Valuation overlays (different measures) 4 (hold 10d)

Run 5f762b0d · view hypothesis

completed

Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.

Trades
191
Win rate
47.64%
Avg return
0.53%
Median return
-0.40%
Avg abnormal
-0.39%
Median abnormal
-1.84%
Best trade
124.62%
Worst trade
-28.29%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.03
Daily portfolio drawdown
—
Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
2023263.84%2.28%65.38%
2024640.84%-0.87%50.00%
202560-1.54%-1.53%38.33%
2026410.97%0.33%46.34%
Trades (191)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceEPS surp.P/SRev. growthReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
CAPL2023-08-072023-08-082023-08-22—18.9018.900.00%market140.00%——4.14%-2.22%6.35%
GHM2023-08-072023-08-082023-08-22—15.7015.700.00%market725.00%——2.22%-2.22%4.44%
MTW2023-08-072023-08-082023-08-22—19.2019.200.00%market141.94%——-18.95%-2.22%-16.73%
PLUS2023-08-072023-08-082023-08-22—75.9075.900.00%market42.42%——-17.89%-2.22%-15.68%
PRIM2023-08-072023-08-082023-08-22—33.4533.450.00%market33.33%——2.67%-2.22%4.89%
URBN2023-08-222023-08-232023-09-07—35.5535.550.00%market23.60%——-8.78%1.27%-10.05%
ANF2023-08-232023-08-242023-09-08—51.2051.200.00%market547.06%——3.94%0.19%3.75%
BBAR2023-08-232023-08-242023-09-08—5.095.090.00%market72.97%——-3.54%0.19%-3.73%
NMM2023-08-232023-08-242023-09-08—23.1023.100.00%market15.28%——-6.48%0.19%-6.66%
SUPV2023-08-232023-08-242023-09-08—2.812.810.00%market138.46%——-7.67%0.19%-7.86%
AEO2023-09-062023-09-072023-09-21—17.4317.430.00%market56.25%——-15.40%-2.64%-12.76%
CASY2023-09-112023-09-122023-09-26—255.92255.920.00%market34.12%——7.11%-4.71%11.83%
CCL2023-09-292023-10-022023-10-16—13.5013.500.00%market14.67%——-8.64%2.21%-10.85%
CUBB2023-10-262023-10-272023-11-10—18.0018.000.00%market62.26%——8.69%6.38%2.31%
CUBI2023-10-262023-10-272023-11-10—36.7936.790.00%market62.26%——12.22%6.38%5.84%
GVA2023-10-312023-11-012023-11-15—40.7240.720.00%market16.55%——13.41%7.27%6.13%
HNI2023-10-312023-11-012023-11-15—35.0735.070.00%market47.62%——12.12%7.27%4.85%
ACR2023-11-012023-11-022023-11-16—7.457.450.00%market37.74%——3.69%5.54%-1.85%
CLMT2023-11-092023-11-102023-11-27—14.5614.560.00%market123.08%——12.44%4.24%8.19%
TEO2023-11-092023-11-102023-11-27—5.355.350.00%market157.50%——61.30%4.24%57.05%
UTI2023-11-152023-11-162023-12-01—10.4410.440.00%market66.67%——14.17%2.20%11.97%
BZH2023-11-162023-11-172023-12-04—30.5030.500.00%market29.50%——-9.05%1.43%-10.49%
DAO2023-11-162023-11-172023-12-04—3.953.950.00%market33.53%——4.86%1.43%3.43%
SUPV2023-11-272023-11-282023-12-12—3.353.350.00%market33.18%——10.84%2.21%8.64%
GCT2023-11-302023-12-012023-12-15—10.9610.960.00%market55.26%——19.14%2.98%16.17%
FGN2023-09-292023-12-122023-12-27—25.3725.370.00%market140.20%——3.27%3.22%0.05%
CCS2024-01-312024-02-012024-02-15—92.0092.000.00%market26.84%——-3.53%3.59%-7.11%
CMPR2024-01-312024-02-012024-02-15—89.8089.800.00%market72.58%——1.24%3.59%-2.35%
EZPW2024-01-312024-02-012024-02-15—9.239.230.00%market24.14%——17.57%3.59%13.98%
TEVA2024-01-312024-02-012024-02-15—12.1712.170.00%market33.33%——8.26%3.59%4.68%
UGI2024-01-312024-02-012024-02-15—22.7422.740.00%market16.50%——6.62%3.59%3.03%
ASIX2024-02-162024-02-202024-03-05—28.4028.400.00%market16.67%——-6.85%1.90%-8.76%
CWK2024-02-202024-02-212024-03-06—11.2811.280.00%market15.38%——-13.32%2.89%-16.21%
QUAD2024-02-202024-02-212024-03-06—6.706.700.00%market76.92%——-20.65%2.89%-23.54%
UIS2024-02-212024-02-222024-03-07—5.295.290.00%market41.67%——-0.01%2.14%-2.15%
LYG2024-02-222024-02-232024-03-08—2.272.270.00%market26.35%——8.61%0.48%8.13%
DAVE2024-03-052024-03-062024-03-20—35.0135.010.00%market101.46%——-0.14%1.94%-2.09%
TGT2024-03-052024-03-062024-03-20—172.22172.220.00%market23.14%——-1.22%1.94%-3.17%
BRCC2024-03-062024-03-072024-03-21—3.753.750.00%market425.12%——20.60%1.77%18.83%
HBB2024-03-062024-03-072024-03-21—20.1220.120.00%market72.84%——5.22%1.77%3.45%
AEO2024-03-072024-03-082024-03-22—23.4023.400.00%market22.00%——8.48%1.12%7.36%
LUNR2024-03-252024-03-262024-04-10—6.216.210.00%market416.67%——-19.68%-1.36%-18.32%
HUM2024-04-242024-04-252024-05-09—314.73314.730.00%market18.14%——6.14%4.20%1.93%
VIRT2024-04-242024-04-252024-05-09—21.8621.860.00%market43.40%——3.41%4.20%-0.79%
TAL2024-04-252024-04-262024-05-10—13.7013.700.00%market166.67%——-2.24%2.86%-5.11%
CLW2024-04-292024-04-302024-05-14—41.7241.720.00%market28.83%——19.22%2.90%16.32%
BZH2024-05-012024-05-022024-05-16—27.8727.870.00%market38.46%——1.70%4.87%-3.17%
BHR2024-05-082024-05-092024-05-23—2.682.680.00%market23.53%——2.41%1.66%0.75%
CALY2024-05-082024-05-092024-05-23—15.8115.810.00%market482.15%——-6.21%1.66%-7.87%
PGY2024-05-092024-05-102024-05-24—12.5612.560.00%market25.00%——-7.68%1.46%-9.15%
BKKT2024-05-152024-05-162024-05-31—11.2211.220.00%market17.33%——56.66%-0.47%57.14%
LUXE2024-05-152024-05-162024-05-31—4.944.940.00%market29.49%——8.50%-0.47%8.98%
BMA2024-05-232024-05-242024-06-10—57.8757.870.00%market130.28%——2.55%1.48%1.07%
APPS2024-05-282024-05-292024-06-12—2.002.000.00%market82.37%——-19.70%2.98%-22.68%
THO2024-06-052024-06-062024-06-21—94.9094.900.00%market14.52%——-4.43%1.78%-6.21%
LZB2024-06-172024-06-182024-07-03—39.0939.090.00%market35.71%——-6.93%0.79%-7.71%
WS2024-06-262024-06-272024-07-12—33.1933.190.00%market26.19%——4.86%2.68%2.18%
FLEX2024-07-242024-07-252024-08-08—31.9431.940.00%market23.88%——-9.31%-1.98%-7.33%
LUV2024-07-252024-07-262024-08-09—28.0828.080.00%market13.73%——-9.99%-1.71%-8.28%
LYG2024-07-252024-07-262024-08-09—3.043.040.00%market34.63%——-5.79%-1.71%-4.08%
NWL2024-07-262024-07-292024-08-12—8.978.970.00%market71.43%——-23.95%-2.34%-21.61%
OIS2024-07-292024-07-302024-08-13—5.455.450.00%market100.00%——-11.58%-0.77%-10.80%
AKA2024-08-072024-08-082024-08-22—16.7316.730.00%market31.25%——41.82%6.17%35.65%
BWNB2024-08-082024-08-092024-08-23—20.0720.070.00%market4900.00%——-3.79%6.10%-9.89%
ULCC2024-08-082024-08-092024-08-23—3.203.200.00%market16.67%——7.61%6.10%1.51%
CLMT2024-08-092024-08-122024-08-26—13.5413.540.00%market31.43%——49.43%4.98%44.46%
SID2024-08-122024-08-132024-08-27—2.172.170.00%market69.23%——4.41%4.67%-0.26%
KSS2024-08-282024-08-292024-09-13—19.3619.360.00%market31.11%——1.66%0.30%1.36%
TLYS2024-09-052024-09-062024-09-20—4.744.740.00%market97.13%——1.49%3.33%-1.84%
GCO2024-09-062024-09-092024-09-23—25.5125.510.00%market25.89%——3.99%4.59%-0.60%
BNED2024-09-102024-09-112024-09-25—10.2510.250.00%market96.21%——-9.27%3.89%-13.16%
FGN2024-09-302024-10-012024-10-15—27.2127.210.00%market42.20%——-0.82%1.11%-1.94%
VLRS2024-10-222024-10-232024-11-06—7.247.240.00%market68.42%——1.32%1.68%-0.36%
GBX2024-10-232024-10-242024-11-07—55.9055.900.00%market45.45%——15.44%2.69%12.74%
TAL2024-10-242024-10-252024-11-08—10.5910.590.00%market64.20%——5.56%2.87%2.69%
RNGR2024-10-282024-10-292024-11-12—12.5812.580.00%market34.48%——21.42%2.94%18.48%
VFC2024-10-282024-10-292024-11-12—20.3120.310.00%market58.86%——-0.40%2.94%-3.34%
LDI2024-11-052024-11-062024-11-20—2.512.510.00%market147.52%——-9.76%0.22%-9.98%
AMC2024-11-062024-11-072024-11-21—4.454.450.00%market42.86%——0.70%0.10%0.60%
BAK2024-11-072024-11-082024-11-22—5.675.670.00%market300.00%——-6.73%-0.11%-6.61%
EDN2024-11-122024-11-132024-11-27—32.4632.460.00%market27900.00%——17.76%0.24%17.52%
KEP2024-11-122024-11-132024-11-27—8.068.060.00%market43.63%——7.99%0.24%7.74%
SNEX2024-11-202024-11-212024-12-06—30.4730.470.00%market13.87%——0.13%2.43%-2.30%
ZIM2024-11-202024-11-212024-12-06—26.0026.000.00%market32.48%——-19.58%2.43%-22.01%
FLNC2024-11-252024-11-262024-12-11—21.0021.000.00%market17.24%——-20.82%1.45%-22.27%
MEI2024-12-052024-12-062024-12-20—14.2314.230.00%market187.50%——-14.82%-2.68%-12.14%
MOV2024-12-052024-12-062024-12-20—21.1321.130.00%market15.62%——-6.45%-2.68%-3.77%
GCO2024-12-062024-12-092024-12-23—42.0042.000.00%market177.27%——-4.30%-2.14%-2.16%
PVLA2023-08-112024-12-102024-12-24—16.4116.410.00%market128.88%——-28.29%-0.67%-27.62%
AMTM2024-12-162024-12-172025-01-02—24.2024.200.00%market88.00%——-10.70%-3.24%-7.46%
ALK2025-01-222025-01-232025-02-06—69.7669.760.00%market115.56%——6.47%0.09%6.38%
ALGT2025-02-042025-02-052025-02-20—97.2097.200.00%market337.50%——-11.75%1.62%-13.38%
UGI2025-02-052025-02-062025-02-21—31.6231.620.00%market25.69%——4.29%-1.00%5.29%
SLQT2025-02-102025-02-112025-02-26—5.645.640.00%market275.00%——-18.82%-1.33%-17.49%
LUXE2025-02-112025-02-122025-02-27—12.0012.000.00%market99.13%——-11.12%-2.36%-8.76%
NMRK2025-02-142025-02-182025-03-04—14.4714.470.00%market19.57%——-4.76%-5.57%0.81%
CCU2025-02-252025-02-262025-03-12—13.3013.300.00%market90.91%——9.80%-6.22%16.02%
CRI2025-02-252025-02-262025-03-12—43.7143.710.00%market27.81%——-5.14%-6.22%1.08%
DFH2025-02-252025-02-262025-03-12—25.0125.010.00%market14.16%——-2.72%-6.22%3.50%
ARDT2025-02-262025-02-272025-03-13—15.5915.590.00%market62.00%——-15.15%-7.61%-7.53%
ACR2025-03-052025-03-062025-03-20—19.6919.690.00%market118.18%——18.54%-1.74%20.28%
KSS2025-03-112025-03-122025-03-26—9.159.150.00%market31.94%——-2.39%1.14%-3.53%
CIG2025-03-202025-03-212025-04-04—1.931.930.00%market34.55%——-12.64%-9.66%-2.98%
KNOP2025-03-202025-03-212025-04-04—6.176.170.00%market1600.00%——5.15%-9.66%14.80%
GLXY2025-03-282025-03-312025-04-14—10.8610.860.00%market75.70%——4.77%-1.95%6.72%
VATE2025-03-312025-04-012025-04-15—7.417.410.00%market73.44%——-21.12%-3.56%-17.56%
PTEN2025-04-232025-04-242025-05-08—6.216.210.00%market106.50%——-6.16%5.28%-11.44%
HZO2025-04-242025-04-252025-05-09—22.3522.350.00%market43.75%——-3.65%3.24%-6.88%
CNC2025-04-252025-04-282025-05-12—57.9557.950.00%market15.08%——8.29%5.73%2.56%
CWH2025-04-292025-04-302025-05-14—12.9612.960.00%market30.43%——26.50%7.31%19.19%
PUMP2025-04-292025-04-302025-05-14—5.365.360.00%market50.00%——12.67%7.31%5.36%
BHR2025-05-072025-05-082025-05-22—2.082.080.00%market17.65%——-0.68%3.16%-3.84%
GDOT2025-05-082025-05-092025-05-23—11.1711.170.00%market51.43%——-19.18%2.23%-21.41%
BW2025-05-122025-05-132025-05-28—0.660.660.00%market23.08%——13.07%0.74%12.33%
STOK2025-05-132025-05-142025-05-29—8.718.710.00%market613.51%——11.51%0.38%11.13%
BWLP2025-05-202025-05-212025-06-05—11.2811.280.00%market44.93%——-0.64%0.78%-1.43%
AAP2025-05-222025-05-232025-06-09—49.4949.490.00%market72.84%——5.07%4.11%0.96%
THO2025-06-042025-06-052025-06-20—83.1283.120.00%market54.75%——2.49%-0.56%3.06%
NX2025-06-052025-06-062025-06-23—20.8020.800.00%market25.00%——-11.07%0.25%-11.31%
KMX2025-06-202025-06-232025-07-08—67.9467.940.00%market18.97%——0.45%4.25%-3.80%
WS2025-06-252025-06-262025-07-11—31.6631.660.00%market26.51%——3.56%2.40%1.16%
GBX2025-07-012025-07-022025-07-17—53.7553.750.00%market116.28%——-7.08%1.75%-8.83%
AIR2025-07-162025-07-172025-07-31—78.1878.180.00%market16.00%——-4.64%1.23%-5.87%
MAN2025-07-172025-07-182025-08-01—44.5244.520.00%market13.04%——-12.04%-1.20%-10.83%
ALK2025-07-232025-07-242025-08-07—52.3652.360.00%market14.10%——1.50%-0.37%1.87%
CCS2025-07-232025-07-242025-08-07—61.8061.800.00%market18.10%——-2.63%-0.37%-2.26%
AAL2025-07-242025-07-252025-08-08—11.5511.550.00%market21.79%——0.41%0.33%0.08%
NMRK2025-07-302025-07-312025-08-14—15.1215.120.00%market19.23%——14.68%0.86%13.82%
AGCO2025-07-312025-08-012025-08-15—117.01117.010.00%market27.36%——-4.27%2.74%-7.00%
AKA2025-08-062025-08-072025-08-21—12.2912.290.00%market26.09%——-12.73%-0.11%-12.62%
CENT2025-08-062025-08-072025-08-21—40.0140.010.00%market16.42%——-11.12%-0.11%-11.01%
ALTG2025-08-072025-08-082025-08-22—8.038.030.00%market22.22%——-0.32%1.77%-2.10%
BORR2025-08-132025-08-142025-08-28—2.392.390.00%market46.54%——23.65%0.95%22.70%
AMCR2025-08-142025-08-152025-08-29—43.8043.800.00%market368.82%——-1.68%-0.15%-1.54%
NIO2025-09-022025-09-032025-09-17—6.386.380.00%market16.57%——16.57%2.57%14.00%
AEO2025-09-032025-09-042025-09-18—17.7517.750.00%market125.00%——10.90%2.77%8.13%
TLYS2025-09-032025-09-042025-09-18—2.192.190.00%market350.00%——-7.96%2.77%-10.73%
LUXE2025-09-112025-09-122025-09-26—9.099.090.00%market3261.11%——-8.67%0.64%-9.31%
GLXY2025-10-212025-10-222025-11-05—40.7440.740.00%market194.74%——-23.03%0.83%-23.86%
STC2025-10-222025-10-232025-11-06—75.5675.560.00%market22.39%——-8.31%0.33%-8.64%
CAR2025-10-272025-10-282025-11-11—161.15161.150.00%market24.66%——-10.95%-0.59%-10.36%
VLRS2025-10-272025-10-282025-11-11—7.187.180.00%market266.67%——-4.80%-0.59%-4.21%
FOR2025-10-282025-10-292025-11-12—28.3928.390.00%market34.92%——-13.09%-0.78%-12.32%
LIND2025-11-042025-11-052025-11-19—12.7412.740.00%market50.00%——-8.52%-1.83%-6.69%
BG2025-11-052025-11-062025-11-20—96.8796.870.00%market17.01%——-4.40%-3.54%-0.86%
ATHS2025-11-102025-11-112025-11-25—25.5025.500.00%market120.97%——-1.53%-0.73%-0.81%
ETOR2025-11-102025-11-112025-11-25—38.4038.400.00%market15.38%——3.73%-0.73%4.46%
VATE2025-11-122025-11-132025-11-28—5.515.510.00%market28.49%——-6.37%0.42%-6.80%
BNED2025-11-252025-11-262025-12-11—9.309.300.00%market16.05%——-1.92%1.70%-3.62%
KEP2025-12-182025-12-192026-01-06—16.7716.770.00%market28.66%——6.54%2.25%4.29%
BNED2026-01-202026-01-212026-02-04—8.828.820.00%market41.98%——2.18%0.96%1.22%
CCS2026-01-282026-01-292026-02-12—65.9265.920.00%market14.39%——9.48%-2.17%11.65%
CMPR2026-01-282026-01-292026-02-12—69.1969.190.00%market21.12%——8.20%-2.17%10.37%
PMTU2026-01-292026-01-302026-02-13—25.8625.860.00%market20.79%——-0.43%-1.45%1.02%
VIRT2026-01-292026-01-302026-02-13—41.0041.000.00%market44.53%——-6.69%-1.45%-5.24%
COLM2026-02-032026-02-042026-02-19—65.9665.960.00%market41.80%——-5.26%-0.85%-4.41%
ULCC2026-02-112026-02-122026-02-27—5.535.530.00%market130.00%——-19.91%-1.19%-18.72%
DBD2026-02-122026-02-132026-03-02—78.2378.230.00%market87.58%——2.51%0.69%1.82%
CNH2026-02-172026-02-182026-03-04—12.9412.940.00%market72.73%——-8.24%0.16%-8.40%
JLL2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-05—311.00311.000.00%market20.14%——-0.73%-0.37%-0.36%
SPNT2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-05—21.4821.480.00%market29.63%——-1.97%-0.37%-1.60%
AVAL2026-02-262026-02-272026-03-13—4.224.220.00%market20.00%——-7.07%-3.04%-4.03%
AMRC2026-03-022026-03-032026-03-17—31.0031.000.00%market21.88%——-15.94%-0.63%-15.31%
TGT2026-03-032026-03-042026-03-18—123.96123.960.00%market12.96%——-7.39%-2.96%-4.42%
BBWI2026-03-042026-03-052026-03-19—23.3623.360.00%market15.82%——-13.17%-3.27%-9.90%
COOK2026-03-052026-03-062026-03-20—38.5038.500.00%market33.33%——-24.41%-3.69%-20.72%
DKS2026-03-122026-03-132026-03-27—195.39195.390.00%market35.45%——-3.29%-5.26%1.97%
BALY2026-03-162026-03-172026-03-31—12.8712.870.00%market22.34%——-25.30%-3.28%-22.02%
PUK2026-03-182026-03-192026-04-02—28.3828.380.00%market46.48%——2.13%-0.17%2.30%
SFD2026-03-242026-03-252026-04-09—24.9624.960.00%market22.78%——18.35%3.22%15.12%
WDH2026-03-252026-03-262026-04-10—1.631.630.00%market55.44%——4.09%4.20%-0.11%
VATE2026-03-262026-03-272026-04-13—4.154.150.00%market41.58%——124.62%6.79%117.83%
GNE2026-03-312026-04-012026-04-16—14.0814.080.00%market128.57%——-3.47%7.30%-10.77%
KALU2026-04-222026-04-232026-05-07—168.64168.640.00%market90.82%——4.26%3.11%1.15%
AMBP2026-04-232026-04-242026-05-08—3.953.950.00%market25.00%——1.07%3.78%-2.71%
SANM2026-04-272026-04-282026-05-12—204.98204.980.00%market30.58%——14.86%3.70%11.15%
BP2026-04-282026-04-292026-05-13—46.7946.790.00%market36.26%——-5.86%4.40%-10.27%
MX2026-04-282026-04-292026-05-13—4.524.520.00%market50.00%——-10.16%4.40%-14.56%
BHR2026-05-062026-05-072026-05-21—2.632.630.00%market425.00%——-5.14%1.04%-6.19%
AMN2026-05-072026-05-082026-05-22—26.0326.030.00%market31.25%——6.06%1.46%4.60%
GDOT2026-05-112026-05-122026-05-27—12.9412.940.00%market27.27%——-0.05%1.84%-1.89%
ANDG2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-28—36.7436.740.00%market2700.00%——4.07%2.18%1.89%
INR2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-28—15.0015.000.00%market107.06%——-8.27%2.18%-10.45%
AAP2026-05-212026-05-222026-06-08—58.0158.010.00%market97.44%——0.44%-0.94%1.38%
BBAR2026-05-262026-05-272026-06-10—16.8216.820.00%market58.82%——4.79%-3.39%8.18%
NX2026-06-042026-06-052026-06-22—17.6917.690.00%market13.64%——-4.95%-1.05%-3.90%
KMX2026-06-172026-06-182026-07-06—48.3048.300.00%market35.75%——3.75%0.47%3.28%
MEI2026-06-242026-06-252026-07-10—15.3115.310.00%market109.09%——3.00%2.17%0.83%
SNX2026-06-252026-06-262026-07-13—280.33280.330.00%market17.15%——-10.55%2.77%-13.33%
AMC2026-07-202026-07-212026-08-04—2.422.420.00%market366.67%——10.54%3.36%7.19%
CCS2026-07-222026-07-232026-08-06—66.3266.320.00%market103.13%——3.71%3.95%-0.24%