Large beat + quality (hold 10d)

Run 5f763199 · view hypothesis

completed

Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.

Trades
161
Win rate
52.80%
Avg return
1.93%
Median return
1.16%
Avg abnormal
0.95%
Median abnormal
0.05%
Best trade
64.57%
Worst trade
-34.97%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.14
Daily portfolio drawdown
—
Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
2023263.72%2.35%57.69%
2024513.25%1.55%49.02%
2025530.48%0.00%52.83%
2026310.73%0.40%54.84%
Trades (161)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceEPS surp.ROEReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
CAPL2023-08-072023-08-082023-08-22—18.9018.900.00%market140.00%—4.14%-2.22%6.35%
HALO2023-08-082023-08-092023-08-23—42.4242.420.00%market17.46%—-1.28%-1.34%0.05%
BLBD2023-08-092023-08-102023-08-24—21.9021.900.00%market69.23%—-3.53%-2.52%-1.01%
OPFI2023-08-092023-08-102023-08-24—2.352.350.00%market359.71%—6.18%-2.52%8.70%
TEO2023-08-092023-08-102023-08-24—5.705.700.00%market25.00%—-2.48%-2.52%0.04%
SPHR2023-08-222023-08-232023-09-07—39.7039.700.00%market2652.50%—-12.14%1.27%-13.41%
NVDA2023-08-232023-08-242023-09-08—50.2250.220.00%market28.57%—-9.46%0.19%-9.65%
VEON2023-08-292023-08-302023-09-14—16.4516.450.00%market635.29%—16.76%0.19%16.57%
JILL2023-08-312023-09-012023-09-18—25.2825.280.00%market37.50%—2.57%-2.11%4.67%
LUCK2023-09-112023-09-122023-09-26—10.4210.420.00%market5464.08%—-12.87%-4.71%-8.15%
JBTM2023-09-302023-10-022023-10-16—104.66104.660.00%market1291.88%—-3.03%2.21%-5.24%
KOF2023-10-242023-10-252023-11-08—72.4072.400.00%market19.05%—14.28%3.64%10.63%
MANH2023-10-242023-10-252023-11-08—183.13183.130.00%market36.36%—15.48%3.64%11.84%
SHW2023-10-242023-10-252023-11-08—235.20235.200.00%market15.52%—8.68%3.64%5.04%
TNET2023-10-252023-10-262023-11-09—110.65110.650.00%market37.41%—-2.89%4.18%-7.07%
NSP2023-10-312023-11-012023-11-15—105.53105.530.00%market69.77%—5.85%7.27%-1.43%
CAPL2023-11-072023-11-082023-11-22—21.1821.180.00%market82.35%—5.75%3.99%1.76%
DVA2023-11-072023-11-082023-11-22—87.0087.000.00%market29.70%—14.14%3.99%10.15%
RRR2023-11-072023-11-082023-11-22—40.9440.940.00%market25.00%—10.69%3.99%6.70%
IBRX2023-11-082023-11-092023-11-24—3.353.350.00%market29.63%—22.79%3.85%18.94%
URGN2023-11-142023-11-152023-11-30—11.5511.550.00%market23.60%—14.00%1.40%12.60%
NVDA2023-11-212023-11-222023-12-07—49.8549.850.00%market17.65%—-6.72%0.71%-7.43%
JILL2023-12-052023-12-062023-12-20—26.1326.130.00%market27.87%—-4.83%2.06%-6.89%
BNED2023-12-062023-12-072023-12-21—130.50130.500.00%market12400.00%—-8.25%3.46%-11.70%
BLBD2023-12-112023-12-122023-12-27—24.0024.000.00%market37.50%—17.22%3.22%13.99%
LZM2023-12-142023-12-152024-01-02—8.738.730.00%market24.97%—5.76%0.67%5.08%
KSPI2023-09-302024-01-192024-02-02—92.5092.500.00%market30.93%—-0.63%3.50%-4.13%
AGYS2024-01-222024-01-232024-02-06—88.4088.400.00%market34.62%—-5.81%2.06%-7.87%
AAMI2024-02-012024-02-022024-02-16—21.8021.800.00%market30.51%—-1.03%2.01%-3.04%
CLX2024-02-012024-02-022024-02-16—158.50158.500.00%market100.00%—-4.90%2.01%-6.91%
PBI2024-02-012024-02-022024-02-16—4.124.120.00%market250.00%—-2.38%2.01%-4.40%
HRB2024-02-062024-02-072024-02-22—45.4245.420.00%market19.62%—5.24%2.26%2.98%
ASND2024-02-072024-02-082024-02-23—140.82140.820.00%market24.14%—12.99%1.96%11.04%
TNET2024-02-152024-02-162024-03-04—118.11118.110.00%market34.45%—7.47%2.11%5.36%
MAX2024-02-202024-02-212024-03-06—17.1017.100.00%market76.19%—24.42%2.89%21.53%
VC2024-02-202024-02-212024-03-06—116.44116.440.00%market544.06%—-0.60%2.89%-3.50%
UIS2024-02-212024-02-222024-03-07—5.295.290.00%market41.67%—-0.01%2.14%-2.15%
BWMX2024-02-222024-02-232024-03-08—15.2615.260.00%market121.43%—20.38%0.48%19.90%
MANU2024-03-122024-03-132024-03-27—14.2714.270.00%market184.22%—-1.25%1.17%-2.42%
TSHA2024-03-192024-03-202024-04-04—2.952.950.00%market488.89%—-9.35%-0.52%-8.83%
KMB2024-04-232024-04-242024-05-08—135.66135.660.00%market23.31%—-0.00%2.10%-2.10%
MANH2024-04-232024-04-242024-05-08—208.49208.490.00%market18.39%—2.74%2.10%0.64%
KOF2024-04-242024-04-252024-05-09—96.1896.180.00%market16.67%—4.94%4.20%0.73%
NBTX2024-04-242024-04-252024-05-09—5.915.910.00%market60.40%—12.66%4.20%8.45%
PI2024-04-242024-04-252024-05-09—130.28130.280.00%market110.00%—21.45%4.20%17.25%
DAVE2024-05-072024-05-082024-05-22—52.2052.200.00%market321.43%—-15.03%2.83%-17.86%
PTGX2024-05-072024-05-082024-05-22—27.0827.080.00%market173.95%—16.90%2.83%14.07%
APP2024-05-082024-05-092024-05-23—83.2783.270.00%market17.54%—-5.02%1.66%-6.67%
BLBD2024-05-082024-05-092024-05-23—44.3444.340.00%market81.63%—20.73%1.66%19.07%
BLND2024-05-082024-05-092024-05-23—2.452.450.00%market25.00%—16.53%1.66%14.88%
CLBT2024-05-232024-05-242024-06-10—12.0012.000.00%market45.45%—-2.95%1.48%-4.43%
IBTA2024-05-302024-05-312024-06-14—104.33104.330.00%market80.00%—-25.67%3.67%-29.33%
AEHR2024-07-162024-07-172024-07-31—19.2619.260.00%market663.64%—-2.22%-1.43%-0.80%
PAC2024-07-222024-07-232024-08-06—163.30163.300.00%market24.51%—-8.16%-5.84%-2.32%
MANH2024-07-232024-07-242024-08-07—247.39247.390.00%market23.30%—-3.46%-5.50%2.04%
TNET2024-07-262024-07-292024-08-12—110.94110.940.00%market19.53%—-16.77%-2.34%-14.43%
PJT2024-07-302024-07-312024-08-14—131.58131.580.00%market45.12%—-8.42%-0.95%-7.47%
ALNY2024-08-012024-08-022024-08-16—260.18260.180.00%market152.34%—2.90%3.46%-0.57%
TDC2024-08-052024-08-062024-08-20—25.0025.000.00%market33.33%—9.72%7.60%2.12%
BL2024-08-062024-08-072024-08-21—48.8048.800.00%market16.00%—4.10%6.08%-1.98%
CLBT2024-08-152024-08-162024-08-30—14.8814.880.00%market25.00%—14.45%2.22%12.23%
CHWY2024-08-282024-08-292024-09-13—28.7228.720.00%market257.14%—11.15%0.30%10.85%
DOCU2024-09-052024-09-062024-09-20—60.2460.240.00%market20.20%—-3.97%3.33%-7.30%
RBRK2024-09-092024-09-102024-09-24—29.8529.850.00%market17.70%—12.20%4.18%8.01%
MANH2024-10-222024-10-232024-11-06—280.00280.000.00%market27.36%—0.17%1.68%-1.51%
BAH2024-10-252024-10-282024-11-11—184.08184.080.00%market23.13%—-0.57%2.78%-3.35%
FER2024-10-292024-10-302024-11-13—40.3440.340.00%market751.91%—-5.65%2.74%-8.39%
CLX2024-10-302024-10-312024-11-14—161.83161.830.00%market31.91%—2.22%3.09%-0.87%
EAT2024-10-302024-10-312024-11-14—103.21103.210.00%market37.68%—12.67%3.09%9.58%
APP2024-11-062024-11-072024-11-21—230.00230.000.00%market35.87%—38.17%0.10%38.07%
MSGE2024-11-082024-11-112024-11-25—38.5938.590.00%market48.72%—-4.71%-0.38%-4.33%
SBS2024-11-122024-11-132024-11-27—3.323.320.00%market122.22%—-1.40%0.24%-1.65%
GFF2024-11-132024-11-142024-11-29—80.4980.490.00%market24.58%—4.53%0.88%3.66%
EVTL2024-11-152024-11-182024-12-03—4.574.570.00%market30.27%—64.57%3.02%61.55%
ZIM2024-11-202024-11-212024-12-06—26.0026.000.00%market32.48%—-19.58%2.43%-22.01%
RBRK2024-12-052024-12-062024-12-20—65.6865.680.00%market47.50%—0.47%-2.68%3.15%
PVLA2024-05-162024-12-102024-12-24—16.4116.410.00%market58.33%—-28.29%-0.67%-27.62%
EAT2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-13—183.00183.000.00%market104.38%—-12.65%0.96%-13.61%
LII2025-01-292025-01-302025-02-13—599.84599.840.00%market35.92%—3.15%0.96%2.20%
BEPC2025-01-312025-02-032025-02-18—25.9425.940.00%market81.82%—9.09%3.18%5.92%
IT2025-02-042025-02-052025-02-20—541.76541.760.00%market67.18%—-7.32%1.62%-8.95%
PJT2025-02-042025-02-052025-02-20—174.42174.420.00%market59.66%—-4.96%1.62%-6.59%
APP2025-02-122025-02-132025-02-28—499.34499.340.00%market54.46%—-34.97%-1.70%-33.26%
ASND2025-02-122025-02-132025-02-28—138.75138.750.00%market43.33%—12.65%-1.70%14.35%
GH2025-02-202025-02-212025-03-07—48.5048.500.00%market17.33%—-19.13%-5.61%-13.52%
LYV2025-02-202025-02-212025-03-07—156.77156.770.00%market160.22%—-18.86%-5.61%-13.25%
TDAY2025-02-202025-02-212025-03-07—4.644.640.00%market333.33%—-25.42%-5.61%-19.80%
FER2025-02-282025-03-032025-03-17—44.4444.440.00%market1325.55%—-1.55%-4.87%3.32%
BBAI2025-03-062025-03-072025-03-21—3.533.530.00%market20.00%—-16.06%-1.21%-14.85%
GRND2025-03-072025-03-102025-03-24—14.7814.780.00%market28.57%—22.40%1.14%21.25%
PRSU2025-03-112025-03-122025-03-26—37.0237.020.00%market42.25%—1.64%1.14%0.49%
UP2025-03-112025-03-122025-03-26—23.4023.400.00%market96.82%—-8.75%1.14%-9.89%
TMC2025-03-272025-03-282025-04-11—1.981.980.00%market16.67%—-1.72%-5.59%3.87%
MANH2025-04-222025-04-232025-05-07—178.47178.470.00%market15.53%—2.85%3.83%-0.99%
TNET2025-04-252025-04-282025-05-12—77.6377.630.00%market19.16%—8.61%5.73%2.88%
LTM2025-04-292025-04-302025-05-14—31.7531.750.00%market93.44%—14.13%7.31%6.82%
CCI2025-04-302025-05-012025-05-15—105.99105.990.00%market456.40%—-5.12%5.37%-10.49%
GH2025-04-302025-05-012025-05-15—52.6552.650.00%market19.67%—-23.35%5.37%-28.72%
HALO2025-05-062025-05-072025-05-21—63.6963.690.00%market16.84%—-15.52%4.05%-19.58%
UI2025-05-092025-05-122025-05-27—429.00429.000.00%market52.28%—-5.65%1.66%-7.32%
STOK2025-05-132025-05-142025-05-29—8.718.710.00%market613.51%—11.51%0.38%11.13%
VIK2025-05-202025-05-212025-06-05—44.5744.570.00%market18.36%—7.32%0.78%6.53%
HNGE2025-05-052025-05-222025-06-06—39.2539.250.00%market147.03%—-1.12%2.83%-3.95%
JOYY2025-05-262025-05-272025-06-10—42.0042.000.00%market29.10%—17.90%2.90%14.99%
MANH2025-07-222025-07-232025-08-06—245.00245.000.00%market15.93%—-12.04%0.19%-12.24%
LVS2025-07-232025-07-242025-08-07—51.2751.270.00%market48.78%—3.19%-0.37%3.56%
BWMX2025-07-242025-07-252025-08-08—10.1510.150.00%market50.00%—31.52%0.33%31.20%
RELX2025-07-242025-07-252025-08-08—53.1553.150.00%market28.06%—-9.89%0.33%-10.22%
LTM2025-07-282025-07-292025-08-12—41.4341.430.00%market22.73%—4.31%0.68%3.63%
HALO2025-08-052025-08-062025-08-20—63.0563.050.00%market25.20%—12.62%1.44%11.17%
APP2025-08-062025-08-072025-08-21—397.25397.250.00%market15.31%—5.21%-0.11%5.32%
ASND2025-08-072025-08-082025-08-22—197.58197.580.00%market34.51%—-1.86%1.77%-3.63%
CYTK2025-08-072025-08-082025-08-22—35.8535.850.00%market16.42%—6.75%1.77%4.97%
DDD2025-08-112025-08-122025-08-26—1.881.880.00%market46.15%—14.16%1.08%13.09%
UI2025-08-222025-08-252025-09-09—513.01513.010.00%market58.74%—16.50%0.98%15.53%
NIO2025-09-022025-09-032025-09-17—6.386.380.00%market16.57%—16.57%2.57%14.00%
LUXE2025-09-112025-09-122025-09-26—9.099.090.00%market3261.11%—-8.67%0.64%-9.31%
FRMI2025-09-032025-10-012025-10-15—25.0025.000.00%market68.02%—13.80%0.30%13.50%
LVS2025-10-222025-10-232025-11-06—54.5654.560.00%market26.42%—14.88%0.33%14.56%
CVI2025-10-292025-10-302025-11-13—40.1340.130.00%market100.00%—-9.54%-1.73%-7.81%
GH2025-10-292025-10-302025-11-13—89.9989.990.00%market18.75%—4.40%-1.73%6.13%
OPFI2025-10-292025-10-302025-11-13—10.2110.210.00%market48.39%—-5.49%-1.73%-3.75%
TNET2025-10-292025-10-302025-11-13—58.4858.480.00%market54.17%—-4.58%-1.73%-2.84%
DUOL2025-11-052025-11-062025-11-20—194.24194.240.00%market25.16%—-13.70%-3.54%-10.16%
ARCO2025-11-122025-11-132025-11-28—7.607.600.00%market20.00%—-0.33%0.42%-0.76%
ATEX2025-11-122025-11-132025-11-28—19.9419.940.00%market78.46%—2.91%0.42%2.48%
PD2025-11-252025-11-262025-12-11—12.9612.960.00%market32.53%—0.34%1.70%-1.36%
DOO2025-05-292025-12-022025-12-16—69.3669.360.00%market37.67%—8.19%-0.45%8.64%
ORCL2025-12-102025-12-112025-12-26—190.62190.620.00%market37.80%—3.67%0.75%2.91%
XZO2025-12-102025-12-112025-12-26—18.2818.280.00%market19.05%—23.21%0.75%22.46%
BA2026-01-272026-01-282026-02-11—244.09244.090.00%market2362.05%—-3.40%-0.73%-2.67%
GEV2026-01-282026-01-292026-02-12—717.00717.000.00%market357.00%—13.69%-2.17%15.86%
SMG2026-01-282026-01-292026-02-12—62.6362.630.00%market25.96%—6.41%-2.17%8.58%
SPG2026-02-022026-02-032026-02-18—190.54190.540.00%market392.11%—4.57%-1.42%6.00%
LTM2026-02-032026-02-042026-02-19—67.7167.710.00%market25.19%—-14.33%-0.85%-13.48%
GCMG2026-02-102026-02-112026-02-26—11.5511.550.00%market29.17%—2.83%-1.02%3.85%
CVNA2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-05—68.3868.380.00%market265.22%—-3.34%-0.37%-2.97%
MATV2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-05—14.4214.420.00%market66.67%—-31.68%-0.37%-31.31%
VAL2026-02-192026-02-202026-03-06—89.5689.560.00%market54.90%—-2.49%-1.46%-1.03%
LKFT2026-02-232026-02-242026-03-10—35.7335.730.00%market11077.73%—-7.25%-0.69%-6.56%
ACAD2026-02-252026-02-262026-03-12—23.6423.640.00%market1067.88%—-10.23%-3.93%-6.30%
LQDA2026-03-052026-03-062026-03-20—34.6534.650.00%market87.50%—4.88%-3.69%8.57%
IHS2026-03-162026-03-172026-03-31—8.178.170.00%market476.47%—0.53%-3.28%3.81%
BOBS2026-03-172026-03-182026-04-01—13.6413.640.00%market16.67%—-12.74%-1.96%-10.77%
BAK2026-03-272026-03-302026-04-14—3.593.590.00%market51.02%—11.22%8.49%2.73%
GEV2026-04-222026-04-232026-05-07—1,147.891,147.890.00%market794.36%—-9.11%3.11%-12.22%
LVS2026-04-222026-04-232026-05-07—51.3251.320.00%market20.37%—4.59%3.11%1.48%
CVLT2026-04-282026-04-292026-05-13—98.4798.470.00%market17.43%—1.16%4.40%-3.24%
STX2026-04-282026-04-292026-05-13—667.98667.980.00%market16.81%—22.16%4.40%17.76%
MUSA2026-04-292026-04-302026-05-14—528.61528.610.00%market35.57%—8.80%4.69%4.11%
FTNT2026-05-062026-05-072026-05-21—105.26105.260.00%market32.47%—22.79%1.04%21.75%
NGVT2026-05-062026-05-072026-05-21—75.5475.540.00%market36.90%—-13.87%1.04%-14.92%
MAIR2026-05-122026-05-132026-05-28—40.9840.980.00%market31.71%—2.85%2.18%0.67%
CMPS2026-05-132026-05-142026-05-29—10.7410.740.00%market33.33%—21.40%1.73%19.68%
ONDS2026-05-142026-05-152026-06-01—10.9110.910.00%market1597.67%—23.17%2.26%20.92%
HAS2026-05-202026-05-212026-06-05—88.4388.430.00%market22.50%—-5.01%-0.15%-4.86%
EMAT2026-05-222026-05-262026-06-09—8.208.200.00%market33.33%—-18.61%-1.73%-16.89%
CHPT2026-06-032026-06-042026-06-18—7.477.470.00%market33.33%—11.04%-0.71%11.76%
ANGX2026-06-112026-06-122026-06-29—2.902.900.00%market41.43%—22.56%0.04%22.52%
MU2026-06-242026-06-252026-07-10—1,233.001,233.000.00%market19.69%—-20.78%2.17%-22.95%
SKHY2026-04-222026-07-102026-07-24—170.00170.000.00%market50.20%—-9.28%-1.74%-7.53%