Quality compounder beat (lookback 30y)

Run 5f761caa · view hypothesis

completed
Trades
170
Win rate
53.53%
Avg return
0.82%
Median return
0.98%
Avg abnormal
-0.01%
Median abnormal
-1.15%
Best trade
88.40%
Worst trade
-42.57%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.06
Max drawdown
-84.72%
Equity curve
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
2021191.08%0.22%57.89%
2022381.19%2.07%47.37%
2023382.48%1.02%52.63%
202431-1.12%-4.25%58.06%
202527-0.26%-0.49%55.56%
2026171.24%1.25%52.94%
Trades (170)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceEPS surp.ROEDebt / equityReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
ORCL2021-06-152021-06-162021-07-1577.9977.990.00%market17.56%77.00%16.0810.38%2.38%8.00%
KOF2021-07-262021-07-272021-08-2454.7354.730.00%market16.18%58.19%0.765.03%1.83%3.19%
LMT2021-07-262021-07-272021-08-24368.25368.250.00%market9.19%27.83%1.87-2.71%1.83%-4.54%
TFII2021-07-262021-07-272021-08-24111.15111.150.00%market45.45%20.38%1.041.01%1.83%-0.82%
AAPL2021-07-272021-07-282021-08-25144.81144.810.00%market30.00%33.83%1.892.25%2.10%0.15%
UPS2021-07-272021-07-282021-08-25195.09195.090.00%market8.51%24.77%2.42-1.34%2.10%-3.44%
NTAP2021-08-252021-08-262021-09-2487.5087.500.00%market21.05%28.06%4.026.82%-1.05%7.86%
RYAN2021-09-012021-09-022021-10-0132.9032.900.00%market9.37%27.02%7.201.65%-4.21%5.86%
RH2021-09-082021-09-092021-10-07706.28706.280.00%market30.86%28.12%2.19-7.82%-2.67%-5.15%
DAL2021-10-132021-10-142021-11-1141.1841.180.00%market100.00%46.51%13.125.31%5.62%-0.31%
THC2021-10-202021-10-212021-11-1871.3771.370.00%market82.57%62.19%19.5810.01%3.98%6.04%
CROX2021-10-212021-10-222021-11-19147.80147.800.00%market31.38%43.50%2.5218.54%3.48%15.06%
MAT2021-10-212021-10-222021-11-1921.7021.700.00%market16.67%60.52%2.334.18%3.48%0.70%
SPGI2021-10-262021-10-272021-11-24465.28465.280.00%market12.38%43.20%2.50-0.58%2.85%-3.42%
ADNT2021-11-102021-11-112021-12-1044.1344.130.00%market63.08%40.40%1.567.12%1.19%5.93%
VSCO2021-11-172021-11-182021-12-1755.1455.140.00%market14.08%29.85%11.96-10.37%-2.00%-8.38%
ATKR2021-11-182021-11-192021-12-20111.50111.500.00%market14.32%23.42%0.93-10.38%-3.12%-7.26%
BJ2021-11-182021-11-192021-12-2072.1872.180.00%market13.75%22.28%5.23-10.41%-3.12%-7.30%
DBI2021-12-072021-12-082022-01-0615.8015.800.00%market53.57%20.37%4.26-8.24%-0.16%-8.08%
FER2021-12-312022-01-032022-02-0127.5027.500.00%market1139.21%32.04%2.65-0.75%-4.90%4.16%
AAPL2022-01-272022-01-282022-02-28165.71165.710.00%market11.11%48.14%1.71-0.56%0.91%-1.47%
ATKR2022-01-312022-02-012022-03-02109.26109.260.00%market28.65%21.73%0.85-4.06%-2.84%-1.22%
UPS2022-02-012022-02-022022-03-03230.65230.650.00%market15.81%21.70%1.79-8.10%-4.34%-3.75%
EVR2022-02-022022-02-032022-03-04127.69127.690.00%market56.80%22.41%0.55-7.21%-4.16%-3.04%
IDXX2022-02-022022-02-032022-03-04525.17525.170.00%market10.53%23.59%1.491.81%-4.16%5.97%
TV2022-02-252022-02-282022-03-2810.3410.340.00%market116.67%93.29%1.6710.34%5.53%4.81%
KTB2022-03-012022-03-022022-03-3045.2845.280.00%market11.39%29.64%5.73-5.54%6.09%-11.63%
AMR2022-03-072022-03-082022-04-05117.81117.810.00%market17.57%47.07%0.821.25%7.49%-6.23%
BW2022-03-082022-03-092022-04-067.237.230.00%market200.00%89.26%12.1511.83%5.03%6.80%
BKE2022-03-112022-03-142022-04-1136.9736.970.00%market17.36%26.82%0.92-12.83%4.52%-17.35%
LW2022-04-072022-04-082022-05-0965.6465.640.00%market65.91%27.17%7.02-4.65%-11.12%6.47%
HDB2022-04-182022-04-192022-05-1726.5226.520.00%market11.76%322.26%0.962.44%-6.75%9.19%
KMB2022-04-222022-04-252022-05-23138.65138.650.00%market9.76%74.18%12.87-6.86%-6.31%-0.55%
NSP2022-04-262022-04-272022-05-25108.71108.710.00%market10.56%205.78%12.71-13.75%-4.76%-8.99%
TNET2022-04-262022-04-272022-05-2593.8493.840.00%market24.39%21.01%0.80-20.85%-4.76%-16.09%
EAF2022-05-062022-05-092022-06-0782.5082.500.00%market9.09%91.71%7.109.25%2.63%6.63%
ZIM2022-05-182022-05-192022-06-1761.1461.140.00%market13.16%40.15%1.01-17.75%-5.86%-11.89%
VSCO2022-05-312022-06-012022-06-3045.2345.230.00%market32.14%35.68%11.25-38.36%-9.13%-29.23%
CHWY2022-06-012022-06-022022-07-0127.0927.090.00%market128.57%31.52%7.0637.08%-6.88%43.97%
NTAP2022-06-012022-06-022022-07-0172.2072.200.00%market10.94%30.91%3.51-13.25%-6.88%-6.36%
KOF2022-07-252022-07-262022-08-2356.5956.590.00%market32.53%79.48%0.7010.97%4.70%6.27%
MUSA2022-07-272022-07-282022-08-25279.00279.000.00%market70.36%24.03%2.976.39%4.38%2.01%
AMBP2022-07-282022-07-292022-08-266.566.560.00%market22.22%30.03%10.34-3.86%-0.56%-3.30%
MA2022-07-282022-07-292022-08-26354.13354.130.00%market8.47%36.87%2.35-6.46%-0.56%-5.90%
PBF2022-07-282022-07-292022-08-2632.2632.260.00%market46.94%38.24%1.2613.56%-0.56%14.12%
NTAP2022-08-242022-08-252022-09-2379.0979.090.00%market9.09%32.57%4.51-19.95%-11.39%-8.56%
VSCO2022-08-242022-08-252022-09-2336.8136.810.00%market14.74%28.34%10.41-18.67%-11.39%-7.28%
SEZL2022-09-302022-10-032022-10-310.030.030.00%market131.87%75.83%9.4388.40%6.96%81.44%
TKO2022-09-302022-10-032022-10-3170.9470.940.00%market208.15%27.38%1.3311.01%6.96%4.05%
LW2022-10-052022-10-062022-11-0382.3582.350.00%market44.23%45.47%5.422.85%-1.23%4.08%
KOF2022-10-242022-10-252022-11-2260.8160.810.00%market24.10%73.02%0.6311.67%5.57%6.10%
AMP2022-10-252022-10-262022-11-23287.31287.310.00%market10.48%32.58%1.6715.56%5.45%10.11%
EQNR2022-10-282022-10-312022-11-2936.0836.080.00%market19.66%21.97%0.754.12%2.27%1.85%
NSP2022-10-312022-11-012022-11-30119.99119.990.00%market26.80%62.26%7.03-1.40%4.50%-5.90%
GSK2022-11-022022-11-032022-12-0232.6732.670.00%market21.11%105.92%2.428.00%9.54%-1.54%
WMG2022-11-222022-11-232022-12-2231.8531.850.00%market115.38%97.37%26.4010.91%-4.71%15.63%
NTAP2022-11-292022-11-302022-12-2964.8664.860.00%market10.45%62.40%2.24-7.55%-3.05%-4.51%
ACI2023-01-102023-01-112023-02-0921.2521.250.00%market29.85%45.85%19.28-0.72%3.79%-4.51%
EXTR2023-01-252023-01-262023-02-2417.0417.040.00%market12.50%21.20%3.7010.36%-1.67%12.04%
CNX2023-01-262023-01-272023-02-2716.2216.220.00%market187.72%39.81%0.81-5.19%-1.47%-3.72%
CLX2023-02-022023-02-032023-03-06153.00153.000.00%market50.77%30.84%9.60-0.83%-1.73%0.90%
ITW2023-02-022023-02-032023-03-06249.19249.190.00%market14.34%29.37%2.57-4.41%-1.73%-2.68%
MSGE2023-02-092023-02-102023-03-1359.8359.830.00%market71.05%98.35%9.50-7.44%-5.05%-2.39%
BKNG2023-02-232023-02-242023-03-2497.2097.200.00%market17.86%44.39%4.692.65%0.08%2.57%
CAPL2023-02-272023-02-282023-03-2821.8221.820.00%market152.94%21.60%11.92-5.65%-0.41%-5.24%
WTI2023-03-072023-03-082023-04-055.755.750.00%market400.00%569.15%92.43-7.68%2.31%-9.99%
BKE2023-03-102023-03-132023-04-1136.9336.930.00%market12.82%23.34%0.81-7.08%7.31%-14.39%
VEON2023-03-162023-03-172023-04-1715.5015.500.00%market23.91%97.54%14.3825.61%5.27%20.34%
LW2023-04-062023-04-102023-05-08107.69107.690.00%market45.92%24.50%4.543.95%1.51%2.44%
MEDP2023-04-242023-04-252023-05-23225.00225.000.00%market26.11%20.99%0.74-8.78%0.85%-9.64%
GE2023-04-252023-04-262023-05-2478.3478.340.00%market107.69%23.71%0.772.60%1.07%1.52%
KMB2023-04-252023-04-262023-05-24143.39143.390.00%market26.52%78.72%11.80-4.20%1.07%-5.28%
CHDN2023-04-262023-04-272023-05-25131.85131.850.00%market12.64%22.11%6.285.86%1.88%3.98%
TAC2023-05-052023-05-082023-06-069.589.580.00%market179.31%21.21%3.162.31%3.65%-1.34%
NTAP2023-05-312023-06-012023-06-3070.3070.300.00%market14.07%21.14%2.328.48%6.03%2.45%
JILL2023-06-072023-06-082023-07-1022.7122.710.00%market23.08%138.23%94.15-14.91%3.06%-17.96%
DAL2023-07-132023-07-142023-08-1147.7847.780.00%market11.67%22.56%3.40-7.76%-1.07%-6.68%
ACI2023-07-252023-07-262023-08-2321.6221.620.00%market9.41%20.86%7.272.30%-2.52%4.81%
KMB2023-07-252023-07-262023-08-23132.84132.840.00%market11.49%20.40%16.27-3.31%-2.52%-0.79%
LW2023-07-252023-07-262023-08-23105.55105.550.00%market16.19%35.34%2.47-8.63%-2.52%-6.11%
SHW2023-07-252023-07-262023-08-23279.46279.460.00%market22.30%21.86%3.40-2.85%-2.52%-0.33%
SPB2023-08-112023-08-142023-09-1278.0378.030.00%market31.58%72.66%0.852.71%0.29%2.42%
SPHR2023-08-222023-08-232023-09-2139.7039.700.00%market2652.50%20.77%0.51-8.71%-1.79%-6.92%
VEON2023-08-292023-08-302023-09-2816.4516.450.00%market635.29%31.97%7.2417.37%-4.67%22.04%
JILL2023-08-312023-09-012023-10-0225.2825.280.00%market37.50%79.64%16.2916.22%-5.71%21.92%
LUCK2023-09-112023-09-122023-10-1010.4210.420.00%market5464.08%48.81%7.5310.07%-2.78%12.85%
KMB2023-10-242023-10-252023-11-22120.94120.940.00%market9.43%86.32%11.900.94%7.85%-6.91%
KOF2023-10-242023-10-252023-11-2272.4072.400.00%market19.05%75.26%0.5517.76%7.85%9.90%
SHW2023-10-242023-10-252023-11-22235.20235.200.00%market15.52%20.15%3.1416.57%7.85%8.72%
TNET2023-10-252023-10-262023-11-24110.65110.650.00%market37.41%940.00%113.601.80%9.33%-7.53%
WU2023-10-252023-10-262023-11-2412.7412.740.00%market10.26%27.87%3.76-5.54%9.33%-14.87%
NTAP2023-11-282023-11-292023-12-2886.8986.890.00%market12.86%30.26%3.461.32%4.27%-2.96%
JILL2023-12-052023-12-062024-01-0526.1326.130.00%market27.87%36.69%9.57-7.05%1.99%-9.04%
BNED2023-12-062023-12-072024-01-08130.50130.500.00%market12400.00%22.82%4.9153.06%3.87%49.19%
BLBD2023-12-112023-12-122024-01-1124.0024.000.00%market37.50%46.55%3.303.13%3.19%-0.06%
LMT2024-01-232024-01-242024-02-22439.52439.520.00%market8.54%27.30%2.55-2.62%4.04%-6.65%
COR2024-01-312024-02-012024-03-01232.65232.650.00%market13.49%65.98%5.241.68%5.82%-4.14%
AAMI2024-02-012024-02-022024-03-0421.8021.800.00%market30.51%56.72%8.613.52%4.63%-1.11%
CLX2024-02-012024-02-022024-03-04158.50158.500.00%market100.00%175.47%59.04-4.97%4.63%-9.60%
SPG2024-02-052024-02-062024-03-06137.49137.490.00%market10.48%24.76%8.7710.59%3.29%7.30%
VAL2024-02-212024-02-222024-03-2169.1669.160.00%market110.34%42.02%0.587.28%3.61%3.67%
ESTC2024-02-292024-03-012024-04-01115.96115.960.00%market16.13%24.88%0.84-13.48%2.59%-16.07%
BOX2024-03-052024-03-062024-04-0428.9528.950.00%market10.53%162.59%8.06-4.79%0.49%-5.29%
BURL2024-03-072024-03-082024-04-08223.60223.600.00%market10.91%22.82%4.82-11.07%0.63%-11.70%
MANU2024-03-122024-03-132024-04-1114.2714.270.00%market184.22%20.83%8.142.53%0.17%2.36%
KMB2024-04-232024-04-242024-05-22135.66135.660.00%market23.31%61.97%7.63-1.52%4.59%-6.11%
LMT2024-04-232024-04-242024-05-22462.70462.700.00%market9.79%23.23%2.921.32%4.59%-3.28%
KOF2024-04-242024-04-252024-05-2396.1896.180.00%market16.67%69.80%0.56-0.21%5.36%-5.58%
LII2024-04-242024-04-252024-05-23463.56463.560.00%market9.81%33.70%4.495.90%5.36%0.53%
PI2024-04-242024-04-252024-05-23130.28130.280.00%market110.00%38.81%3.4229.13%5.36%23.76%
IBTA2024-05-302024-05-312024-07-01104.33104.330.00%market80.00%21.08%1.48-31.49%4.15%-35.64%
JILL2024-06-072024-06-102024-07-1037.9937.990.00%market11.93%31.44%5.46-9.02%5.28%-14.30%
PAC2024-07-222024-07-232024-08-20163.30163.300.00%market24.51%232.60%2.350.58%0.75%-0.17%
KMB2024-07-232024-07-242024-08-21134.77134.770.00%market14.62%47.89%7.017.08%2.14%4.94%
LTM2022-12-312024-07-252024-08-2224.8524.850.00%market116.62%6004.18%162.390.12%2.75%-2.62%
KLAC2024-07-252024-07-262024-08-2378.9478.940.00%market8.20%24.83%2.023.40%3.66%-0.26%
MMM2024-07-262024-07-292024-08-26128.00128.000.00%market14.88%29.24%3.502.81%2.71%0.10%
BOX2024-08-272024-08-282024-09-2630.0030.000.00%market10.00%38.13%8.927.80%1.98%5.82%
CHWY2024-08-282024-08-292024-09-2728.7228.720.00%market257.14%61.45%1.064.12%1.99%2.13%
CCL2024-09-302024-10-012024-10-2918.7018.700.00%market9.48%20.18%3.5217.98%1.46%16.52%
LII2024-10-232024-10-242024-11-21613.97613.970.00%market11.33%31.70%1.895.77%2.36%3.41%
BAH2024-10-252024-10-282024-11-25184.08184.080.00%market23.13%32.49%3.01-20.09%2.57%-22.66%
KOF2024-10-252024-10-282024-11-2586.6986.690.00%market10.53%81.84%0.53-7.85%2.57%-10.41%
FER2024-10-292024-10-302024-11-2740.3440.340.00%market751.91%23.25%1.911.73%3.02%-1.28%
AMGN2024-10-302024-10-312024-11-29317.69317.690.00%market9.20%37.60%8.02-11.16%4.69%-15.85%
ZIM2024-11-202024-11-212024-12-2026.0026.000.00%market32.48%28.65%1.49-29.85%-0.38%-29.47%
EAT2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-28183.00183.000.00%market104.38%90.11%14.11-10.13%-1.62%-8.51%
LII2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-28599.84599.840.00%market35.92%23.25%1.750.00%-1.62%1.62%
BEPC2025-01-312025-02-032025-03-0425.9425.940.00%market81.82%56.75%10.512.69%-2.67%5.36%
IT2025-02-042025-02-052025-03-06541.76541.760.00%market67.18%29.32%2.13-11.03%-4.65%-6.38%
PJT2025-02-042025-02-052025-03-06174.42174.420.00%market59.66%27.43%1.90-15.24%-4.65%-10.59%
FER2025-02-282025-03-032025-03-3144.4444.440.00%market1325.55%23.25%1.910.88%-6.17%7.05%
VSCO2025-03-052025-03-062025-04-0320.8620.860.00%market13.04%30.22%4.22-28.92%-6.74%-22.18%
VSXY2025-03-052025-03-062025-04-0320.8620.860.00%market13.04%30.16%4.22-28.92%-6.74%-22.18%
LMT2025-04-222025-04-232025-05-21467.00467.000.00%market14.83%25.62%3.040.50%7.85%-7.35%
TNET2025-04-252025-04-282025-05-2777.6377.630.00%market19.16%134.92%16.176.00%7.21%-1.21%
LTM2025-04-292025-04-302025-05-2931.7531.750.00%market93.44%37.40%7.4618.35%7.76%10.59%
PJT2025-04-292025-04-302025-05-29139.37139.370.00%market11.70%36.29%2.768.06%7.76%0.30%
AMGN2025-05-012025-05-022025-06-02291.50291.500.00%market14.75%27.87%9.24-1.24%4.95%-6.19%
LII2025-07-232025-07-242025-08-21662.50662.500.00%market13.99%30.83%1.72-14.07%0.15%-14.22%
LVS2025-07-232025-07-242025-08-2151.2751.270.00%market48.78%23.15%7.954.17%0.15%4.02%
BWMX2025-07-242025-07-252025-08-2210.1510.150.00%market50.00%27.81%4.6431.72%1.61%30.11%
RELX2025-07-242025-07-252025-08-2253.1553.150.00%market28.06%44.77%3.46-9.06%1.61%-10.67%
TNET2025-07-252025-07-282025-08-2569.2869.280.00%market15.00%34.58%9.67-1.22%0.78%-2.01%
LMT2025-10-212025-10-222025-11-19491.47491.470.00%market8.93%26.19%3.59-4.59%-1.39%-3.19%
LVS2025-10-222025-10-232025-11-2054.5654.560.00%market26.42%26.67%10.0416.15%-2.33%18.48%
CVI2025-10-292025-10-302025-11-2840.1340.130.00%market100.00%44.52%2.21-14.15%-0.07%-14.08%
EAT2025-10-292025-10-302025-11-28112.60112.600.00%market9.66%28.93%5.2936.38%-0.07%36.46%
MUSA2025-10-292025-10-302025-11-28378.24378.240.00%market9.85%23.79%5.091.61%-0.07%1.68%
NTAP2025-11-252025-11-262025-12-26116.52116.520.00%market9.04%30.93%2.78-5.36%1.87%-7.23%
PD2025-11-252025-11-262025-12-2612.9612.960.00%market32.53%50.42%1.271.34%1.87%-0.53%
DOO2025-05-292025-12-022025-12-3169.3669.360.00%market37.67%32.36%6.491.82%0.00%1.82%
ORCL2025-12-102025-12-112026-01-12190.62190.620.00%market37.80%20.48%4.157.18%1.46%5.71%
HDB2026-01-172026-01-202026-02-1832.1832.180.00%market10.26%317.85%1.093.44%0.70%2.73%
BA2026-01-272026-01-282026-02-26244.09244.090.00%market2362.05%150.72%9.98-6.21%-1.11%-5.10%
STX2026-01-272026-01-282026-02-26395.19395.190.00%market11.87%129.19%10.473.46%-1.11%4.58%
EAT2026-01-282026-01-292026-02-27158.25158.250.00%market13.44%33.88%4.65-6.55%-1.49%-5.06%
LVS2026-01-282026-01-292026-02-2755.5055.500.00%market11.11%24.84%10.152.00%-1.49%3.49%
MATV2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-1914.4214.420.00%market66.67%20.21%2.25-42.57%-3.52%-39.06%
SEZL2026-02-252026-02-262026-03-2678.3078.300.00%market26.04%25.14%0.83-14.59%-6.95%-7.64%
CQP2026-02-262026-02-272026-03-2760.7660.760.00%market114.41%40.46%4.656.65%-7.17%13.82%
LNG2026-02-262026-02-272026-03-27231.10231.100.00%market181.84%29.08%3.6128.28%-7.17%35.45%
NATL2026-02-262026-02-272026-03-2745.5745.570.00%market12.88%20.60%7.19-6.02%-7.17%1.16%
AVAH2026-03-192026-03-202026-04-206.036.030.00%market10.53%91.92%7.7913.73%7.95%5.78%
MMM2026-04-212026-04-222026-05-20150.62150.620.00%market8.08%20.01%3.85-0.76%4.53%-5.28%
LVS2026-04-222026-04-232026-05-2151.3251.320.00%market20.37%47.25%13.10-3.84%4.68%-8.53%
AMT2026-04-282026-04-292026-05-28177.54177.540.00%market15.00%22.91%12.364.95%6.13%-1.18%
CVLT2026-04-282026-04-292026-05-2898.4798.470.00%market17.43%195.48%122.4312.25%6.13%6.12%
STX2026-04-282026-04-292026-05-28667.98667.980.00%market16.81%68.31%3.8231.65%6.13%25.52%
HAS2026-05-202026-05-212026-06-2288.4388.430.00%market22.50%30.77%5.97-4.77%0.78%-5.55%