Margin expansion beat 1

Run 5f76cddb · view hypothesis

completed

Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.

Trades
160
Win rate
58.13%
Avg return
1.61%
Median return
1.16%
Avg abnormal
-0.02%
Median abnormal
-0.29%
Best trade
63.23%
Worst trade
-36.87%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.12
Daily portfolio drawdown
-19.89%
Portfolio (equal_weight)
Total return
51.37%
Max drawdown
-19.89%
Avg trade return
1.61%
Win rate
58.13%
Signals
2515
Configured concurrent
5
Observed concurrent
5
Trades taken
160
Skipped (no capacity)
2355
Excess vs benchmark
-21.26%
Avg entry slippage
0.00%
Return if filled at market
51.37%
VWAP fills
0
VWAP fallbacks
0

2355 of 2515 qualifying signals were dropped because no position slot or cash was available.

Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
202322-1.95%-4.00%50.00%
2024541.35%-0.23%59.26%
2025562.07%0.67%55.36%
2026283.97%2.14%67.86%
Trades (160)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceEPS surp.Rev. surp.Net marginReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
CPRX2023-08-092023-08-102023-09-08—15.0315.030.00%market32.00%1.98%—-15.34%-0.60%-14.74%
INSW2023-08-092023-08-102023-09-08—46.3146.310.00%market18.18%15.33%—-6.23%-0.60%-5.64%
OR2023-08-092023-08-102023-09-08—14.2014.200.00%market18.18%35.04%—-10.87%-0.60%-10.28%
PAM2023-08-092023-08-102023-09-08—41.7941.790.00%market109.03%8.31%—-7.16%-0.60%-6.56%
PNNT2023-08-092023-08-102023-09-08—6.836.830.00%market19.49%38.61%—-3.32%-0.60%-2.73%
SAIC2023-09-072023-09-082023-10-06—110.35110.350.00%market28.12%5.36%—-3.43%-3.45%0.03%
DAVA2023-09-192023-09-202023-10-18—55.6955.690.00%market26.79%0.67%—4.41%-3.11%7.52%
CCL2023-09-292023-10-022023-10-30—13.5013.500.00%market14.67%2.74%—-15.66%-2.59%-13.07%
CMBT2023-09-302023-10-022023-10-30—15.8815.880.00%market39.18%6.99%—12.24%-2.59%14.83%
AEHR2023-10-052023-10-062023-11-03—38.7538.750.00%market12.50%7.25%—-36.87%3.01%-39.89%
LW2023-10-052023-10-062023-11-03—97.3997.390.00%market49.54%2.56%—-3.49%3.01%-6.50%
FNB2023-10-182023-10-192023-11-16—11.1811.180.00%market11.11%1.56%—5.36%4.47%0.88%
ABR2023-10-272023-10-302023-11-28—12.7412.740.00%market14.58%75.82%—-5.44%10.00%-15.44%
TROW2023-10-272023-10-302023-11-28—88.5588.550.00%market21.91%2.09%—11.01%10.00%1.01%
AAMI2023-11-022023-11-032023-12-04—15.8815.880.00%market52.54%9.79%—12.68%5.44%7.25%
ALNY2023-11-022023-11-032023-12-04—164.68164.680.00%market185.82%87.15%—4.87%5.44%-0.56%
CPA2023-11-152023-11-162023-12-15—95.8095.800.00%market15.53%0.35%—5.75%4.48%1.27%
SDRL2023-11-272023-11-282023-12-27—44.7744.770.00%market64.18%4.40%—5.62%4.94%0.68%
NTAP2023-11-282023-11-292023-12-28—86.8986.890.00%market12.86%0.39%—1.42%4.27%-2.86%
POWL2023-12-052023-12-062024-01-05—30.1630.160.00%market57.26%6.02%—-10.91%1.99%-12.89%
TOL2023-12-052023-12-062024-01-05—89.6089.600.00%market10.48%8.85%—11.27%1.99%9.29%
KNOP2023-12-142023-12-152024-01-17—5.825.820.00%market628.57%0.11%—1.10%0.60%0.51%
EMA2023-12-312024-01-022024-01-31—36.2436.240.00%market107.94%29.61%—-2.53%2.27%-4.80%
AEHR2024-01-092024-01-102024-02-08—18.7718.770.00%market21.05%2.59%—-10.44%5.10%-15.53%
WDFC2024-01-092024-01-102024-02-08—256.90256.900.00%market21.90%4.50%—3.34%5.10%-1.75%
HDB2024-01-162024-01-172024-02-14—29.8129.810.00%market17.14%5.07%—-11.57%5.67%-17.24%
WAFD2024-01-162024-01-172024-02-14—29.7029.700.00%market10.39%2.08%—-5.86%5.67%-11.53%
AX2024-01-302024-01-312024-02-29—60.0060.000.00%market15.11%2.78%—-13.23%3.98%-17.22%
CG2024-02-072024-02-082024-03-08—44.4044.400.00%market14.67%8.33%—6.54%2.73%3.81%
CPA2024-02-072024-02-082024-03-08—102.43102.430.00%market15.50%6.72%—-2.43%2.73%-5.17%
ALSN2024-02-132024-02-142024-03-14—70.0070.000.00%market33.57%4.16%—7.03%3.66%3.37%
BL2024-02-132024-02-142024-03-14—53.2553.250.00%market25.45%0.94%—24.80%3.66%21.15%
DIN2024-02-282024-02-292024-03-28—47.4947.490.00%market25.00%0.08%—-2.23%2.95%-5.18%
GLOP-PA2024-03-072024-03-082024-04-08—24.5524.550.00%market55.56%12.04%—0.67%0.63%0.04%
HCI2024-03-072024-03-082024-04-08—113.52113.520.00%market128.37%11.85%—2.09%0.63%1.46%
EGY2024-03-132024-03-142024-04-12—4.804.800.00%market208.33%31.08%—45.94%-1.18%47.13%
GETY2024-03-142024-03-152024-04-15—5.565.560.00%market610.34%4.38%—-32.29%-1.13%-31.17%
ATAT2024-03-282024-04-012024-04-29—18.0918.090.00%market10.53%22.97%—-0.60%-2.63%2.03%
JPM2024-04-122024-04-152024-05-13—184.50184.500.00%market11.03%0.53%—7.61%1.12%6.49%
WFC2024-04-122024-04-152024-05-13—57.6157.610.00%market13.51%3.23%—6.24%1.12%5.11%
GS2024-04-152024-04-162024-05-14—404.45404.450.00%market35.28%9.84%—13.26%3.64%9.62%
NIC2024-04-162024-04-172024-05-15—75.3975.390.00%market10.98%14.62%—8.89%4.69%4.20%
NWG2024-04-262024-04-292024-05-28—7.737.730.00%market13.04%3.64%—5.20%3.87%1.34%
ANIP2024-05-102024-05-132024-06-11—67.6967.690.00%market23.47%9.49%—-4.18%2.75%-6.93%
GLOP-PA2024-05-102024-05-132024-06-11—25.0125.010.00%market24.37%7.71%—0.62%2.75%-2.13%
BRSL2024-05-142024-05-152024-06-13—20.8720.870.00%market49.25%3.67%—-0.20%3.16%-3.36%
CIG2024-05-142024-05-152024-06-13—1.981.980.00%market21.34%7.42%—-6.67%3.16%-9.83%
BIRK2024-05-302024-05-312024-07-01—56.0056.000.00%market13.89%3.39%—-1.23%4.15%-5.38%
SOJE2024-06-302024-07-012024-07-30—20.1120.110.00%market17.08%5.96%—-0.30%-0.67%0.37%
SAJ2024-07-092024-07-102024-08-07—25.1425.140.00%market10.06%6.06%—0.50%-6.90%7.39%
SAT2024-07-092024-07-102024-08-07—24.0824.080.00%market10.06%6.06%—1.15%-6.90%8.04%
SAY2024-07-092024-07-102024-08-07—25.1225.120.00%market10.06%6.06%—1.01%-6.90%7.91%
FBK2024-07-152024-07-162024-08-13—43.3943.390.00%market10.53%3.79%—-1.11%-3.70%2.59%
CORT2024-07-292024-07-302024-08-27—38.3938.390.00%market39.13%1.06%—-9.82%2.80%-12.62%
ACAD2024-08-062024-08-072024-09-05—15.4015.400.00%market11.11%2.78%—5.22%4.00%1.22%
BL2024-08-062024-08-072024-09-05—48.8048.800.00%market16.00%1.46%—-1.02%4.00%-5.02%
BSY2024-08-062024-08-072024-09-05—47.4847.480.00%market33.33%1.62%—2.34%4.00%-1.66%
NU2024-08-132024-08-142024-09-12—12.6812.680.00%market20.00%7.02%—14.33%2.99%11.34%
TCOM2024-08-262024-08-272024-09-25—46.4546.450.00%market35.14%0.13%—9.87%1.89%7.98%
DOCU2024-09-052024-09-062024-10-04—60.2460.240.00%market20.20%1.21%—5.88%4.19%1.69%
LEN2024-09-192024-09-202024-10-18—185.49185.490.00%market17.36%2.75%—1.75%2.95%-1.20%
PRGS2024-09-242024-09-252024-10-23—61.1661.160.00%market10.53%1.44%—5.97%1.20%4.77%
CTAS2024-09-252024-09-262024-10-24—208.82208.820.00%market15.79%0.31%—0.05%0.85%-0.80%
TRAK2024-09-302024-10-012024-10-29—19.0019.000.00%market33.33%0.63%—0.85%1.46%-0.61%
BLK2024-10-112024-10-142024-11-11—999.17999.170.00%market10.94%3.22%—5.37%3.02%2.35%
BANF2024-10-172024-10-182024-11-15—114.35114.350.00%market10.76%2.73%—6.40%0.29%6.11%
GATX2024-10-222024-10-232024-11-20—138.67138.670.00%market35.14%3.51%—11.16%1.59%9.57%
APH2024-10-232024-10-242024-11-21—69.4669.460.00%market11.11%6.10%—5.34%2.36%2.98%
BOH2024-10-282024-10-292024-11-26—72.6372.630.00%market13.41%0.73%—9.79%3.59%6.20%
CMTG2024-11-082024-11-112024-12-10—7.647.640.00%market144.44%11.45%—-15.02%0.50%-15.52%
MFG2024-11-142024-11-152024-12-16—4.844.840.00%market36.36%179.72%—2.79%2.89%-0.10%
QFIN2024-11-192024-11-202024-12-19—34.1934.190.00%market25.18%5.11%—10.78%-0.72%11.51%
VNET2024-11-202024-11-212024-12-20—4.054.050.00%market100.00%9.63%—-12.20%-0.38%-11.82%
HAFN2024-11-272024-11-292024-12-30—5.725.720.00%market27.27%179.00%—-5.00%-1.91%-3.09%
PLAB2024-12-112024-12-122025-01-14—27.7627.760.00%market13.46%2.12%—-15.30%-4.02%-11.28%
GIS2024-12-182024-12-192025-01-22—63.5063.500.00%market14.75%1.91%—-6.68%2.55%-9.23%
CVSA2024-12-312025-01-022025-02-03—91.1191.110.00%market44.53%4.31%—14.87%1.42%13.45%
CALM2025-01-072025-01-082025-02-07—109.78109.780.00%market21.47%38.51%—-1.45%2.05%-3.50%
KARO2025-01-142025-01-152025-02-13—47.4047.400.00%market13.16%1.55%—1.74%3.29%-1.55%
GS2025-01-152025-01-162025-02-14—609.99609.990.00%market48.82%12.23%—8.19%2.61%5.57%
FULT2025-01-212025-01-222025-02-20—21.4021.400.00%market11.63%3.36%—-6.03%0.74%-6.77%
PIPR2025-01-312025-02-032025-03-04—78.0978.090.00%market20.30%23.97%—-16.20%-2.67%-13.53%
AAMI2025-02-062025-02-072025-03-10—24.8624.860.00%market26.21%14.77%—-5.01%-7.63%2.62%
ALKS2025-02-122025-02-132025-03-14—33.6233.620.00%market28.40%13.33%—1.12%-6.89%8.01%
ABNB2025-02-132025-02-142025-03-17—158.19158.190.00%market19.67%2.42%—-19.85%-7.02%-12.84%
BMRN2025-02-192025-02-202025-03-20—70.0070.000.00%market70.37%3.64%—2.19%-7.53%9.72%
DAVE2025-03-032025-03-042025-04-01—93.0093.000.00%market87.16%11.70%—-9.21%-3.23%-5.97%
BNTX2025-03-102025-03-112025-04-08—103.53103.530.00%market148.70%4.36%—-16.40%-11.25%-5.16%
MNR2025-03-132025-03-142025-04-11—14.2714.270.00%market40.91%11.68%—-8.02%-3.99%-4.03%
BKE2025-03-142025-03-172025-04-14—36.3936.390.00%market10.07%41.96%—-3.01%-4.21%1.19%
WSM2025-03-192025-03-202025-04-17—165.06165.060.00%market11.56%4.52%—-15.76%-6.55%-9.21%
LNN2025-04-032025-04-042025-05-05—127.00127.000.00%market29.10%19.95%—3.94%7.61%-3.67%
WAFD2025-04-112025-04-142025-05-13—25.5425.540.00%market12.07%3.43%—16.46%7.87%8.60%
GS2025-04-142025-04-152025-05-14—507.41507.410.00%market14.61%2.01%—20.43%8.88%11.55%
BAC2025-04-152025-04-162025-05-15—37.8637.860.00%market10.16%1.45%—17.12%11.06%6.07%
BMI2025-04-172025-04-212025-05-19—199.35199.350.00%market21.50%0.67%—21.97%14.14%7.83%
FUBO2025-05-022025-05-052025-06-03—28.6828.680.00%market50.00%7.38%—46.34%5.96%40.39%
ARWR2025-05-122025-05-132025-06-11—15.7515.750.00%market4683.33%366.77%—6.19%3.08%3.11%
EXEL2025-05-132025-05-142025-06-12—40.6540.650.00%market73.14%11.18%—2.68%2.71%-0.03%
DLO2025-05-142025-05-152025-06-13—12.4312.430.00%market25.00%3.27%—-21.18%1.95%-23.13%
GSL2025-05-192025-05-202025-06-18—26.3526.350.00%market16.74%10.88%—1.49%0.73%0.76%
CRDO2025-06-022025-06-032025-07-02—74.9574.950.00%market27.83%6.54%—19.14%4.75%14.39%
TEN2025-06-172025-06-182025-07-18—20.6320.630.00%market217.24%4.88%—-7.76%4.87%-12.63%
MU2025-06-252025-06-262025-07-25—129.53129.530.00%market19.37%4.94%—-14.20%4.62%-18.82%
HCM2025-07-022025-07-032025-08-01—15.5715.570.00%market525.93%142.38%—10.82%-0.12%10.94%
SAZ2025-07-082025-07-092025-08-06—25.4225.420.00%market26.82%8.76%—0.45%1.61%-1.16%
BNY2025-07-152025-07-162025-08-13—96.0096.000.00%market10.86%5.24%—6.06%3.39%2.67%
GE2025-07-172025-07-182025-08-15—265.40265.400.00%market16.08%15.45%—0.82%2.25%-1.42%
AOS2025-07-242025-07-252025-08-22—74.1674.160.00%market10.31%7.92%—-0.84%1.61%-2.45%
ADC2025-07-312025-08-012025-08-29—74.3374.330.00%market124.91%1.36%—-2.24%2.99%-5.23%
ALAB2025-08-052025-08-062025-09-04—164.99164.990.00%market35.76%11.27%—13.82%3.19%10.63%
ECO2025-08-122025-08-132025-09-11—25.3025.300.00%market80.43%76.85%—13.65%1.97%11.68%
CLBT2025-08-142025-08-152025-09-15—15.3115.310.00%market20.00%0.95%—13.75%2.31%11.44%
NMM2025-08-212025-08-222025-09-22—46.5046.500.00%market23.56%1.32%—1.68%4.56%-2.87%
HQY2025-09-022025-09-032025-10-01—93.5093.500.00%market18.16%1.59%—-3.08%4.01%-7.10%
CRDO2025-09-032025-09-042025-10-02—138.00138.000.00%market43.92%17.02%—8.33%3.85%4.48%
TEN2025-09-102025-09-112025-10-09—21.2421.240.00%market13.56%24.37%—1.12%2.60%-1.47%
GHG2025-09-302025-10-012025-10-29—2.172.170.00%market153.61%152.61%—-7.01%3.65%-10.66%
LEVI2025-10-092025-10-102025-11-07—22.2922.290.00%market11.11%2.99%—-9.30%-0.17%-9.12%
NEOG2025-10-092025-10-102025-11-07—6.886.880.00%market154.05%3.00%—-7.08%-0.17%-6.90%
GS2025-10-142025-10-152025-11-12—778.62778.620.00%market11.06%7.51%—7.65%2.48%5.17%
WFC2025-10-142025-10-152025-11-12—85.1785.170.00%market11.61%1.37%—1.18%2.48%-1.30%
ALKS2025-10-282025-10-292025-11-26—31.0031.000.00%market16.67%3.76%—-4.23%-1.31%-2.92%
ACIW2025-11-062025-11-072025-12-08—50.5050.500.00%market10.10%3.68%—-10.48%2.35%-12.83%
AGO2025-11-062025-11-072025-12-08—83.9083.900.00%market57.14%1.14%—4.31%2.35%1.96%
AII2025-11-112025-11-122025-12-11—25.0025.000.00%market16.39%0.52%—-19.02%0.64%-19.66%
ATEX2025-11-122025-11-132025-12-12—19.9419.940.00%market78.46%8.61%—15.25%0.19%15.06%
CRDO2025-12-012025-12-022025-12-31—195.64195.640.00%market36.23%14.06%—-26.55%0.00%-26.55%
PLAB2025-12-102025-12-112026-01-12—37.4537.450.00%market32.36%5.15%—-10.11%1.46%-11.58%
MU2025-12-172025-12-182026-01-20—256.53256.530.00%market20.71%5.70%—42.18%-0.00%42.19%
BIRK2025-12-182025-12-192026-01-21—40.8340.830.00%market41.71%0.54%—-3.65%1.30%-4.95%
KEP2025-12-182025-12-192026-01-21—16.7716.770.00%market28.66%3.14%—38.60%1.30%37.30%
STZ2026-01-072026-01-082026-02-06—143.86143.860.00%market16.35%3.15%—14.13%0.26%13.87%
FHN2026-01-152026-01-162026-02-17—24.6724.670.00%market13.04%3.43%—0.35%-1.56%1.90%
PNC2026-01-162026-01-202026-02-18—219.79219.790.00%market15.37%1.89%—5.79%0.70%5.09%
BOKF2026-01-202026-01-212026-02-19—131.63131.630.00%market33.80%1.96%—1.33%0.71%0.62%
MCB2026-01-202026-01-212026-02-19—80.5780.570.00%market25.91%6.32%—16.37%0.71%15.66%
B2026-02-052026-02-062026-03-09—44.8944.890.00%market22.35%14.83%—1.95%-0.47%2.42%
CBL2026-02-132026-02-172026-03-17—35.3135.310.00%market358.82%7.42%—6.47%-1.37%7.85%
ACLS2026-02-172026-02-182026-03-18—79.2879.280.00%market33.04%10.83%—8.05%-3.30%11.35%
AGI2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-19—43.6543.650.00%market10.20%1.29%—-9.33%-3.52%-5.82%
CF2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-19—97.0097.000.00%market23.05%4.99%—29.34%-3.52%32.86%
TEN2026-03-062026-03-092026-04-07—35.7835.780.00%market58.88%12.95%—8.06%-1.08%9.14%
ATAT2026-03-172026-03-182026-04-16—37.5137.510.00%market11.63%0.07%—2.17%4.98%-2.82%
CAAP2026-03-172026-03-182026-04-16—25.1325.130.00%market75.68%12.64%—3.68%4.98%-1.30%
DLO2026-03-182026-03-192026-04-17—12.4412.440.00%market22.22%14.03%—9.87%8.09%1.77%
HTHT2026-03-182026-03-192026-04-17—49.8549.850.00%market41.46%1.96%—11.58%8.09%3.48%
BB2026-04-092026-04-102026-05-08—3.903.900.00%market20.00%9.20%—63.23%8.26%54.97%
MS2026-04-152026-04-162026-05-14—190.93190.930.00%market13.58%4.26%—1.79%6.72%-4.93%
BNY2026-04-162026-04-172026-05-15—135.96135.960.00%market14.80%4.36%—-0.79%4.68%-5.47%
NFLX2026-04-162026-04-172026-05-15—96.3796.370.00%market61.21%0.60%—-9.80%4.68%-14.48%
PLD2026-04-162026-04-172026-05-15—142.52142.520.00%market30.27%0.18%—-1.50%4.68%-6.17%
AGO2026-05-072026-05-082026-06-08—79.0079.000.00%market66.67%25.10%—-5.39%0.58%-5.97%
ATAT2026-05-132026-05-142026-06-12—37.2437.240.00%market29.73%7.29%—-9.26%-0.26%-9.00%
DDS2026-05-142026-05-152026-06-15—537.60537.600.00%market54.68%0.88%—5.14%1.76%3.38%
ONDS2026-05-142026-05-152026-06-15—10.9110.910.00%market1597.67%27.35%—-12.93%1.76%-14.69%
VSNT2026-05-142026-05-152026-06-15—43.4943.490.00%market25.95%4.01%—-10.56%1.76%-12.32%
SB2026-06-172026-06-182026-07-20—6.906.900.00%market71.43%13.57%—3.67%-0.76%4.43%
MU2026-06-242026-06-252026-07-24—1,233.001,233.000.00%market19.69%15.44%—-25.41%0.00%-25.41%
EPAC2026-07-072026-07-082026-08-05—35.8235.820.00%market19.28%1.18%—3.11%3.58%-0.47%