EPS surp.>12 & Curr. earn. vs next-Q est.>10 (hold 20d) (lookback 50y) (2)

Run 5f77bb79 · view hypothesis

completed

Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.

Trades
1136
Win rate
55.90%
Avg return
2.45%
Median return
1.61%
Avg abnormal
1.57%
Median abnormal
0.27%
Best trade
114.07%
Worst trade
-54.16%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.16
Daily portfolio drawdown
-26.13%
Portfolio (equal_weight)
Total return
556.19%
Max drawdown
-26.13%
Avg trade return
2.45%
Win rate
55.90%
Signals
16999
Configured concurrent
5
Observed concurrent
5
Trades taken
1136
Skipped (no capacity)
15863
Excess vs benchmark
73.37%
Avg entry slippage
0.00%
Return if filled at market
556.19%
VWAP fills
0
VWAP fallbacks
0

15863 of 16999 qualifying signals were dropped because no position slot or cash was available.

Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
2006207.28%5.20%85.00%
200760-0.51%0.00%43.33%
2008591.83%5.13%57.63%
2009602.04%-0.61%55.00%
2010612.98%2.10%57.38%
201157-2.02%-1.79%40.35%
2012591.18%-0.15%50.85%
2013586.73%4.69%70.69%
2014602.10%0.94%55.00%
2015570.59%0.81%59.65%
2016574.85%3.29%70.18%
2017573.04%1.31%66.67%
201844-0.90%-0.36%38.64%
2019532.58%0.55%56.60%
2020587.35%5.37%60.34%
2021601.24%-0.58%48.33%
202254-0.07%1.08%55.56%
2023572.47%0.91%52.63%
2024564.35%2.63%53.57%
2025594.61%3.53%55.93%
2026301.67%0.25%56.67%
Trades (page 3: 136 of 1,136)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceEPS surp.Curr. earn. vs next-Q est.ReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
BWMX2024-02-222024-02-232024-03-22—15.2615.260.00%market121.43%1460.25%29.13%2.34%26.78%
BBAR2024-03-052024-03-062024-04-04—6.676.670.00%market555.56%36234.32%29.29%0.49%28.79%
NX2024-03-072024-03-082024-04-08—35.3235.320.00%market63.64%194.44%9.19%0.63%8.55%
LEN2024-03-132024-03-142024-04-12—161.80161.800.00%market16.82%25.76%-1.27%-1.18%-0.09%
JILL2024-03-202024-03-212024-04-19—26.9826.980.00%market4500.00%374.88%-5.59%-5.39%-0.19%
CMC2024-03-212024-03-222024-04-22—58.8658.860.00%market17.33%15.68%-6.49%-4.29%-2.20%
RPM2024-04-042024-04-052024-05-03—112.06112.060.00%market13.04%199.27%-2.63%-0.62%-2.02%
GBX2024-04-052024-04-082024-05-06—53.5853.580.00%market19.77%11.33%-2.86%-0.50%-2.37%
STT2024-04-122024-04-152024-05-13—76.4776.470.00%market12.67%19.90%-0.51%1.12%-1.63%
ALK2024-04-182024-04-192024-05-17—44.7744.770.00%market12.38%362.38%-3.41%6.01%-9.41%
AZZ2024-04-222024-04-232024-05-21—77.2377.230.00%market32.86%39.32%8.83%5.90%2.94%
ACA2024-05-022024-05-032024-06-03—80.4380.430.00%market40.38%13.97%7.07%3.26%3.82%
ADNT2024-05-032024-05-062024-06-04—27.7027.700.00%market38.46%15.54%1.45%2.85%-1.40%
BAP2024-05-102024-05-132024-06-11—174.60174.600.00%market14.22%259.89%-9.83%2.75%-12.58%
BIDU2024-05-162024-05-172024-06-17—111.06111.060.00%market20.00%569.95%-17.79%3.46%-21.25%
TCOM2024-05-202024-05-212024-06-20—56.4556.450.00%market33.87%528.68%-11.56%3.35%-14.91%
GCO2024-05-312024-06-032024-07-02—28.6528.650.00%market21.05%46.90%-18.25%3.78%-22.03%
GTLB2024-06-032024-06-042024-07-03—46.9046.900.00%market179.07%230.29%13.27%4.75%8.52%
SKIL2024-06-102024-06-112024-07-11—8.638.630.00%market14.50%14.05%80.66%4.20%76.47%
CCL2024-06-252024-06-262024-07-25—17.9017.900.00%market765.46%971.30%-4.57%-0.97%-3.60%
GHG2024-06-252024-06-262024-07-25—2.562.560.00%market14.29%168.68%-2.44%-0.97%-1.47%
BNED2024-07-012024-07-022024-07-31—6.336.330.00%market81.29%114.06%67.99%1.31%66.68%
PGR2024-07-162024-07-172024-08-14—214.80214.800.00%market29.27%39.06%9.00%-2.69%11.69%
AA2024-07-172024-07-182024-08-15—36.7036.700.00%market107.79%55.79%-12.66%-0.97%-11.69%
DTB2024-07-242024-07-252024-08-22—19.8119.810.00%market18.18%31.26%2.07%2.75%-0.68%
DTW2024-07-242024-07-252024-08-22—23.5123.510.00%market18.18%31.26%0.45%2.75%-2.29%
EA2024-07-302024-07-312024-08-28—151.00151.000.00%market25.18%291.05%-1.21%1.70%-2.91%
OUST2024-08-132024-08-142024-09-12—9.129.120.00%market14.52%50.00%-32.78%2.99%-35.77%
ANVS2024-08-142024-08-152024-09-13—8.208.200.00%market30.16%14.39%-2.42%2.28%-4.69%
BBAR2024-08-212024-08-222024-09-20—10.0110.010.00%market134.62%71531.15%18.28%1.01%17.27%
TBBB2024-08-212024-08-222024-09-20—28.7028.700.00%market637.53%484.58%9.20%1.01%8.19%
AMBA2024-08-272024-08-282024-09-26—63.5063.500.00%market31.58%126.65%-10.21%1.98%-12.19%
TRAK2024-09-302024-10-012024-10-29—19.0019.000.00%market33.33%10.87%0.85%1.46%-0.61%
CALM2024-10-012024-10-022024-10-30—76.2076.200.00%market31.33%32.46%16.70%2.17%14.53%
QUBT2024-10-022024-10-032024-10-31—0.650.650.00%market25.00%16.67%72.21%0.23%71.98%
DPZ2024-10-102024-10-112024-11-08—414.83414.830.00%market14.79%16.94%10.72%3.84%6.88%
ERIC2024-10-152024-10-162024-11-13—8.448.440.00%market22.22%1875.20%-5.43%3.00%-8.43%
CDNS2024-10-282024-10-292024-11-26—274.94274.940.00%market12.33%10.93%12.69%3.59%9.10%
CAKE2024-10-292024-10-302024-11-27—46.5046.500.00%market18.37%58.31%6.87%3.02%3.85%
ALL2024-10-302024-10-312024-11-29—195.00195.000.00%market65.68%60.42%6.25%4.69%1.56%
DOCS2024-11-072024-11-082024-12-09—58.8958.890.00%market20.00%12.47%-8.69%1.43%-10.12%
BKV2024-11-122024-11-132024-12-12—20.8120.810.00%market15.62%44.68%12.39%1.17%11.23%
SMTC2024-11-252024-11-262024-12-26—63.5063.500.00%market13.04%22.47%3.32%0.42%2.89%
NTNX2024-11-262024-11-272024-12-27—73.9673.960.00%market35.48%12.22%-15.55%-0.91%-14.65%
MNSO2024-11-292024-12-022024-12-31—23.0123.010.00%market603.23%691.90%3.72%-2.80%6.53%
GCO2024-12-062024-12-092025-01-08—42.0042.000.00%market177.27%441.80%-1.55%-2.99%1.44%
M2024-12-112024-12-122025-01-14—16.4116.410.00%market500.00%3743.55%-14.66%-4.02%-10.64%
AAUC2024-12-312025-01-022025-02-03—7.357.350.00%market85.62%1659.90%30.51%1.42%29.09%
CALM2025-01-072025-01-082025-02-07—109.78109.780.00%market21.47%136.13%-1.45%2.05%-3.50%
LNN2025-01-072025-01-082025-02-07—119.66119.660.00%market17.16%20.54%8.67%2.05%6.62%
KARO2025-01-142025-01-152025-02-13—47.4047.400.00%market13.16%1495.96%1.74%3.29%-1.55%
TOWN2025-01-222025-01-232025-02-21—34.6834.680.00%market14.58%11.43%4.28%-0.97%5.25%
BR2025-01-312025-02-032025-03-04—237.12237.120.00%market18.18%54.58%1.89%-2.67%4.55%
ESE2025-02-062025-02-072025-03-10—142.99142.990.00%market46.58%17.06%9.28%-7.63%16.91%
LION2025-02-062025-02-072025-03-10—8.008.000.00%market300.00%85.39%-1.48%-7.63%6.16%
AR2025-02-122025-02-132025-03-14—38.7638.760.00%market45.00%43.82%-3.17%-6.89%3.72%
BIRK2025-02-202025-02-212025-03-21—53.2153.210.00%market18.75%182.76%-15.02%-7.57%-7.45%
EBS2025-03-032025-03-042025-04-01—5.565.560.00%market114.29%780.00%-14.85%-3.23%-11.62%
NX2025-03-102025-03-112025-04-08—20.5220.520.00%market416.67%148.68%-20.96%-11.25%-9.71%
SUPV2025-03-102025-03-112025-04-08—12.7112.710.00%market28.00%47267.02%-14.89%-11.25%-3.64%
LI2025-03-142025-03-172025-04-14—26.6626.660.00%market31.09%162.16%-10.64%-4.21%-6.43%
CAL2025-03-202025-03-212025-04-21—16.4816.480.00%market22.22%10.19%-7.38%-8.12%0.74%
SPRU2025-03-312025-04-012025-04-30—2.342.340.00%market14.71%100.00%-14.20%-0.52%-13.68%
DAL2025-04-092025-04-102025-05-09—42.2242.220.00%market20.89%347.97%14.40%6.05%8.35%
STZ2025-04-092025-04-102025-05-09—175.93175.930.00%market15.86%25.78%7.94%6.05%1.89%
ERIC2025-04-152025-04-162025-05-15—7.987.980.00%market33.33%801.32%5.92%11.06%-5.14%
ALLY2025-04-172025-04-212025-05-19—31.2031.200.00%market36.76%40.04%15.57%14.14%1.43%
ACGL2025-04-292025-04-302025-05-29—88.4188.410.00%market16.67%49.45%6.45%7.76%-1.31%
ACH2025-05-082025-05-092025-06-09—7.057.050.00%market15.00%19.65%12.38%5.86%6.52%
AFRM2025-05-082025-05-092025-06-09—50.5050.500.00%market258.23%1135.20%21.37%5.86%15.50%
ATAI2025-05-142025-05-152025-06-13—1.431.430.00%market21.05%23.05%47.45%1.95%45.50%
SB2025-05-192025-05-202025-06-18—3.833.830.00%market66.67%34.00%0.16%0.73%-0.57%
ANF2025-05-282025-05-292025-06-27—88.4888.480.00%market16.91%44.94%-6.61%3.68%-10.29%
MANU2025-06-062025-06-092025-07-09—16.1216.120.00%market83.76%122.03%9.52%4.06%5.46%
CASY2025-06-092025-06-102025-07-10—496.02496.020.00%market35.57%90.79%5.46%4.27%1.20%
RH2025-06-122025-06-132025-07-15—211.00211.000.00%market243.11%2367.62%-11.22%3.95%-15.17%
GHG2025-06-232025-06-242025-07-23—2.072.070.00%market90.25%276.94%21.16%4.94%16.21%
FC2025-07-022025-07-032025-08-01—22.2622.260.00%market325.00%147.22%-16.45%-0.12%-16.33%
AEHR2025-07-082025-07-092025-08-06—12.4412.440.00%market33.33%133.33%46.04%1.61%44.43%
LEVI2025-07-102025-07-112025-08-08—21.7521.750.00%market64.06%39.10%-8.10%2.32%-10.42%
ERIC2025-07-152025-07-162025-08-13—7.417.410.00%market16.67%1782.30%3.00%3.39%-0.39%
TV2025-07-222025-07-232025-08-20—2.472.470.00%market600.00%415.78%-4.15%1.04%-5.19%
AAMI2025-07-312025-08-012025-08-29—40.6840.680.00%market23.08%20.31%25.19%2.99%22.20%
ADPT2025-08-052025-08-062025-09-04—12.3512.350.00%market29.17%13.76%5.33%3.19%2.13%
ACIW2025-08-072025-08-082025-09-08—44.0744.070.00%market29.63%129.05%16.10%2.33%13.77%
ONDS2025-08-122025-08-132025-09-11—3.483.480.00%market27.27%51.50%84.38%1.97%82.41%
AS2025-08-192025-08-202025-09-18—36.0036.000.00%market143.21%319.78%5.12%3.58%1.55%
AMBA2025-08-282025-08-292025-09-29—83.5083.500.00%market150.00%35.55%-0.90%2.50%-3.41%
DLTR2025-09-032025-09-042025-10-02—101.68101.680.00%market84.83%41.61%-11.35%3.85%-15.20%
SKIL2025-09-092025-09-102025-10-08—12.5012.500.00%market143.81%36.96%21.58%2.98%18.60%
MANU2025-09-172025-09-182025-10-16—15.4115.410.00%market55.56%33.43%16.32%-0.19%16.51%
KNOP2025-09-252025-09-262025-10-24—9.899.890.00%market17.65%22.11%-8.39%2.69%-11.08%
GHG2025-09-302025-10-012025-10-29—2.172.170.00%market153.61%175.76%-7.01%3.65%-10.66%
CAG2025-10-012025-10-022025-10-30—19.0919.090.00%market16.77%11.79%-8.85%1.40%-10.25%
NEOG2025-10-092025-10-102025-11-07—6.886.880.00%market154.05%58.12%-7.08%-0.17%-6.90%
TFIN2025-10-152025-10-162025-11-13—48.6948.690.00%market575.00%55.79%8.75%0.78%7.97%
AAL2025-10-232025-10-242025-11-21—13.0013.000.00%market38.94%316.12%-1.10%-2.58%1.48%
ARQT2025-10-282025-10-292025-11-26—25.8425.840.00%market160.00%53.94%19.71%-1.31%21.03%
AEM2025-10-292025-10-302025-11-28—157.35157.350.00%market22.73%22.95%10.75%-0.07%10.83%
AAON2025-11-062025-11-072025-12-08—99.8399.830.00%market12.12%21.17%-16.93%2.35%-19.28%
ARCO2025-11-122025-11-132025-12-12—7.607.600.00%market20.00%68.12%-1.68%0.19%-1.86%
AUNA2025-11-202025-11-212025-12-22—4.814.810.00%market33.33%230.91%-5.30%4.55%-9.84%
BNED2025-11-252025-11-262025-12-26—9.309.300.00%market16.05%115.44%3.66%1.87%1.79%
CRDO2025-12-012025-12-022025-12-31—195.64195.640.00%market36.23%36.06%-26.55%0.00%-26.55%
VSXY2025-12-052025-12-082026-01-07—49.5149.510.00%market53.92%1035.04%23.01%0.44%22.57%
CIEN2025-12-112025-12-122026-01-13—236.00236.000.00%market16.67%28.15%4.32%0.81%3.50%
GS2026-01-152026-01-162026-02-17—973.00973.000.00%market19.74%17.57%-5.95%-1.56%-4.40%
IIIN2026-01-152026-01-162026-02-17—32.3532.350.00%market18.18%64.10%15.23%-1.56%16.79%
BNED2026-01-202026-01-212026-02-19—8.828.820.00%market41.98%122.34%-6.22%0.71%-6.93%
FOR2026-01-202026-01-212026-02-19—26.1626.160.00%market42.86%109.94%13.24%0.71%12.53%
AA2026-01-222026-01-232026-02-23—60.7960.790.00%market36.07%21.65%-1.71%-0.84%-0.88%
DFIN2026-02-172026-02-182026-03-18—44.6544.650.00%market75.00%92.38%3.19%-3.30%6.49%
ENLT2026-02-172026-02-182026-03-18—76.2176.210.00%market242.86%118.03%0.61%-3.30%3.91%
ECO2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-19—45.1945.190.00%market36.92%41.67%4.24%-3.52%7.75%
LCII2026-02-182026-02-192026-03-19—152.50152.500.00%market28.99%189.82%-20.72%-3.52%-17.21%
AD2026-02-202026-02-232026-03-23—49.2849.280.00%market50.00%90.13%-5.21%-4.72%-0.50%
ANDG2026-03-172026-03-182026-04-16—26.2226.220.00%market53.57%442.20%26.67%4.98%21.69%
SBS2026-03-172026-03-182026-04-16—5.685.680.00%market12.33%323.08%17.86%4.98%12.88%
HTHT2026-03-182026-03-192026-04-17—49.8549.850.00%market41.46%425.39%11.58%8.09%3.48%
MU2026-03-182026-03-192026-04-17—424.97424.970.00%market32.75%71.00%6.98%8.09%-1.11%
CIG-C2026-03-202026-03-232026-04-21—3.133.130.00%market146.30%95.36%23.22%6.99%16.23%
ALLY2026-04-172026-04-202026-05-18—45.1345.130.00%market18.84%10.18%-6.79%4.21%-11.01%
ALV2026-04-172026-04-202026-05-18—119.61119.610.00%market12.02%19.85%-3.27%4.21%-7.48%
FITB2026-04-172026-04-202026-05-18—49.9049.900.00%market244.98%457.89%-4.03%4.21%-8.24%
FITB-PA2026-04-172026-04-202026-05-18—24.3224.320.00%market244.98%457.89%-3.60%4.21%-7.81%
CBSH2026-04-212026-04-222026-05-20—50.8350.830.00%market16.50%10.31%2.73%4.53%-1.79%
MFG2026-05-152026-05-182026-06-16—8.408.400.00%market71.43%19552.47%16.09%1.42%14.67%
RNW2026-05-182026-05-192026-06-17—5.455.450.00%market113.38%56411.89%13.48%0.84%12.64%
BEKE2026-05-192026-05-202026-06-18—18.1118.110.00%market42.86%988.04%-17.77%1.50%-19.27%
EXP2026-05-192026-05-202026-06-18—200.59200.590.00%market20.13%76.41%11.86%1.50%10.36%
RERE2026-05-192026-05-202026-06-18—4.924.920.00%market14.29%751.95%-20.43%1.50%-21.92%
SB2026-06-172026-06-182026-07-20—6.906.900.00%market71.43%38.89%3.67%-0.76%4.43%
CCL2026-06-232026-06-242026-07-23—29.3129.310.00%market19.12%230.26%-13.88%0.41%-14.29%
MU2026-06-242026-06-252026-07-24—1,233.001,233.000.00%market19.69%24.09%-25.41%0.00%-25.41%
FC2026-07-012026-07-022026-07-31—19.2919.290.00%market12.50%118.52%11.10%-0.05%11.15%
LEVI2026-07-082026-07-092026-08-06—23.4623.460.00%market14.80%28.61%3.48%2.84%0.64%