test random
Run 1f5619a7 · view hypothesis
completed
Legacy run: publication dates, coverage and daily drawdown were not validated. Run this hypothesis again for updated results.
Trades
17595
Win rate
48.91%
Avg return
0.18%
Median return
-0.10%
Avg abnormal
0.03%
Median abnormal
-0.25%
Best trade
240.04%
Worst trade
-46.87%
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.03
Daily portfolio drawdown
—
Equity curve — full run
Breakdowns
| Bucket | Trades | Avg return | Avg abnormal | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1981 | 0.03% | -0.09% | 47.20% |
| 2024 | 5995 | 0.16% | 0.06% | 49.42% |
| 2025 | 6138 | 0.35% | 0.18% | 50.18% |
| 2026 | 3481 | -0.01% | -0.23% | 46.74% |
Trades (page 36: 95 of 17,595)
| Symbol | Event | Entry date | Exit date | Δ days | Market entry | Actual buy-in | Diff % | Fill source | Curr. earn. vs next-Q est. | P/E | Return | Benchmark | Abnormal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXK | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 7.67 | 7.67 | 0.00% | market | 50.67% | — | -2.16% | 1.49% | -3.65% |
| FMC | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 10.50 | 10.50 | 0.00% | market | -29.38% | — | 1.80% | 1.49% | 0.31% |
| FTRE | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 20.48 | 20.48 | 0.00% | market | -7.00% | — | -6.60% | 1.49% | -8.09% |
| MSFT | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 437.90 | 437.90 | 0.00% | market | -0.52% | — | 5.92% | 1.49% | 4.43% |
| NGVT | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 74.05 | 74.05 | 0.00% | market | -8.43% | — | -1.47% | 1.49% | -2.96% |
| NPKI | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 12.76 | 12.76 | 0.00% | market | -18.33% | — | -2.32% | 1.49% | -3.81% |
| PBI | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 18.44 | 18.44 | 0.00% | market | -17.44% | — | -5.13% | 1.49% | -6.63% |
| PLPC | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 347.08 | 347.08 | 0.00% | market | -36.75% | — | 2.65% | 1.49% | 1.16% |
| PRG | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 43.41 | 43.41 | 0.00% | market | -5.85% | — | 1.21% | 1.49% | -0.29% |
| PUMP | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 10.73 | 10.73 | 0.00% | market | 118.10% | — | 3.25% | 1.49% | 1.76% |
| RYZ | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 28.42 | 28.42 | 0.00% | market | -24.04% | — | -2.42% | 1.49% | -3.91% |
| SCL | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 65.51 | 65.51 | 0.00% | market | -37.29% | — | -2.29% | 1.49% | -3.78% |
| STRA | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 87.48 | 87.48 | 0.00% | market | 10.98% | — | -6.46% | 1.49% | -7.96% |
| TDOC | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 7.66 | 7.66 | 0.00% | market | 6.05% | — | -12.60% | 1.49% | -14.09% |
| TNK | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 76.11 | 76.11 | 0.00% | market | -21.01% | — | 4.08% | 1.49% | 2.59% |
| ULCC | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 6.70 | 6.70 | 0.00% | market | 41.15% | — | 0.55% | 1.49% | -0.95% |
| VET | 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | — | 11.14 | 11.14 | 0.00% | market | -49.48% | — | 6.80% | 1.49% | 5.31% |
| AGM | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 220.35 | 220.35 | 0.00% | market | -6.36% | — | 7.79% | 1.74% | 6.05% |
| BBAI | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 2.80 | 2.80 | 0.00% | market | -37.50% | — | 1.94% | 1.74% | 0.20% |
| BWIN | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 26.73 | 26.73 | 0.00% | market | -9.05% | — | 10.09% | 1.74% | 8.34% |
| BXMT | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 14.49 | 14.49 | 0.00% | market | 9.17% | — | 0.35% | 1.74% | -1.39% |
| CDNA | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 42.49 | 42.49 | 0.00% | market | -43.78% | — | 12.41% | 1.74% | 10.67% |
| DFH | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 13.10 | 13.10 | 0.00% | market | -22.22% | — | -0.96% | 1.74% | -2.71% |
| DFIN | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 46.57 | 46.57 | 0.00% | market | -49.81% | — | 4.33% | 1.74% | 2.59% |
| DXC | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 11.19 | 11.19 | 0.00% | market | 43.13% | — | -2.17% | 1.74% | -3.91% |
| HNI | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 43.00 | 43.00 | 0.00% | market | 8.66% | — | 10.61% | 1.74% | 8.87% |
| HUN | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 10.94 | 10.94 | 0.00% | market | 297.90% | — | -8.61% | 1.74% | -10.35% |
| KWR | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 158.53 | 158.53 | 0.00% | market | -11.48% | — | 5.65% | 1.74% | 3.91% |
| LSPD | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 9.62 | 9.62 | 0.00% | market | 27.12% | — | 6.56% | 1.74% | 4.81% |
| MTX | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 71.42 | 71.42 | 0.00% | market | 5.83% | — | 5.11% | 1.74% | 3.36% |
| MYE | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 33.12 | 33.12 | 0.00% | market | -15.09% | — | 10.73% | 1.74% | 8.99% |
| NEOG | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 11.77 | 11.77 | 0.00% | market | -44.44% | — | 0.90% | 1.74% | -0.84% |
| OLN | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 20.48 | 20.48 | 0.00% | market | 458.20% | — | -9.28% | 1.74% | -11.03% |
| PGY | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 17.94 | 17.94 | 0.00% | market | -3.63% | — | 23.77% | 1.74% | 22.02% |
| RES | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 5.46 | 5.46 | 0.00% | market | 10.00% | — | 5.29% | 1.74% | 3.55% |
| SAFE | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 16.48 | 16.48 | 0.00% | market | 5.44% | — | -0.38% | 1.74% | -2.13% |
| STGW | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 8.46 | 8.46 | 0.00% | market | 23.73% | — | 2.64% | 1.74% | 0.89% |
| VRTS | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 160.36 | 160.36 | 0.00% | market | 11.74% | — | 5.41% | 1.74% | 3.67% |
| WU | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 7.09 | 7.09 | 0.00% | market | 18.95% | — | -7.82% | 1.74% | -9.56% |
| XHR | 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | — | 20.12 | 20.12 | 0.00% | market | 40.48% | — | 1.69% | 1.74% | -0.06% |
| CRI | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | — | 39.54 | 39.54 | 0.00% | market | 244.48% | — | 0.46% | 2.92% | -2.46% |
| TRTN-PC | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | — | 24.61 | 24.61 | 0.00% | market | 129.07% | — | 0.45% | 2.92% | -2.47% |
| AESI | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 9.91 | 9.91 | 0.00% | market | 30.26% | — | 7.47% | 1.20% | 6.26% |
| ALG | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 167.31 | 167.31 | 0.00% | market | 2.17% | — | 0.08% | 1.20% | -1.12% |
| ALX | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 268.27 | 268.27 | 0.00% | market | 171.52% | — | 3.11% | 1.20% | 1.91% |
| BCC | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 82.76 | 82.76 | 0.00% | market | -29.71% | — | 2.26% | 1.20% | 1.06% |
| BOW | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 34.61 | 34.61 | 0.00% | market | 6.18% | — | -3.06% | 1.20% | -4.26% |
| DAC | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 142.00 | 142.00 | 0.00% | market | -2.03% | — | -2.58% | 1.20% | -3.78% |
| HLMN | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00% | market | 19.31% | — | 2.24% | 1.20% | 1.04% |
| IIPR | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 57.80 | 57.80 | 0.00% | market | -18.75% | — | 0.96% | 1.20% | -0.25% |
| INVX | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 28.78 | 28.78 | 0.00% | market | 6.02% | — | 5.57% | 1.20% | 4.36% |
| KOS | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 2.40 | 2.40 | 0.00% | market | -38.18% | — | -2.28% | 1.20% | -3.49% |
| LIND | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 33.63 | 33.63 | 0.00% | market | 1721.40% | — | 1.23% | 1.20% | 0.02% |
| OCUL | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 8.40 | 8.40 | 0.00% | market | -5.71% | — | 0.99% | 1.20% | -0.21% |
| PLOW | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 42.05 | 42.05 | 0.00% | market | -24.39% | — | 8.31% | 1.20% | 7.11% |
| SBH | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 16.16 | 16.16 | 0.00% | market | 9.09% | — | -2.49% | 1.20% | -3.69% |
| STOK | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 28.78 | 28.78 | 0.00% | market | 1.57% | — | 10.75% | 1.20% | 9.54% |
| UFPT | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 305.00 | 305.00 | 0.00% | market | -7.62% | — | 5.39% | 1.20% | 4.19% |
| VOYG | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 33.99 | 33.99 | 0.00% | market | -28.51% | — | 1.98% | 1.20% | 0.77% |
| VVX | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 81.87 | 81.87 | 0.00% | market | -8.76% | — | -5.00% | 1.20% | -6.20% |
| WGS | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 76.00 | 76.00 | 0.00% | market | 525.00% | — | -8.21% | 1.20% | -9.42% |
| WHR | 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | — | 40.78 | 40.78 | 0.00% | market | 621.71% | — | 10.61% | 1.20% | 9.41% |
| ACEL | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 12.44 | 12.44 | 0.00% | market | 16.37% | — | -1.41% | -0.94% | -0.47% |
| AFGB | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0.00% | market | -8.00% | — | -0.64% | -0.94% | 0.30% |
| AFGC | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 17.93 | 17.93 | 0.00% | market | -8.00% | — | -0.70% | -0.94% | 0.24% |
| AFGD | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 19.57 | 19.57 | 0.00% | market | -8.00% | — | -0.15% | -0.94% | 0.79% |
| AFGE | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 16.20 | 16.20 | 0.00% | market | -8.00% | — | -0.51% | -0.94% | 0.43% |
| AMPX | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 12.40 | 12.40 | 0.00% | market | 66.67% | — | -9.96% | -0.94% | -9.02% |
| APPS | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 11.95 | 11.95 | 0.00% | market | -5.26% | — | 19.21% | -0.94% | 20.15% |
| ARDT | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 11.51 | 11.51 | 0.00% | market | 88.38% | — | 0.50% | -0.94% | 1.43% |
| BL | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 30.90 | 30.90 | 0.00% | market | 3.57% | — | -3.11% | -0.94% | -2.17% |
| BRBR | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 12.69 | 12.69 | 0.00% | market | -20.50% | — | -4.77% | -0.94% | -3.83% |
| BRSL | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 11.35 | 11.35 | 0.00% | market | -42.42% | — | -2.67% | -0.94% | -1.73% |
| BV | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00% | market | 53.70% | — | -0.75% | -0.94% | 0.19% |
| CC | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 16.01 | 16.01 | 0.00% | market | 1.49% | — | -5.82% | -0.94% | -4.88% |
| CCU | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 11.83 | 11.83 | 0.00% | market | 95270.36% | — | 0.81% | -0.94% | 1.75% |
| ECO | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 63.00 | 63.00 | 0.00% | market | -37.79% | — | 1.04% | -0.94% | 1.98% |
| ENR | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 20.99 | 20.99 | 0.00% | market | 71.73% | — | 2.42% | -0.94% | 3.36% |
| FLYW | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 17.82 | 17.82 | 0.00% | market | 508.90% | — | 1.93% | -0.94% | 2.87% |
| FTK | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 33.47 | 33.47 | 0.00% | market | -30.01% | — | 8.64% | -0.94% | 9.58% |
| GIC | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 39.03 | 39.03 | 0.00% | market | -43.75% | — | 1.47% | -0.94% | 2.41% |
| HRMY | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 38.78 | 38.78 | 0.00% | market | -16.84% | — | -0.28% | -0.94% | 0.66% |
| IOSP | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 90.28 | 90.28 | 0.00% | market | -0.76% | — | 1.18% | -0.94% | 2.12% |
| LCID | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 6.95 | 6.95 | 0.00% | market | 31.26% | — | 0.23% | -0.94% | 1.17% |
| MBC | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 8.87 | 8.87 | 0.00% | market | 120.00% | — | 1.27% | -0.94% | 2.21% |
| MD | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 24.94 | 24.94 | 0.00% | market | 5.62% | — | 6.10% | -0.94% | 7.03% |
| NVGS | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 21.80 | 21.80 | 0.00% | market | -32.36% | — | -4.47% | -0.94% | -3.53% |
| PRKS | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 46.07 | 46.07 | 0.00% | market | 48.56% | — | -4.13% | -0.94% | -3.19% |
| PVLA | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 155.25 | 155.25 | 0.00% | market | -16.53% | — | -0.41% | -0.94% | 0.53% |
| RVLV | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 25.92 | 25.92 | 0.00% | market | -13.38% | — | -5.18% | -0.94% | -4.24% |
| SNDX | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 17.31 | 17.31 | 0.00% | market | 19.45% | — | 13.95% | -0.94% | 14.89% |
| TDC | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 27.52 | 27.52 | 0.00% | market | -16.13% | — | -2.27% | -0.94% | -1.33% |
| TSLX | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 17.60 | 17.60 | 0.00% | market | 1.32% | — | 5.99% | -0.94% | 6.93% |
| VTOL | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 45.39 | 45.39 | 0.00% | market | 66.79% | — | -1.04% | -0.94% | -0.10% |
| WTTR | 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-06 | — | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00% | market | -7.08% | — | 3.30% | -0.94% | 4.24% |