06-1.11%3.98%-5.09%
RDY2024-01-312024-02-012024-03-0114.3214.320.00%market13.25%370.45%0.074.27%5.82%-1.55%
DECK2024-02-012024-02-022024-03-04139.29139.290.00%market32.63%15.43%0.1310.67%4.63%6.04%
NVDA2024-02-212024-02-222024-03-2175.0375.030.00%market13.04%20.96%0.2621.67%3.61%18.06%
UGP2024-02-282024-02-292024-03-285.915.910.00%market81.82%20.35%0.98-3.41%2.95%-6.37%
GPGI2024-03-062024-03-072024-04-054.984.980.00%market12.98%15.73%-0.4414.46%1.03%13.43%
HCI2024-03-072024-03-082024-04-08113.52113.520.00%market128.37%2901.63%0.651.99%0.63%1.36%
HRTG2024-03-112024-03-122024-04-108.858.850.00%market150.00%34.53%0.6711.66%0.13%11.53%
MANH2024-04-232024-04-242024-05-22208.49208.490.00%market18.39%17.47%0.227.23%4.59%2.64%
KOF2024-04-242024-04-252024-05-2396.1896.180.00%market16.67%47.29%0.56-0.21%5.36%-5.58%
MCY2024-04-302024-05-012024-05-3053.1053.100.00%market420.00%36.73%0.375.24%4.23%1.01%
PTGX2024-05-072024-05-082024-06-0627.0827.080.00%market173.95%34.43%0.0025.43%3.77%21.66%
MANH2024-07-232024-07-242024-08-21247.39247.390.00%market23.30%17.21%0.215.48%2.14%3.34%
CINF2024-07-252024-07-262024-08-23116.00116.000.00%market34.24%1248.00%0.0714.29%3.66%10.63%
ORI2024-07-252024-07-262024-08-2333.0533.050.00%market24.59%22.99%0.336.43%3.66%2.77%
HCI2024-08-082024-08-092024-09-0992.9892.980.00%market20.98%115.81%0.527.30%3.13%4.16%
GCTS2024-08-142024-08-152024-09-133.353.350.00%market87.50%2831.60%-0.76-15.72%2.28%-18.00%
DAO2024-08-222024-08-232024-09-233.293.290.00%market57.87%16.97%-0.78-5.06%1.81%-6.88%
MANH2024-10-222024-10-232024-11-20280.00280.000.00%market27.36%18.66%0.18-3.21%1.59%-4.80%
FPI2024-10-302024-10-312024-11-2911.2411.240.00%market152.53%21.34%0.6812.88%4.69%8.19%
ABXL2024-11-072024-11-082024-12-0926.9426.940.00%market47.93%18.83%0.710.02%1.43%-1.40%
INOD2024-11-072024-11-082024-12-0930.3430.340.00%market400.00%20.09%0.1043.60%1.43%42.18%
SBS2024-11-122024-11-132024-12-123.323.320.00%market122.22%47.95%0.63-10.14%1.17%-11.30%
PTGX2025-02-212025-02-242025-03-2438.7538.750.00%market3200.00%17.90%0.0235.36%-4.64%40.00%
ACAD2025-02-262025-02-272025-03-2719.4419.440.00%market30.77%17.06%0.07-11.77%-4.99%-6.79%
CDNA2025-02-262025-02-272025-03-2722.3822.380.00%market260.00%18.28%0.07-18.21%-4.99%-13.22%
HCI2025-02-272025-02-282025-03-28126.00126.000.00%market111.27%348.86%0.4119.22%-5.11%24.33%
HIPO2025-03-052025-03-062025-04-0331.7631.760.00%market53.33%41.25%0.03-23.85%-6.74%-17.11%
GCTS2025-03-252025-03-262025-04-242.032.030.00%market26.67%272.65%-0.73-29.26%-4.95%-24.31%
MANH2025-04-222025-04-232025-05-21178.47178.470.00%market15.53%16.98%0.195.12%7.85%-2.73%
PTCT2025-05-062025-05-072025-06-0539.4039.400.00%market1029.63%43.54%-2.1031.09%5.87%25.22%
SEZL2025-05-072025-05-082025-06-0668.8268.820.00%market212.50%19.53%0.5691.74%6.00%85.74%
SOUN2025-05-082025-05-092025-06-099.709.700.00%market542.86%24.04%0.013.10%5.86%-2.76%
UI2025-05-092025-05-122025-06-10429.00429.000.00%market52.28%21.20%0.88-5.85%3.72%-9.57%
P2025-05-282025-05-292025-06-2751.5851.580.00%market17.98%36.68%0.227.21%3.68%3.52%
EVTL2025-06-102025-06-112025-07-115.825.820.00%market2165.00%64.26%-0.06-15.84%3.22%-19.05%
SLDE2025-05-232025-06-182025-07-1821.0021.000.00%market71.23%15.87%0.09-12.58%4.87%-17.45%
MANH2025-07-222025-07-232025-08-20245.00245.000.00%market15.93%16.66%0.17-13.66%1.04%-14.70%
STRK2025-07-302025-07-312025-08-28104.80104.800.00%market33324.86%-0.02%0.16-9.12%1.48%-10.60%
MSTR2025-07-312025-08-012025-08-29390.41390.410.00%market33253.67%-0.02%0.16-14.54%2.99%-17.54%
STRD2025-07-312025-08-012025-08-2985.1185.110.00%market33253.67%15.58%0.16-7.07%2.99%-10.07%
STRF2025-07-312025-08-012025-08-29117.35117.350.00%market33253.67%-0.02%0.16-5.86%2.99%-8.85%
UI2025-08-222025-08-252025-09-23513.01513.010.00%market58.74%25.69%0.4527.61%2.98%24.64%
LUXE2025-09-112025-09-122025-10-109.099.090.00%market3261.11%37.37%0.16-14.94%-0.70%-14.25%
MANH2025-10-212025-10-222025-11-19198.79198.790.00%market14.29%15.39%0.15-13.93%-1.39%-12.53%
QCRH2025-10-222025-10-232025-11-2074.2174.210.00%market25.43%16.30%0.522.80%-2.33%5.14%
MAX2025-10-292025-10-302025-11-2813.2413.240.00%market23.81%19.96%-5.23-3.83%-0.07%-3.75%
INDV2025-10-302025-10-312025-12-0129.6829.680.00%market89.47%20.58%-1.7213.01%-0.70%13.70%
AFL2025-11-042025-11-052025-12-04110.74110.740.00%market40.68%410.78%0.31-1.55%1.39%-2.95%
QCRH2026-01-272026-01-282026-02-2689.0889.080.00%market12.76%15.98%0.560.48%-1.11%1.60%
DECK2026-01-292026-01-302026-03-02114.90114.900.00%market20.22%15.56%0.13-0.54%-0.78%0.24%
SONO2026-02-032026-02-042026-03-0516.1016.100.00%market26.56%16.28%0.13-5.79%-1.31%-4.48%
UI2026-02-062026-02-092026-03-10617.57617.570.00%market25.97%19.72%0.1724.41%-1.78%26.19%
LYFT2026-02-102026-02-112026-03-1214.2214.220.00%market53.85%74.73%0.39-9.13%-4.36%-4.78%
BCRX2026-02-262026-02-272026-03-277.957.950.00%market1500.00%80.73%-3.6817.16%-7.17%24.33%
ANRO2026-03-162026-03-172026-04-1524.3224.320.00%market19.64%66.06%0.164.53%4.10%0.43%
ANDG2026-03-172026-03-182026-04-1626.2226.220.00%market53.57%27.42%-3.4226.57%4.98%21.59%
MU2026-03-182026-03-192026-04-17424.97424.970.00%market32.75%15.68%0.156.88%8.09%-1.21%
GCTS2026-03-252026-03-262026-04-241.111.110.00%market31.82%179.30%-0.7621.42%9.49%11.93%
MANH2026-04-212026-04-222026-05-20149.00149.000.00%market12.73%16.92%0.27-8.20%4.53%-12.73%
FICO2026-04-282026-04-292026-05-281,088.781,088.780.00%market14.78%18.20%-1.7418.87%6.13%12.73%
IRT2026-04-292026-04-302026-05-2915.9515.950.00%market766.67%87.59%0.721.56%5.86%-4.30%
INDV2026-04-302026-05-012026-06-0137.3937.390.00%market50.00%24.83%-3.53-6.91%5.17%-12.08%
KIM2026-04-302026-05-012026-06-0123.6523.650.00%market19.36%26.57%0.80-0.24%5.17%-5.41%
MU2026-06-242026-06-252026-07-241,233.001,233.000.00%market19.69%24.60%0.06-25.51%0.00%-25.51%