EPS surp.>12 & ROE>18 & Op. margin<12 & EPS surp.<20 (hold 20d) (lookback 50y) (max 10 pos) (fill delayed 1d, 10bps)

Run 5f77e74b · view hypothesis

completed

Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.

Trades
126
Win rate
49.21%
Avg return
5.41%
Median return
-0.37%
Avg abnormal
3.78%
Median abnormal
-1.21%
Best trade
135.72%
Worst trade
-54.64%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.20
Daily portfolio drawdown
-13.78%
Portfolio (equal_weight)
Total return
68.17%
Max drawdown
-13.78%
Avg trade return
5.41%
Win rate
49.21%
Signals
126
Configured concurrent
10
Observed concurrent
8
Trades taken
126
Skipped (no capacity)
0
Excess vs benchmark
-178.60%
Avg entry slippage
0.10%
Return if filled at market
69.50%
VWAP fills
0
VWAP fallbacks
0

0 of 126 qualifying signals were dropped because no position slot or cash was available.

Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
BucketTradesAvg returnAvg abnormalWin rate
20162-1.74%-7.22%50.00%
20177-3.09%-4.17%57.14%
201812-2.66%-1.84%33.33%
20194-2.35%-3.03%25.00%
20201510.28%9.60%46.67%
2021201.20%-0.56%55.00%
20227-0.63%-0.58%28.57%
2023178.20%4.97%52.94%
2024172.76%0.04%41.18%
20251820.79%18.97%66.67%
202671.96%-0.19%57.14%
Trades (126)
SymbolEventEntry dateExit dateΔ daysMarket entryActual buy-inDiff %Fill sourceEPS surp.ROEOp. marginReturnBenchmarkAbnormal
HALO2016-11-072016-11-092016-12-08—10.0810.080.00%market14.81%——15.28%6.02%9.26%
ADMA2016-11-102016-11-142016-12-13—6.476.470.00%market15.00%——-18.76%4.94%-23.70%
SRI2017-03-022017-03-062017-04-03—18.8218.820.00%market17.24%——-5.25%-0.91%-4.33%
SRPT2017-04-272017-05-012017-05-30—36.4336.430.00%market14.12%——-20.16%1.18%-21.34%
MARA2017-05-152017-05-172017-06-15—5.455.450.00%market13.33%——-53.09%1.54%-54.63%
CWST2017-08-022017-08-042017-09-01—15.9115.910.00%market19.05%——7.03%0.13%6.90%
ENR2017-08-022017-08-042017-09-01—42.5842.580.00%market19.44%——5.65%0.13%5.52%
NSP2017-11-012017-11-032017-12-04—51.5051.500.00%market16.33%——11.41%2.47%8.94%
BHC2017-11-072017-11-092017-12-08—14.8214.820.00%market16.85%——32.79%3.02%29.77%
COR2018-02-062018-02-082018-03-09—94.6594.650.00%market14.81%——4.49%4.05%0.44%
NSP2018-02-122018-02-142018-03-15—61.2161.210.00%market19.57%——13.44%4.04%9.40%
WK2018-02-222018-02-262018-03-26—22.2222.220.00%market13.64%——5.43%-3.92%9.35%
ASIX2018-02-232018-02-272018-03-27—40.8140.810.00%market20.00%——-16.94%-6.30%-10.64%
HRB2018-03-062018-03-082018-04-06—28.8628.860.00%market12.78%——-11.70%-5.06%-6.65%
BURL2018-05-312018-06-042018-07-02—150.93150.930.00%market15.60%——-1.16%-0.97%-0.19%
KR2018-06-212018-06-252018-07-24—29.0129.010.00%market15.87%——-3.72%2.99%-6.70%
NSP2018-08-012018-08-032018-08-31—101.85101.850.00%market13.33%——17.57%2.75%14.82%
BURL2018-08-302018-09-042018-10-02—168.17168.170.00%market19.79%——-8.20%0.59%-8.80%
GIC2018-10-302018-11-012018-11-30—32.5232.520.00%market17.65%——-14.34%1.49%-15.84%
NSP2018-11-012018-11-052018-12-04—110.79110.790.00%market17.07%——-11.59%-0.80%-10.79%
BURL2018-11-282018-11-302019-01-02—168.68168.680.00%market14.15%——-5.15%-8.63%3.48%
W2019-02-222019-02-262019-03-26—158.26158.260.00%market13.85%——0.05%0.71%-0.66%
SYY2019-05-062019-05-082019-06-06—72.7372.730.00%market12.86%——-2.55%-0.95%-1.60%
BURL2019-08-292019-09-032019-10-01—202.39202.390.00%market19.30%——-1.82%0.92%-2.74%
PBI2019-11-052019-11-072019-12-06—5.135.130.00%market14.29%——-5.08%2.04%-7.12%
AVNT2020-01-282020-01-302020-02-28—34.6334.630.00%market13.33%——-28.61%-8.66%-19.95%
NTNX2020-02-262020-02-282020-03-27—22.7622.760.00%market13.04%——-25.72%-12.22%-13.50%
JD2020-03-022020-03-042020-04-01—42.5342.530.00%market14.29%——-3.91%-19.59%15.68%
CMPR2020-05-052020-05-072020-06-05—74.3874.380.00%market15.09%——9.61%10.98%-1.36%
BE2020-05-112020-05-132020-06-11—8.808.800.00%market19.05%——-1.34%5.09%-6.42%
CAH2020-05-112020-05-132020-06-11—50.0850.080.00%market13.29%——4.71%5.09%-0.37%
NTNX2020-05-272020-05-292020-06-26—22.9722.970.00%market18.82%——-1.51%-0.80%-0.71%
NIO2020-05-282020-06-012020-06-29—4.004.000.00%market15.03%——80.47%0.28%80.19%
MUSA2020-07-212020-07-232020-08-20—140.69140.690.00%market19.62%——-0.70%3.62%-4.32%
GDDY2020-08-052020-08-072020-09-04—76.2376.230.00%market17.65%——4.22%2.79%1.43%
CAH2020-08-062020-08-102020-09-08—52.6352.630.00%market14.29%——-6.49%-0.55%-5.94%
JILL2020-09-032020-09-082020-10-06—2.502.500.00%market16.22%——14.19%-0.53%14.71%
AHT2020-10-272020-10-292020-11-27—136.14136.140.00%market18.68%——107.78%11.24%96.54%
UPS2020-10-282020-10-302020-11-30—160.17160.170.00%market20.00%——6.71%10.29%-3.58%
JD2020-11-162020-11-182020-12-17—87.2287.220.00%market16.28%——-5.27%3.14%-8.41%
PGNY2021-02-242021-02-262021-03-26—43.4943.490.00%market16.67%——0.81%3.03%-2.21%
DAO2021-02-252021-03-012021-03-29—32.0332.030.00%market17.26%——-28.33%2.64%-30.97%
LYV2021-02-252021-03-012021-03-29—91.1991.190.00%market15.70%——-10.45%2.64%-13.10%
BURL2021-03-042021-03-082021-04-06—280.13280.130.00%market15.09%——8.95%5.58%3.37%
CTOS2021-03-092021-03-112021-04-09—8.448.440.00%market16.67%——15.80%4.91%10.89%
MDB2021-03-092021-03-112021-04-09—303.30303.300.00%market17.50%——-1.86%4.91%-6.77%
ASAN2021-03-102021-03-122021-04-12—32.7232.720.00%market15.38%——3.28%4.99%-1.71%
NSP2021-05-032021-05-052021-06-03—88.2288.220.00%market16.67%——0.84%0.33%0.51%
AMPY2021-05-052021-05-072021-06-07—2.942.940.00%market20.00%——31.40%0.55%30.85%
CDW2021-05-052021-05-072021-06-07—172.84172.840.00%market13.73%——-4.20%0.55%-4.75%
MELI2021-05-052021-05-072021-06-07—1,470.141,470.140.00%market14.81%——-9.96%0.55%-10.51%
LYV2021-05-062021-05-102021-06-08—82.1982.190.00%market13.25%——8.54%-0.05%8.59%
UIS2021-05-062021-05-102021-06-08—23.8823.880.00%market15.00%——17.76%-0.05%17.81%
NOG2021-05-072021-05-112021-06-09—15.3215.320.00%market16.98%——26.83%2.07%24.76%
DAO2021-05-182021-05-202021-06-18—23.6323.630.00%market17.80%——-3.12%0.76%-3.88%
OI2021-08-032021-08-052021-09-02—15.1515.150.00%market12.50%——1.78%2.95%-1.17%
CDW2021-08-042021-08-062021-09-03—190.14190.140.00%market12.22%——6.51%2.48%4.02%
TEAM2021-10-282021-11-012021-11-30—455.66455.660.00%market17.95%——-17.51%-1.03%-16.48%
RHP2021-11-012021-11-032021-12-02—91.0991.090.00%market17.50%——-14.66%-0.85%-13.81%
BJ2021-11-182021-11-222021-12-21—69.6669.660.00%market13.75%——-8.38%-1.66%-6.72%
EXTR2022-01-272022-01-312022-03-01—12.0112.010.00%market16.67%——-9.02%-2.55%-6.47%
IRON2022-03-102022-03-142022-04-11—14.8114.810.00%market17.51%——-8.64%4.52%-13.16%
ULTA2022-03-102022-03-142022-04-11—369.99369.990.00%market18.12%——9.03%4.52%4.51%
NSP2022-08-012022-08-032022-08-31—109.11109.110.00%market17.17%——-0.18%-3.69%3.50%
CWH2022-08-022022-08-042022-09-01—30.0330.030.00%market15.51%——-1.30%-4.33%3.03%
WYNN2022-08-092022-08-112022-09-09—66.4766.470.00%market12.77%——-5.65%-3.87%-1.77%
PII2022-10-252022-10-272022-11-25—100.86100.860.00%market14.84%——11.32%5.03%6.29%
EXTR2023-01-252023-01-272023-02-27—17.5517.550.00%market12.50%——6.35%-1.47%7.82%
CVI2023-02-212023-02-232023-03-23—32.2332.230.00%market12.75%——-6.90%-2.09%-4.81%
ESTA2023-02-272023-03-012023-03-29—71.5271.520.00%market19.12%——-6.42%1.50%-7.92%
MLCO2023-03-012023-03-032023-03-31—13.8813.880.00%market15.00%——-8.41%2.42%-10.83%
OWLT2023-03-152023-03-172023-04-17—5.025.020.00%market12.50%——-7.31%5.27%-12.58%
QBTS2023-03-162023-03-202023-04-18—0.530.530.00%market14.29%——13.96%5.99%7.97%
ACI2023-04-112023-04-132023-05-11—20.6320.630.00%market17.91%——-1.41%0.72%-2.13%
SQNS2023-05-032023-05-052023-06-05—55.0555.050.00%market17.86%——-0.56%4.45%-5.01%
IMOS2023-05-042023-05-082023-06-06—25.1525.150.00%market18.11%——5.01%3.65%1.36%
REAL2023-05-092023-05-112023-06-09—1.221.220.00%market16.28%——37.06%4.36%32.70%
AVAH2023-05-112023-05-152023-06-13—1.131.130.00%market16.67%——21.02%5.93%15.09%
JD2023-05-112023-05-152023-06-13—36.2636.260.00%market15.00%——4.68%5.93%-1.25%
TSHA2023-05-112023-05-152023-06-13—0.700.700.00%market20.00%——12.52%5.93%6.59%
LW2023-07-252023-07-272023-08-24—102.00102.000.00%market16.19%——-6.27%-4.82%-1.45%
MAX2023-11-012023-11-032023-12-04—9.859.850.00%market14.71%——6.50%5.44%1.06%
EDN2023-11-082023-11-102023-12-11—10.4010.400.00%market12.48%——74.11%5.97%68.15%
INDV2023-11-092023-11-132023-12-12—15.5115.510.00%market13.33%——-4.52%5.66%-10.18%
COR2024-01-312024-02-022024-03-04—237.47237.470.00%market13.49%——-0.80%4.63%-5.43%
HRB2024-02-062024-02-082024-03-08—46.6646.660.00%market19.62%——3.19%2.73%0.45%
ESTC2024-02-292024-03-042024-04-02—116.81116.810.00%market16.13%——-16.22%1.33%-17.55%
BLND2024-03-152024-03-192024-04-17—3.043.040.00%market12.50%——-21.23%-2.26%-18.97%
ANVS2024-03-292024-04-022024-04-30—12.2512.250.00%market19.26%——-54.64%-3.14%-51.50%
CPS2024-05-062024-05-082024-06-06—14.6714.670.00%market12.94%——-10.22%3.77%-13.98%
INSM2024-05-092024-05-132024-06-11—26.2426.240.00%market14.52%——135.72%2.75%132.97%
ANVS2024-05-132024-05-152024-06-13—8.518.510.00%market17.24%——-29.46%3.16%-32.63%
PACS2024-05-132024-05-152024-06-13—27.3127.310.00%market13.71%——8.85%3.16%5.68%
RBRK2024-06-112024-06-132024-07-15—32.7932.790.00%market13.66%——4.47%3.38%1.08%
TNET2024-07-262024-07-302024-08-27—104.60104.600.00%market19.53%——-2.53%2.80%-5.33%
APPN2024-08-012024-08-052024-09-03—27.5327.530.00%market16.13%——14.73%7.90%6.83%
ADCT2024-08-062024-08-082024-09-06—2.772.770.00%market13.64%——-2.72%3.14%-5.86%
BL2024-08-062024-08-082024-09-06—49.7249.720.00%market16.00%——-3.72%3.14%-6.86%
GH2024-08-072024-08-092024-09-09—30.2330.230.00%market15.79%——-21.47%3.13%-24.60%
RBRK2024-09-092024-09-112024-10-09—30.9930.990.00%market17.70%——16.03%5.18%10.85%
GH2024-11-062024-11-082024-12-09—28.6128.610.00%market18.18%——27.03%1.43%25.60%
GH2025-02-202025-02-242025-03-24—43.2843.280.00%market17.33%——7.89%-4.64%12.53%
BCO2025-02-262025-02-282025-03-28—92.4592.450.00%market13.98%——-5.81%-5.11%-0.71%
TMC2025-03-272025-03-312025-04-29—1.691.690.00%market16.67%——93.79%0.82%92.97%
EAF2025-04-252025-04-292025-05-28—6.196.190.00%market13.33%——76.10%7.07%69.03%
TNET2025-04-252025-04-292025-05-28—78.7578.750.00%market19.16%——3.10%7.07%-3.97%
GH2025-04-302025-05-022025-06-02—50.2650.260.00%market19.67%——-16.34%4.95%-21.29%
CLPR2025-05-122025-05-142025-06-12—4.134.130.00%market18.75%——-4.31%2.71%-7.02%
PGEN2025-05-142025-05-162025-06-16—1.321.320.00%market12.50%——16.45%1.93%14.52%
VIK2025-05-202025-05-222025-06-23—43.5443.540.00%market18.36%——14.04%3.00%11.04%
TNET2025-07-252025-07-292025-08-26—70.5970.590.00%market15.00%——-1.36%1.07%-2.43%
GH2025-07-302025-08-012025-08-29—40.7940.790.00%market15.38%——65.18%2.99%62.19%
CYTK2025-08-072025-08-112025-09-09—34.0834.080.00%market16.42%——51.00%2.02%48.98%
GPGI2025-08-072025-08-112025-09-09—17.9617.960.00%market19.05%——5.20%2.02%3.18%
SRFM2025-08-122025-08-142025-09-12—4.724.720.00%market14.68%——-7.18%2.27%-9.46%
NIO2025-09-022025-09-042025-10-02—6.086.080.00%market16.57%——29.75%3.85%25.91%
GH2025-10-292025-10-312025-12-01—91.4891.480.00%market18.75%——14.92%-0.70%15.61%
HRB2025-11-062025-11-102025-12-09—49.3049.300.00%market14.29%——-15.19%0.86%-16.05%
BHVN2025-11-102025-11-122025-12-11—7.787.780.00%market14.14%——46.99%0.64%46.35%
EAT2026-01-282026-01-302026-03-02—159.27159.270.00%market13.44%——-10.69%-0.78%-9.90%
MUSA2026-02-042026-02-062026-03-09—393.67393.670.00%market12.89%——10.85%-0.47%11.32%
BOBS2026-03-172026-03-192026-04-17—14.5114.510.00%market16.67%——-10.40%8.09%-18.49%
CVLT2026-04-282026-04-302026-05-29—100.18100.180.00%market17.43%——18.44%5.86%12.58%
TDC2026-05-052026-05-072026-06-05—30.8730.870.00%market14.29%——9.06%0.34%8.72%
URGN2026-05-062026-05-082026-06-08—26.9826.980.00%market16.07%——0.91%0.58%0.33%
TMC2026-05-142026-05-182026-06-16—5.435.430.00%market16.67%——-4.44%1.42%-5.86%